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tom_rath

1,513 karma · joined March 7, 2008

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tom_rath··on Calacanis: Collapsing Economy Will Kill 50%-80% Of Startups
"This post has been deleted at the request of its author."

Was it really that bad? Calacanis can come across as a bit full of himself, but I've often gained an insight or two from his posts.

tom_rath··on Why is the default answer always a web app?
Have you tried using Java Web Start? It's wonderfully simple to deploy and (almost) lets you forget about past nightmares with applets.
tom_rath··on Critique my startup - licensekey.net
How will your product "do things to make these numbers go up, not down"? If all your tool is letting me do is count web site page-views and total dollar sales, that's not going to help.
tom_rath··on Critique my startup - licensekey.net
Well, businesses definitely need structure, but I don't see how this particular product would help me observe trends (aside from web site page views and total dollar sales), iterate and optimize.

Perhaps if there were a case study of some sort up on your page? Right now, it just looks like a to do list stitched into Facebook, and that's not what we're needing.

tom_rath··on Critique my startup - licensekey.net
So, the product is another to do list? Maybe I'm missing something, but I can't see how this would benefit us any more than another to do list.

Have you been designing this product to match the requirements of an existing software company which is selling product today, or are you trying to match the requirements you think you will have once your planned product sells?

tom_rath··on Critique my startup - licensekey.net
I'm in your target market, but I do not have any need for the features you're offering. Have you worked with independent software developers to identify the need you're satisfying with your product? For my own case, at least, it's not that we've not the time or inclination to create detailed timelines or project plans, it's that we would find such things less than useless since we're frequently changing plans to better satisfy emerging user requirements.

To use a tortured analogy, large companies are like container ships plodding along a pre-defined course [they know exactly where they're going to be four weeks from now] whereas smaller developers are on the scale of Leif Erickson [we're headed 'thataway', hope to find something really valuable in the process, but realize we're going to have to change course every day to adapt to the winds, current and coastline we're discovering if we've any hope of surviving this adventure]. If you're enabling large-company planning processes for independent developers, there may be a mis-match in your marketing.

If you've not yet sat down with some small software companies to find out just what they would find helpful, I'd suggest you do so before proceeding further. You don't want to find yourself creating the perfect product for a non-existent need -- that way leads to madness.

tom_rath··on Twitter is Growing Like Crazy: Up 422% in 12 Months
Bah! This is The New Economy. You just don't "Get It".
tom_rath··on To all those guys who took the conservative banking jobs
Is this guy's startup profitable or is it dependent on that superfluous 'investment capital' stuff?
tom_rath··on How My Start-Up Failed
It's not over-simplified -- marketing is hard. That's why superb marketing staff are worth their weight in gold.

Those people who can determine what people want don't just snap their fingers and pop out an idea. An iterative process is followed to produce that initial product. With your iPod example, a music player which is small, elegant and easy to use [so drop all the extra features the competitors have which nobody uses -- and which features are those?] took a great deal of research to spec out.

I see what you're saying and agree that product development is an iterative process, but without marketing you're depending upon luck getting you to that final result; and you'll run out of cash long before you reach that point.

I couldn't be bothered to buy a condom case either. I also couldn't be arsed to use Twitter but I'm not the target market for either of those products, so both companies would only waste resources if they attempted to match my needs.

tom_rath··on How My Start-Up Failed
No, with proper marketing one would not make the same mistake. Instead, one would conclude that the product was a no-go and adjust their strategy to fit (in this case, putting the idea on the shelf).

Consider marketing the social component of design. In the whole "Make Something People Want" bit, marketing identifies the "something people want" part. "Make" is important, but it doesn't mean jack if you're making the wrong thing.

It sounds as though this guy might have had a good market for condom cases ( http://www.google.com/search?hl=en&q=condom+cases ), particularly in the 80s when the things were just coming out from behind the pharmacist's counter, but he didn't pursue that initially and his second attempt appears to have been an approximation of what people actually wanted to buy.

If he instead identified what people wanted (reliable condom cases) and delivered that instead of a novelty which sold well to Bangkok tourists, he may have had a business.

tom_rath··on How My Start-Up Failed
Not quite. The product which met with some success was his second iteration: "Retailers told me that what the customer really wanted was a key chain with a usable condom."

Although research of his supply chain was extremely bad, it doesn't seem as though correcting it would have saved his first misdirected attempt at a product.

tom_rath··on How My Start-Up Failed
Wow. How could a "Stanford MBA" not even know the basics of marketing? If this fellow had clearly identified his market before specing out and ordering his product he would have completely avoided his first-iteration fiasco.

I also suspect a bit more research would have shown that empty cases (which the customer would fill with their own product) would sell just as well. Instead, he plowed on through to obtain more inventory (wasn't discarding expired inventory the inspiration for the product in the first place?) and meet regulations (instructions, etc.) that he probably didn't even need.

Do your marketing up-front, folks. A well-designed product that doesn't address a market isn't much better than this guy's box of greasy, plastic-covered condoms.

tom_rath··on How much of my company should I give up to new "co-founders"?
Why give up equity?

Will these people be offering genuine marketing (tailoring and designing your product to address specifically identified markets) or will they just be 'sales guys'?

If these folks will just be bringing in contacts and shilling the work you create, I'd recommend offering them a very lucrative commission on sales instead. Say, a ridiculously high percentage for the first n-years, with that amount declining over time to a regular commission as scale and sales revenue increases. Then, these people will only be rewarded (and rewarded handsomely) if they deliver on what they say they can produce while you retain full ownership of the intellectual property you will have 100% role and responsibility in creating.

tom_rath··on Best countries for startups
And that's a breeze in Canada. Starting from a position of complete ignorance, I had everything finalized in a day and only had to leave my home to get a document notarized by a lawyer around the corner. Total out-of-pocket was around $200.

If you are Canadian and want to start a business, you can find everything you need on starting (and running) a corporation here: http://www.ic.gc.ca/cgi-bin/sc_mrksv/corpdir/corpFiling/regi...

tom_rath··on Best countries for startups
Only one, but if it takes a filing cabinet of paperwork, three bribes, a $20k processing fee and a four-month wait after personally visiting the application centre 200 miles away, you'll be unlikely to start that business.

The time and resources required for incorporation are a good metric, but since the difference in the top-ten is only a matter of hours it looks trivial. In far too many nations, it's not.

tom_rath··on Shoestring Budget? Starting to feel growth issues on your back-end? Embrace unix and C
Yeah, my first non-commodore computer was a blazing fast 33MHz 386 with 4MB RAM -- 1991 (~$3,400 by the way)

Damn, do I feel spoiled watching a modest app compile in a few seconds today!

tom_rath··on The Singularity is Far
Back at ya: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Evolution

Sexual activity aside, human creative activity did not 'produce beings of greater intelligence'.

tom_rath··on The Singularity is Far
No, the process of human evolution is a tale of organisms adapting to their environment. There is no guarantee that human beings will evolve into something more intelligent.

If the average person is granted the ability to manufacture their own reality without any need for earthy concerns, one might think evolutionary forces would push people into becoming marginally intelligent beings focused on decadence.

tom_rath··on For sale: one filing cabinet
...but when you do need that obscure piece of paper you need it right now.

Think of a filing cabinet(1) as an exception or error handler. In a perfect world, you could just burn your receipts and statements after you've finished with them. In our imperfect world, it saves you a world of hurt when you can snatch that stuff at a moment's notice.

(1)(Do sell the filing cabinet though: Bankers boxes are much easier to move about or squirrel away in the closet).

tom_rath··on Analysis/Opinion: Rumors of Recession way Overblown
The economy is cyclical. We've been in an extended boom for some time.

As there is no such thing as "The New Economy" a recession will come next.

tom_rath··on Start Up Life Lesson #9: You Will Get Fat
The old 5BX plan worked wonders for me: http://www.oakengates.com/5bx/

Rather than get me fat, starting a company pushed me to build the body I'd always wanted.

tom_rath··on Comcast makes caps official at 250GB/month
Then won't marketplace competition ensure bandwidth-capping nightmare scenarios never come to pass?
tom_rath··on Comcast makes caps official at 250GB/month
What would be wrong with tiered pricing?

Shouldn't a service be priced to reflect usage?

tom_rath··on Mousers vs. Keyboardists
Have you taken a full touch-typing course? Touch-typing (REAL touch-typing -- not practiced single-finger poke or custom-splayed hand peck) installs keyboard use in your cerebellum and removes the function of typing from your higher brain.

A new alt-key should be as difficult to master as a new coffee mug: You look at it for a fraction of a second and then put it into regular use without any further thought.

If you have to find keys, memorize them and 'practice, practice, practice', it's a sign you may need to master the basic tools of your profession first.

tom_rath··on Very Long-Term Backup
Can you buy these things?

Patek Philippe may prattle on about how their watches are meant to be passed on to descendents, but this is something whose use is explicitly dependent upon outliving you. Heck, losing it adds to its value!

I'm not one for knick-knacks but I'd love to own one of these. Even as a fad, profitable sales could considerably increase their number and geographic distribution while reducing their cost (hand made at $25k? There must be a way to automate that!).

tom_rath··on Ask HN: What would you put on the wall behind your desk?
I find a Sword of Damocles helps.
tom_rath··on Ask YC: Why can't anyone compete with craigslist?
I'm finding that ebay's Kijiji is providing a good alternative (though its name is annoyingly difficult to remember or relate to others in speech).
tom_rath··on IPhone: The bet Steve Jobs didn’t decline
I don't think the iPhone was so much a bet as it was an escape from a dying market.

It's Apple's answer to the 2004 problem: "All phones will soon include free MP3 players. As this will eliminate the iPod cash cow, how do we compete with these new telecom competitors?

"Answer: We'll add a phone to our MP3 player."

tom_rath··on Guy Films Space Shuttle Launch from Passing Airliner
It's a Delta 2, not the shuttle.

Relevant "It's on the Internet so it must be true" discussion at: http://www.nasawatch.com/archives/2008/08/todays_video_sh_1....

tom_rath··on Every 100ms of latency costs Amazon 1% of profit
If I've decided to purchase something from Amazon.com, I doubt an eye-blink's worth of waiting will change my mind.
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