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throwawaykf03

174 karma · joined December 24, 2013

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throwawaykf03··on Thoughts on Google Glass
History is littered with counterexamples. If you look at people or companies that have been refered to as "ahead of their time", it is frequently in the context of why they ultimately failed.

Tablet PCs are a case in point -- Microsoft or HP had not abandoned the tablet market. They were iterating and releasing tablets even after the iPad was released. They just didn't make the leap that Apple did to create a tablet that appealed to the masses.

Also, regarding the "riskier to be too late" comment: The book "Copycats" by Oded Shenkar makes the case that it's frequently the imitators that win the market rather than the innovators. This blog post reviews it and cites some interesting statistics from it: http://www.ribbonfarm.com/2010/08/03/down-with-innovation-up...

throwawaykf03··on Why Microsoft's "Scroogled" Campaign Is Childish
Users have to opt in to sharing click events with Bing for features like suggested sites ("if they have Internet Explorer equipped with certain features"), and that's what they track. IMO, if users give permission, it's fair game for MS to use that data -- that's still more of an option than what most of the Internet gives users.

Also, AFAIK Hotmail (or live or outlook or whatever it's called now) does not, and never has, targeted ads based on keywords in the email. I'm not that big on privacy so I still use Gmail but at least MS is not being hypocritical in that respect.

Bing search, on the other hand, does all the sorts of tracking and mining Google (and Facebook etc.) does, but so far the Scroogled campaign hasn't said anything about search.

throwawaykf03··on Why Microsoft's "Scroogled" Campaign Is Childish
Right, and I guess this is the result of a push poll too:

http://www.nytimes.com/2013/10/02/technology/google-accused-...

throwawaykf03··on Why Microsoft's "Scroogled" Campaign Is Childish
Hmm, most results are decent for me, and though I need to reach for the Google app once in a while, I don't even keep it pinned to start anymore.
throwawaykf03··on Why Microsoft's "Scroogled" Campaign Is Childish
1. According to MS, this campaign came out of a survey where something like 45+% of users didn't know Gmail scans their emails, and 80+% of those didn't approve of it (I think this is the survey http://www.scribd.com/doc/124257005/GfK-Email-Privacy-Report). That's a pretty significant number of users.

2. The "I'm a Mac" campaign was childish, and even though I was predominantly on Windows then and the ads were so very wrong, I laughed along at them. Similarly, I'm primarily a Gmail user, but that GmailMan character is hilarious.

3. However the campaign appears to us, apparently it's working?! http://adage.com/article/digital/microsoft-s-google-bashing-...

On the other hand, some doubt if that's really translating into commercial success: http://marketingland.com/microsoft-scroogled-campaign-61887

throwawaykf03··on Why Microsoft's "Scroogled" Campaign Is Childish
Read both sides of the story rather than just Google's accusations:

http://searchengineland.com/google-bing-is-cheating-copying-...

http://searchengineland.com/bing-why-googles-wrong-in-its-ac...

throwawaykf03··on A glimpse into a new programming language under development at Microsoft
>Do you actually belive this?

I haven't seen a single Google employee (that I know of) here or on other forums who's had a nice thing to say about patents. I'm sure there are some pro-patent Google employees, they just don't seem to post on here :-)

But I don't understand what you mean by "corporate America"... Aren't companies that are complaining loudly about software patents also part of "corporate America"? How is that an echo chamber?

throwawaykf03··on Microsoft applies for trademark on 'Mod'
I thought so too, and was a bit put off because it sounds like a word a teen in the 60's would use.

But it could also be short for "modifications", as in "XBox mods". (Ostensibly to appeal to tinkerers?)

The best part of a name is, you don't have to explain it -- let people derive whatever meanings they want. You'll often be surprised (and not always pleasantly!) at the unexpected connotations people derive from a name.

throwawaykf03··on A glimpse into a new programming language under development at Microsoft
> Bragging about patents doesn't exactly make me like the guy. Has he been living under a rock...

No, you've been living in an echo chamber :-)

Open source enthusiasts may well want to share their work for free (or statistically more likely, use others' work for free), but that's their prerogative. Most companies will not give away their competitive advantage and will seek to protect it anyway they can, and similarly, they are well within their rights to do so.

However, open source seems to be the dominant religion around here. And also you have a lot of Google employees here, and Google is a bit handicapped when it comes to patents at the moment. This is why you hear a disproportionate amount of anti-patent rhetoric. Outside these circles, most engineers are either ignorant about patents or quite proud of their patents.

throwawaykf03··on A glimpse into a new programming language under development at Microsoft
Anecdotal, but sometimes things seem so dysfunctional within MS that I can't believe they get anything done at all: I once met a professor at a conference who said his grad students were reverse-engineering some of Microsoft's distributed system protocols (not MSRPC). I asked him why he didn't directly contact the team owning that project at Microsoft for help instead, and if I should introduce him to them -- I had met them before and they were pretty friendly and eager to get people to use their stuff. He said he was doing the reverse engineering for Microsoft. When I was like "WTF, why?!", he wouldn't give any details but said in an offhand way that MS needed somebody to document the system.

Now, I cannot imagine what unearthly sequence of events led to a snafu where MS had to ask an outside party to reverse engineer their own stuff in order to document it... But that may explain your experience.

throwawaykf03··on Ask HN: Skype, but properly peer-to-peer?
Your title is different from your question. If you're concerned about direct P2P connections, last I checked, Skype still sends voice traffic directly to the peer. I had checked some months ago using a packet sniffer while talking with a known peer. I'm on a mobile device so I can't confirm now, but looking at my wireless router admin console, I still see the UPnP ports Skype has mapped for itself.

However if you want to avoid integration with the Microsoft universe (which should be opt-out IIRC, though I haven't installed Skype on Windows in ages), you may need to look elsewhere. I was about to suggest Google Hangouts, but that's just inviting integration with another universe :-)

WebRTC-based solutions may be a decent option long term, but I'm not convinced they'll work as well as Skype or Hangout, because its NAT traversal is somewhat limited, so some peers may be unreachable, especially if corporate networks are involved. Skype and most P2P software perform a lot of hacks to get past NATs. Hangout, AFAIK, doesn't have these problems as it is server-based.

throwawaykf03··on 2013: The Year in Apple and Technology at Large
I think he means MS does make compelling products, they just can't market them as well.

As for "advanced technology", Apple is far behind Microsoft and Google these days when it comes to cutting edge stuff, but this is mostly because they both have fingers in a lot of pies while Apple restricts itself to a few highly profitable niche areas.

throwawaykf03··on YogaGlo Update
The author of that article, James Bessen has been called out on questionable methods or analysis in some of his studies. For instance, he's the guy who created the "trolls cost 29 billion" meme out of thin air, the debunking of which [1, 2] never got much press.

Here's a study that directly refutes the claims article from another researcher with a lot more data:

http://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=1597919

It finds that Eastern District of Texas is not even in the top 5 when it comes to plaintiff win rates.

1. http://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=2117421

2. http://blog.patentology.com.au/2012/06/29-billion-us-troll-t...

throwawaykf03··on YogaGlo Update
Having new businesses is not a net loss to society? Sure, a vast majority of them will be worthless, but without experimentation how else will valuable new markets be discovered?
throwawaykf03··on YogaGlo Update
Yes, they're clearly not necessary, and you'll find many entrepreneurs right here who'll be living proof of it. But if VCs ask for them, having at least one patent does make it easier to secure financing.

And there are other, less obvious, reasons VCs may be interested in patents. The second study (and other studies) showed that having at least one patent is correlated with significantly higher chances of a startup having a successful exit.

The reasons behind this correlation is not clear, but if it presents such a powerful signal, VCs have a good reason to look for patents.

throwawaykf03··on YogaGlo Update
> I'd be interested to know whether arguments used defending against prior art are legally binding afterward. For example if they said "nope, the camera looks to be 1m, not 3ft", would they be unable to consider something at 1m infringement forever?

Yes, it's called estoppel [1] which, amongst other things, basically means, "whatever you say can and will be used against you". This includes whatever comments and arguments they made during prosecution of the patent.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Estoppel

throwawaykf03··on YogaGlo Update
> 2. For much of this, we can thank the loosening standards imposed over the past two decades by a specialized patent appeals court that has given overblown significance to what once was a highly specialized field of tremendous importance to the competitors immediately involved but not to average people.

Since (AFAIAK) you're an attorney but not a patent attorney, I'm curious, are you speaking from experience, or basing this opinion on a certain Ars Technica article?

throwawaykf03··on YogaGlo Update
If a business is easily copyable and no-one will finance it for that reason, that business may never come to exist, which is clearly a net loss to society. Of course, this does not apply to yoga videos, but a lot of startups that venture into unproven technologies or markets are very risky investments.
throwawaykf03··on YogaGlo Update
Your experience may be anecdotal, but it's also supported by data:

1. The 2008 Berkeley Patent Survey (http://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=1429049), finding that while only 25% of all software startups file patents, about 67% of venture-funded startups do.

2. "Do Patents Facilitate Financing in the Software Industry?", Ronald J. Mann, 2005, (http://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=510103), finding that the answer seem to be "yes", amongst other interesting conclusions.

throwawaykf03··on YogaGlo Update
That looks pretty close (although I can't tell if the camera is at a height of 3 feet), but it was uploaded in 2011. This patent has a priority date of 27 Aug 2010, so to invalidate this patent, any videos like this from before that date would be needed.
throwawaykf03··on Good News You Might Have Missed in 2013
That is the majority opinion around here, yes, but I contend that that opinion is flawed, precisely because of cases like i4i. It is a textbook case of a big guy ripping off a small guy, and patents being the only thing that helped the small guy.

The Wikipedia entry has surprisingly little backstory, so it turned out to be a poor choice on my part. But the gist is that like the Stac case, Microsoft was in active discussions to license or buy i4i's Office plugin before they turned around and, without warning, built it themselves into the next release of Word. Unlike the Stac, and indeed most, patent lawsuits, Microsoft was found guilty of willfull infringement.

I'm mostly a fan of Microsoft, and I don't really believe all the hate it gets is justified, but this is one case where it was really a bad actor.

throwawaykf03··on Good News You Might Have Missed in 2013
Also, i4i: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/I4i
throwawaykf03··on Good News You Might Have Missed in 2013
>... the long-term damage done to the tech industry.

I know everyone takes this for granted, but there is no empirical evidence Microsoft harmed the tech industry in the years leading up to the antitrust suit:

"Did Microsoft Deter Software Innovation?", Josh Lerner, May 2001

http://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=269498

Fairly easy read, laying out the data, methodologies and controls used, as well as limitations and potential flaws thereof. It uses metrics like VC financing, employment growth, patenting, etc. as proxies to measure innovation, and finds absolutely no evidence that Microsoft harmed the tech sectors it was alleged to in the antitrust suit.

Of course, this was before Microsoft let IE languish at v6 for the next 5 years :-)

throwawaykf03··on Don't Support Information Architects
1. Until we see what they're trying to claim, we don't know what the patent covers. At this point it seems it's just a provisional, which means they might not even have drafted the claims yet.

2. The use of Apple's existing APIs to do the "heavy lifting" has no bearing on the "quality" of the patent or the novelty (if any) of the work. All inventions are built on prior work.

3. As a corollary, the triviality of implementation is orthogonal to obviousness of an idea. As an extreme example, RSA is pretty easy to implement, but it was a breakthrough nonetheless. (Of course, patents very rarely cover anything as groundbreaking -- the bar is and always has been much lower.)

4. If you are concerned that this leads to an unnecessarily broad patent, submit it to askpatents.com, along with any relevant prior art. This will increase the chances an examiner will find it, especially since it's highly unlikely that they're going to look at WWDC videos.

Unfortunately, as it's not even a non-provisional application at this point, you would need to wait for one to be filed and published. This could be as much as two and a half years from now, and I doubt anyone will even remember by then.

throwawaykf03··on Rapgenius.com Traffic and Demographic Statistics
You are interpreting "monopoly" literally. In the context of antitrust law, you only need to have a big enough market share to appear on regulators' radars. The actual market share threshold varies from country to country, but typically it's around 60%. Google certainly meets that criteria in many countries, not only for search but for online video as well.

As for "excluding competitors", Google is having a tough time with antitrust regulators in the EU for exactly that. For a more obvious example, see their shenanigans with YouTube and Windows Phone.

throwawaykf03··on Google sues to protect Android device makers from Apple-backed patent hell
> That's the how, not the why. They had a choice to do it this way.

I don't think it was that simple, considering that the Nortel portfolio covers a wide array of different technology areas and industries. What other feasible choice did they have? Transfer the patents to themselves? Six companies were involved, each infringing different subsets of the portfolio: who gets what patents? Even if they did divvy up the portfolio somehow, they certainly weren't going to keep them lying around, not after paying so much for them -- They had to be licensed. Splitting the portfolio would not only make it weaker, but it would mean multiple individual licensing efforts. Rockstar currently fulfills the same function that MPEG-LA does.

> And "operate autonomously" doesn't mean much when you first fill the subsidiary with nothing but litigators and patents that have already been licensed to everyone meaningful other than the parent's competitors.

If you read the document linked in the comment I cited, no, those patents were not licensed to anybody meaningful until the auction. But licensing efforts were on the way years when they were still owned by Nortel and before Rockstar was created, so pretty much everybody knew what was coming. That is why all these companies, including Google, were bidding for these patents in the billions.

> It's like setting loose a rabid animal near your competitor's business and then trying to disclaim responsibility because the animal was "operating autonomously." What did they expect to happen?

Well, they paid billions for these patents. Is it fair to them that other infringers get away scott free?

> Lawsuits against Google's customers instead of Google.

Google makes pretty much no money directly from Android. This inherently makes it difficult to extract damages from them. Not to mention that since Google bought Motorola, they do have lawsuits directly against Google as well.

> Suppose Apple files a suit against an Android manufacturer, then a year into the litigation they show up and say "oh hi, we just bought some new patents, so let's throw out all the work we did getting to this point in the trial and start over." That clearly stinks of harassment...

That's not how patent lawsuits work. Dozens or hundreds of patents are involved in a portfolio, but it's not feasible to sue over more than a handful of them, because court resources are extremely limited. If you see how past patent lawsuits have progressed, companies assert a small bunch of patents and over time winnow them down to an even smaller number that are mostly likely to prevail. It's actually rare to see new patents being asserted partway through a lawsuit because, as you said, it annoys judges -- typically a whole new lawsuit is filed instead, which is a whole lot of extra work.

This is intrinsically unfair to the patent-owners with large portfolios, because no matter how many patents are being infringed, they only get to assert a few, and even if they prevail, damages are limited to the patents asserted. This is why companies try to get injunctions -- that is the only way to get enough leverage to properly license an entire portfolio.

Multiple lawsuits seem like harassment only if you disregard the flip side of the coin, which is widespread infringement.

> By filing the litigation through Rockstar, they get a separate trial with two bites at the apple in front of two juries, the litigation costs more for the target because they have to defend two overlapping cases in different courts instead of having them consolidated, and they can do it again and again with different troll subsidiaries until their smaller competitors are destroyed.

If different patents and/or different products are involved, the cases are not overlapping, so it's not the same apple that they're getting bites at.

throwawaykf03··on As New Services Track Habits, the E-Books Are Reading You
Not sure about the latter, but my impression of the Twilight series was that it's just bad writing rather than being too formulaic, like Hardy Boys or romance novels are.

Now the same author may churn out book after book which seem pretty repetitive, but that may be because it's their own style. That is, their works may certainly be formulaic, but at least it's their own formula.

So what I meant by the comparison with pop music is, the criticism is not just that the same artist puts out albums that sound like their previous ones, but rather that all artists start to sound like each other. And that is what I fear may happen with "pop lit": in the quest to appeal to as wide an audience as possible, all authors may end up sounding like each other.

throwawaykf03··on Reserve Bank of India Cautions Users of Virtual Currencies Against Risks [pdf]
Related to this point, India also has pretty big problems with black money and the black market. Bitcoin is not going to make it better.
throwawaykf03··on As New Services Track Habits, the E-Books Are Reading You
I've been thinking for many years about e-readers and the consequences of tracking user reading behaviors. One likely outcome is that it will result in a wave of "pop literature". As I understand it, pop music is already heavily customized to appeal to the masses based on tracking loads of data, going as far as analyzing past hits to identify the combinations of tunes, vocals, instruments and audio effects that work best to create new hits. Record labels and producers apparently have it down to a (data) science.

Some may point out that mass-produced "pop literature" is not really new: for instance, the entire Hardy Boys/Nancy Drew series was just that. However, since this is not a widespread practice so far, (almost) nobody has complained about it.

But once this data starts getting used more and more, and feedback loops get more efficient, eventually pop literature may suffer from the same criticisms as pop music. In a way it's good: you're giving the customers what they want. But it also has the downside that creators will shape themselves to their audiences rather than express themselves freely, limiting the variety and individuality of creative output. As long as enough creators choose the latter at least once in a while, I think it's a worthwhile tradeoff.

However, this is just the low-hanging fruit and does not explore the full potential of e-readers. E-readers need not just be dumb terminals that phone home with reader behavior -- they're fully capable general-purpose computers, and we should use them as such! We should be thinking of e-readers that "adapt" to the reader and the material. And not just an "average reader" profiled aggregately over an entire audience, but individual readers. Let the authors freely express themselves, and let technology bridge the gap between the creative work and the reader.

I haven't thought it through completely, but we certainly have the technology -- things like NLP and machine learning and user profiling and heuristics can go a long way in performing basic adaptive tasks. User likes short chapters but the book has long ones? Re-segment the text to match the user's preferences! (Maybe using a variant of text tiling.) User looking for new reads? Recommend books based on similarity of reading behaviors! They could even change the language based on user profiles. User too young? Tone down the profanity! User too old? Replace "really whips the llamma's ass" with "totally funkadelic"!

Technology is, of course, not advanced enough, so we would still rely on human input to a great extent. Editorial staff (or other readers) would need to provide tons of annotations and metadata that can help e-readers adapt better.

But eventually it may happen that for the same material two users may end up having very different reading experiences.

throwawaykf03··on Google sues to protect Android device makers from Apple-backed patent hell
(Nitpick, but the purpose of patents is a lot more open ended than that -- "promote progress of useful arts etc." -- suppressing competition is just one of the means to that end.)

But what makes you say these patents don't cover aspects of Apple's and Microsoft's and the other shareholders' products? The patents involved in the Rockstar lawsuits cover networking, touch-screens and search. The shareholders make products which obviously infringed on these patents to varying extents, and that is why they paid billions for them.

Considering they've paid all that money to secure a "freedom to operate", so to speak, is it fair to them that everyone else gets to infringe with impunity?

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