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bmcusick

989 karma · joined June 2, 2016

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bmcusick··on New t-shirt sewing robot can make as many shirts per hour as 17 factory workers
Robot production lines need robot technicians to support them. I doubt you'll find many of those in Bangladesh any time soon.
bmcusick··on New t-shirt sewing robot can make as many shirts per hour as 17 factory workers
$0.33 per shirt, anywhere in the world, is nearly as cheap as the cheapest sweatshop markets.

I expect most commentary will look at this using a US vs China thing, but I'm more worried about SE Asia and Africa. They need to climb up the development ladder that China's already 1/2-way up.

Say what you will about clothing and sneaker sweatshops, but they were a tried and tested method for building up the basics of an industrial economy. South Korea, Taiwan, and Hong Kong wouldn't have gotten to where they are today as quickly without them. How will Kenya develop?

bmcusick··on Low-fat diet could kill you, major study shows
Sigh. I mean, they're right, but they're also still missing the concept of "What kind of fat?". Different kinds of fats effect you differently. This has been known for a long time.

One my favorite blog posts summarizing some research on this point, on Butter vs Margarine, is 8 years old now, and it still hasn't penetrated the mainstream.

http://wholehealthsource.blogspot.com/2009/10/butter-vs-marg...

bmcusick··on Majority of U.S. consumers still download zero apps per month, says comScore
I've reached app saturation. I already have apps to do all the things I use my phone for. Really new use cases don't come around often.
bmcusick··on Cooling the Earth with a cloud of small spacecraft near the inner Lagrange point
If you're going to put 20 million tons of perfectly identical gram-sized craft into orbit somewhere, it seems a lot more sensible to launch a factory to the Moon rather than launch all that mass from Earth. The CO2 added to the atmosphere from burning 2 billion tons of rocket fuel cannot be negligible.
bmcusick··on Ask HN: What online communities offer a high level of discussion?
Maybe I could have said it less bluntly, but I replied because I favor honest discussion over silence. If I'm going to not do someone a favor, I think it's better to say why than to ghost them.
bmcusick··on Ask HN: What online communities offer a high level of discussion?
I knew it would be unpopular. But communities aren't like cool articles. You cannot just share them with anyone without affecting their quality and nature. There's a reason that fraternities and such work on an invitation-only system.
bmcusick··on Ask HN: What online communities offer a high level of discussion?
I have one site that checks all these boxes and I love it.

And I'd never post the link to a HN thread. A good culture and community is a fragile thing.

bmcusick··on Ask HN: I'm late to the crypto currencies boom, what are my options?
If crypto-currencies really succeed, they're going to be worth a lot more than they are currently. They're still a really tiny market. For comparison, Bitcoin is ~60 billion USD and all the gold ever mined would be worth trillions.

Don't look at it like a get rich quick scheme. Think of it as an asset class you invest in. Set aside what you can each month and buy a basket of currencies.

Become educated about coins and get a sense of what real market innovation and real teams look like. There's a lot of scams out there. Most ICOs are scams in my opinion.

If you're looking for a coin to get into that's relatively new but has a lot of potential, my bet is Filecoin.

bmcusick··on Exercise as a Weight-Loss Strategy
Losing weight is about two rates: your calorie consumption and your calorie burn.

Calorie consumption is easy to see. It's how much food you eat. The numbers on the nutrition label might not be perfectly accurate but they're good enough for dietary purposes.

Calorie rate is where the confusion sets it. Most people think you burn calories by exercise, but by far the greater amount of calories are burned by metabolic activity like keeping your body heat at 98 degrees, digesting food, thinking (brains burn a lot of sugar), and general maintenance (e.g., replacing skin).

The point of exercise isn't to burn calories through muscular effort. It's to keep your insulin response good and blood sugar in the good range, which in turn keeps the flow of calories in your blood directed to your muscles and organs, and to get your fat cells to release excess calories when they need to.

People who only diet and don't exercise, or do exercise but diet way too much, like on the Biggest Loser, usually see their metabolic activity levels drop through the floor. Besides making it harder to lose weight over time, this has knock on effects on your health that are terrible. Your body also loses as much lean mass as it does body fat.

I've finally put it all together and have lost almost 40 lbs over the last six months. I'm down three pant sizes and almost down a fourth, and my weight loss has been consistent and steady, and I feel like I can keep this up as long as I need to. The "secrets" are pretty simple:

Reduce Consumption: I skip or eat a very small dinner 6 days out of the week. When I'm really hungry I just eat a ton of vegetables until I'm physically full. Breakfast and lunch are normal and on Sunday I feast. Basic intermittent fasting/feasting protocol.

Keep Burn Rate Up: Sleep a lot. Avoid stress. 1-2x/week do a very intense bodyweight exercise routine; all sets to failure. Never do cardio.

bmcusick··on Proof of Work Without All the Work
> How does energy usage scale with the number of users in general?

You're confusing Bitcoin miners and Bitcoin nodes.

Bitcoin nodes verify transactions. You can run a Bitcoin node off your home PC. It doesn't use much energy.

Bitcoin miners are what use all the energy, and their energy use is driven by the size of the mining rewards not the number of users.

bmcusick··on Proof of Work Without All the Work
No, sorry, that's not how Bitcoin works either. If the whole world used Bitcoin and the market cap of Bitcoin was over a trillion dollars, a 51% attacker could still only double-spend its own transactions. As long a public key crypto is secure, you cannot just re-write arbitrary Bitcoin balances into your own wallet even if you had 100% of the mining power. Therefore the incentive to attack Bitcoin is only as big as your own Bitcoin holdings, not the value of the entire market cap.
bmcusick··on Proof of Work Without All the Work
>> and it's no more harmful than any other use of electricity > That's a tautological statement.

Sure, if you take it out of the context of the rest of my comment. But OP asked if Bitcoin would stop being an ecological disaster, and my point is was that Bitcoin's ecological costs are primarily about the source of the electricity, not the amount of electricity.

Bitcoin mining uses about 170 MWe, continuously. That's really not very much in the grand picture of things. A few medium-sized fields of solar panels isn't an "ecological disaster".

bmcusick··on Proof of Work Without All the Work
> If the world's economies ran on bitcoin we would need a stupendous amount of energy to keep the miners running.

You've misunderstood something about Bitcoin if you think this is true. Bitcoin miners use resources based on the logic of competing with each other for the value of the mining reward, not based on the number of transactions they process. If Bitcoin solved all its scaling problems so that everyone in the world could use Bitcoin, but mining rewards remained constant, the resources the miners expend to collect the reward wouldn't be any different from today.

bmcusick··on Proof of Work Without All the Work
Bitcoin mines are in western China and Oregon precisely for the abundant and cheap hydro power. That's not so bad, ecologically speaking.

Bitcoin is only as ecologically harmful as the source of the electricity used to run the miners, and it's no more harmful than any other use of electricity. If the world switches over to solar and wind as baseload power, problem solved. If the world doesn't switch away from using coal, that's not Bitcoin's fault. It's not a problem Bitcoin can solve.

bmcusick··on Omega Ophthalmics is an eye implant platform with the power of continuous AR
I recall a character from a Neal Stephenson novel who killed themselves after their retina implant got hacked and they were shown non-stop advertisements even when sleeping.
bmcusick··on Ask HN: What tech that's right around the corner are you most excited about?
Arguably the third thing is ISRU (In-Space Resource Utilization), aka, mining asteroids for fuel and materials. But that's not immediately necessary and doesn't count as "around the corner".
bmcusick··on Ask HN: What tech that's right around the corner are you most excited about?
Fully & Quickly Reusable Rockets (refuel & refly, like jets)

Obviously both SpaceX and Blue Origin are the leaders here, but once they do it the other majors will either have to build the same thing or drop out of the industry.

There are so many things about space that we just assume are true, but are actually only true because access to orbit has always been so expensive. If we can get the cost to reach orbit down to a multiple of the fuel cost, then so many more things are possible.

We finally get large satellite constellations for low-latency Internet all over Earth. We get space stations and O'Neil cylinders. Moon bases and fuel depots on Titan.

At the same time, firms like Made In Space are working on in-space construction so you can build radio telescopes in space with arbitrarily large dishes (10 km, maybe?). Eventually we build mirrors that size too.

Basically just those two things are the only barriers between us and a solar-system-wide civilization like in The Expanse.

bmcusick··on Elon Musk plans to build a Hyperloop himself
> This is one of those occasions where a Hacker News appears to think they've thought of something that someone who's been thinking about this stuff for a very long time, and has the money and track record to back it up, disagrees.

How dare I disagree with the Perfect Musk!

bmcusick··on Elon Musk plans to build a Hyperloop himself
All true. But the base of the pyramid is that Japan doesn't have the legal and regulatory barriers to construction we do, so their infrastructure just costs a lot less. That makes everything else (like fares) more affordable, which increases usage. It's a virtuous cycle.
bmcusick··on Elon Musk plans to build a Hyperloop himself
I love Solar City, Tesla, and SpaceX, but I just don't see Hyperloop/Boring Co as viable or useful.

It's true that LA traffic sucks, but the only solution you need is good transit planning with existing technology. Throw in self-driving mini-busses (which I bet Tesla is working on) and you'd never be stuck in traffic again. Tokyo manages a population more than 10x that of L.A. with just good transit planning.

The problems with US transit are political. We have political problems that makes building infrastructure cost 10x too much and take 10x too long. Hyperloop can't solve those problems with better engineering. And if we fix those political problems, you don't need Hyperloop.

bmcusick··on Tesla Burns Through Record Cash to Bring the Model 3 to Market
BREAKING: Building a car factory and battery supply chain requires a lot of up front capital.
bmcusick··on Ask HN: What is your content discovery daily routine?
Twitter Lists that I curate myself, The Old Reader (RSS), Hckrnews, Google News
bmcusick··on When all job differences are accounted for, the pay gap almost disappears
> Teaching is an incredibly valuable job.

Almost no job is paid the full value it produces. There's always a split between the buyer of the job (whoever is paying the wage) and the seller of the job (who is receiving the wage). If the job-buyer didn't get any value, why would they buy it?

The question is: How is the split determined? Basically it's about negotiating leverage. Someone who is nearly irreplaceable (like Koby Bryant or Paul Buchheit) has a lot of leverage and can demand a lot. Someone who can be replaced easily has little leverage and gets a lower wage.

The problem with teaching isn't that it's female dominated. It's that too many people want to be teachers, because they enjoy teaching. Also because teaching doesn't measure the output of workers it's harder for the great ones to demand higher wages; they just get the average, like the bad teachers.

bmcusick··on Out of all major energy sources, nuclear is the safest
One factor in Tesla's favor then is their stated objective of handling the solar roof installation in house. Unless they resort to the same shady practices that Verizon uses for tower installation, direct control (and responsibility for) their installers should lend itself to mandating best practices on the safety angle.
bmcusick··on Out of all major energy sources, nuclear is the safest
Right. Great point. It could cut risks in half if it lasts twice as long.
bmcusick··on Out of all major energy sources, nuclear is the safest
Maybe. I saw a Google X talk a couple years ago from some grad students at MIT that wanted to build a nuclear power plant that closed the fuel cycle loop. (which is what you're talking about). They made some very grand promises about how this would solve the HLW problem.

Unfortunately a few years later they had to issue a correction, because older (more experienced) engineered stepped in and showed them where the mistakes in their work were, and they couldn't eliminate nearly as much HLW as they thought with existing technology.

In other words, a closed nuclear fuel cycle doesn't exist. We could be better than we are currently with investments in molten salt and fast reactors, but I don't think we know how to get to zero HLW using fission.

Considering that HLW lasts for a million years, that's imposing too high a cost on too many of our descendants, IMO.

My personal belief is that solar and wind are the best way to go for now, and if we ever get zero-HLW fission or aneutronic fusion working, cool.

bmcusick··on Out of all major energy sources, nuclear is the safest
Plus with Tesla's solar roof, you might say that the additional risk of solar is zero, since it's (probably, I'm guessing) no more dangerous to install than any other roof.
bmcusick··on Out of all major energy sources, nuclear is the safest
Not to detract from your larger point, but rooftop solar is not most of the solar market. Utility scale solar panels (the fields of solar panels on 10' poles) is a lot bigger, and has lower risk.

Another thing to think about is that with solar roofs becoming a thing (there are more companies in this market than just Tesla), the additional risk associated with rooftop solar could be seen as "zero", since houses need to install a roof anyway.

But yes, your larger point that renewables aren't risk free is valid and correct.

bmcusick··on Out of all major energy sources, nuclear is the safest
Ctrl+F "Solar", "Wind". No matches found.

That's weird, huh? I'm all for a rational assessment of risk, but shouldn't they be on the list?

Actually, I've seen such comparisons, and solar and wind do pretty well. They don't kill anyone from air pollution and global warming, but manufacturing and maintenance isn't risk-free. When you install things on roofs, sometimes people fall off.

Most solar installation these days however are utility scale deployments in empty fields. It's pretty low risk, plus the same pollution and AGW benefits that nuclear benefits from.

As an aside, I wonder if anyone has done the math on storing high-level nuclear waste on the Moon, now that a fully reusable SpaceX Falcon Heavy is almost here. That might be cheaper than the financial and political costs of places like Yucca Mountain.

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