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pydry

12,452 karma · joined October 22, 2018

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pydry··on Breaking Up with Google Play: Why Conversations Is Now Free
theres nothing parasitic about a competing app store.

it is parasitic to try and prohibit competing app stores and then leverage your monopoly by charging monopoly prices.

everything google is trying to do to discourage graphene, newpipe, competing app stores, etc. is parasitic and it's right that they are being fined by the EU for this behavior.

pydry··on How to keep enjoying programming in a world of LLMs
>It’s very clear AI writes great code

It's very clear they dont. Maybe they will one day. That day isnt today.

pydry··on California is chasing wealth that has feet
you mean their entitlement to natural non-man made wealth?
pydry··on California is chasing wealth that has feet
>It's not, and I don't think anyone said it was.

Yeah you did. You wrote "he couldnt turn it [his illiquid assets] into cash even if he wanted to".

>The problem is in the calculation of "net worth".

That is not a problem.

Let them value their own assets. If they value their ming vase at $10k then the government reserves the right to buy it for...$10k. They might get away with avoiding paying taxes. Or the government might get a bargain. The incentive, though, is to be scrupulously honest and accurate.

Some people obviously wouldn't like being put in such a position.

> And, more importantly, the difference is that people choosing to put their money into something is not the same as enabling it to be taken by force.

Im not 100% sure but I think this falls under the category of just saying "wealth taxes not fair!"

pydry··on California is chasing wealth that has feet
>Tax policy is effectively restricted to the liquid, realizable fraction

no it isnt. illiquid doesnt mean unpriceable and illiquid doesnt mean can't be liquidated. people liquidate their illiquid assets all the time to pay their tax bills.

it being "complex to collect" is a criticism of many taxes which are already being paid. sales tax and VAT are horrendously complicated (far more so than a wealth tax) to collect but we still do it.

>An overlooked issue in popular discourse is that notional asset values are tightly coupled to who owns them — it isn’t transferable. Concepts like “dead equity” have been in the finance literature for a very long time. Elon Musk’s equity only has the value it does because he owns it

even if it were true, it's not a good reason not to tax him.

in fact, it might even help bring some sanity to the capital markets if he and every other billionaire were forced to price their illiquid assets for tax purposes.

theres no efficiency or impossibility argument that prevents this. the only argument boils down to stamping one's feet declaring that it's not fair (that I would have to value my illiquid assets and might be forced to sell them if I underpriced them).

> He couldn’t convert it into cash even if he wanted to.

Elon musk has been converting his assets into cash recently and he has had no problem doing it.

Bill Gates similarly liquidated his assets to fund his charity and didnt have a problem doing that.

Why is liquidating their shareholdings suddenly a problem only when they need to pay taxes?

pydry··on California is chasing wealth that has feet
there is no lack of reality. you confused liquidity and wealth. a third time.

there are plenty of ways to handle the problem of taxing illiquid wealth but I dont think there is much value in discussing it with somebody pretending that means it is "not real".

it would be like discussing the science behind vaccines with somebody who persisted in calling them "poisons".

pydry··on California is chasing wealth that has feet
you confused liquidity and wealth.

illiquid wealth != unreal wealth.

as I said, if it were unreal you wouldn't mind losing it.

if it is illiquid, you clearly do.

economic illiteracy is not the best foundation for arguing against taxing the wealthy. by pretending the wealth "doesnt really exist" and "isnt there" to tax it highlights the underlying greed motivating the argument.

if you dont agree, perhaps elucidate on a more legitimate reason you might have had for confusing unreal with illiquid?

pydry··on California is chasing wealth that has feet
It would most definitely lead to densification in SF and its surroundings.
pydry··on California is chasing wealth that has feet
>Net worth is not real.

You wont mind if we tax it then will you?

You do, of course.

p.s. liquidity != wealth. try not to confuse them.

pydry··on California is chasing wealth that has feet
>If they can't be raised, and the costs end up being ruinous to the landlords, they will find other solutions like mass arson

Landlords who have their entitlements to land rents or other natural resource rents they've captured ripped away from them would almost assuredly endorse the use of violence.

Land redistribution (of which this is a form) from the landed rentiers to the landless has historically resulted in brutal violence in order to protect their privileged claim on non-human created wealth.

pydry··on California is chasing wealth that has feet
LVT would push up the supply of rental properties by ensuring that property owners who don't rent out their properties or who don't make efficient use of land lose money.

Thats an incentive to rent out the property or sell up to somebody who will.

It would apply harsh market discipline on landlords - a demographic that has usually been rather coddled.

pydry··on What happened to the Snowden archive
when the secret being leaked is that the united states is spying on its own citizens and violating the 4th amendment.

i find it weird how many Russians, Chinese and Americans are weirdly protective of their own government's oppressive behaviours in the name of patriotism.

pydry··on AI coding has made CI a bottleneck, so we reworked ours to keep up
hasn't improved software either. it's made the overall quality worse if anything.
pydry··on We write code by hand
It's true. The bad:good ratio of handcrafted code is about 7 or 8:1.

Sure, those 8 are often thrown away while that 1 often ends up moving mountains but so what?

For vibe coded code from what ive seen it's about 10:0.

We should clearly only write that from now on.

pydry··on We write code by hand
This is a pretty good metaphor to explain why there is so much unmaintainable slop around these days.
pydry··on What happened to the Snowden archive
Just as some Chinese people want Ai Weiwei to rot in prison, some Russians wanted Navalny to rot in prison and some Americans wanted or still want Snowden and Assange to rot in prison.
pydry··on What happened to the Snowden archive
It wasn't odd at all the list of places he could flee to was very limited because of his job.

It's more odd that some people don't give him the same benefit of the doubt they would a whistleblower from Russia or China.

pydry··on What happened to the Snowden archive
That's a conspiracy theory I haven't heard before which I'm pretty sure I'll never hear a shred of evidence for.
pydry··on If AI coding is lowering your code quality, you're not managing quality right
high quality code means boiling down code to its bare essentials, not spewing boilerplate. that means deleting code where you can and crafting good abstractions while leaving functionality intact.

if you find the ratio between typing and thinking to be very high then you're probably producing a lot of slop.

This is a common theme I find when I hear about people's AI coding success stories. Where they say "its good at X" where X might be "backfilling unit tests" or "writing boilerplate" I usually think "if you find you need to do X a lot youre definitely doing programming wrong.

Ive actually yet to hear an X applied to production code that doesnt make me think that.

pydry··on If AI coding is lowering your code quality, you're not managing quality right
>And why wouldn’t writing software be a skill issue

You've missed the point. Nobody doubts writing code well or badly is indeed a skill issue.

The question is that "once you account for all of the things you need to do to make the code very high quality, did vibe coding actually provide any real value?"

I'm certain there are guardrails that help bolster vibe coding but I'm equally certain that when ive prompted something important I usually have to redo it enough times that just writing it manually myself usually would have been quicker.

Then I watch other people who code who dump on that opinion and I see total slop. They just can't tell the difference.

pydry··on Waymo in Singapore
Judging by the depressing number of elderly selling tissues in food courts to get by I dont think the government ever really cared about eliminating service jobs.

It's enough for them that those people have somewhere basic to live and basic medical care so their stats dont look too bad.

pydry··on Artificial intelligence now beats some of the best human forecasters
"You're absolutely right!"
pydry··on Let's make quality the norm again
because quality signals are much more misleading these days.

can't trust reviews because theyre spammed with fakes. can't trust brands because private equity buy them out and enshittify.

pydry··on Let's make quality the norm again
ive experimented with paying more for a few things and sometimes it's the cheap stuff which lasts forever.

i have a pair of cheap Chinese earbuds that way outlasted all of the expensive ones I ever bought.

pydry··on Let's make quality the norm again
Demand collateral
pydry··on Global bond yields hit 2008 highs, raising stakes for big borrowers
no. treasuries establish the interest rate floor. data center bonds require a risk premium on top of that.
pydry··on Global bond yields hit 2008 highs, raising stakes for big borrowers
iirc data center construction investments are largely bond funded so this will absolutely fuck them.
pydry··on How to write an effective software design document
yoloing your way to a first prototype and aggressively refactoring along the way does make a lot of people very uncomfortable but it still produces better architectures than BDUF or even a scaled down BDUF (LDUF?).

it's really not generally appreciated just how much better architectural decisions made in the context of refactoring are. if you have a time budget for architecture it will always be better spent on refactoring than writing documents in advance, no matter how minimal they are.

pydry··on How to write an effective software design document
100%. I find it's generally used as a waterfall practice - i.e. BDUF first with a design document, then implement instead of "implement following conservative assumptions, revisit and refactor aggressively".

The latter being vastly more effective at honing good design because more decisions are made in retrospect.

I find that a spike or a spike PR to demonstrate a new approach (if a software design decision is controversial) is 10x as valuable.

pydry··on A misalignment of AI in mathematics
>That's not necessarily true. Technology gives more power to everyone. The rise of factories

Did not give more power to everyone. At best you could say that it shifted power from landed gentry to industrialists. Even that switchover was less of a change than you'd think.

The practical upshot of the beginning of industrialization was very negative. The enclosure movement stripped families of their land to push them to work in the factories where they would never go willingly. The famines in Ireland and Ukraine were both triggered by redirecting grain to export in order to fund domestic industrial expansion.

The most brutal two wars in human history were that brutal precisely because industrialization made it possible.

>instead lifted the masses from poverty (after some initial turbulent period).

What lifted the masses from poverty wasnt the factories it was the labor movement which occurred in response to horrific working conditions and the reliance those factory workers had on mass labor (specifically coal mining which was incredibly labor intensive and a key economic chokepoint).

The whole of that is glossed over by right wing libertarian propaganda but that last part is particularly underemphasized.

>Contrary to leftist propaganda, the rich are not some cartoon villains and psychopaths

Do you look at peter thiel and elon musk or the robber barons and see anything else?

The few billionaires ive encountered personally were no less sociopathic but they kept it hidden better. Power corrupts. Immense wealth corrupts. That isnt a leftist thing, that's a human thing.

>The reason why the rich currently exploit the poor is because doing so provides them with significant material gains. Once they can obtain the same or even better material gains by "exploiting" robotic labor instead of human labor, the logical outcome is not further abuse

False. It just shifts the focus of their exploitation from human labor to natural resources.

They'll fight over oil and minerals and gas and water resources and at best leave us to rot (homelessness will skyrocket) and at worst they'll find some excuse to exterminate those of us they particularly dislike (Gaza serves as a model here).

The world economy's reliance on human labor has been the best inducement to peace there is. It's no coincidence that all of the countries in the world with lots of natural resources and no industry are the biggest shitholes and vice versa.

>That is (partly) true, but only in the current economic system. Widespread human-level AI changes the equation, and not necessarily in favor of those who are currently rich.

Human level AI (assuming it ever happens) will simply make the fight over natural resources that much more intense because labor will matter that much less.

You're living at the tail end of a relatively golden period in a country where labor was the economic bottleneck and natural resources were relatively plentiful. Venezuela and Angola and Iraq are models of what happens when that equation is reversed.

Nobody gives a shit about appeasing the people who live in those countries, their labor is virtually worthless. They are a model for how the rest of us will be treated in a world where human labor loses its value.

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