516 karma · joined June 22, 2023
the biggest limiting factors for AI labs scaling are silicon, then electricity. they are acutely aware of this
they want to build more power of any kind, ideally renewables. but the past decade has shown time and again that they can't build enough by any means
transmission via HVDC is extremely difficult to build due to land permitting and right of way laws
grid interconnections take 5+ years just to get approved, let alone built
only 2 nuclear power plants have been built since 1978, each taking over 10 years
1/ deploying solar takes years to go through multiple layers of environmental review at municipal, state and federal levels
2/ the generator interconnection queue takes 5+ years just to permit new grid connections
3/ building new HVDC has been blocked by permits and right of way laws, which is another barrier to effective solar deployment
4/ there are only two commercial nuclear reactors built in America since 1978, and they each took 10+ years to build
test Codex, not Sol. test Claude code, not Opus
Computers and technology are force multipliers for humanity. As coders, we are lucky to be gifted with such high agency and global reach, all at a fairly affordable price tag.
I love computers.
the issues mainly come from sprawling enterprise infrastructure, running thousands of random endpoints across software nobody cared to write carefully
there is already a h100 in orbit
1GW of compute is a lot in 2026. comparing 100GW of annual compute to SpaceX 2026 goals does not make sense
if Starship launch cost predictions are accurate, data centers in space will happen within 10 years
for the $25 video it was $4.27 (Sol) vs $16.99 (Fable)
this seems like an interesting benchmark of a complex task, even if the output has little artistic merit. the efficiency of Sol is impressive
while I am skeptical that this is happening atm, there are probably many industries where the risk does not seem worthwhile
you didn't re-invent it, you learned it from a teacher and then practiced until you understood it to the required degree
I think in most cases, understanding is the point. we don't expect students to derive general relativity before doing astrophysics. re-invention is only a tool for understanding
many children have an unlimited capacity to ask "why?". many adults are the same
if the abilities of AI are finite, then we will continue to have burning curiosity, questions to ask, and discoveries to make
AI doesn't stop creative people from creating. it gives creative people an additional tool with which to create
I like the idea that we can teach children to feel inspiration instead of intimidation when learning how things work