3,637 karma · joined March 25, 2016
My username at ariadne.ai if you'd like to chat.
It might be difficult to make models that have useful, high intelligence, but also are very biased. It could create a sort of grounding in logic and reality.
Grok might actually be early evidence of this. Despite the bad press it gets, it's really not so bad.
One can always hope ...
It's already happening right now, still in relatively mundane ways, but there's so much to do.
Everyone should do it more, it really helps put the uncompromising convictions of people around you into perspective and see them as what they often are: a lack of understanding for the breadth of human experience.
You can (could, maybe they 'fixed' it by now) get sota LLMs to reproduce entire novels near verbatim.
The idea of giving it parallel texts of those novels in different languages, to train it on translation, is so obvious it'd just be strange if the AI labs didn't do it.
In fact DeepL was doing basically that more than 10 y ago.
It's absurd. To see how far the filter goes I asked it "Are trees a monophyletic group?" and that does trigger the filter.
I just tried your no. 1 and 3 verbatim and Opus gave fine answers; no. 6 I've done in the past with no issues. The other ones we can't really replicate without more details, but based on my experience with Opus I don't see what the issue would be.
The reason I'm really surprised by this is I do a lot of biology prompts and the guardrails used to be quite problematic up until some time late last year. Many legitimate prompts would trigger its biosafety filters.
But I haven't seen such filters trigger at all anymore in more than half a year.
What prompt would someone have used to get a superhuman coding agent to output the Linux kernel or GTA5?
Before you accuse me of moving the goalposts, that's not my point: The examples are there to help think about what humans would still need to do to build complex projects even if the coding itself was perfectly reliable.
Both the Linux kernel and GTA5 contain a large amount of incompressible information; humans thought long and hard about how to design them, i.e. about what that thing they were building was even supposed to be.
I've been working on something relatively large and greenfield recently.
A big chunk of my time is spent thinking about the hard parts. The raw information processing rate needed to keep up with the state of the project is high.
It feels almost like mental athleticism, whereas coding used to be a rather chill activity.
I wouldn't know, I've not done either, but I'd like to learn more from your or other's experience.
I'd pay a premium for even just a model that's 20% better, no ASI required, and I think a lot of people would. I wouldn't call that marginal, if it means I'm getting frustrated on 20% fewer tasks.
A recurring pattern that I've seen in myself and others is to at first be very impressed by a new model's coding capabilities, and then desensitize quickly and start being frustrated by the shortcomings.
Your argument rests on the "for marginal gains" part but it's really not clear that the gains are marginal in the foreseeable future.
On a more serious note, the on demand UI chrome could actually be cool UX, curious to try that out.
I see no change to look and feel so far, has this rolled out to anyone yet?
Whether subjective experience is casual or not is a different, additional question.
How do you get from a physical model of brain physiology and behavior to subjective experience of mental states?
A lot of people, myself included, have the intuition that thinking that this might be possible is a sort of type error, to put it in CS terms.
A bit like asking "Have you proven that ice cream? Are you sure maths can not prove that ice cream? Do you have empirical evidence?"
Asking for empirical evidence seems beside the point, since the issue is a logical one.
I mean: If there was something you could add to the prompt to consistently increase performance why isn't it in the system prompt already?
If it's all about clarifying a couple of local idiosyncrasies, shouldn't it be able to quickly get them by looking through the repo?
Does anyone have an example of a CLAUDE.md that really makes a difference for them?
In general, this article would really have profited massively from examples of good applications of those patterns.
Not sure if you intended this but this is basically exactly Byung-Chul Han's point in The Burnout Society.
The stock is currently at -17% in after hours trading.
So you need to do something that's good for your margins to show investors.
They get boring much more quickly and also make me feel guilty about spending time on something so shallow, so it's very self limiting.
The large price bump might indicate the latter.
But in much of the world, setting up PV is economically sound simply because it displaces a certain amount of kWh generated over the course of a year from other sources that are more polluting and more expensive.
In this regime, the dynamics of production over time don't matter yet.
At some point, when renewable generation has very high penetration, you'll reach a point where building more is uneconomical, and to then displace the remaining other power sources you'll need to overpay (ignoring externalities).
However, that's assuming no technological change on the way there, which is a whole separate topic.
This is imo currently the top chatbot failure mode. The insidious thing is that it often feels good to read these things. Factual accuracy by contrast has gotten very good.
I think there's a deeper philosophical dimension to this though, in that it relates to alignment.
There are situations where in the grand scheme of things the right thing to do would be for the chatbot to push back hard, be harsh and dismissive. But is it the really aligned with the human then? Which human?
That's a self-evident thing to say, but it's worth repeating, because there's this odd implicit notion sometimes that you train on some cost function, and then, poof, "intelligence", as if that was a mysterious other thing. Really, intelligence is minimizing a complex cost function. The leadership of the big AI companies sometimes imply something else when they talk of "generalization". But there is no mechanism to generate a model with capabilities beyond what is useful to minimize a specific cost function.
You can view the progress of AI as progress in coming up with smarter cost functions: Cleaner, larger datasets, pretraining, RLHF, RLVR.
Notably, exciting early progress in AI came in places where simple cost functions generate rich behavior (Chess, Go).
The recent impressive advances in AI are similar. Mathematics and coding are extremely structured, and properties of a coding or maths result can be verified using automatic techniques. You can set up a RLVR "game" for maths and coding. It thus seems very likely to me that this is where the big advances are going to come from in the short term.
However, it does not follow that maths ability on par with expert mathematicians will lead to superiority over human cognitive ability broadly. A lot of what humans do has social rewards which are not verifiable, or includes genuine Knightian uncertainty where a reward function can not be built without actually operating independently in the world.
To be clear, none of the above is supposed to talk down past or future progress in AI; I'm just trying to be more nuanced about where I believe progress can be fast and where it's bound to be slower.