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Tangokat

833 karma · joined December 6, 2013

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Tangokat··on Silicon Valley Is Flooding into a Reluctant Austin
I think we're going to see more and more people "vote with their feet" by moving to places that suit them better instead of trying to change where they are. It is so much easier today than it has ever been. It should mean competition between cities/states/countries to attract the best people which is good.
Tangokat··on Money Creation: 344% in the Last 12mo (Fed, M1, $)
I agree Lyn Alden is one of the best writers about this. I'd like to add this article by her: https://seekingalpha.com/article/4407906-treasury-yield-stre...

It's her analysis about money supply, yield, inflation.

Tangokat··on Bitfinex and Tether required to end all trading activity with New Yorkers
This is the important part going forward:

"Tether must offer public disclosures, by category, of the assets backing tethers, including disclosure of any loans or receivables to or from affiliated entities. The companies will also provide greater transparency and mandatory reporting regarding the use of non-bank “payment processors” or other entities used to transmit client funds."

So from now on Tether must be backed 1:1 and provide transparency. This should severely limit the risk of Tether blowing up the crypto ecosystem.

Tangokat··on NSA Spied on Denmark as It Chose Its Future Fighter Aircraft: Report
The question is: Did the NSA spy on Danish companies for political reasons or industrial espionage reasons?

I think the former is to be expected while the latter is not.

As an aside.. say the NSA finds out some great industrial espionage info.. how do they actually give the information to the correct US companies? Drop a USB stick in front of the CEOs door?

Tangokat··on Ask HN: What are you reading to make sense of the economy?
The markets and the economy move so fast now I prefer content which updates very regularly. A lot of material is simply outdated.

Real vision[0] has some really good content. It's not super easily digestable for someone not in professional finance but I think finance is just too complicated to simplify and not lose a lot of nuance. I'm trying to learn and have to look up a lot of stuff but it has been fun. I think they have 1 month trial for $1. I recommend Raoul Pal's recent video "The Unfolding" as a starting point.

I also think Macro Voices[1] podcasts are very solid. Again not very easy content but experts in various fields help to make sense of the bigger picture. You can choose a bit depending on what you're interested in (gold, bitcoin, bonds etc).

It's worth noting that NOBODY knows what is really going to happen, all you can do is try to get informed opinions and set probabilities. If you're looking for investment advice trying to time the market or sectors, I would stop looking. The uncertainty does not favour amateurs in my opinion.

[0]https://www.realvision.com/tv/home

[1]https://www.macrovoices.com/

Tangokat··on Ask HN: What mistakes did you make when starting as a consultant/freelancer?
Bring the client in to ask them what to do when something unforseen happens in a project. Even if you know what should be done, having them make the decision with you means they can't come back 6 months down the line and complain about the project not being delivered on time.
Tangokat··on Heliogen targets 1500°C solar thermal
I wonder who Heliogen hired to do their PR. Must be a really good (or expensive) campaign. There is nothing new in high temperatures and the AI part is pure buzzwords.
Tangokat··on Ask HN: Quitting Big Tech, what is it like?
I don't have experience working for FANG but here is what I think you should do:

1) First appreciate that you are in a GREAT position, 99,999999999% of people do not have your options.

2) Absolutely quit. Your life is short, making the most of it is not being bored to tears.

3) Do not get a job immediately, you need to figure out what you want to do so you don't get stuck in a boring position again. The way to do this in my opinion is to get stimulus you would not normally get. Travel, try out completely new technologies, learn a weird hobby, try going to a silent retreat for a few days, climb a mountain etc.

It sounds like you still like to code so you need to figure out what motivates you. Is it working for yourself? Do you just need a different work/life balance? Do you need to try and help save the world?

4) Find something new to do, you won't be certain the new "job" is for you but that's fine. Don't be afraid to try out new stuff, eventually you will find something you enjoy.

Tangokat··on ICE Has a New $30M Contract with Israeli Phone Cracking Company Cellebrite
The filing is here: https://www.fbo.gov/index?s=opportunity&mode=form&id=3082dfd...

Interesting that a deal like this can be made. Presumably Cellebrite cannot guarantee that their tech will work even a month from now. I suppose if there ever was an incentive for them to up their hacking efforts this is it.

Does this make us all more secure since Apple will be more likely to patch the vulnerabilities and so more secretive organisations may also lose access.. or less secure since much more research will go into hacking devices?

Tangokat··on Show HN: Simple tool to make a habit of exercising
Just make a bet with a friend. Work out 4 days a week, for each day missed you owe him $100, same for him. Proof must be provided at the end of the month (most gyms allow you to get a list of your check-ins)
Tangokat··on Ask HN: How do you secure your Windows PC?
- Update Windows and associated programs always

- Leave Windows Defender alone (no hassle anymore)

- Set UAC to lowest level (Too annoying to leave on high)

- Use Firefox and always update

- Use Umatrix and Ublock Origin

- Use Bitlocker and Truecrypt/Veracrypt for especially sensitive stuff

- Use Keepass for passwords - Never run any file you don't know what is outside of a VM

Tangokat··on Ask HN: Machine learning resources for audio processing
I don't know if this is off topic but would it be possible to remove the sound of mechanical keyboards with ML in realtime from a VOIP stream? Sell the technology to Discord and profit.
Tangokat··on What Winning $250k at Poker Taught Me About Money
I used to play a lot of poker online back in the day, two lessons stuck with me:

Speaking to the variance of the game: "Eventually you will run worse than you ever thought possible"

Poker teaches, contrary to most business literature, to not be results oriented. It is the decision not the result that matters. "You can do everything right and still lose".

Tangokat··on Ask HN: What makes you not want to work with a developer?
From a PM perspective:

1) Developers who don't challenge mine or customer decisions and then complain afterwards that what we did was stupid and he had known better all along.

2) Related: Developers who answer every question with "no" or "that's impossible" even though with a slight variation it would be possible or attaining the goal would be possible in another way he knows about.

Tangokat··on Ask HN: Books you read in 2018?
The "book" I will recommend is: A practical guide to evil [1]. Extremely fun read.

[1] https://practicalguidetoevil.wordpress.com/

Tangokat··on Turns Out Wearing a Hi-Vis Vest Gets You into Everything for Free
There is a pretty popular subreddit dedicated to exactly this: https://www.reddit.com/r/IDontWorkHereLady/

It works both ways. If you wear something that resembles a uniform people will assume you work there (and might not believe you don't). You can use that for getting into places you shouldn't be.. or get harassed by entitled customers

Tangokat··on SEC issues warning against John McAfee’s crypto shilling
For those who haven't read it, the guy has a very interesting story: https://www.wired.com/2012/12/ff-john-mcafees-last-stand/

Judging by the stories he should not be taken seriously and the media should ignore anything he says (which they won't because his claims are good click-bait).

Tangokat··on Ask HN: What is the best book you read on 2017?
Web serials:

Worm (https://parahumans.wordpress.com/table-of-contents/)

A Practical Guide to Evil (https://practicalguidetoevil.wordpress.com/)

Both of these have active communities on Reddit also. I really think web serials are underrated compared to "real" books.

Tangokat··on Hype or Not? Some Perspective on OpenAI’s DotA 2 Bot
The reason why the AI is limited in number of actions is because the strategy is interesting, not so much the mechanical skill (think aimbots in FPS games). We know the AI will be better at clicking and moving units and would be capable of moving every unit optimally at all times. But is it also capable of coming up with creative strategies that humans could use as well?

I think both situations would be interesting to be honest. Have an unrestricted AI and a restricted AI - using ML they would probably develop vastly different ways of playing.

Tangokat··on OpenAI at the Dota 2 World Championships
It is so weird reading all these comments. Almost half of them start out as "it's impressive.. but". Is it human nature or are HN commenters just so sceptical/negative of all the new tech?

One of the OpenAI guys mentioned that they could potentially use the same technique in real life applications like surgery. Surgery is not "just" run on a computer it has a physical component too. Is that really the next step or was he just throwing out a random example people could understand?

Tangokat··on Sweden proposes ban on ride-sharing services that make profits
Would you mind providing a source for 2)?

In my experience you couldn't be more wrong.

Tangokat··on [dead]
From the perspective of a non-developer I thought this was pretty good. I could have done with a bit more information and references, and less arguments with "past-me" though.

HN has an almost hostile reaction to anyone who says using machine learning in practice is easy. Maybe it is just a question of different definitions.

Of course developing new algorithms and coding everything from scratch is difficult but using machine learning for predictive analytics does not have to be that hard and can create a massive amount of business value.

Tangokat··on A.I. accurately predicted the full baseball post-season back in July
Not to be overly critical but:

It does not match my definition of A.I:

"UNU enables groups of online users to think together as a unified emergent intelligence -- a "brain of brains" that can express itself as a singular entity. Touted to as the world's first "hive mind," the UNU platform has had over 60,000 human participants in swarming sessions this year, together answering over 250,000 questions."

Also I would reasonably expect some of those 250.000 questions to beat the odds and get answered right.

Tangokat··on How 'Advantage Players' Game the Casinos
There are very few books that are up to date on the current meta game of poker. You are much better off watching training videos done by professionals. I recommend UpswingPoker [1], created by debateably the best heads up no limit player in the world. It will give you a very solid foundation for understanding poker in a short time. The training videos are not free, if you want something for free you can watch them on Twitch [2].

[1] https://www.upswingpoker.com/ [2] https://www.twitch.tv/upswingpoker

Tangokat··on Apply HN: DAYS, One exceptional product a day
My, admittedly limited, understanding of womens fashion tells me that women do not like to buy the same things as other women. At least there is a certain 'she has the same dress as me' effect. Are you doing anything to combat this? Or do you not imagine it to be a problem?

Have you done any beta testing on actual users?

I think there is an opportunity here if you make a compelling product.

Tangokat··on Apple’s approach to privacy
Apple is in a good position in the market to do this, but it is just really hard to trust any US company. They say they will never give anyone access to their servers but how can they make that promise when they don't make the laws?

As an aside I am finding it really difficult to delete my iCloud account, in fact it seems that is impossible.

Tangokat··on Two Danes face up to six years in jail for explaining how to use Popcorn Time
The law states that up to 6 years is only in "exceptionally aggravating circumstances" which would be difficult to argue here I believe (not a lawyer).

About 15 years ago some kids got punished for explaining how to download mp3 files so it is very likely that these guys will also get some sort of punishment.

The reason for them pleading guilty, I'd imagine, is because whether or not they did it is not hard to prove.

The law itself is pretty scary although never really used as far as I know. The Danish version of MPAA has largely given up on suing private citizens and I had hoped they would stop completely since Netflix et al. are gaining ground. This is an unfortunate development.

As a side note, according to a specialist lawyer, it is questionable whether or not it is actually illegal to stream pirated content since the user does not download anything to save locally [1]. Although maybe you could argue that since you are sharing it with others while you watch that is a crime.

[1] Danish: http://www.computerworld.dk/art/234666/it-advokat-derfor-er-...

Tangokat··on The $100M ‘Business Club’ Crime Gang
Can someone explain how they get the money out? I understand that they hack a company, send themselves money to a bank in China... and then? Can't the chinese just trace the money and go tell the bank to give it back? Do they use money mules to get the money in cash, if so how do they distribute it to the many members?
Tangokat··on Hackers Stole Secrets of U.S. Government Workers’ Sex Lives
In case anyone was wondering the SF86 form that many people apparently had to fill out is available here: http://www.gsa.gov/portal/forms/download/116390

It's the single biggest form I have ever seen. Storing this information along side "information about workers’ sexual partners, drug and alcohol abuse, debts, gambling compulsions, marital troubles, and any criminal activity." seems insane. The arrogance required to think this is a good idea blows my mind.

Tangokat··on I Let IBM’s Watson Tell Me What to Cook for a Week
"And, in essence, this kind of sums up Watson for me. You need to tinker with it a bit before you can find something usable."

I think this is the most interesting part. Watson seems to work WITH you rather than for you.

Presently it appears to work very well as an inspiration and suggests things that are so far out you would never come up with them yourself. An example is the radish, cod, ginger, olives, tomato and green onions pizza.

I would've loved a bit more focus on what other people thought though. I got the impression that the writer was a bit biased to love the dishes before he tried them.

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