supperburg

I am Elon fanboy number 987689. I’m a major in the Elon fanboy army, bootlicker division. I’m a mindless idiot who has no thoughts of his own. I am here to report to you from the scripted list of thoughts I am allowed to have from Tesla HQ. According to the Tesla chip in my brain, a real driver who drove as many miles as FSD would probably have many accidents too given the miles. FSD isn’t one driver because it’s constantly changing and updating, and not appreciating this is why people get it wrong so often — FSD of just a few months ago was night and day different and much worse. For each twitter video of FSD making a mistake there are 1000 videos of it demonstrating the fact that it is bar none the most advanced self driving system in the world by a mile. It’s just a fact and readily apparent if you simply watch the videos of the various systems. As long as your hand is kept on the wheel then FSD seems to be very safe even in the event of an intervention, most twitter videos they are doing it wrong frankly. It’s a fact that if they decide to destroy FSD with regulation that it will be a massive setback to self driving and also one of the coolest projects in the world right now. I would rather they didn’t.

I’m on the spectrum you fool

Maybe you should concentrate on whether or not it’s true instead?

Software has a better UI/UX. Software has matured and conformed to the market. The market is full of dumb people who care about UI/UX and nothing else.

This is literal conspiracy theory drivel. When you get older you realize most rich people are insanely smart, the average person has a very poor aptitude for recognizing exceptional people and that the entire world is made up of independent entities all working for their own ends — nobody is in control and nobody has enough power to ensure their own existence beyond next week. Also, so-called billionaires could spend everything they have building a few bridges. They aren’t really as rich as people like to think.

Do you have a degree in history? How many history books have you read cover to cover?

A meager 8%. You have betrayed your total ignorance when it comes to anything having to do with money. You have no idea what you’re talking about. The only investment that will give you 8% is an extremely risky one and that’s not an appropriate vehicle for a billion dollars. And you say this in the world wide environment of negative interest rates…

The reason not many rich people lose their money is because becoming rich is hard and you have to be smart to do it. You don’t have to be good or moral but you have to be smart. Even then there’s a ton of washout among new millionaires. But you don’t get to a billion by accident. Look at all the people who make tons of money through some other means than intelligence — lottery winners and football players — they all lose their money even if it’s millions. Sorry bud, the system isn’t rigged. Life is just hard.

I lived in Davis. Have you ever even been to Davis? They are building gigantic monoliths of apartment buildings everywhere you look. Maybe check your sources again.

They’ve been building tons of apartments in Davis. Tons. I’m afraid of oversupply if the college becomes less popular.

Yes absolutely. But do you admit that when the other guy is more than an order of magnitude wrong (4%), that’s he is spreading bullshit even more than I was? And do you admit that nobody seems to call him out like they ought to? Maybe he would offer a swift correction like me and restore his honor and the whole situation could be better that way.

I went back and checked. 0.2 overall 0.05 for most people under 70 or 60. Based on pre-vaccine serology test with a follow up on death. False positive rate of 0.05% percent. So not 1% and definitely not 4%. Can you blame me for being mad when I see guys saying 4%? It’s misinformation according to science and Stanford professors of medicine.

Excess deaths != Covid deaths.

I listened to the podcast again and he said he conducted serology studies pre-vaccine that indicate an overall lethality of 0.2% but 0.05% for everyone who isn’t 70 years old or whatever. That’s detection of antibodies with 0.05% false positive rate and then a follow up on death early on in the pandemic.

So one might point out that I changed my number from 0.02 to 0.2 and this is true. But what’s also true is that there’s a huge difference between 4% and 0.2%. And I was right to point out that 1-4% is bullshit. I feel mad because I remember hearing the 0.2% number all the way back at the start of the pandemic but everyone shouted it down. And here we are and it was right after all…

He seemed to have plenty of hard science to cite in his hours long conversation with lex fridman, MIT alum and lecturer. It’s available for anyone to watch. If later on it becomes clear I was spreading wrong information then I’ll own up to it.

I’ve told you who he is. What do you think?

So nobody should write OSS because you can’t complain about the fact that you chose to make it free. And nobody should use OSS because they can’t complain when the software is broken. I think this says a lot about open source software.

This is the most fascinating comment in HN history

Jay Bhattacharya is a professor of medicine at Stanford University

That’s from sep 2020. I think professor Bhattacharya is aware of the numbers.

"Jay Bhattacharya is a professor of medicine at Stanford University

I don’t need to show you, go listen to the Stanford professor. Lex Fridman podcast in the past week or two. Am I an idiot for believing a current Stanford professor? Is it not a reputable source?

The Stanford professor who I saw on a recent lex Friedman podcast confirmed what many people already suspected: the death count is exaggerated because the criteria for a Covid death is that a person is dead and also tests positive for Covid regardless of how the person really died. And also that cases were massively undercounted because of the fact that many people never have symptoms bad enough to justify any concern, testing or a hospital visit. That’s what he’s asserting and it’s true.

He said when you sample randomly and follow positive testers to their conclusion, the lethality rate is something like 0.02%. I’m sorry that it upsets you to hear something you don’t already agree with

So wrong. “If” sars1/2 had gone pandemic. The reason they didn’t is because they don’t make you infectious in an asymptomatic way like cov19. It wasn’t an “if.” They never will. And also, covid 19 is not 1 to 4 percent lethal. It’s more like 0.02 percent lethal. A Stanford professor said so.

But he could have said we were lucky to not have gotten hit by a different virus that kills 80% and travels asymptomatically. The real nightmare virus. It’s totally possible.

Maybe not exactly relevant but I’m early 30s and Ive had breakout schizoaffective disorder for a year. It’s bipolar disorder and schizophrenia at the same time. And I have almost come to the point where I can’t live with it anymore in the past few weeks because the symptoms evolve over time. I just wanted to leave this here in case I do die soon. The hardest symptoms to deal with are the depression and anxiety. But the depression I have experienced is absolutely black. I thought I knew what depression was before but I didn’t know and I think very few people do know. It is difficult just to look at an object because there’s nothing in the object. Usually there are emotions and implications and ideas but you don’t know there can be nothing until you experience nothing. And that is such a huge lesson is that you are experiencing intense emotions all the time but you just don’t realize it until they are gone. When you sit back on the couch and have a feeling like you want to continue to exist, this is actually an intense form of contentment because it’s absence is an intense form of depression/anxiety. I am now to see these things clearly now because due to the nature of my disease the depression/anxiety come and go full force many times per day. And this is the ultimate lesson that I want to spread: nothing is depressing or sad. There is a dial in the brain that makes you content or depressed and the position of this dial is purely and completely independent of everything else including the circumstances of your life. There is a correlation between your circumstances and your mood but my point is that I know this absolutely to be true: if you could just stick that dial to contentment then everything would be awesome and it wouldn’t impair your ability to live your life fully or grieve properly or whatever. People think that depression is a necessary part of life. This is completely wrong and you could never know it unless you have experienced the literal insanity that I have experienced

I saw something getting shot today in downtown SF where a ton of extras were all walking down the street wearing VR headsets. Anyone know what that was?

“Protocol changes more slowly than a platform” is really the crux of the entire issue here but not stated as such. The key advantage of centralized services is that they are fast, coordinated, more intelligent and also easier to love than a mob. The only things that a mob will ever do are things that don’t require you to be smart, coordinated or fast. It’s great for some things but here’s the catch: nobody is going to invest money into a mob because there’s no leader and no way to be confident about your investment. People are going to gush to their friends about “that mob” the same way they might have with Instagram.

we’ve just spent an enormous amount of time and money learning the very simple and obvious fact that in order to have nice things we must have smart, honorable men around who can lead our society to victory at the helm of these centralized businesses. They think if they fiddle around with decentralized stuff enough they can eliminate the need for exceptional business leaders.

I love titanic: honor and glory. The people who are working on it are really cool and their livestreams are great. They really are truly passionate about this project and it comes through in the incredible level of detail they’ve achieved. Their ultimate goal is to use the model as the basis for a video game as well.

If you want the ultimate model building experience they just came out with an enormous kit model of the titanic. It’s like 4 feet long or something. And the model company actually worked with these guys to ensure accuracy.

Do you think white immigrants from the US/Canada would have similar problems?

I remember when bitcoin first became super mainstream popular in 2016ish. I had read the shatoshi white paper in 2011 so I already understood exactly what bitcoin was and the implications of it. And I will never forget in 2016 seeing the sky go black with a plague of misinformation. It’s really striking because after the plague had descended, I saw that it would have been very very difficult for a younger person to find a straightforward answer to what exactly bitcoin was. And the average joe? Literally every person seemed to have their own explanation of what bitcoin was, all equally wrong. With web3 there doesn’t even seem to be a white paper.

How? Browsers need to die. Move all Js to apps and have browsers just display images/video/text in the way that we have found applies to 99% of modern use cases. The only reason Js existed was to afford more flexibility in the time that we didn’t know yet how the web would be used. Move all the code into apps where sandboxing/reputation can handle the security issues more effectively than Js.

Yeah and nobody mentions that our hospitals were already stretched to their limit before Covid because they are for-profit corporations. They should have had capacity for a pandemic because everyone knew there would be one. It’s poor planning, not Covid. They will add capacity and then what will your argument be?