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treis

9,657 karma · joined November 28, 2017

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treis··on Three ways people respond to a problem (other than solving it)
It's not quite that black and white. You have fixed amount of policing resources and it goes to the most impactful crimes. If crime goes down then they start caring about petty stuff. If it goes back up then they stop.

This applies more directly to something like foster care. My state is going through a budget crisis and anecdatally the result is significantly fewer kids coming into and remaining in care. It moves at the margins so a borderline case that might have resulted in removal before now doesn't.

As you note it's unlikely that some problems can be completely solved. But our resource allocation is mostly fixed or varies based on circumstances beyond whatever problem is being solved.

treis··on Financing the AI boom: from cash flows to debt [pdf]
Except for movie pass startups are marginally profitable on whatever they sell.
treis··on StubHub, CEO hit with ‘deceptive practices’ class action over mass scalping
Ticketmaster sure but back in the day I could get tickets for a song on stubhub. That seems to be a relic of the past and the resale ticket marketplace is barely less than face value.
treis··on What did SFFA vs. Harvard reveal about admissions?
It's a bit of an interesting Chesterton's fence. For most of human history your job is whatever your dad's job was (with a large degree of hand waving). It makes sense because there's at least some genetic disposition there and you're likely willing to train your children for free. Instead we pay strangers massive amounts of money for make work training that is often only loosely related to productive skills.

Obviously a lot of reasons to do it this way. But you gotta think at some point not working for 4 years while paying ~2x median annual wage has gotta go the way of the dodo.

treis··on Australian energy retailers must provide three hours of free daytime electricity
This is even worse for gas. Most months I pay more in sales tax on the fees than I do for the gas.
treis··on LAPD lets contract with surveillance giant Flock expire
Of course that's not true.
treis··on LAPD lets contract with surveillance giant Flock expire
Cameras do address that problem. We live in a country where people go to jail for life because two witnesses they swear they saw pookie shoot dee dee. Where cops beat the hell out of citizens and say they were resisting arrest.

That Pookie can show a video from a flock camera showing him somewhere else is a massive boost to his civil liberties. Same with whatever poor sap gets beat by the cops.

treis··on LAPD lets contract with surveillance giant Flock expire
Everywhere people live is someone's neighborhood. So if everyone installs it in their neighborhood the cameras are everywhere.
treis··on Under federal rule, colleges must leave grads better off or lose financial aid
Primary care doctors are performing heart surgery?
treis··on Under federal rule, colleges must leave grads better off or lose financial aid
There aren't any practicing cardiology or nephrology which is the GP's point and my point.
treis··on Under federal rule, colleges must leave grads better off or lose financial aid
I don't think that's really true. Big ones like medicine and law have very well developed programs. To the point where something like half of med school students attend class rarely or never. More esoteric and less explicitly goal oriented fields aren't going to have as developed options but I doubt there's any undergraduate degree that you couldn't fairly easily mimic with self study.

The difference is that software engineering more or less doesn't use a comp sci degree to gatekeep.

treis··on Under federal rule, colleges must leave grads better off or lose financial aid
They didn't say license. They said certification which is issued by the relevant board. While theoretically a medical license gives you the right to perform heart surgery without the relevant certification no hospital will let you, no insurance company will cover you, and your license will be immediately revoked.
treis··on New AI tutor achieves 0.71-1.30 SD effect size in Dartmouth course [pdf]
Are we talking about human teachers or LLMs here?
treis··on Phosh 0.56.0
Ah interesting. We're still on the email/sms 2FA
treis··on Phosh 0.56.0
At the risk of sounding really old can't you use your computer/laptop for that?
treis··on As downtown Seattle offices empty, city facing years of 'zombie' towers
I don't think bedrooms really need windows and in some ways they're preferable with the light & noise reductions.

Even if that's solved the bigger problem is earthquake code. These older buildings aren't up to modern code and significant renovations would require structure changes.

treis··on What does privatization of the US Postal Service mean?
They barely made any of those payments and the rule was rescinded several years ago. The $100 billion shortfall is because they didn't make those payments and the ongoing cash flow issues are continued degredation of the USPS economic reality
treis··on What does privatization of the US Postal Service mean?
The USPS is about $100 billion short in funds for retiree healthcare. Operationally they're slated to run out of cash shortly and that's going to get worse as they have to directly fund more and more retiree health care.
treis··on US residents angry datacenters 'shoved down our throats' are recalling officials
There are things called LLMs that are incredibly useful but require a staggering amount of compute. Providers are building out data centers to meet the new need.
treis··on The Egg Bandits Made a Thousand Times the Fine They Just Paid for Price Fixing
The indictment has them talking about 2 cent price swings. Like I said, this is goosing the margins. It's not an industry wide thing that tripled prices.
treis··on The Egg Bandits Made a Thousand Times the Fine They Just Paid for Price Fixing
LIBOR didn't triple the rate. I don't doubt that they screwed around at the margins but the extreme volatility in egg prices were predominantly caused by the underlying economic factors.
treis··on Weave Robotics launches Isaac 1, a $7,999 home robot with Fall 2026 deliveries
A sustained societal and legal system designed to curtail the rights of blacks is similar to slavery. Having a job is not.
treis··on Chip Off The Old Block
The fun thing to do is have a special week where none of these arguments apply. I did a camp papa with my 5 year old where the only rule was "be nice to papa".

We had ice cream three times in one day. Played video games as much as he wanted. By far his favorite part was when I bought him three 5 packs of hot wheels cars at the grocery store. To him it was like negotiating being paid a million bucks, then asking for a billion, and finally a trillion and getting it. To him just an utterly incomprehensible stroke of luck.

Then I lost him and you get to see the ugly downside of youth. Where he's not getting the childhood he deserves like you didn't. I started mentoring a teen in foster care and I get to watch him be the same dumb teenager I was. Feels like being on the other side of an eternal cycle that has gone back to the start of humanity.

treis··on Weave Robotics launches Isaac 1, a $7,999 home robot with Fall 2026 deliveries
It's not slavery when you get paid for it and can quit
treis··on Supreme Court upholds broad conception of birthright citizenship
The US today has the highest percentage of foreign born population since 1850 (I can't find numbers before that). If the US had truly open immigration we'd probably see several hundred million migrate and probably in the billions. What laws do today practicality did before.
treis··on US Supreme Court rules geofence warrants require constitutional protections
It's mostly punting on the issue. They determined that it was a "search" under the 4th amendment but made no ruling on whether or not it was "reasonable". It's back to lower courts to decide on that.
treis··on Flock cameras track more than your license plate, and they're spreading fast
That’s true of every system of government
treis··on What Ozempic does to the gut-brain axis
Pretty much everyone can make significant progress in a few months. That’s not the problem being solved.
treis··on OpenAI leans toward waiting until next year for IPO
I think a lot of money and effort is spent on advertising on reddit. It just goes to astroturfing instead of paying Reddit.
treis··on The AI backlash is only getting started
There are theoretically appeals but for the most part they're illusionary. The original decision is given a lot of deference and the appeal is almost always denied. Plus it's gated beyond a lot of time and money. In adversarial proceedings that's a weapon for one side or the other.
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