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wintermute42

29 karma · joined July 25, 2015

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wintermute42··on I bought my daughter heroin
Have you had severe withdrawals? I've withdrawn cold turkey off of a $500/day heroin habit. It is the worst pain I have ever experienced. If I had a gun on me at the time, I am 100% sure that I would have killed my self. You have no idea what you're talking about
wintermute42··on Ray Dalio Is Stepping Down from Management at Bridgewater
Why are you on hacker news?
wintermute42··on Ask HN: What problem in your industry is a potential startup?
Yes.
wintermute42··on Dhall 1.0.1: a total programming language specialized to configuration files
It's not a programming language, it's not turing complete and it is guaranteed to terminate. So what's the problem?
wintermute42··on One Doom fan, 300 hours, and one gargantuan level
Is this really any better?
wintermute42··on The battle between Tesla and your neighborhood car dealership
Well the problem, of course, is that they would test drive the cars in the dealership and then buy online.
wintermute42··on The biggest surprises from living in a simulated Martian habitat for a full year
Who exactly?
wintermute42··on Goldman Sachs Has Started Giving Away Its Most Valuable Software
You have no idea what you are talking about. How exactly does GS manipulate the markets to its will? You'd think their balance sheet would look better if that was case..
wintermute42··on Why bad scientific code beats code following “best practices” (2014)
Why not use the computer to help you define and understand the problem? It will be much faster to iterate quickly at a repl and then write the cleaned up version later rather than just trying model the whole thing in your head first
wintermute42··on I'm bullish on hedge funds
I'm not sure the fees are going to go down so much as that a ton of hedge funds are going to go out of business. There are many funds generating real alpha and have made outsized returns year after year (Renaissances' medallion fund has made something like 40% per year average since inception). DE Shaw, 2 Sigma, Renaissance, Tudor, Bridgewater, AQR have all historically done pretty well.

On the other hand, there are a ton of hedge funds that have never generated alpha in their entire existence and lack even the most basic modicum of skill.

wintermute42··on I'm bullish on hedge funds
A 2% fee isn't very much considering the AUM of hedge funds. If you have a 250m fund, that's only a fixed 5m fee per year. Also, investors are very fickle with their money, you can't not be generating alpha for that long before clients pull all of their money.

Fees have gone down in the past couple years, Tudor slashed their fees from 3 and 30 (which is ridiculous) to 25 and 2.25 (still kinda high). Many other hedge funds have gone to 15 and 1.5.

The problem with hedge funds at the moment isn't that they are making bad security choices individually, but that taken together, a short list of securities becomes very crowded, which really hurts liquidity (though this crowding isn't calculated in their liquidity metrics, so they think they have liquidity even though they really don't)

wintermute42··on I'm bullish on hedge funds
There's not much that needs to be elaborated. Hedge funds don't make any money if they're not generating alpha. the 2 and 20 structure is powerful motivator to search for outsized returns. Hedge funds are in a hard place right now, with a lot of capital being moved out of the industry due to poor performance.

Every hedge fund guy I know constantly stresses about the overall lack of alpha generation in the industry right now. To say thet the point of hedge funds is to avoid taxes is just ridiculous. A company doesn't need to invest in a hedge fund to engineer the type short-term losses and long-term gains. And there's no reason they would, the fees are simply too high for anyone to ever do that.

wintermute42··on I'm bullish on hedge funds
I work at a hedge fund and you have no idea what you are talking about.
wintermute42··on Ask HN: Examples of reliable software you enjoy using
I'll give you the first 2 at least. On another note, having an impoverished type system isn't much of an ideology..
wintermute42··on Hotpatching a C Function on x86
What, exactly, do you think is going on here? How on earth would the executable on the disk get modified by pointer manipulation? (without the use of mmap, of course)
wintermute42··on Ask HN: Are there software companies that don't “make” you work all day long?
I've only been at this place for a week and a bit but it seems most people are working about 11 or 10 to 13 hour days.
wintermute42··on Ask HN: Are there software companies that don't “make” you work all day long?
I'm talking more like 10-13 here...