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CGMthrowaway

4,332 karma · joined March 30, 2025

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CGMthrowaway··on Every new car sold in the European Union must include a driver monitoring camera
Don't rule out another Cash for Clunkers. The 2009 program destroyed 1 in 300 cars on the road. The next one could be bigger. Also, 3 in 4 cars on the road today are now in states requiring emissions tests for your annual registration, which can pose a significant (and growing, as standards improve) obstacle for older cars.
CGMthrowaway··on All Cars Sold in the EU Now Require a Camera Aimed at Your Face
Eye tracking
CGMthrowaway··on In Praise of Observational Evidence
Yes. Even conceding every point made in this article, RCTs are still the gold standard. The article points out that RCTs are often impractical, expensive or ethically challenging. Well, so is the gold standard of anything.

OP suggests that alternative methods like target trial emulation, propensity scoring and double machine learning can be used to approximate the conditions of an RCT using existing data. In saying so he gives away the tell, which is that RCTs are the standard being aspired to.

Observational data may well be undervalued. But RCTs are still the gold standard.

CGMthrowaway··on Is 'The College Board' a Nonprofit or a $1.6B Testing Monopoly?
Competing with the SAT (58% market share) there is also the ACT (42%) and CLT, and competing with the AP (90%?) there is IB (10%?), so it's not clear how College Board is a "monopoly"
CGMthrowaway··on EU Council forces Chat Control via fast-track
Far less than a majority. I believe that is the whole point
CGMthrowaway··on The Egg Bandits Made a Thousand Times the Fine They Just Paid for Price Fixing
I did not realize the egg crisis was found to be price fixing operation.

As I recall during the whole thing the news was non-stop about how it was related to broad-based inflation, chicken culling for avian flu, etc. Seems like all that was a lie, or at least merely a half-truth.

CGMthrowaway··on How to ask for help from people who don't know you
Connect, show your own commitment, size for success their requested commitment, leave them an out.
CGMthrowaway··on Department of Commerce has lifted export controls on Claude Fable 5 and Mythos 5
https://www.wired.com/story/the-trump-white-house-is-over-an...
CGMthrowaway··on Nano Banana 2 Lite
> it seems nobody is enforcing consumer protections like they used to.

This is one of the benefits Realtors(tm) and other licensing boards (lawyers etc) like to tout - we have a code of ethics, we self-regulate, you are safer with them than with Joe Agent, blah blah. You see how that goes.

CGMthrowaway··on Supreme Court upholds broad conception of birthright citizenship
"Broken borders" is an oxymoron. Something we cannot tolerate. Borders, by their nature, are our definition as a nation and our protection as a country. Broken borders do not exist. We cannot tolerate them. Strong border control must be part and the first part of any comprehensive immigration reform. It's the obligation of our elected officials to keep the American people safe, and our borders are one of our early lines of defense to do that. It used to be our first and only line of defense, but in this age of technology, more is possible.
CGMthrowaway··on Supreme Court upholds broad conception of birthright citizenship
> I used to live in a state where some new friends had told us about places that facilitated pregnant women's trips to the US solely for the purpose of staying and giving birth in the US so the child could become citizens. They then head home. I have no idea how prevalent this is.

As many as 26,000 mothers do it (birth tourism) every year.

CIS analyzed U.S. Census Bureau data to track the number of foreign-born mothers who gave birth in the United States. Researchers cross-referenced those births against federal figures of temporary visitors. They isolated foreign mothers who arrived on short-term visas, gave birth, and did not establish long-term residency in the U.S. CIS concluded that 20,000 to 26,000 births annually are attributable to women arriving on short-term tourist visas specifically to obtain citizenship for their children.

CGMthrowaway··on Supreme Court upholds broad conception of birthright citizenship
"absent a constitutional amendment"
CGMthrowaway··on The labor share of income in the US is at its lowest post-war level
Is "unit cost on labor" the same as "the amount of labor being generated per person"? I don't believe it is, especially so in the context of the article's question which I raised.
CGMthrowaway··on The labor share of income in the US is at its lowest post-war level
>the amount of labor being generated per person has not really changed, but the overall pie has grown massively around us

I don't see where the article made that claim. Are you making it yourself and can you support it? That sounds like something that would happen when technology improves. What the article does do, is pose a question that it never answers: "When the labor share falls, it means that productivity, prices, or both [which?] are growing faster than wages."

CGMthrowaway··on The case for physical media ownership
Economics 101 - ownership is a bundle of rights. The basic bundle of property rights includes:

  Right of possession
  Right of control
  Right of exclusion
  Right of enjoyment
  Right of disposition 
Would be nice if this was taught more widely.
CGMthrowaway··on An entire Herculaneum scroll has been read for the first time
Materials science, battery research, pharma (protein structure)
CGMthrowaway··on An entire Herculaneum scroll has been read for the first time
https://www.jjmjs.org/uploads/1/1/9/0/11908749/wayment_and_g...
CGMthrowaway··on The 'papers, please' era of the internet will decimate your privacy
> There are at least some technological solutions here, such as anonymous credentials.

Identity verification is busy being rolled out across the entire developed world right now, and I have yet to see or hear about even one single mention of anonymous credentials in the discussion of any of the laws.

CGMthrowaway··on An entire Herculaneum scroll has been read for the first time
Could change our understanding of history - slavery, early Christianity, politics, secularism among roman elite, etc

Or of technology- steam power, mechanical computation (like the Antikythera mechanism, which is the only known example of such a thing until 1300 years later), mechanized production, mining techniques, etc

CGMthrowaway··on An entire Herculaneum scroll has been read for the first time
You had to pay? I understand the machine cost many hundreds of millions of dollars, but I would have thought for academic researchers doing open science, the beamtime is free (funded by the govt / science trusts).
CGMthrowaway··on US Supreme Court limits ban on gun ownership by marijuana users
If you said people who carry firearms when drunk, I might be inclined to agree.

But if you mean more generally people who drink, vs. people who smoke weed, I would expect to find the type of people who use illegal drugs (even weed) would be far more concerning on average.

CGMthrowaway··on Ozempic and Wegovy linked to surprising drop in violent behavior
Why do you suggest the drop in violent behavior is a byproduct of neuroinflammation reduction, as opposed to being a byproduct of anhedonia which seems more obvious to me?
CGMthrowaway··on With Wall Street’s help, you’re about to be forced to buy stock in SpaceX
So your main observation is that he never gave you anything for free. Okay.
CGMthrowaway··on Kirkland Roundabouts
My "solution" was to treat every roundabout like a stop sign.

This would work, except that it exposed flaws in the controls/ etc and also sometimes the other cars would not yield. But not my fault! :)

CGMthrowaway··on With Wall Street’s help, you’re about to be forced to buy stock in SpaceX
So the people who lament that he is a trillionaire have nothing to worry about then. It is just paper "wealth" that the market will pull back down to earth
CGMthrowaway··on With Wall Street’s help, you’re about to be forced to buy stock in SpaceX
How do you figure? Trying to understand and hoping you can walk through your logic
CGMthrowaway··on With Wall Street’s help, you’re about to be forced to buy stock in SpaceX
Krugman's brushing off genuine engineering wins here. SpaceX got space launch costs down to unheard of levels and built Starlink. Tesla built and scaled EVs at a time when no one else was willing to really try. Musk has a habit of overpromising, but there is real output that we can measure as well.

I expect SPCX might stay in squeeze territory until insider lockups expire, and yeah that's financial engineering, but the stock is not going to zero anytime soon the way an actual Ponzi would.

CGMthrowaway··on Pentagon boasts of using AI to write reports mandated by Congress (1.5mil users)
I never said which was which.
CGMthrowaway··on Pentagon boasts of using AI to write reports mandated by Congress (1.5mil users)
Half of those leaders are Democrats. They're not all lazy and incompetent.
CGMthrowaway··on An interview with an Apple emoji designer
The letters are super fuzzy (a ton of anti-aliasing, even on the bottoms of the letters where it's not needed)
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