But I agree with you: there is a selection bias going on. I have no idea how much good AI writing I’ve been reading without realizing it.
669 karma · joined December 13, 2021
But I agree with you: there is a selection bias going on. I have no idea how much good AI writing I’ve been reading without realizing it.
The open source model as worked through the problem step by step (it was R1 so I could read its chain of thought). That could be an elaborate ruse, but also unlikely.
Given the rate of improvement up to that point, how much longer do you think this would be the case?
Do you have any podcast/blog/videos that you recommend which make your case clearly?
I am curious, do you think it will stay this way? AI couldn't code anything 2.5 years ago, why should it stop with glue code?
Yesterday I fed the first 3 questions from the 2024 Putnam Exam [0] into a new open source LLM and it got 3/3. The progress is incredible and I don't expect it to suddenly stop where it is.
Reminds me of the discrete metric in my Real Analysis course: distance is 0 if it is the same point, 1 otherwise.
We used to joke that it was the perfect metric for finding weird counter examples
I think what you describe really only makes sense for a single file script. I _do not_ want to manage dependency hell within my own source files.
Unless we air strike the data centers, there is no way to control China’s progress
IMO, the best option is hosting a VS Code server [0] on a linux box and using Tailscale to connect to it via the browser. At that point you have a real compute environment and a pretty usable IDE.
But the screen and keyboard were too small so I gave it up.
Some of the other commenters have mentioned startups with low stability, low equity, low compensation, and high expected working hours. I wouldn't want to work there.
But I am at a startup with 40 hrs expected / week, good compensation, high impact, and medium stability -- that is a good tradeoff for me.
Dead giveaway :D
Also make sure to expect a lot of pain working with IT at the banks. I worked with some people at US Bank and their restrictions were absolutely draconian.
For example, I had to make a vanilla version of the python tool I was working on for them because they had to review every one of my dependencies! I also couldn't send any kind of zip file to them so I ended up making a plain text encoding/decoding scheme so I could attach code distributions to emails.
2.5x in 10 years is about a 10% annual raise. I've always had great performance reviews but never broke 10%. I'm at 3x salary over 8 years, but almost all of that gain came from switching jobs.
So a lot of people end up job hopping because internal raises are rarely competitive. That and a lot of companies are poorly managed and it gets old after a few years.
I remember drawing everything out on trig exams though and making myself an on-demand cheatsheet.
This is the case even when I set extremely early alarms like my 2:30 wake up time the other day.
But being a parent has also trained me to be an extremely light sleeper
To be fair, he was kind of an idiot when it came to security. But there are ways of knowing who is using public wifi at different times.