1,295 karma · joined November 4, 2016
I said the exact same thing for like 20 years. Until I realized that this thought is utterly racist. Luckily, I was disgusted about myself and my environment where this is a normal thought, and improved, instead of doubling down.
You've just called a behavior based on a name of an ethnic group. You cannot be more racist than that.
There are such people everywhere, not just in India.
Or rather, you shouldn't appeal to authority.
The discussion here is a mess. This specific article about ASML is more about outlook, than Krugman's, which is about the current state. This will be a problem in the future. Currently, Europe's quality of life is at least on par, or probably even better in some parts of Europe, but these are signs that this won't last.
If the current positive sum game is eroding more, then there are two options. Embracing the feudal times as in America, or keep pretending. In the short and mid term, the former is better. However, in the long term, if you pretend for the following decades, then you will win. Unfortunately, there is only a slim chance that you will be able to, but all of those countries will win in the end.
For not the 1%, feudal logic is obviously not good at all, but they are still voting for them. Even in Europe. Those European countries which stay democracies will win.
I'm reading the news with a two week delay for almost a decade, and I haven't missed anything worthwhile. There are exactly zero reasons to read Facebook/Twitter for it. For example, the value of the current US administration's word is zero. When they say something, there is no change in probability distributions in anything anymore. This two week delay makes this very obvious on the occasions when I checked the latest state of some issues. But others are the same, just for different reasons: in reality you have a very small effect on any highly politicized topics. When parents trust their kids less than politicians, then there is not much to do with everyday tools, like arguing (there are some places where there is a value, but those won't ever move the needle).
There is no such place since. Most of them went back to anonymous internet presence, if at all.
I slowly shifted to use LLMs because of this in the past half years, making the situation probably worse for Kagi. They were the last usable search engines for years now. I still pay for it, but it's increasingly not that useful anymore.
It's not nothing, but it's probably around 20%.
Also as others stated. I pay for everything, if they give me the opportunity to pay them for ad free versions. I don't see ads on my Android, and I don't use a general ad blocker on it (except my browser, but I rarely visit sites which would contain ads, and basically all of them from Hacker News). I don't use free search, email, newspapers, I pay for YouTube, and I would pay for Facebook if I would use it. I don't even use Hacker News freely, because I paid for the app which I use to not see ads, and have more features. Heck, I pay even for my torrent, because I support them.
You're in the wrong neighborhood with this sentiment. But yes, the general populace is not like this.
And you can still live quite comfortably.
This should have been done a long time ago.
Firefox, and the browser market would be much more healthy. Btw, Microsoft, Apple, Facebook, now even Twitter/SpaceX and all of these should have been forced the same way. And of course not just in this field, but all of them, like oil companies. They can pivot, of course, with some grace period, but that would mean giving up something at the end.
And if we are there, we can abolish most of trade secrecy too, which exists only to keep up the status quo while hindering progress.
Reading the article, they wanted to convey that the loss function is more complicated... But they are still next token predictors, just not the trivial ones. Unfortunately, that was true even before, because the input data had to be cleared even decades ago, so there is nothing new. This article just butt hurt that some people deny that there are emergent properties with those, and try to sell something trivial in the field for many decades now. Current LLMs are not different because of these. Also, if they try to sell generated data in the training set, then that's also not new at all.
Of course, it's a moving goal post, because we have no clue what general intelligence is exactly. But it's definitely not general yet. Now the goalpost is to achieve that kind of level of thinking which I did in that 4 hours. When it reaches it, we will find something else it clearly lacks. Until we can't. Then, and only then we reached AGI. Until you see comments, reviews, etc about things which it cannot do, until then it's not general.