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wonnage

1,684 karma · joined February 14, 2011

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wonnage··on The AI Race Just Got Awkward
Sounds like Anthropic should close up shop then, those chumps are offering their product on the internet for any random loser to distill
wonnage··on The AI Race Just Got Awkward
this is the sort of brain rot thought that you have in a dorm room the day you are introduced to Econ

“bro like, what if we could price the sum total of human knowledge? That wouldn’t be that much, right?”

wonnage··on The AI Race Just Got Awkward
quite the leap from “authors rely on the work of others” to vacuuming up the sum total of digitized knowledge to tune some matrices
wonnage··on Claude partial outage
The hordes of acolytes mumbling “Jevon’s paradox, Jevon’s paradox” every time AI gets cheaper beg to differ. Every minute saved using AI is just an opportunity to use more AI
wonnage··on It's Time to Investigate the AI Labs
real nice leaps from “groups of agents are corporations” to “agents with a /goal are analogous to maximizing shareholder value”
wonnage··on What reversing, modernising old games tells us about the economic impact of AI
Maybe you should try reading the readme it wrote you.
wonnage··on Jeff – Jev-compatible 0.8B decision models, trained at home, ~30 ms
They’re useable if you’re trying to rank autosuggestions or something, not great at implying actual understanding
wonnage··on Coding is not solved
nothing completes a HN AI thread more than echelon jumping in from the top rail with a wild take
wonnage··on Improving site performance by shipping more CSS
The Achilles heel of this class of library (including stylex, Linaria, etc.) is precedence. You either have to use a runtime and some complicated merging rules (e.g longhand overrides shorthand) or compile every possible combination of the styles at build time.
wonnage··on On caring for user data: NeoVim caused Vim undo files to be deleted
So if a program decided it owned .cache and deleted it every startup you’d be fine with it?
wonnage··on There are no "rogue" AI agents
Don’t punish the people who do crimes because otherwise they won’t self-report that they are doing crimes? real galaxy brain shit
wonnage··on The Normalization of Inexplicable Failures
Ok agentic Ron Jeffries

https://ravimohan.blogspot.com/2007/04/learning-from-sudoku-...

wonnage··on GPT-6 Sol and Luna
The thin serifs not being slightly shifted to align weight-wise with the sans serif is triggering my OCD, but yeah Astra is miles ahead here
wonnage··on Good people refuse to do bad things
Yeah that’s why ea is like catnip for these folks, justify anything by some handy hallucination about how the outcome will help more than it hurts. Suffering is fungible
wonnage··on AI chatbots give wrong answers to financial queries 'most of the time'
> Overall, the best-performing model was Claude Opus 5 on “reasoning” mode, which still made mistakes in 39 per cent of answers.
wonnage··on Winning the visa lottery
They indeed will be in about 20 years when the impending population collapse hits
wonnage··on Infinite-Parameter LLMs: Generating and Adapting Weights from Live Data
Serving requests where every user has their own set of self-updating weights will absolutely murder whatever minimal margin the AI providers have today
wonnage··on Dario, Please
Dan spent 7k words missing the forest for the trees

People had been calling a housing bubble since 2003. You quite literally need the market to do dumb things over a period of time before the bubble pops. Otherwise it’s not a bubble!

Actually making money on a bubble pop is another story and that does rely on timing. pointing at a history of failed market predictions as a gotcha is about as effective now as it would’ve been in 2003-2007 right up until the bubble popped

Right now it’s painfully obvious that there is a bubble, the circular financing is documented, the hype-driven valuations are real, it’s just a waiting game to see who holds the bag

wonnage··on Garry Tan wants US open-weight AI labs to 'distill' frontier models, too
Surely if you hoover up every book in existence to feed into an ai model you must be extracting more than 1.5B in value. If not then it’s not a viable business.
wonnage··on “Next-token predictor” is the wrong mental model for LLMs
The whole point of transformers is that you can take “a tiny ML model” and just scale it up 100000x and then it tells Zuckerberg what to bake with his kid
wonnage··on “Next-token predictor” is the wrong mental model for LLMs
You can pour a bunch of beads into a pachinko board and end up with a normal distribution. Do the system “know” they need to go there?

Then you feed a bunch of tokens into a GPU and end up with a distribution of possible next tokens…

wonnage··on “Next-token predictor” is the wrong mental model for LLMs
I think you are just litigating the philosophical debate of Bayesian vs frequentist interpretations of probability. Because the weights really are just probabilities.

Bayesians say that the probabilities represent strength of belief, implying some subjective knowledge or information. It is necessarily subjective in that it requires priors, i.e information the predictor knew before making the prediction. In other words, the LLM has priors from training and is predicting tokens using real knowledge

Frequentists would say that probabilities are simply objective facts - e.g we all agree that the physical property of temperature follows from any molecules matching a particular energy distribution. You’re not predicting anything, there’s just some outcomes that are happening at the expected rate. In other words, the LLM is a stochastic parrot/next token predictor

wonnage··on Grep beats LSP? Why coding agents ignore your fancier tools
This article presents some evidence for why Grep might work better but I don’t think it does a great job of explaining why it gets chosen - is it something that was intentionally reinforced during training or was it just because LSP is harder to train on because it’s usually hidden behind some IDE interface

There’s no reason why you couldn’t write a search tool that e.g combines LSP and grep. Or ast-grep, for that matter. It feels like one of those things we haven’t spent much time investigating because grep is good enough

wonnage··on GPT-6 Astra
Don’t forget making podcasts and telling you what to bake with your kids
wonnage··on A note on subscription prices from LWN
They literally fearmonger for a permanent underclass, it’s definitely not decreasing
wonnage··on Gemini 3.8 Flash and 3.8 Flash Cyber
It’s all just vibes
wonnage··on It takes 5 cloud services to hear my doorbell
Not sure if Blink is more locked down but Ring works alright with just Homebridge + HomePods
wonnage··on No AI Fridays
Those are rookie numbers, once Elon sends my agents to Mars they’ll be doing 40 extra minutes per sol
wonnage··on No AI Fridays
AI is somewhere down there with Covid and Ubisoft, I’m gonna go with yes
wonnage··on No AI Fridays
Do not recommend. There’s this stupid hard limit every day which takes like 8 hours to reset no matter how many tokens you used
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