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thworp

377 karma · joined October 19, 2022

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thworp··on Business Booms and Depressions Since 1775 (1943)
This was more of a gesture towards the aristocracy that was still heavily present in the Army. For some context, the french also insisted that the 1919 Treaty of Versailles was signed in the same place as the 1871 Treaty of Versailles (which was similarly harsh).
thworp··on Business Booms and Depressions Since 1775 (1943)
> I seem to remember that due to political infighting and ass-covering, they never really tried it.

What do you mean by "never really tried it"? This was a state that set production quotas, dictated prices, and set priorities in 5 year intervals. What more could they have done? The fact that even a regime that was willing to starve and enslave its own people could not make a planned economy work, just shows the futility of the approach.

thworp··on State actor blamed for cyberattack on B.C. government systems
re. 1:

Assuming the source of the attribution is acting with pure intentions, it is usually a preponderance of (mostly circumstantial) evidence. Does the malware and MO look similar to past known attacks? Did they leave any localized strings in the binary file, if yes does that nation have an interest in hacking the target? Does the malware use a stack of 0-days and labour-intensive obfuscation techniques (indicating a large amount of resources)? Does the whole picture make sense when you put it all together?

The above is in an ideal world, in reality almost all attributions are political and based on almost nothing. Even if they were based on some other intelligence source, how could a random member of the public verify that?

On top of the difficulty of gathering evidence, there is an incentive alignment between the heads of hacked organizations and intelligence agencies. The hacked company will look better as the victim of a "cyberattack" or a "chinese cyberattack" then as the victim of "random.ransomware.0238023". The intelligence agency can get more funding and PR by proclaiming the same.

thworp··on Ask HN: Interesting TUIs (text user interfaces), maybe forgotten ones?
A very good alternative to ranger is lf https://github.com/gokcehan/lf

It's a lot faster in all aspects, has mostly the same features and is pretty much a standalone binary.

edit: an even more minimal alteranative is nnn https://github.com/jarun/nnn

thworp··on The Basque Country’s Mondragón Corporation is the largest industrial co-op
> Consider this: markets exist in supposedly non-capitalist countries. They existed in the Communist bloc. We've got cuneiform tablets describing markets going back 5000+ years. Capitalism didn't create markets or a market economy.

A market economy is one where resources (commodities, labour, services) are distributed primarily via the pricing mechanism, prices can be set freely by market participants and the market is generally open. It isn't merely an economy where markets exist.

Your examples were not market economies. They heavily restricted market access through guilds, hereditary jobs, serfdom, feudal law and trading licenses. They fixed prices through price edicts and decrees. On top of that, the majority of the population were subsistence farmers who also made most of their tools themselves. This means that the vast majority of resources were not traded in a market.

> That too is relatively new. Abraham Lincoln was a Marxist, for example.

Really? You're just going to state this as a fact without any backing at all?

thworp··on The Timeless Parable of Mr. Market
I get the way a (worker) cooperative works in an imaginary world. The real thorny issue is that in this world where there is nothing else, it becomes almost impossible to start a business that requires real capital investment. Corporate Paper and bank loans are pretty much impossible since you have almost no revenue and not even a history of revenue. If you can get a loan, it will have a double-digit interest rate. You could impose a capital requirement on your first employees, but then you wouldn't find many. The way new companies in the primary and secondary sector start is always with an investment by passive partners. It has been this way since before the industrial revolution.

The worker board will also have the same perverse incentives current boards do to a lesser degree. Why wouldn't they make terrible decisions in the name of short-term shareholder value? What is the crucial difference between a company who sells shares on the public market (where anyone could get a profit share) and a worker cooperative (where employees [re-]invest their wages to get a profit share)?

thworp··on The Timeless Parable of Mr. Market
> Making it so that only employees are shareholders isn't some crazy radical thing

Have you given any thought what that would look like in practice? If you and me started WidgetCorp and needed $5 Million to buy a WidgetMaker, where would we get the money?

thworp··on Experienced engineers are struggling to get hired
Couldn't agree more.

To add to your last point: Industry is an area with a huge deficit of properly engineered software and often lacking basics things like version control and testing.

Most manufacturing processes use code that an Automation Engineer with a bare minimum of CS training clicked together in Rockwell/Siemens software. There is no deployment pipeline or staging, data is often "copied" from ERP by typing it in and monitoring is some 20-year old custom solution done in Delphi or Visual Studio that just barely runs. The potential for software engineers there is gigantic.

edit: obviously there is a bit of hyperbole here and there are exceptions, but this has been my experience.

thworp··on Mass timber is great, but it will not solve the housing shortage
If there was any validity to what you're saying, why do places with more permissive zoning and less insane permitting processes see consistently lower rent and property price growth (see: Austin, Minneapolis)?
thworp··on The NYPD sent a warrantless subpoena for a copwatcher's Twitter account
This is a valid criticism, but does not detract from the fact that Switzerland is pretty much a model democracy.

Power is extremely decentralized, not just down to the Cantons, but the counties and then the cities/townships (translated to rough US equivalents) also have a huge degree of autonomy. For any law or political decision that affects a Swiss citizen, it is almost guaranteed that it can be overturned be plebiscite (or in local issues by just showing up at meetings).

The late adoption of Women's suffrage is just a consequence of this system, which is biased towards inaction by design. On the plus side they have not had ideological extremists run their country, or had political violence on the level of some of their neighbors (Italy, Germany, France).

thworp··on Humanity Is Dangerously Pushing Its Ability to Tolerate Heat
I apologize for my parent comment, it was terrible. I just don't know how to respond to the the broad idea complex that we need less/no economic growth. The way I see it there are two ways it could go. Either the poor countries don't develop or we somehow transfer the economic resources from away from the countries that are currently rich. Non-development is cruel, redistribution is impossible politically and there is also a chance that the recipients go the way of South Africa.
thworp··on Humanity Is Dangerously Pushing Its Ability to Tolerate Heat
Thank you for the response and sorry if my comment was excessively snarky. I think we share the same concerns and have the same goals and even mostly agree on practical steps to get there. I've just seen and heard too many degrowth advocates (that really want to return to 19th century economy with 21st century populations) recently and it's really worrying me.

> and subsidize the same for poor countries who haven't historically emitted much and don't have the wealth to transition themselves.

Yes! With a fraction of the money sloshing around various "charities" and NGOs, mostly spent on salaries, you could build solar with storage for millions of people. Of course in practice it would be really complicated, you have to make sure the right people run the systems and there will be bad cases of corruption. But it really is the least we could do.

> The US and Australia and Canada continuing to pump more fossil fuels

The funny thing is that the market is turning even Australia and Texas into solar superpowers. Ever since solar became the cheapest form of generation both have seen an incredible boom in solar, with almost no policy incentives. This is a huge win for the planet, if people want to build solar because the incentives align they will just do it without costing larger society any (political) capital.

> It is actively physically harming them in a very real way. It's an indirect, diffuse form of physical assault.

I follow the logic and agree about the causality chain, but this is a road it's best not to go down. It quickly turns into personally blaming people for things they had no control over. That has never been a good way to persuade people. Imo it's also a lazy deflection, since humanity has never really paid any attention to its resource usage. The only difference is that Industrial societies gained the capability to affect the planet on such a large scale.

thworp··on Humanity Is Dangerously Pushing Its Ability to Tolerate Heat
All the more reason to urgently develop the world to at least the level of Malaysia / Thailand (or ~Western Europe ca. 1950). If we quit fossil fuels cold turkey it is those very same people in the tropics that will starve. But making that connection requires thinking about second order effects, a tall order for the degrowth cult.
thworp··on Humanity Is Dangerously Pushing Its Ability to Tolerate Heat
I'll assume the "obvious solution" is a cold-turkey (or over the next 10 years) complete or almost complete cessation of all CO2 emmissions.

Where will the fertilizer come from? What happens to the parts supply chain and fuel sources of agricultural machines? How will we make concrete and steel in the quantities we need? How will we transport food across continents? In summary: How can we do that without a death toll of tens of millions?

I mean we are slowly working on it, solar+storage is now just the most cost-efficient source of electricity. But anyone that thinks it is simple or obvious either doesn't inhabit the real world, or is a murderous psychopath.

thworp··on Humanity Is Dangerously Pushing Its Ability to Tolerate Heat
I encourage you to take a crash course in Mooré, go to Burkina Faso and spread the word to the people. "You will not improve your cirumstances, any more prosperity will destroy the planet." I'm sure they will appreciate your wisdom, almost as much as Cubans appreciate their very eco-friendly economic circumstances. Good Luck.
thworp··on Humanity Is Dangerously Pushing Its Ability to Tolerate Heat
Oh god, there is another one of these further down the thread. I go to HN to escape the brainless quoters/referencers, let it stop please.
thworp··on Two scammers, a web of betrayal, and Europe's fraud of the century
Yes that is totally comparable. After all, those emitters didn't do anything of use to anyone. It's especially bad when you consider that there countries that have successfully prevented this industrial crime: Afghanistan, Chad, Ethiopia, Madagascar, Laos...
thworp··on BYD launches cheaper Seagull EV with $9,700 starting price tag
The reason the world largely went away from high tariffs are many. In the first place they're redistribution scheme from consumers to industries that have the political influence to lobby for tariffs. Secondly they make the domestic industry lazy and increasingly noncompetitive (not just in pricing, also in R&D and market fit). After some years of this, the foreign competition will be so far ahead that they're able to out-compete the domestic industry while producing in-country (see Japanese/German car makers in the US).

Regarding cars specifically, which group do you think is bigger: car buyers that would get a $20,000 gift from the Chinese taxpayer (and likely spend those savings in the domestic economy) or people employed in car manufacturing?

thworp··on Gem12 Pro Mini PC: Ryzen 7 8845HS, Mini Screen, and OCuLink eGPU
That is actually a good question. Now that I think about it, the Cortex CPU in the Pi might not be get more TOPS/Wh than the newest AMD CPUs. The Pi's single-board design and the lack of 12V/24V circuits should make it somewhat more power efficient than a computer that uses all 4 voltages. In conclusion I have no hard data and was influenced by the Pi's reputation.
thworp··on Gem12 Pro Mini PC: Ryzen 7 8845HS, Mini Screen, and OCuLink eGPU
Yes sure, this is true-ush. But if you're so constrained on power draw that three or four extra watt idle is critical, why not just go for something really power-efficient like a Pi or similar? Also, you could undervolt one of the 65W TDP Ryzen CPUs and probably get similar results. Or if you're lucky you can get one of the "OEM Only" 45W Ryzens.

As for PSUs, an "80 platinum" rated one will have 90% efficiency at 10% power draw.

thworp··on Deploying fiber in the home
Not even just SSDs, if you're using SMB you can't even saturate a single modern 7.2k RPM hard drive over gigabit ethernet.
thworp··on Deploying fiber in the home
If you ever want to send >1 Gigabit over that cable, use fibre. 10 GbE is pretty much the limit of copper cables at that length and create tons of heat (in the switch if RJ45 port, or worse on the SFP+ module). Also fibre has no fire safety considerations and no problem being right next to a power line carrying high-current AC. Also fibre does not corrode. As a bonus, it costs pretty much the same (but switches/sfp+ transciever are more expensive).
thworp··on Deploying fiber in the home
Sure, if everything is installed properly with proper cables you'll be fine. But if there is any damage the cable could get hot. With fibre you don't need to spend a single thought on fire safety.

In my experience, if you go anywhere near max length on Cat6(a) and need SFP+ modules, those modules will get insanely hot and probably start dropping packets.

thworp··on Deploying fiber in the home
Depends what you're accessing. A top of the line SSD can easily reach speeds of 5 GB/s in the real world, for which you'd need 50GbE for full saturation.
thworp··on Deploying fiber in the home
Accessing a NAS at decent speeds. Even for a single 7.2k rpm drive that's rated at 120 MB/s, a gigabit link speed is a bottleneck (120 MB/s = 960 Mbit, add protocol overhead and you're over 1 Gigabit). If you have any kind of array (zfs, raid ...) of drives you need more speed again. If you have an SSD cache (an option even in Consumer NAS now) not having a multi-Gbit/s link is essentially a waste.

Of course you can send 10GbE over copper, but the needed amplification is a major heat source. So if you're running cables anyway you might as well run fiber and be prepared for 100GbE.

thworp··on Mustard
If you enjoy the overpowering taste of extremely cheap vinegar Bautzner is the mustard for you.
thworp··on Twenty years is nothing
One could probably build a MVP for this by using tree-sitter parsing, re-injecting identifiers if that is wanted, and then commiting the results to git via a commit hook.
thworp··on Combating olive oil fraud with nuclear innovations
Can you please give some examples of non-western governments fining companies on behalf of customers?
thworp··on Nearly all of California's reservoir's are above their historical averages
You could additionally store more water in the soil. Dig some basic water harvesting earthworks in the mountains, maybe plant a few select species and within a few years all the mountain streams will flow for much longer during a drought. As a bonus it will leave a lot more trees alive when the wildfires come through. Of course this is impossible in California, even if it didn't violate environmental laws (it does), a project like this would be sued and propositioned to oblivion.
thworp··on Why I use Firefox
One of my main reasons for using firefox is Tridactyl [0].

It's the most comprehensive vi-mode addon for a mainstream browser. Support bookmarks, search engines, pagination, external text editing and colorschemes on top of the usual features something like vimium has. It is under active development [1] and written in TypeScript (which is also a plus for hackability in my book).

[0] https://addons.mozilla.org/en-US/firefox/addon/tridactyl-vim... [1] https://github.com/tridactyl/tridactyl

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