3,479 karma · joined October 6, 2011
Hans is such a prolific programmer that he wrote a Java library before Java was even invented?
AI could be absolutely perfect and we'd still struggle to deploy it in a value generating way simply because it will exceed our ability to adapt.
So tokenmaxxing might be the wrong thing to do, but only because it's focussing on the wrong problem rather than because it doesn't actually work.
200m knowledge workers in US and EU. Total salary around $15T/year.
$1T/year in token spending is about $5k/year per person. A big number, but not totally mad. That's the low end for office space per person for example. Probably close to the existing SaaS spend per person for a lot of roles.
We are still early in the deployment cycle for these tools so I would expect them to get better and also cheaper too.
There is absolutely room for head count reduction while companies restructure around this.
Claude Code in particular seems really uninterested in this aspect of the problem and I've stopped using entirely because of this.
This is not an unfair view of the book IMO. While OPs excerpt is lovely, the core of the book is all about getting people to say yes and do things you want them to do.
Carnegie is just so good at this, he's even managed to convince you that he has your best interests at heart by trying to teach you how to do this to people.