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peder

181 karma · joined October 6, 2014

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peder··on How Reverse Game Theory Could Solve the Housing Shortage
Right, it's not an inherently left vs right thing. Today NIMBYism has been largely a left-wing phenomenon, with really high end housing developments that are politically untouchable by housing projects.

The answer is always the same tho: make it easy to build housing, and build more housing. Keep building housing until there's a glut of supply.

peder··on How Reverse Game Theory Could Solve the Housing Shortage
Housing prices cratered in China, because, yes, eventually supply catches up and then the ponzi schema has nowhere to go but down. Lots of people hold real estate thinking it's an investment just by itself, so it's been a vicious cycle of prices going up. But if you build enough supply, the market stops treating property that way.

I don't think the Chinese real estate market will ever truly "recover" to the Tulip Mania levels it hit before. Especially with a declining population.

peder··on How Reverse Game Theory Could Solve the Housing Shortage
Leftists doing anything except just building more housing

Rent is falling all over the Southeast where housing has been built in droves, and actually in greater quantities than new demand. The only solution is just flooding the market with housing.

peder··on Windows 3.1 tiled background .bmp archive
I feel an ocular migraine coming on looking at these.

On CRT displays, did these not cause visual problems in the same way? I remember having no trouble looking at these years ago.

peder··on Austin’s surge of new housing construction drove down rents
> A lot of people are venally or ideologically motivated against accepting this.

That’s the story of the last 10 years among certain types that keep regurgitating obviously wrong concepts.

peder··on NASA's DART spacecraft changed an asteroid's orbit around the sun
Saddened to load this comment thread and see no comments related to Mars and terraforming
peder··on X offices raided in France as UK opens fresh investigation into Grok
Largely a left-wing echo chamber here (and also seems to be much more European here than the average forum), so everyone here all thinks Musk is doing something illegal just because he's right-wing.

These raids are entirely political.

peder··on Decompiling Xbox games using PDB debug info
Not sure if you're a .NET/C# person, but PDBs are a bit different tho in that they contain full debug information and you can absolutely decompile a .DLL + .PDB combo. Very successfully even in the case of obfuscation.
peder··on De-dollarization: Is the US dollar losing its dominance? (2025)
Yep, and nobody ever goes on these types of threads and says the EU is collapsing, even though there's demonstrable evidence that things are not going great for the EU (the UK left, there is virtually zero economic dynamism or tech investment, Russia has seized 1/3 of Ukraine who was trying to join the EU, and the continent has no money, no navies and terrible demographics to compete globally in the next century). People gloss over issues about the EU because it aligns more closely with their political beliefs.
peder··on De-dollarization: Is the US dollar losing its dominance? (2025)
Precisely. People in this thread almost seem mad that the economy didn't crash in Trump's first year.
peder··on CRISPR-like tools that finally can edit mitochondria DNA
And then when it gets it wrong and you ask why it grew a nose instead of an ear: "You're absolutely right! I can fix this!"
peder··on Charlie Kirk killed at event in Utah
Because it's talking past each other. Very few people are literally asking for divine intervention, they're conveying wishes for a good outcome
peder··on iPhone dumbphone
> At least a few of these, like payments and basic communications, can be done from a watch.

Is that a distinction without a difference?

peder··on LLM Inevitabilism
Utter nonsense. The scale of disruption with LLMs is almost unfathomable. Every small business in the country has basically abandoned the big platforms and expensive enterprises for IT support, marketing and digital content creation, HR, legal...

Patients are having detailed conversations about their health with LLMs. Office visits for routine questions are plummeting.

Software is written almost entirely by LLMs, producing a greater volume of code in a fraction of the time.

Rapidly, we are approaching a point where there is no need for junior employees in most organizations. It's not industry-specific, it's universal. This will reshape corporate Big Four accounting, software engineering, and medicine because revenue will shift so dramatically.

This is not just some marginally more effective use of computing resources.

peder··on LLM Inevitabilism
Most of the comments here feel like cope about AI TBH. There's never been an innovation like this ever, and it makes sense to get on board rather than be left behind.
peder··on Trump announces 100% tariffs on movies ‘produced in foreign lands’
Are you intentionally missing the point? Our films made in the US are already neutered from a free-speech perspective because we're chasing opinions that are politically correct in China. We don't want to worsen that by bending to every foreign tax break. We should be making unapologetically American movies, and if foreign consumers still watch those movies, all the better. But we shouldn't be writing these to a lowest common denominator of politically correct speech. It's how we've arrived at a point where all we produce is Marvel slop.
peder··on Trump announces 100% tariffs on movies ‘produced in foreign lands’
Well, yes. American films obviously have been soft on China because they've been desperate for access to the Chinese market. You don't bite the hand that feeds. In a similar way, if a significant amount of film production moves to the UK, it's likely that criticisms of the UK would be more muted. In the long run, this creates a national security threat when our media is inundated with non-neutral messages about other countries that are not acting in our best interest.

The easy way to see this is to reverse your lens. We've been the beneficiary of soft power from Hollywood for a century. It'd be ridiculous to lose that power without at least trying to preserve it.

peder··on Trump announces 100% tariffs on movies ‘produced in foreign lands’
There are big issues with foreign cinema. We still have a lot of structural advantages in the US to producing films. Production has shifted to other countries because of significant tax incentives. These tax incentives are a way that other countries are frankly not playing fair.

The bottom line for me is that we shouldn't simply accept that films should all be filmed in Canada, Australia, the UK, or elsewhere. Hollywood has been the epicenter of creative jobs in this country for a century, and we should try to preserve it.

peder··on Trump announces 100% tariffs on movies ‘produced in foreign lands’
There are things to sort out, but it's certainly doable. They can probably use direct COGS to determine the tariff basis.
peder··on Trump announces 100% tariffs on movies ‘produced in foreign lands’
This tariff isn't an attack on Hollywood. This helps actors and staff in the Hollywood area.
peder··on US Ends Support For Ukrainian F-16s
I'm not even sure it was ever true. I think it's just become part of the folklore of urban leftists, potentially as a way to justify their lives even when nobody was demanding a justification.
peder··on US Ends Support For Ukrainian F-16s
Holy strawman, batman.
peder··on The NYPD is using drones 3 times more than it did last year
And they're using drones infinity more than they did before drones were invented
peder··on Starship’s second flight test
Or maybe they'll just go for it and see if this was a bluff by the govt
peder··on Why has stoicism gained popularity in modern times?
It has?
peder··on Roald Dahl: Original books to be kept in print following criticism
This is like the 90s Christian companies that would strip out violence/language/sexual themes from movies and repackage them for families. I'm sure there's a market for woke-washed books, but I can't help but sense the same puritanical forces at play here.
peder··on TV disappears, but HBO Max removing shows feels different
Also better make sure your device doesn't receive a software update that wipes out access in the future based on some arbitrary licensing decision.
peder··on Waymo's collision avoidance testing
The leveling system is a bit off. Level 3 doesn't mean "better" than Level 2. A Level 2 system might actually offer the best safety profile of any of the Levels. That's what I'm getting at: there's a lot of runway in Level 2 systems, and I think they'll be so good that it will kill momentum for Level 3+ systems.
peder··on Waymo's collision avoidance testing
I'll also add that I think what Waymo is doing right now is closer to a semi-autonomous streetcar. There's probably immense value in that approach, especially as an alternative to mass-transit systems that have costly labor, but it's not clear that they are imminently close to "anywhere, anytime" self-driving.
peder··on Waymo's collision avoidance testing
I suspect the below-"Level 5" driving systems will become more of an "augmented driving". I've driven in newer vehicles with automatic lane centering, pedestrian detection, etc. and they don't really seem like they're even doing anything, you still feel like you're the one driving, except that it's more precise with the occasional interruption by the car when it perceives risk of a collision.

These augmented systems will probably reduce the risk of accidents so greatly that the value proposition for Level 5 driving systems just won't be there.

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