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zyxzevn

245 karma · joined January 19, 2016

Programming & Science
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zyxzevn··on Early clinical trial shows anti-depressant prevents hospitalization from Covid
So, the capture of Afghanistan's production can help us against covid. ;-)
zyxzevn··on Early clinical trial shows anti-depressant prevents hospitalization from Covid
For all relevant studies with 10,000 or more patients and the correct treatment protocols. See: http://www.hcqlost.com
zyxzevn··on Permanent suspension of @realDonaldTrump
Why not every other politician? They are all the same.

Let us just go a small step further and let facebook and twitter choose the next presidents.

zyxzevn··on Nothing matters but reproduction rate R
That is a huge oversimplification. According the Chinese study there is no asymptomatic transmission. So most of the numbers do not even make sense.

Transmission within a masked & lockdown population is still large. Does not even seem to change... Because there is no asymptomatic transmission. We need quarantine instead of sick people. Masks have health side-effects, because 99% of people do not follow the OSHO safety standards.

The transmission within a household between partners has an average of 27%. Another extremely weird number. Did the tests give false positives? Is the disease misidentified? Or did the others already have T-cell herd-immunity?

So the real question is: What is causing transmission?

And note the R does not show that at all, and focusing on that gives us the wrong solutions.

There may be other factors that create a high transmission. Some doctors listed an extreme long survival time of the virus (up to 16 days under good conditions). So maybe it transmits mainly via surfaces and not via the air.

That might explain why it can spread within a population under a military lockdown. But that latter might also be explained with the false positives from a PCR test (or similar test). Or the natural immunity of most people creating partial herd-immunity within the population.

zyxzevn··on No, SAR Can't See Through Buildings
But SAR can see changes after earth-quakes

https://maps.disasters.nasa.gov/arcgis/apps/MapSeries/index....

So it can track your mum

zyxzevn··on Free Pascal
The modules (called units) are a huge improvement for managing large projects. Also extremely fast in compilations.

The string handling are much better than C. Most is just automatically. You would not even encounter any difficulties until you start to interface with C libraries. And then it is still easy.

Due to this and strong typing and bounds-checking you automatically avoid most memory errors that you get in C. But you can make it as complicated as C, with pointers to pointers to arrays, disable bounds-checking/type-checking, etc. There are some limited parametric type possibilities.

The disadvantage is the absence of closures/lambdas. Instead you have to make pointers to functions, like in C. Or use Objects like in Java. But with manual memory management.

The manual memory management and type declarations give extra overhead. Like in C. A lot would be avoided with inline variable declarations with automatic typing.

zyxzevn··on No one who got Moderna's vaccine in trial developed severe Covid-19
How does it compare with Vitamin-D?
zyxzevn··on The Covid Science Wars
Science was the first victim of covid-1984.
zyxzevn··on Nim compiler — Pascal source code
Now we need Nim with the super easy Lazarus user interface.
zyxzevn··on Information overload helps fake news spread
Most information, also in scientific publications, is full with logical fallacies and other inconsistencies. This again causes people to jump to conclusions on the basis of limited information/evidence.

I tried to give a guideline on how to do critical thinking and how to investigate the truth about something.

The first steps are: 1) logical fallacies 2) the scientific method .. And I think that these should be part of basic education.

Then we have 4) possible fraud/crime 5) bias 6) Unknowns. Which help to understand the limits or problems with different conclusions.

And 7) solutions. is how to work towards a common acceptable solution

Here is the full guideline: https://saidit.net/s/Solutions/comments/50i5/how_to_investig... Feel free to comment / add to it.

zyxzevn··on ‘Extremely aggressive’ internet censorship spreads in the world’s democracies
I made a small article about how to investigate the truth about something.

https://saidit.net/s/Solutions/comments/50i5/how_to_investig...

The first steps are: 1) logical fallacies 2) the scientific method .. And I think that these should be part of basic education.

Then we have 4) possible fraud/crime 5) bias 6) Unknowns. Which help to understand the limits or problems with different conclusions.

And 7) solutions. is how to work towards a common acceptable solution

zyxzevn··on ‘Extremely aggressive’ internet censorship spreads in the world’s democracies
This is the tip of the iceberg.

We already knew that governments censor Human rights and leaks proving war-crimes and false flags. Even the UK puts journalists in prison.

But today it has grown to the censorship of Doctors and Scientists, because they have better insight in what is really happening than the governments. That is because the governments are guided by lobbyists.

zyxzevn··on Simulating the pandemic: What Covid forecasters can learn from climate models
Climate models? They are so extremely bad, scientifically.
zyxzevn··on Moderna Covid vaccine candidate almost 95% effective, trials show
The experiments were setup to pass, so we are seeing record high numbers of successes.

A lot of companies are specialized in hacking the standards for testing. Depending on the company they use some of these tricks: These are all small sample sizes (around 100) picked from huge numbers of tested people (10s of thousands). They look at short term results, long term effects failed dramatically in animal testing. They use tests that can give false positives (PCR>26 cycles), and/or false negatives. Or just look at symptoms that are similar to flu. They do not have a proper (long term) placebo group (why not also use untreated patients as well). Other factors with huge impact as health, habits, food, Vitamin-D.

Big pharma wants to collect "their" billions for their medicine. Which is why we cant have nice things. (Or cheap medicine that do work well).

zyxzevn··on Why Rust Is the Future of Game Development
Agreed. The extremely slow compile time and extremely limited data flexibility is blocking rapid development.

As an alternative to C++, JAI is more promising in my opinion.

zyxzevn··on Escaping Science's Paradox
“It doesn't matter how beautiful your theory is, it doesn't matter how smart you are. If it doesn't agree with experiment, it's wrong.” - Richard Feynman

Science progresses when new paradigms are discovered. From that new mathematical models can be derived and tested.

For example, there is an experiment that breaks with quantum mechanics. It does not break it completely, but it replaces it with a different model that is so simple that it is the best according to Occam's Razor.

Like: Null-hypothesis: quantum mechanics shows that there are no photons https://saidit.net/s/Physics/comments/18rz/nullhypothesis_qu...

With the experiments we can see that photons are not only complicated, but also breaking with the observations. This breaks the paradigm of the particle-model. Instead we have something else, which we can test now with simple experiments.

Experiments are on: http://thresholdmodel.com

And I don't know if the conclusions are correct, but I am excited to see a testable breakthrough in the stalemate of quantum interpretations.

zyxzevn··on Covid: Remdesivir 'has little or no effect' on survival, says WHO
The first study that was heavily promoted used a randomized trial, and showed shorter stays in the hospital.

But looking at the real data, the study was not completely randomized as they had removed some patients. Patients that had died.

So it was essentially a P-hack to sell us a worthless but expensive product. So I stopped believing that Big Pharma would save us, and that their science-journals were giving honest reports.

In the mean time I see reports of different very cheap medicines that give a 10x reduction in death-rates. From 500 to 50 and such. That is extremely hard to hack because these death numbers would show up elsewhere. From the reports it appears that the virus is very vulnerable to some cheap anti-viral medicine.

But there is no money in that, so it will not be promoted that heavily.

Here are some videos where the science papers are explained by an expert.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=98RQ3QK-yCc

https://youtu.be/bbGG79WGmu4?t=800

zyxzevn··on Shapez.io: open-source base building game inspired by Factorio
To make the upgrades and building more interesting, it would be more of a challenge when upgraded structures require certain parts. Parts that you have to build yourself.
zyxzevn··on Nuclear power: Are we too anxious about the risks of radiation?
I don't care much about the radiation. And this is always the wrong argument.

I care about (1) the pollution with 100,000 years of half-life and (2) corruption and (3) Murphy's law.

None of these problems are even closely solved. The only constant is that errors will be made. My previous generation thought that it was OK to put waste into the oceans. Or dump it in Africa.

Some Thorium solutions may work, but they need to be researched and improved. There are some scientists working on transforming nuclear waste, and this is the first thing that needs to be done.

Don't come back until you have done that.

zyxzevn··on Assange Hearing Day 16
As I understand it from the reports. The case in Sweden was already cleared right from the start. There was no crime and this was clear very seen in the beginning.

The Sweden accusation was started, because Sweden can send prisoners to the US immediately. The US started this scheme after wikileaks exposed the warcrimes in Iraq.

The Uk kept the arrest on Assange, even after this all was cleared. And are still holding him against all laws.

zyxzevn··on Assange Hearing Day 14
Reporting about crimes should never be a crime.

It is that simple.

zyxzevn··on Why are Amnesty International monitors not able to observe the Assange hearing?
Nothing to see/hear. Military Shadow Government covering up their tracks.
zyxzevn··on On Browser Tabs
The many open tabs are related to states between:

1. bookmarking,

2. will look at it any minute/day now.

3. need to read/watch further when I got time.

4. page no longer available on site.

5. music to play in the background.

So what a browser mainly needs a a way of bookmarking that also stores some of the state of the page. Like position on page, selection, video/audio-position, saved to local cache.

zyxzevn··on Ultra Safe Nuclear
It is only a problem for future generations...
zyxzevn··on Scientific American Makes First Presidential Endorsement in Its 175-Year History
Well, he was correct about Hydroxychloroquine. But most papers just kept on claiming that it was dangerous. Even after #Lancetgate happened.
zyxzevn··on Transgender in Iran
Reminds me of this: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Ia7fUQXskvA How Vice chooses ..
zyxzevn··on Plasma from exercised mice showed beneficial effects on brains of aged mice
"I COME IN PEACE" I hope some of you get the reference
zyxzevn··on Ask HN: What are some skills you have that are worth learning?
Understanding Logical fallacies. In these days of bad news reporting, it is good to recognize logical fallacies in reports. Instead of getting someone's opinion, it helps to focus on the actual data that is mentioned in the report. If the writer is using logical fallacies, they are trying to manipulate me. If they have clear logic, they are trying to inform me.

Then as second step, you can evaluate the data yourself, or even question it. See where you can find the source, or see other data. This step is more checking if the statistical evaluations are correct, or if there is p-hacking or any other problem. It must also follow basic common science. And if not, this should be explained.

What I usually find (>90% of the articles that I find interesting) is that the reports are conflicting and even the data is conflicting. The evidence/science is often incomplete and filled in with unfounded theories. And knowing this, it reduces the amount of information that is important in the articles.

So technically logical thinking is a way to compress all the data, without loss of information.

zyxzevn··on The Sun seen through the Earth in “neutrino light” (2007)
The circle in the centre of the image is much wider than the sun. Sadly, we can not see any meaningful imagery from it.
zyxzevn··on Preliminary test results suggest 21% of NYC residents have Covid antibodies
Good news. Herd-immunity is growing.

Also, this means that the death-rate is far lower than reported. And this is nice too. Maybe we can save people by starting the society again.

In other news, we see that hydroxychloroquine is actually working according to doctors. But there was a very bad study that claimed that it caused 2x as many deaths. It should have said instead that it was mainly used on patients that were close to death. Here is a good analysis of that study. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dLSYRqcg0wo&feature=youtu.be... Bad studies like this wide published one show that science is not immune to political agendas.

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