216 karma · joined October 9, 2022
Unpacking that second point are the implications that: - AGI considering humans a threat is conditional on our fearing it - AGI seeing humans as a threat is the only reason it would harm humans
I feel like I can rule out these last 3 points just by pointing out that there are humans that see other humans as a threat even though there is not a display of fear. Someone could be threatening because of greed, envy, ignorance, carelessness, drugs, etc.
Also humans harm other humans all this time in situations where there was not a perceived threat. How many people have been killed by cigarettes? Car accidents? Malpractice?
And this is going off the assumption that AGI thinks like a human, which I'm incredibly skeptical of.
Now, I feel even just "OK" agential AI would represent god-like abilities. Being able to spawn digital homunculi that do your bidding for relatively cheap and with limited knowledge and skill required on the part of the conjuror.
Again, this is very subjective. You might feel that god-like means an entity that can build Dyson Spheres and bend reality to it's will. That is certainly god-like, but just a much higher threshold than what I'd use.
There are many people that would do great things with god-like powers, but more than enough that would be terrible.
I also think that the potential of what currently is possible with existing models has not been fully realized. Good prompting strategies and reflection may already be able to produce a system that is effectively AGI. Might already exist in several labs.
No, this is the alignment problem at a high level. You want a model to do X but sometimes it does Y.
Mechanistic interpretability, one area of study in AI alignment, is concerned with being able to reason about how a network "makes decisions" that lead it to an output.
If you wanted an LLM that doesn't succumb to certain prompt injections, it could be very helpful to be able to identity key points in the network that took the AI out of bounds.
Edit: I should add, I'm not referring to AI safety, I'm referring to AI alignment.
This is one of the core promises of alignment. Without it how can there be trust? While there are probably short term slow downs with an alignment focus, ultimately it is necessary to avoid throwing darts in the dark.
My team runs our GHA runners on our own infrastructure using Actions Runner Controller (ARC).
> The fact that you have to push a commit to the repo to test a change, and then wait for a runner delays everything indefinitely, and makes iterating really painful.
Sounds like a mistake. Steps in jobs can often be run locally, and you could make choices in your jobs to make that more or less true. While there are certainly some things that you can only realistically test by triggering a CI job, many things can be tested locally.
> writing pipelines in YAML is just painful... I invested 3 days to write a small DSL that compiles to GHA
Yes, that can definitely be the case. But the thing about YAML is that it can easily be made a target for DSLs, as you demonstrated. I'd rather GHA use something common like YAML than force another DSL on to the world. It is better for users to decide if/what abstractions to use in front of YAML.
As an anecdote I have close family member that teaches younger elementary school grades. They have told me about signs of possible abuse they've seen but no available recourse.
I'm also aware that school is a also an environment where abuse occurs. How can we say that we are not exposing public school children to more abuse per capita than homeschooled? There is a school in my neighbourhood that often has the police called in. Lockdowns over students bringing in knives and attacking each other.
It would be good to know these things if making an argument that pivots on abuse.
One last anecdote. All the experiences I can remember having that I'd consider abuse occurred in either: school, work or public transit. Some were bad interactions with strangers in passing, other were more chronic (generally at school).
While it is true terrible things can happen to kids at home, you need stats to compare this with the alternative before a stance should be taken.
Or create a pricing model where the monthly sub covers a certain amount of tokens and then beyond that is pay-as-you-go. Sucks for users, but a scalable model.
I'd also guess that the expectation was that abstractions would form around YAML to make it more powerful. Helm uses Go templating language which supports logic and loops (but is very unpleasant to write complex configs with) and the operator pattern is also popular for more advanced cases. Ultimately both end up exposing some JSON/YAML interface for configuring, though. It is up to you to decide how you create that JSON/YAML.
I think that this requirement makes broad adoption a lot more difficult for code-based configuration.
The promise of Bun seems pretty good, but I think their marketing material is further along than their core projects atm.
I don't think anyone would disagree with that, but the author side-steps the most important dynamic here, which is whether there really are extreme risks from AGI. The closest we see to an argument for why we should share the author's implied assumption that AGI won't be a problem is just flippant remarks by framing those who argue that there are great risk are "believers".
Are they? Certainly if you stand still for hours I'd be skeptical for that, but while you are standing at your desk you are able to do all kinds of movements that you are not while sitting. And you are also not able to slouch (which I personally do like crazy after sitting for only a few minutes).
Anecdotally I've been using a standing desk for a couple weeks. For most of this year I've been having difficult sleep due to my back several days a week, but in the last week I haven't. Just generally my back has been fine, which I haven't been able to say for a while.
I've also picked up a standing desk recently. While it is too soon to say, I think I'm already seeing a positive impact on my back. Getting that ergonomic desk setup is probably the more universally helpful thing.
I don't know if that is the direction, but just an example that comes to mind easily.
If someone figures out how to do this, I think their models will be far more capable and reliable.