899 karma · joined September 16, 2022
“It survived because it was something that only academics cared about”
The critical change has been in the number of academics, not in their level of care. It was always a small exclusive group. It can only work if it’s a small exclusive group. We can’t make everyone an academic and expect quality output anymore than we can make everyone a coder and expect great software. Academia (higher ed) simply cannot scale and still be what it’s been. Great wine must be produced in small batches, perhaps the elite should be too.
I want to push back in that. The war in eukraine is (was?) arguably the desired end result of many years of effort by a number of Ukraine/russia hawks like Nuland. I don’t think she was surprised at all by Russia’s actions. It was on everyone’s bingo card. It had been predicted (described?) by prominent experts like John mearshiemer. It was very much a known risk, and a likely risk as anyone can go and assess from historical records.
So no, the United States (whomever you mean by that) certainly did not calculate that Putin would be unprovokeable. Russia’s red line was clear, we chose to cross it knowing the result ahead of time.
Oh, I see.
It’s interesting that this is basically the same message he was attacking. He and Gelman and most other bright people agree, don’t trust most published research. Of course this is especially true for meta-research as the author seems to suggest.
They do this by introducing new idioms. Granted they are idioms that if every r user would adopt 100% and all older code were rewritten 100% would in fact make the language more tidy. But that will never happen. So it ultimately is counterproductive imo. If I want to write concise shell style pipelines for data analysis I could use awk. If I wanted readability I could use python. Don’t try to cram all of those things into Posit/r.
Well there is a problem with that but I will leave it to others to work out what the problem is. (Hint: How do you measure programming ability without, you know some sort of measurement. :)
The concern of the author is ultimately one of status, preeminence. Of course people motivated by prestige will not always be trustworthy. Her sin isn’t being too trusting, it’s a lack of self awareness.
Couldn’t both things be true? Could different cities and police departments have differing contexts, differing problems?