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stevep98

508 karma · joined May 11, 2011

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stevep98··on Plunging test scores are a slow-moving catastrophe
Is it the case that those that want to learn, will learn at a hugely increased rate, and those that don’t, will not learn anything.

I used to hate history class in high school. The teacher was crap, the subject matter (basically kings and queens of England in the 1200-1700 era. We didn’t even cover ww2 in high school which was amazing to me.

Having access to YouTube, and endless access to whatever angle of history I want, I can’t deep dive to whatever I want.

YouTube, and AI chatbots totally enthrall me and I as an old adult am learning so much more than I was as a child, and its because I want to.

stevep98··on 507 Mechanical Movements
This guy has quite a lot of videos of various mechanisms if you’re into that sort of thing

https://youtube.com/@thang010146?si=b91XElCL_-TgGMte

stevep98··on Gemini Robotics 2 brings whole body intelligence to robots
Totally agree with you on ‘putting stuff away’. Much of the mental effort is trying to organize stuff so it takes space efficiently, and be easy to find it when I need it. If a robot put it away, I don’t really care where. I can just ask it where it is.
stevep98··on SpaceX wants to launch 100k more Starlink satellites for 100x the bandwidth
Global cellular operator revenue is approx $1T. They have put their toe in the water with direct-to-cellular support for starlink, and have bought spectrum to improve this. I'm sure they basically want to offer cellular to everyone in the world and get a good chunk of that $1T. Maybe they want 20% of it? Sounds crazy, but China Mobile, Verizon, and Deutsche Telecom each have 10%. Sounds it's not so wild that they can grab a big chunk, especially if they can find new customers that are not already connected.

And of course they can also continue to grow their broadband internet access business.

I suppose they will likely start putting cameras and other data sensors on the satellites so they can sell other data for mapping, positioning services, agriculture, weather, etc. The incremental cost to add this to the platform will be almost nothing compared to existing systems.

stevep98··on Printing Gaussian Splats
Once in a while I get inspired by a post on HN, but I know I don't have the energy to follow it through. Here's my idea for anyone who thinks they can do something with it:

Imagine you are holding in your hand a small glassy sphere. Initially it looks like random dots inside, but as you play with it in your hands, you get glimpses of images of loved ones.

To implement this, select a bunch of photos of people, generate pseudo-3d models of their faces with your AI of choice. Position them around a sphere in a 3D modelling software, and generate a whole bunch of renderings all around the scene. Now, feed those renderings into gaussian splat software.

The resulting 3D gaussian splat should include relatively high fidelity when the viewer is aligned with the supplied iamges, but more stochastic nonsense when misaligned. This should contribute to the feeling of being able to 'find' images while rotating the sphere around.

stevep98··on Nobody cracks open a programming book anymore
This seems like a good opportunity to share my recent photos from a bookstore in Tokyo… just a crazy number of computer books. Mostly in Japanese language.

https://imgur.com/a/Kygj5IM

Many of those are not programming books, but they do seem to be recently published, I wish my Japanese was better.

stevep98··on Gaussian Splat of a Strawberry
They remind me a lot of the 'memories' scene in Minority Report:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=arTIRgdEb1g

stevep98··on The Los Angeles Aqueduct Is Wild
The Los Angeles Aqueduct delivers water to LA.

The California Aqueduct is used for farmland in the central valley.

Two different things.

stevep98··on Data centers in space makes no sense
Surely, the question is: how big do the radiators have to be?

gemini says that the NVIDIA DGX H100 is 130kg and takes 11kW.

It says space-based radiators in the 100kW range are approx 15kg per kW. And space-based solar panels are approx 1kg per kW.

So let's says we're talking about 1 system that bundles 9 DGX H100's. That's 1.2T for the computing system, 1.5T for the radiator, 100kg for the solar panels, and let's say 2T for the propulsion, propellant, guidance, and all the other spacecraft stuff. That's a total of about 5T, and the radiator is just about 20% of the mass budget.

The power radiated is proportional to the 4th power of the temperature, so they would be incentivized to develop a heat exchanger with a high temperature working fluid.

stevep98··on Apple releases open-source model that instantly turns 2D photos into 3D views
It will be used for spatial content, for viewing in Apple Vision Pro headset.

In fact you can already turn any photo into spatial content. I’m not sure if it’s using this algorithm or something else.

It’s nice to view holiday photos with spatial view … it feels like you’re there again. Same with looking at photos of deceased friends and family.

stevep98··on There Are No New Ideas in AI Only New Datasets
> Access old ideas? Yes. With new perspectives?

I wonder if we can mine patent databases for old ideas that never worked out in the past, but now are more useful. Perhaps due to modern machining or newer materials or just new applications of the idea.

stevep98··on The truth about soft plastic recycling points at supermarkets
Trex makes composite decking planks from recycled shopping bags. Seems like a perfect use for the material. Its durable. It doesn’t have to be sterile or pure. Apparently 100,000 bags will go into a typical deck.

https://nextrex.com/

Having said that I don’t see what’s wrong with incineration if it’s done correctly. It’s not open pit burning, with waste gases going into the environment. It’s high temperature, with additional gas and oxygen to promote more complete burning. And waste gases are filtered.

stevep98··on EPA Launches Biggest Deregulatory Action in U.S. History
They just a hyphen. The motto used to be pollution-free for all!
stevep98··on A rare alignment of 7 planets is about to take place
I don't get why everyone keeps talking about the planets aligning. All the planets are pretty much in the same plane. So if you are on one of the planets, all of the others will always be in a line.

edit: to those downvoting me, can you explain why?

stevep98··on The solar industrial revolution is the biggest investment opportunity in history
Methane derived from co2 and h2o with solar energy is not a fossil fuel. Methane from the ground is a fossil fuel. Casey is going after industry that has a lot of inertia behind methane with a non fossil derived methane.
stevep98··on The problem with invariants is that they change over time
Osborn’s Law: Variables won’t; constants aren’t.
stevep98··on Australian lab-grown meat cultured from quail cells hits the market in Singapore
I see they are going for the high-end market. Seems the right path to me, for now, since they can charge high prices for foie gras without the guilt.

We eat beef, chicken, pork, and lamb, because they taste good, and are cheap to make because we can domesticate the animals.

What if exotic meats taste better, but we can't eat them because the animals are endangered, or dangerous, or undomesticable. Maybe lion, rhino, elephant, koala, meats etc taste really good. Growing these meats in the lab eliminates* these ethical problems.

Or what if they taste good, but they are too tough? Again, cultured meat process can interleave layers of fats to break up the muscle. Another win.

Just look at the nuance between the difference in taste between lamb and beef. There's so much difference, and I see so much potential here to explore different flavors.

* or maybe just exacerbates poaching, if it's cheaper to poach than grown in lab :/

stevep98··on The Empire Strikes Back First Draft by Leigh Brackett (1978) [pdf]
But the "I am your father" wasn't in the shooting script anyway. The script said "Obi-Wan killed your father", and it was changed to "I am your father when James Earl Jones" said the line for the voice of Vader. Maybe it is that way in subsequent published scripts but not the original.
stevep98··on Large amounts of carbon capture as a solution is an 'illusion'
Cool worlds has a great new video discussing the difficulties with carbon capture.

https://youtu.be/EBN9JeX3iDs?si=fwkVomJUsw2_4Oa9

stevep98··on Starship will attempt a launch this Friday
Everyday astronaut has a video discussing the layout of the area and which parts are closed during launch.

https://youtu.be/aWvHrih-Juk?si=rXff0jL4ln3CY14_

stevep98··on FAA closes SpaceX Starship mishap investigation
Also current generation rockets burn up in the atmosphere. Starship will be fully reusable! Surely they want that!?
stevep98··on The Boring Company will dig a 68-mile tunnel network under Las Vegas
It’s a limited system at the moment because it’s just goes from the convention center to one hotel. They just don’t have the riders at the moment
stevep98··on Real-time monitoring of aerosols generated from toilet flushing
Home toilets have the front section
stevep98··on IKEA Redesigns Its Bestsellers
I've had my current Ikea Jerker desk for >15 years. Nice metal frame, and large, durable work surface. Also discontinued a long time ago.
stevep98··on NASA’s New Vasimr Plasma Engine Could Reach Mars in Less Than 6 Weeks
The smaller nuclear reactors used on submarines and aircraft carriers would be of the appropriate size, but they generate electricity using steam turbines. I don't think that would be workable in space. You'd need massive radiators to radiate away a lot of that heat to recondense the steam.

If you're generating that much heat, then you're probably better off using the nuclear reactor to directly heat the propellant.

Joe Scott has a new video up about Nuclear propulsion: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=K5UU0GA5GAU

stevep98··on Why Not Mars
If a single mission to mars cost $100b, then I would agree with the article that it would probably not be worth it.

SpaceX is focused on reducing the cost, and no matter what you think of Elon, you have to agree that spacex focus on reusability in the falcon 9 has reduced their cost of access to space

The problem is that reducing spacex’s cost doesn’t reduce the customer’s cost… until there are competitors that can push the price down.

The focus on starship ultimately will reduce costs an order of magnitude again, and will permit vast payloads to mars.

Why does this matter? Because much of the cost of engineering of space missions is in custom making things to be light, power efficient and reliable.

If you can take more mass into space for less cost, you can add more solar panels into your design, make things more rugged, use off-the-shelf materials and you can double or triple the quantity for redundancy. Not only the launch costs go down, but all the associated engineering.

stevep98··on We need more water than rain can provide: refilling rivers with desalination
You’d recover some of the energy as it passes through the Hoover dam. In fact this proposal has the side benefit of storing energy from solar.
stevep98··on CPSC calls for full recall of all Onewheel self-balancing electric skateboards
I think I ran into this "can't supply enough power" state last week. I was coming to the end of my ride, battery was around 15%. I was trying to slow down for a light that was turning red. I just couldn't make it slow down, and ended up hanging a right turn at 8mph then continued to speed up until 19mph. (in the mode I ride in, it's supposed to be limited to 12mph). It was terrifying. I was actively trying my best to slow down the entire time, but the board was going fast. After 15 or so seconds of this I bailed and walked away with a bit of road rash.

Totally different scenario from the CPSC complaint. But, yes, another way these machines are dangerous.

stevep98··on California to discontinue plastic grocery bags
They used these thicker bags 20+ years ago, then went to the thin ones. Now we all figured out how useless those thin ones are. And we’re back to the thick ones.

It’s quite shocking visiting a place with no bag restrictions like Florida or Nevada, where they just automatically bag even the simplest purchase of tictacs.

stevep98··on Ask HN: How many of you believe in Bitcoin and why?
I agree with the digital gold analogy. The value of bitcoin and other blockchain currencies is solving the double-spending problem online.

Gold and paper money solves it in the physical world. Gold because it’s dense and easy to check for forgeries (although gold is not used everyday now, is it). Paper money obviously has counterfeiting and serial numbers. But neither of these can be exchanged online.

If we agree that blockchain currencies are a way to exchange value online, then the question is: are they better than credit cards and banks?

Right now, it’s not clear to me that they are, because of the emissions from mining, and the relatively slow transaction rate. Time will tell if the digital currencies will scale better than they are now.

By the way, when comparing emissions of digital currencies with banks, do analysts include the physical bank infrastructure, such as all the bank’s retail branches, and associated employees and other overhead?

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