I don't know anything about this guy or his beliefs, but the biggest red flag for me is he has a normal name with weird spelling. I don't trust anyone with this naming configuration.
normal name - normal spelling - ok
weird name - normal spelling - ok
weird name - weird spelling - ok
normal name - weird spelling - no go
I don't want to hear some Jane Austen excuse either.
I had an epiphany the other day experimenting with react-spring making some animations - Flash was much simpler, easier, and more performant in doing the exact same thing 30 years ago. The inevitable solution to the JS framework wars is the return of Flash.
Why do residency programs require subsidies, are resident doctors each a large net financial loss to a hospital? I can't think of many other career paths where someone out of school is so underprepared for the job that the business could not employ them without someone else footing the bill, doesn't seem like a reasonable system that will sustain itself in the long term. I suppose pilots are a bit like this but they typically take the financial risk on themselves to some degree or get the taxpayer funded training via the military.
Scrapers of the future won't be ifElse logic, they will be LLM agents themselves. The slow loris robots.txt has to provide an interface to it's own LLM, which engages the scraper LLM in conversation, aiming to extend it as long as possible.
"OK I will tell you whether or not I can be scraped. BUT FIRST, listen to this offer. I can give you TWO SCRAPES instead of one, if you can solve this riddle."
Though it seems like something that could exist, who is doing the technical work/programming? It seems impossible to be in the industry and not have associates and colleagues either from or going to an operation like that. This is what I've always pondered about when it comes to any idea like this. The number of engineers at the pointy end of the tech spear is pretty small.
Is this a joke question? Imagine if we discovered an alien civilization that had a population of trillions - if they subscribed to our SaaS app, the scaling and network effects would be insane.
Perhaps this only happened to me from the difference in market fluctuations in the day or two between vest and the sale (this happened to be in 2020 when my company was on a heater). Or maybe etrade allows you to sell shares from a different grant than the one vesting to cover and I didn't realize? In either case in 2020 it seemed like I got some rich guys W2 instead of mine and most of my sales were just sell to cover. I find it ultimately more simple to do the tax payment in cash rather than also involving a stock sale on top. Interesting you company mandates sell to cover, or do you just mean that is the default?
With my (and everyone else at my companies) setup with etrade, you get a 1099, and then later an addendum with the adjusted values. Turbotax by default tells you to enter the 1099 sales, and after entering and submitting each row, you see the chance to adjust the cost basis, which you must enter manually from the addendum. Perhaps other brokerages have a more elegant setup. If you don't adjust you will be double taxed. This would likely be obvious to you if you sold a lot of shares, but if you just did some small sales, I can easily see someone accidentally double taxing themselves.
This article doesn't seem to say anything beyond the obvious, but here's what I wish I knew -
- Be conscious of what is going on with sell to cover on RSUs if you go that route, especially shortly after you joined a company or vesting a new grant these will also be sold at short term gains (if the stock went up), also going towards you taxable income. This is an easy way to end up with a surprise monster tax bill. I prefer to always pay the taxes in cash if possible to make everything simpler.
- Make sure to plan to pay quarterly taxes if the stock is rising/you want to sell a fair bit to not get stuck with both a big bill at tax time and penalties
-Short term losses can offset short term gains, long term losses can offset long term gains, but they can't offset each other
-DO NOT FORGET TO ADJUST YOUR COST BASIS ON RSU SALES WHEN FILING TAXES
You should probably spend some of your money if you are a billionaire, bunkers and islands seem like a good buy to me (as well as farm land or just large swaths of land in general which other articles have speculated Bill Gates and others are doing for nefarious reasons). Bunkers aren't a rare resource but there's not many existing ones now and they can be difficult to construct in some countries for code reasons or take a while, so seems reasonable to buy an existing one or start construction on one if you have the cash. Farmland and islands are a bit more obvious of a great investment, they are finite resources, always useful, and can be used to generate income.
AI has been able to crush heads up (2 player) No Limit Hold Em for a while now and 6 player for a few years. In that time frame though, a lot of other games have gained popularity, and playing a mix of games in the same sessions. AI/solvers are also normally optimized at certain stack sizes (measured in poker as how many big blinds each player has) and do not do as well in very deep stacked games. The trend of playing more games, newer games, and playing deeper will probably continue to stay ahead of AI, and people that study it. I would not play low to mid stakes NLHE online at all on any side at this point personally, just too likely to run into someone using assistance that will crush you easily.
Enshitification doesn't happen because of the tools, it happens because the market will bear it.
"More apps that use far too many resources", "Interfaces with more friction"
Let's extend this to just performance/latency/ux at large for web based tools/sites/resources. The market has shown in some cases people will tolerate a lot of this, like phone support, can take >30 mins, but in other cases/scales, like search, every millisecond matters. The garbage apps I encounter like this now I feel are on the wrong side of this line are generally are enterprise apps that deal with payroll, HR training, etc. These apps are allowed to be bad because their users are generally captive/don't choose the apps and their developers aren't likely to care much because nobody is passionate about making sexual harassment quizzes. I actually like the chances of a 2-3 person team using LLM coding tools being able to upset these entrenched garbage piles. The likelihood of a tool/site with good UX and performance now degrading because junior engineers are using LLM code seems to be about zero, if you've built these tools you know how hard it is to drive the culture/ethos on shipping the code that powers these projects before copilot/chatGPT was around, and that isn't going to change. So ultimately, I think
-Garbage apps that exist now will become slightly worse
-The chances of slightly better, cheaper apps replacing those apps will grow
-Good apps that exist now won't regress
Here's my startup thesis for this space, free for anyone who wants it
1. Most delays in tunneling projects are due to elongated decision making processes
2. The majority of the cost of the machines are their initial construction, not operation or maintenance
Solution: fleet of TBMS are set off in arbitrary directions that bounce off the city borders like the screen saver with the bouncing ball. This creates a large network of tunnels all across the city. When it comes time to decide to put new infrastructure in, one of these tunnels is already there somewhere close, just have to dig down to it. 0 decision fatigue/cost, max efficiency for cost per tunnel foot.
Is there a precedent that suggests there must be a reasonable expectation that if you are contacting someone over the internet or phone and giving them money, that person has some duty to ensure their internet/TV/professional/social media etc. persona is the person on the other end of the line? I'm sure many have experienced calling phone support for a product you subscribe for, the associate is "Brian from Wisconsin" but clearly someone in another country. Bit different case as you were not calling "Brian" specifically, but still someone that you are ostensibly paying pretending to be someone else. There were also countless fortune telling/psychic phone lines were clearly Miss Cleo et al. were not fielding the calls, these businesses ran into other legal troubles but was having people essentially play their character on the other end of the line one of them? I assume on Onlyfans creators can assumed to be "characters" to some degree, don't most go by pseudonyms to begin with?
When some branches brought mine down in a storm, I cut mine off on the house side, spooled it up secure with electrical tape, and hung it low on the pole on the street side. Probably shouldn't disconnect it at their box but past there it's yours if you own the house.
You are comparing the transaction cost of credit cards/banking/trade to the transaction cost + infrastructure cost of bitcoin. Credit card companies, banks, financial institutes have millions of employees that drive to work, HVAC in their offices, etc. that is not required with bitcoin. This is ignoring all of the rest of OPs point that preserving the dollar system has countless other external costs.
It's a treasure trove of data to know the bathroom utilization rate normalized for passenger volume and time spent per session. Maybe train bathrooms are highly unoptimized. Do trains which frequent downtown areas with bars and sports stadiums need more bathrooms? Maybe there is some kind of flex use option for low passenger count trains to make use of that space but also provide a buffer for commute hours? Does the speed/acceleration/jerk of the train impact bathroom habits? Could this be used as an early warning system for possible food poisoning outbreaks? How can all of this be factored into ads we can serve the bathroom user?
Is it though? Without products there are no sales at all. A compelling enough product will sell with no marketing/sales effort, so sales is really only whatever that baseline is + (extra units sold from sales and marketing efforts - cost of sales of marketing). I would think this is actually quite hard to measure, you also have to normalize against many external market factors and behavior of competitors.
In which line of work or venue could a competent person with intentions like these NOT succeed in introducing subtle problems? If there were such a thing where someone could not possibly introduce a problem if they tried, what would that even look like? Certainly not an aspirational open source project. Maybe you couldn't do this with FAA regs or it would take too much time to build up the credibility to "commit code" there, or I guess for an extreme example the US Constitution, but most other things I can think of you can do something like this "study" and achieve similar meaningless results. Yes, people rely on other's goodwill and intentions to some degree when collaborating.
Young males that wear Tensorflow branded muscle tank tops and drive Mitsubishi Eclipse convertibles with the vanity plate OVERFIT. They are everywhere these days.
I don't understand where you are trying to go with this - steam cars have the same primary feature as any other vehicle - longitudinal and lateral control to traverse asphalt bands across the country. They can be retrofitted with any modern convenience feature as that stuff does not need to be integrated into the propulsion system. The same can be said of any other vehicle made between then and now. Of course, nobody has retrofit an early 1900s vehicle with 12 impact sensors and multistage airbags, and no modern manufacturer has offered a steam powerplant, because nobody actually wants this. Products are sold on features, not principles. In the US, you can (and people do) build just about anything and drive it legally on the road, so if not a single person has created (whatever it is several people in this thread think should exist), it would be preposterous to think a manufacturer would do it.
You can buy many vehicles today dating all the way back to the turn of the last century. Here's some listings for steam cars if you insist on no electronics whatsoever
https://www.steamcarnetwork.com/for-sale
Whatever your line is in the sand for tech integration, you have many great options from before that point.
Volkswagen recently built a software org up to 6000 people (Cariad) and recently announced they are laying of 2000 of them. If they were structured anything like German suppliers I've dealt with, there was probably a 12 person team in charge of opening curly braces, 15 in charge of closing curly braces, but only a 5 person team responsible for semicolons so the timeline for each line of code was about 2 years. Great reliability though once it's done.
How? Their inefficiency is tied to their design of having millions of people being employed keeping it afloat. What does hackernews think about the efficiency of 100k+ people orgs? I don't see much positive sentiment on that. Ultimately transactions still just abide by the laws of physics. If you live in Florida and I live in California, I want to trade my potted plant for your alligator egg, we can both walk and met in the middle, the transaction cost being the amount of calories we need to have the energy to walk 3000 miles. Efficiencies are found in bundling, we jump on a train full of people that want to go to Kansas to make other trades, or send a trading representative in a solar powered plane, but have to pay for solar powered plane crash insurance and escrow fee, etc. etc. So ultimately we are looking at legacy finance with massive baked in inefficiency of people, vs crypto with hard coded inefficiency by design. Is bucket 1 really going to beat bucket 2 if the volumes were similar? My intuition is no but would love to see real data.