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seasily

30 karma · joined May 9, 2021

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seasily··on S3 Express Is All You Need
The clear use case is serverless—without the complications of DynamoDB (expensive, 0.03/GB read), DynamoDB+DAX (VPC complications), or Redis (again, VPC requirements).

This instantly makes a number of applications able to run directly on S3, sans any caching system.

seasily··on Will deep understanding still be valuable?
It’s very clear that Copilot/GPT-4 give superpowers to the generalist—-rapid prototyping—-and to the ultra-specialist—-no more yak-shaving in other domains.

Most roles that are run-of-the-mill “knows framework X” just enough to support naive clients or actually high/value teams, will indeed go to zero.

Which is amusing because 90% of the “AI” companies being started are run by people with no actual expertise, who probably are the most replaceable parts of deploying actual high/end systems.

seasily··on So, how can we lower gas prices?
“We wanted flying cars and instead we got carpooling and 55 mph.”
seasily··on So, how can we lower gas prices?
Noah is too dumb to read.

Obviously increase supply (fracking, pipelines, offshore drilling, etc.)

And create more alternatives (actual cheaper alternatives, like nuclear power plants) as a substitution effect

seasily··on Ask HN: What keyboard do you use?
Kinesis Freestyle with standing desk or laptop stand is an unbeatable setup
seasily··on GPT-3 is already more than capable of enabling student plagiarism
And that’s a good thing. (most majors that can be completed by GPT-3 and focus on “papers” aren’t substantive in the first place)
seasily··on Citadel CEO: I’ve had multiple colleagues mugged at gunpoint
Lol
seasily··on When I hear people complain it’s hard to hire good software engineers
Hiring people with low fluid intelligence (-2 stdev change with age) and people with low intelligence (sorry bootcampers, you would already have a quantitative degree if you had a high qualitative IQ)—-what a solution
seasily··on Coinbase employees petition to remove execs
At its peak, Coinbase stock had appreciated less since its seed round than simply holding Bitcoin

Thanks to brilliant management, like handing out a billion dollars to some google exec who knew nothing about crypto and shipped a product no one uses, Coinbase is now indexed to the average price of the shitcoins it consistently lists.

seasily··on Ask HN: Graduating CS soon, how do I find a job?
Name, email, and a local number procured through Skype or Google Voice is the way to go.
seasily··on All the Ways to Compress and Archive Files in Python
The only viable compression library, for internal use, is Zstandard

https://python-zstandard.readthedocs.io/en/latest/

https://engineering.fb.com/2016/08/31/core-data/smaller-and-...

The compression ratio and decompression speed just blow everything else away.

seasily··on John McAfee found dead in Spanish jail after court approves extradition to US
Another reminder that taxation is theft, and sometimes murder.
seasily··on EvalAI: An Open-Source Alternative to Kaggle
Their comparison chart is outright defamatory, as Kaggle features all of the below:

Custom metrics Multiple phases/splits Remote evaluation Human evaluation Evaluation in Environments

The actual rankings are: #1 Kaggle #2 DrivenData

Honorable mention but poorly managed: AiCrowd

No one else has any level of funding to incent performance.

seasily··on Ask HN: I don't feel like working at all, what to do?
Therapy and medicine won't help. Usually the answers are: clean up the negative people around you (fire that person as your boss, network and take tons of other interviews sufficient to move or have a fallback option so you worry less), and branch out on your actual life (travel more, do something new, etc.)

You could also accept that Faangs are full of slackers and coasters--stop tying your self-esteem to your work or your boss (who is actually your adversary, squeezing as much work from you for the lowest price). Do enough to be of interest to other teams there, have a few references and savings and just assume you will be let go, and focus on improving your life and your next opportunity.

seasily··on Machine Learning Cohorts: A Synthesis
This largely misses the mark. Kaggle is a machine learning competition platform for a small set of exceptional machine learning talent, and a lot of students or hangers-on.

"Machine learning projects – if ML is being attempted at all – are in early stages, using traditional methods that are best-suited for high-RAM CPU rather than GPU SKUs (ex: scikit-learn and clustering approaches)."

The idea that the machine learning being done there is in "early stages" is laughable, given the prize pools and sheer competitiveness usually move well past existing SOTA--usually moving forward benchmarks on Google's image classification and labeling (!) benchmarks and other areas where enormous teams can't match the top few.

Part of what you're seeing is the mass of survey participants, who show up to fork notebooks and fake ML skills, are the people who haven't exactly established themselves in the field (https://commons.m.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Survivorship-bias....), while the top-end is too small a group to fully characterize with low-powered clustering.

Even five years ago, most real-world MLEs knew how to use AWS, were deploying actual machine learning models (granted, more primitive than today's methods), and I'm wouldn't be so glib about calling anything "early stage" even then given the raw business value it provides.

seasily··on Seeding by Ceding
She outright spits on the way Bezos made his money, when he has one of the most honest and efficiency-enhancing paths to earning his fortune.

Is the world a better place because Gates used blatantly illegal monopolistic practices to stifle innovation in the OS space? Or because Facebook is willing to engage in dirtier data-sharing, growth, and addictive product design?

Whatever one thinks of those, Amazon created a market for the long tail of books, media, and then goods that simply didn't exist. And then followed it up with one of the most important platforms in the history of the tech and startup ecosystem.

He's done more good with those than she'll ever do by giving his earnings to whatever is most fashionable at the moment.

seasily··on Why Python is not the programming language of the future
The author understands little to nothing about programming. I'd bet on the law of the straight line over his/her uninformed take.

Python is slow, but PyTorch is fast, GBTs are fast, Cython is fast, Pandas and Numpy are fast (and even faster libraries or even basic joblib code can parallelize these).

Anything that needs to be fast either is or can be made fast--and most compute in data-intensive applications exists inside these optimized libraries anyway.

seasily··on Seeding by Ceding
There is no nobility in spending money someone else earned on a bunch of silly virtue signaling.

Good for her for marrying well, but let's not pretend this is about anything more than her desire for attention.

seasily··on VC LARPing
"Why do VCs want you to give them a board seat? So that they can use that power to make decisions that serve the interest of the VC, in opposition to the interests of the founder, and even in opposition to the interests of the company." -- this is true

As much as I enjoy this article, low-end VCs are an enormous drag on a company, board seat or not. Constant bad ideas, short-term thinking, focused on how the business "appears" rather than performs, because they're in the optics and ego game rather than producing returns for their LPs.

Choosing very carefully who you let into the circle that is your company is one of the most important decisions you ever make.

Taking money for pure prestige of the firm, rather than an aligned and intelligent GP for the deal, or for highest valuation that has a 1-2% total dilution difference, is a bad idea given they can subtract way more than that by being a terrible investor.

(The best VCs like Founders Fund just admit they add no value, which saves you the worry of too much meddling from those who, very mistakenly, think they can.)

seasily··on Ivermectin for Prevention and Treatment of Covid-19 Infection
If we all used generics to treat disease, how would pharma companies make tens of billions on vaccines and boosters and re-boosters, market less-effective drugs with five-figure price tags, and who would repay YouTube and Twitter for the fortune they make on pharma advertising?

Pharma profits, big tech profits, and nurse tik-toks must take priority over disease prevention.

seasily··on Rethinking Triplebyte
The only good thing about TripleByte was the structured quiz and interview process. Everything else--inability to edit key portions of profile, the most boring set of tech jobs imaginable, very few companies on there--was a joke.

The quizzes weren't quite a fit for ML, nor was the interviewer or job density there for the domain, but the immediate half-hour call with the promise I'd passed a technical screen was extremely efficient, even if Triplebyte lacked any basic level of market liquidity.

seasily··on FCC Gives ISP $8k to Deliver Broadband Five Feet from Apple's $5B Campus
Journalists be like "oh no they gave money to big company" "oh no they gave money to small company without know-how" "oh no he's billionaire he should build Internets for free"

TLDR: More or a whiny rant than anything resembling facts or data

seasily··on The coding language used by the most elite developers in finance
TLDR: this "article" is a paid ad for Jane Street
seasily··on The mechanisms of action of Ivermectin against SARS-CoV-2
"Although several drugs received Emergency Use Authorization for COVID-19 treatment with unsatisfactory supportive data, Ivermectin, on the other hand, has been sidelined irrespective of sufficient convincing data supporting its use.…

100% of the 17 Randomized Controlled Trials (RCTs) for early treatment and prophylaxis report positive effects, with an estimated improvement of 73% and 83% respectively (RR 0.27 [0.18–0.41] and 0.17 [0.05–0.61]), and 93% of all 28 RCTs. These studies are tabulated in Table 1. The probability that an ineffective treatment generated results as positive for the 55 studies to date is estimated to be 1 in 23 trillion (p = 0.000000000000043)."

Just another reminder that the sole purpose of the FDA is to juice Big Pharma profits (when it's not busy juicing the profits of big food, to further help stimulate big pharma demand)

Footnote: the reason Big Tech also conspires to block discussion of this is the massive amount of spending they receive to market the blockbuster drugs that never have much efficacy and always seem to get recalled within a few years for actually being deadly.

seasily··on The Aducanumab Approval
It's just a lucky coincidence that the industry colludes to not test generics (or falsify studies claiming they are ineffective, as was done with hydroxychlorquine) so they can continue to develop on-patent $56k per year drugs to sell.
seasily··on GPT-J-6B: 6B JAX-Based Transformer
Google favors junk websites over Stack Overflow for the same reason it downranks all of its competitors.
seasily··on The “Lab Leak”: It’s Not Enough to Say Accidents Happen
Terrible article.

Of course the virus most likely came from the lab, and had been engineered to be particularly effective against human cells. The burden of proof is one anyone else to show how it possibly evolved a furin cleavage site and many other odd sequences not seen in naturally occurring coronaviruses. And don't forget to explain why the outbreak started right next to the only lab doing gain of function research on coronaviruses, rather than near the bats thousands of miles away.

The dark truth is the "public health establishment" is happy there was an outbreak, anything to pretend they're the least bit important (they're not, and they got every single decision wrong during the pandemic).

seasily··on Machine Learning Is a Marvelously Executed Scam
The author is clueless. There's a lot of hype and a lot of people / products that aren't actually any good at ML (or exist as an academic venture without getting their hands dirty).

But when ML works--Uber forecasting demand, Instacart optimizing shopping paths, delivery service route dispatching, and an infinite number of other real-world use cases with double-digit process improvements--it's extraordinary.

Sales forecasting, fraud prediction, modern search, and more are all powered by ML, and throwing a few stones at bad business plans, bad marketing, or over-marketing doesn't change the fact that those things are bad precisely because they're not that good at actual machine learning.