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shubb

2,411 karma · joined March 14, 2013

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shubb··on What happens if an entire class of workers loses faith in their careers
On the face of it, product management and service management are the big duty donors.

Project managers and real executives manage a budget in dollars, not man days or tokens. Historically businesses are pretty reluctant to devolve that. I don’t think a big corp vibe coder is going to be able to pull out a company credit card and buy a marketing campaign any time soon.

So you have those other 2, managing product market fit and availability.

One person startup you do everything I guess

shubb··on The Safari MCP server for web developers
A lot of folks want to run tests off a GitHub action I.e. on a server somewhere. Ideally you want your test stack to fit in a docker image. So this does suck for developers in the respect and you could imagine apple releasing a special docker image that just ran safari if they wanted to really make it easy to develop for thier platform.

However, I imagine someone will fill a server rack with cheap old macs and offer and safari mcp as a service…

shubb··on US AI stock sell-off shakes markets from Wall Street to Asia
There are pre-ipo tokens, which are a bet on the price at ipo and proved accurate fit SpaceX (lots of caveats here). Anyway we can see it as a prediction market where the price may have information because insiders can trade without SEC oversight or something?

OpenAI and anthropic tokens are down 30% in the start of the month but flat on the week, possibly meaning that market front ran this sell off, possibly not.

shubb··on Is America's jobs market nearing a cliff?
Are we post peak?

Everyone is worried about AI for good reason but if he's the promise is true then we see significant productivity improvements.

The pie might be shared out worse than even today but there would be more pie.

We are in a period of deglobalisation, but also a period of reorganisation. Today's supply chain is less efficient than 2021s. We are materially poorer as a result. But after the dust settles, it will be a lot more efficient than it is right now. Even with no ai.

Potentially we are in a dip. Stuff for worse, but it can get better.

shubb··on Is America's jobs market nearing a cliff?
Net worth is a funny metric.

Joe has a 300k house with 100k equity and 200k mortgage. He has 100k in stocks in a 401k. Net worth negative 100k.

Pete has $300 in his cheques account, and isn't eligible for loans or mortgage. Net worth positive $300

Obviously Joe is richer than Pete though.

shubb··on Ask HN: What are some modern technologies that you refuse to adopt?
Take a Damm Small Linux. Package manager (apt) optional.

I do think a lot of what you are rejecting (automatic updates, centralised package signing, permissions) are solutions to security problems that you might actually have.

shubb··on My Tesla Robotaxi "safety" driver fell asleep
Something to be said for requiring the human to do something related like press go every time the vehicle starts from a complete stop, or annotate "threats" detected in the 3d view.

This is a safety problem that needs solving. Just detecting when they sleep isn't a good solution.

shubb··on Paris had a moving sidewalk in 1900, and a Thomas Edison film captured it (2020)
I think citymapper tried to execu this as a pivot. They had an idea to do it in London and other countries and did trial it for a while. Not sure why it (presumably) failed.

I'd note that startup money of the is much harder to get in London, so a US startup might be able to force the idea from experiment to profitability.

shubb··on More big companies bet they can still grow without hiring
We live in a very complex system, beyond any one persons comprehension. Some people think devolved decision making allocating resources to things like, advertising better, is the most efficient way of allocating resources. The invisible hand. How much is bullshit and how much is just beyond your awareness? If you were king and allocating so the work, would it be better? For who? I'm doubtful about bullshit jobs.
shubb··on We do not have sufficient links to the UK for Online Safety Act to be applicable
Seems like ofcom picked thier targets to create precedent fur using ISP blocks against non compliant companies.

Case law is important in the UK because laws are vaguely written and thier specifics are established in court.

By going after entities that can't comply and don't have a big legal budget like 4chan, they can go through the motions and establish that ISP level blocks against non complying companies are okay.

They can then hit progressively more difficult targets until they get to X and tiktok.

shubb··on Benjie's Humanoid Olympic Games
I think it needs a water gun. If the diaper was a spray on layered rubber, like a sponge then an impermeable layer, and then you sprayed a solvent to clear the old diaper and poop and then spray on a new one. You'd just need to slot them into styrups briefly or some socks on strings to move the legs into a good position.

But can this be done with baby skin and lung safe chemicals at a reasonable temperature?

Point being humanoid designs for robots that manipulate objects designed for humans are an artificially hard problem we have decided to fail at solving.

shubb··on Laptops create systems. Phones feed algorithms. The asymmetry determines power
Sorry, typo, I meant to ask 'what'. Agree there are tropes in llm outputs, specific and strangely not specific to a vendor. Very useful for recognising generated content. I was hoping you were aware of a good article to find more in.
shubb··on Laptops create systems. Phones feed algorithms. The asymmetry determines power
Sorry, but wear is the recursive protocol trope? Also do you know a good list of these tropes for llm spotting?
shubb··on Sora 2
Accurate virtual try on however is quite difficult, and users will quickly learn to distrust platforms that just generate something that"looks right".

You can prompt with a normal size 8 dress and "kim jungle un wearing a dress" and it will show you something that doesn't help you understand whether that dress would fit or not. You can ask for a tube dress and it will usually give him a big bust to hold it up. It's not useful for the purpose of visualing fit.

It will definitely be used for such just like image models already are for cheap tenu clothes, and our onions shopping experience will get worse.

Maybe this needs purpose built models like vibe-net or maybe you cab train a general purpose model to do it, but if they were spending the effort necessary to do so they'd be calling it out.

shubb··on Ask HN: Do you use personal AI Agents?
Sounds very interesting. At you releasing your api commercial?
shubb··on I tried to replace myself with ChatGPT in my English class
When I read this suggestion it sticks out that un-spoonfed, people with deficits in thier study skills, executive function, and institutional literacy would be most disadvantaged.

So, you have 2 kids who are equally bright, and you tell one "you don't have to do these assignments but there is a test at the end" and the other "you have an 80% chance if failing if you don't do these assignments. Analyse each assignments and feedback for shiboleths like the way they ask you to structure your introduction and optimize for demonstrating you know these shiboleths over everything else"

University is a wonderful petri dish for growing into who you want to be. You have access to expertise and resources abs a certain kind of institutional credibility. Few students actually use these fully and the ones who do were told to. You need some idea who you want to be and why, and this is developed in you by other people. Children don't just know stuff.

I think these are positive changes if and only if we accompany them with systematic study skills and self management courses and bridge this gap.

shubb··on Show HN: Use Their ID – Use your local UK MP’s ID for the Online Safety Act
If I was that developer, I'd blacklist embedding of all British MPs and councilors to avoid fraud. This would also block the entire UK political class from accessing adult materials (I got blocked by a wine forum), which would be a very effective protest...
shubb··on We accidentally solved robotics by watching 1M hours of YouTube
"Much engineering was required" Archaic but still used a bit in articles or to give a certain vibe.
shubb··on Murderland: Crime and Bloodlust in the Time of Serial Killers
Do you think semi-legal weed made the conspiracy / "it's 4d chess" / bitcoin (don't trust the financial system) demographic larger? A lot of this is stuff people who smoked a lot would talk about back in college and it's interesting it went mainstream as the position on those drugs changed. You'd also expect opioid to create a more depressed lethargic population. Would be cool to see a study of substance use change vs political change...
shubb··on When will M&S take online orders again?
They already outsourced thier ecomerce offerings- to ocado - and that's up and running.

What remains is mostly logistics - this company runs farms and abertoires, food import and packaging and a network of warehouses and stores. The drop in cots product is SAP.

The whitelabel ecomerce site is kind of an insurance/ legacy thing while ocado is thier shopfront. Presumably they are prioritising what matters, the logistics, and might sunset this part of thier offer anyway.

shubb··on In 2025, venture capital can't pretend everything is fine any more
Right, but isn't this sort of the opposite to the usual companies VC funded which were about massive potential scale based on solving a very common problem?

Like, I thought the whole point with VC was to find ideas that could 100x your return, which by definition would be horizontal markets.

shubb··on In 2025, venture capital can't pretend everything is fine any more
I think there is something like a pyramid scheme of people who sell classes, and people who sell classes about how to sell classes. The top level slowly pull the whole chain to the next fad and then the next. Drop shipping, ghost writing books for kindle unlimited, various flavors of wellness... you can watch them flow into a space and usually destroy it.

I'm curious how centralized the operation is. Individually it's a bunch of hustlers running their own little personal branding operation, but if each of them is in a masterclass, and the masterclass leaders are in a masterclass, has a small group of mega-influencers formed, and who are they?

shubb··on Altman: OpenAI not for sale, especially to competitor who is not able to beat us
Is that true for the current board arrangement?

I thought they were set up a some kind of non profit and thier mandate was to pursue other goals not profit. That was what caused the issue with the altman firing previously right?

shubb··on Job trends of HN Who Is Hiring?
I think it's pertinent. Ppst 2008 was essentially disinflation economy whereas inflation has been high running into this and people are struggling a bit. To launch something you gotta be hungry but not too hungry. Maybe people are either retiring on thier 401ks or uber driving 24 hours a day to make rent. That or the demo here got old and acquired responsibilities.
shubb··on Visitors to the UK from 48 countries must now apply and pay a fee before travel
The UK introduced this to mirror / sync with the EU ETIAS evisa system introduced recently, which in turn mirrors the US ESTA eVisa. They all cost about the same.

It's interesting how UK stories are reported.

shubb··on My second year without a job
Mandatory spending isn't stable either. In my 20s I had low income, but at the end of the month I'd have a bit of money left over. Then the next month my car I needed to get to work would break down or I'd need to get a new shirt to look nice enough for the dress code rules or something. So over time I went slowly into debt.

By this definition I was not living paycheque to paycheque, but my situation was definitely not good, compared up someone who made better money but spent it each month on nonessential.

shubb··on Ask HN: Who is hiring? (December 2024)
Lot of negatively here but I think this sounds really cool.

I think I'm reading that the product sets a problem and talks the pupil through it. The pupil works on paper and the product recognises and grades thier written answer. It then uses an expert system to figure out the best concept to cover next, going back to explore the missing knowledge making the current problem impossible or advancing to the next step?

As an augmentation of teachers or a form of homework, this sounds really useful, but I'm not a teacher just a parent so who knows.

Anyway good luck!

shubb··on Scale (run CUDA on AMD GPUs without mods) supports gfx900 and gfx1102
They have a comparisons page, i don't know enough to summarise. https://docs.scale-lang.com/manual/comparison/
shubb··on Trudeau government bans TikTok from operating in Canada
One of the big controversies is that Chinese "tiktok" runs a much less socially disruptive algorithm.

You know, China hit a lot of these problems before we did and the ir platforms are "nicer" because they are more regulated.

Rather than ban tiktok and suffer the same problems with meta's Reels, what if we borrowed some of thier regulation?

shubb··on Why software only moves forward
Your link did not outlast your comment. I'd love to read about schema design if you have an article you liked...
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