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stnikolauswagne

253 karma · joined June 24, 2021

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stnikolauswagne··on California bans child marriage, a practice still legal in 32 US states
This would be Romania, specifically shortly before and during the fall of communism, there were all kinds of weird incentives in place to encourage the birth rate, for example military engineers (like my FIL) where able to get out of deployment to rural infrastructure projects if they had a (pregnant) wife or a newborn. So a good chunk of his unit had children in a span of give or take 4 months, which coincidentally was about a year after an upcoming deployment to build a dam in a godforsaken area of the country was announced.
stnikolauswagne··on California bans child marriage, a practice still legal in 32 US states
In my mind age and this shift in focus are at least somewhat linked. 23 year old me would be pissed at 30 year old me for not moving to a FAANG company and instead focus on marriage, those 7 years did teach me a lot of important things about myself and the world.

My Wife comes from a country where getting married and having kids before the age of 20 was very much the norm at the time, which led to a lot of people having children at a time where they were not ready for that responsibility.

stnikolauswagne··on California bans child marriage, a practice still legal in 32 US states
At least for me it did, 10 years ago I was in the first year of my career so all I wanted was to climb, with no regard of what bridges need burning to make that happen. I'm now at a stage where I have is less to prove so those toxic traits have faded.

My Wifes parents on the other hand might not have grown up but on the other hand they would have divorced way sooner without a child forcing them to stay together

stnikolauswagne··on California bans child marriage, a practice still legal in 32 US states
33 year old with a kid due in a few months time:

I would not want 23 year old me raising a child, I was way too status and money obsessed then and could not provide my son with the model of what I personally deem a good man.

My wife had (too) young parents and it left lasting damage, they dragged her into interpersonal spats and their worries about money before she had the tools to properly process it.

stnikolauswagne··on [dead]
I've rarely been this disappointed by an article. This stuff (process integration into ERPs for specialized ECommerce operations) is 90% of my career, yet I dont really know if I can extract anything from this article.

Surely the (human) author has plenty of in-depth experience with exactly this topic, but without knowing how much of what is in there was cobbled together by the platitudes about the topic from the AI training data its impossible for me to challenge my own biases.

For example my instinct has always been that letting a customer get to a checkout without a sanity check for stock values creates more long-term issues than post-checkout checks solve. This article uses post-checkout checks as a given. It also seems to imply writing orders directly into ERP from the Plattform instead of having an on-platform storage of the order that then gets synced into the ERP. How much of this is the authors real experience in the business versus an AIs assumption of how this process works.

stnikolauswagne··on Domestic cats kill 1.3–4.0B birds and 6.3–22.3B mammals annually
The human equivalent is poaching/hunting without a permit, which humans are not allowed. It's not like we can issue permits to cats and make them follow it.

Cats also routinely go into other peoples houses and either get themselves stuck or hunt rats/mice there, also something that humans generally are not allowed to do.

stnikolauswagne··on Domestic cats kill 1.3–4.0B birds and 6.3–22.3B mammals annually
An extreme example would be Maos Great Leap Forward, where there was a human-led drive to exterminate sparrows as part of pest control, which in turn led to famines because sparrows also served as pest control for insects.

Humans are very good at introducing invasive species (domestic cat, kudzu) and pretty bad at forseeing the impact they have

stnikolauswagne··on Domestic cats kill 1.3–4.0B birds and 6.3–22.3B mammals annually
Mhh, intriguing.

I would also say they would at least need to be neutered in that case so they dont reproduce with the feral population, but from a predatory perspective that would probably be fine then.

I would still not let our cats go out, my wife is pregnant so toxoplasmosis is very scary and bell or not we would be terrified of them getting lost or getting run over by a car or worse.

stnikolauswagne··on Domestic cats kill 1.3–4.0B birds and 6.3–22.3B mammals annually
>I wonder also whether there's something about towns/cities that makes birds flourish, compared to other wild animals.

I would assume it has got do with the reason pigeons are sometimes called "flying rats", i.e. they can subsist on human trash, can survive in the environment and are not seen as negatively as rats and thus have less pest-control efforts pointed at them.

stnikolauswagne··on Domestic cats kill 1.3–4.0B birds and 6.3–22.3B mammals annually
I have read both the sentence and the abstract carefully, one of the other big antropogenic factors is "building colissions" which by itself is over one billion bird deaths.
stnikolauswagne··on Domestic cats kill 1.3–4.0B birds and 6.3–22.3B mammals annually
As a cat lover this only strengthens my opinion that they should stay inside the house, humans cause enough damage to the ecosystem without needlessly unleashing pretty efficient predators for no gain.
stnikolauswagne··on Domestic cats kill 1.3–4.0B birds and 6.3–22.3B mammals annually
The paper is about the species of "domestic cats", which includes feral cats, strays, etc, with unowned cats making up the majority of the kills as compared to owned cats/pets
stnikolauswagne··on Domestic cats kill 1.3–4.0B birds and 6.3–22.3B mammals annually
From the abstract:

Our findings suggest that free-ranging cats cause substantially greater wildlife mortality than previously thought and are likely the single greatest source of anthropogenic mortality for US birds and mammals.

I.e. cats might kill more birds and mammals than humans.

stnikolauswagne··on Stripe said to abandon $50B pursuit of PayPal
Pray its not a fax.
stnikolauswagne··on Stripe said to abandon $50B pursuit of PayPal
But again, I am not talking about myself, im talking about the hyptothetical person who might not be the perfect customer. My in-laws have had their gas cut more than once because of non-payments, or were only allowed to keep the gas running because they told them "we will wire you the last 3 unpaid invoices at once on day x".

For me to personally end up in this situation the bank would need to somehow SEPA out like 2 years worth of mortgages at once in a short timeframe, which is not a realistic scenario.

stnikolauswagne··on Stripe said to abandon $50B pursuit of PayPal
The issue is more "I checked my account yesterday, I have 600€ on there, so I know the 150€ utilities bill due today is not an issue" and then a weird withdrawal happens and all of a sudden the utilities payment bounces. Even if i get the money back instantly once I notice it theres still the issue that now I have to deal with a bounced payment to a utilities provider.
stnikolauswagne··on Stripe said to abandon $50B pursuit of PayPal
I am not worried about the money staying gone forever and I have ample cash reserves, but I can imagine that someone who might have to worry about a bouncing rent wire or electricity bill would be more worried about their safety cushion potentially being gone until they get it fixed with their bank.
stnikolauswagne··on Stripe said to abandon $50B pursuit of PayPal
My wife recently filled out a SEPA-Lastschriftmandat for an account in my name and all she needed was my name, IBAN address and a signature. Name and Address is semi-public and signatures can be faked. I'm no financial criminal but I would be shocked if there was no attack vector that gets enabled from knowing an IBAN and a name.
stnikolauswagne··on How Europe is killing makers and micro-entrepreneurs
Thank you, I see my disconnect now, in my mind "the problem" was that there are no easily useable registries for other countries, when in fact "the problem" is that the regulation itself should have been looked at harder and probably be changed now that the neccesary public outcry is here.

In that case I'm pretty happy with the situation, our industry rep got in touch with the commission and they were receptive and provided guidance relatively quickly. Really not fair to blame on EU, if my local trade board can bug us about the placement of fire extinguishers they could also bug us about giving an input into industry-affecting legislation.

stnikolauswagne··on How Europe is killing makers and micro-entrepreneurs
Trying to be good faith here:

It was decided that the registration is left to the individual countries (which I personally agree with, at least I think I do). Now the deadline has come and passed and some of the individual countries have not provided easy ways of registering. At what point should which entity done what?

Should I as a SMB been keeping track of the registries for the individual countries and lobbied my government to apply pressure to the other governments to set up the registrations?

Should my representative have lobbied harder to take control away from the individual countries in the union so this issue could not arise? (Should I have done so as an SMB even though I on a personal level agree with the individual registries?)

Because, again, right now we have a law on the books with relatively harsh punishments but nonexistent enforcement, this benefits no one.

stnikolauswagne··on How Europe is killing makers and micro-entrepreneurs
Im about as Pro EU as they come, but the problem is that lobying local governments does not help in this case. Im from Germany, we have no issues getting registration in Germany done, however when we looked into it there was quite frankly no way of getting for example the polish registration done.

As citizen of Germany I cannot really lobby the local polish government, so we are basically barred from that market by EU Regulations.

We are now in some sort of weird limbo where there is some weird language from the EU comission that they discourage punishment until some issues are ironed out so a good portion of our market segment just ignores the rules.

stnikolauswagne··on Apple announces changes for apps in the European Union
There is a big difference between fighting to keep their walled garden in IOS alive and nuking the entire developer ecosystem that they have built on macos.
stnikolauswagne··on On AI regulation and messaging
Honestly not super sure if that is more of a risk than it was pre-llm.

As part of the aquisition I got access to their previous codebase which was some sort of incomprehensible PHP monolith, with the persons who wrote that code long gone. Thanks to LLMs I was actually able to extract the core useful concepts (again, sufficiently deep domain knowledge that I knew exactly what to look for). Without LLMs i would have probably extracted the absolute minimum and let the rest rot.

There is no reason a dev of comparable skill and domain knowledge would not be able to do that for what I built here.

stnikolauswagne··on On A.I. regulation and messaging
Yeah, thats why I meant I was in a spherical cow-situation, this was a situation where we took over a company in the exact same field and I had 5 years of experience on which tweaks would need to be made to be able to rationalise away positions.

This sort of system only works with internal software and an unusual amount of data. If we were in the business of selling that software we could not have charged a higher price for the new version over the old, the tweak could only be unlocked because we were able to control staff hiring and staff onboarding fully to make use of the new changes.

stnikolauswagne··on On AI regulation and messaging
Can only speak for my own project, but can give an example:

After an aquisition earlier this year I got the task of doing an SAP-Integration for the new company, last time I did this 5 years ago it was a 6 month task, but with the experience and skills ive gained since I estimated it would be a 3 month project (with or without AI, most work is just logistics, AI cant help much there).

In those 3 months I was able to not only integrate SAP but also deliver a completely modernised user-facing software for that integration. While I could have written that software myself in a vacuum it would have never been worth it financially, since it would have delayed the launch of the integration by 6+ months. Building the software post-launch of the integration would have easily taken 2.5 years at minimum.

But this is also basically a "spherical cow in a vacuum" scenario, where I was essentially acting as a solo dev, in full operational control of the project, with deep domain knowledge of the topic and an allready fully set up codebase that I knew perfectly while working down ideas I've had in my backlog for 5+ years.

stnikolauswagne··on The AI trade now runs on borrowed money, and the lenders are repricing it
I'd argue that data in this case is more like the actual models they use, their codebase and their engineering talent. Not deep enough in the sauce to say one way or another how big the realistic delta between companies is though.
stnikolauswagne··on The AI trade now runs on borrowed money, and the lenders are repricing it
For how long though? If Amazon never built AWS the core business conceivably would still be around today, if Anthropic stopped providing new models two years ago no one would care about them now.
stnikolauswagne··on The AI trade now runs on borrowed money, and the lenders are repricing it
I agree with the general sentiment, but I feel like it is also a bit reductive. Assets in this space are near impossible to evaluate and can fluctuate in value greatly based on other actors. In a hypothetical scenario where, say, google releases a new frontier model that somehow leapfrogs the competition by 5 months all of a sudden the value of the Asset of Fable 5 and GPT 5.6 might completely crater.
stnikolauswagne··on US citizen charged after GrapheneOS phone wipes during airport search
> However, there is zero legal duty for the police to protect someone who is currently under attack from a criminal.

That has to be incorrect, by the time someone is under actual attack from a criminal that criminal will have allready comitted crimes that the police can and have to punish for, i.e. Threat of Force with a Lethal weapon or sth like that.

stnikolauswagne··on Why skilled workers come to Germany and then leave again
I speak german as a mothertongue and fluent english, and I had massive troubles communicating in my own home.
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