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zefool

34 karma · joined July 13, 2018

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zefool··on New German government calls for European ban on biometric mass surveillance
There is basically no difference in transmission rates. Look at the study linked in the RKI FAQ (eyre et Al I believe). It is a clear-cut contact tracing study.

You were infected? -> who were you in close contact with? -> did they get infected?

Result? Negligible impact, rapidly declining. Reducing your contacts by 30% has a much greater impact on spread than vaccination does.

zefool··on New German government calls for European ban on biometric mass surveillance
And what the ZDF wrote is from August and thus completely out of date. GP is completely correct.

Not to mention that at this time the RKI was still counting reported hospitalizations into the "unvaccinated" category if there was no vaccination status known.

Currently that figure is at around 60% of all reported hospitalizations and can be checked by everyone, since the raw data is public.

zefool··on U.S. house prices are rising exponentially faster than income
The average income in Germany is most certainly not in the 200Ks, and if that sounds about right to you, you need to seriously adjust your priors.
zefool··on A generation of American men give up on college
Overall enrollment is down as well. It's mentioned in the article.
zefool··on The Peril of Politicizing Science [pdf]
I expect GP to have thought along the lines of "established journals, academic titles, and prestigious universities", aka "the institutions of organized academia". And other signals that one belongs to these groups, like the aforementioned "scientific language".

Which is what most people use as the actual heuristics of competence, including journalists and politicians. GP seems to believe that this heuristic will cease to be accepted if things continue, just like "being a religious authority" ceased to be an accepted heuristic for moral authority in many communities.

I agree that this is a problem, since going back to the substrate of hypothesis and experiment is just not very efficient. We need institutions like those.

zefool··on Ask HN: What tech job would let me get away with the least real work possible?
If you want more than the 20, you just need to save a bigger stack.

In general, you just need to plug in your target income from your investment, and your expected long-term return in percent. That gives you the amount of money you need to save.

The more you save per year, and the lower your target income, the faster you get there.

zefool··on How Politics Tested Ravelry and the Crafting Community
Here is the real clue in the article:

> Cassidy has noticed a growing dynamic. “The knitting community has a big issue with people being very concerned that, if they don’t support a callout, they’ll be called out themselves,” she told me. “Not joining it seems scary to people.”

I really have to say, I think this is a bad article. Not because it is badly written, or because it is factually wrong. But because an unfamiliar reader would get the wrong impression about what is really going on.

Ravelry and the knitting community do have a big problem. But it is not primarily with political polarization per se. It's the community-oriented mindset that does not work at scale.

The knitting community is experiencing what we all will experience wherever this mindset becomes dominant: homogenization and the enforcement of conformity. We need distance and live-and-let-live in society. It's not a family.

zefool··on Dr. Seuss books deemed offensive will be delisted from eBay
afaik "blacklisting" comes from the black binding of the book that usually contained the blacklist of a merchant, apparently also employers.

How do you think it came about?

zefool··on We need a new media system
I don't get it. Is your claim that any of these are unbiased?
zefool··on Two Worlds: So Much Prosperity, So Much Skepticism
Simple: this state of affairs is only possible when consumer products and necessities are not scarce.

When scarcity comes into play, well, then it does not matter whether the dollars you are competing with come from the "real economy" or bitcoin. Prices will shoot up.

zefool··on How Silicon Valley destroyed Parler
I understand parent to say that Parler claims they did moderate in all those cases.
zefool··on Two Worlds: So Much Prosperity, So Much Skepticism
Worse even: the measuring stick for inflation suffers the same disease!

The most used measuring stick is the CPI, which (1) does not include e.g. assets, and (2) whose definition also changes significantly over time.

So it arguably does not even measure total inflation, and on top of that is not really the same metric every year.

So not only does your measuring stick shrink and expand, it is not even possible to measure by how much.

zefool··on We need a new media system
I do not know of unbiased television networks. Who do you nominate?
zefool··on Businesses are scrambling for workers in Hungary
> In California, there is no annual limit, but workers can’t be disciplined for not working more than 72 hours per week.

So in California, it's not illegal to discipline your employees for working a mere 70 hours per week?

zefool··on Kubernetes External Secrets
We're building something similar at work. There is actually an implementation of the very same mechanism using the operator framework. Here's the link: https://github.com/mumoshu/aws-secret-operator

Were you aware of this project? If so, why did you go for this implementation?

zefool··on Carbon Removal Technologies
>Not OP, not my personal recommendation.

Giving What We Can has published an analysis on the topic. You can read it here when the site is up again (it is down for me right now): https://www.givingwhatwecan.org/research/causes/climate-chan...

Tl;dr: Cool Earth is their recommendation.

zefool··on Ask HN: My country is getting worse. Where to go?
Can confirm that there is no residency requirement tied to this. Universities are just public institutions here.

Not sure about tuition for foreign students.

zefool··on Web Architecture 101
I wrote an article on learning web development, might be useful to you. Here's the link: https://medium.com/career-change-coder/how-i-broke-into-web-...

If you're only looking for high-level concepts, Crash Course has some good episodes about the workings of the internet.