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nickpp

2,598 karma · joined March 2, 2009

Coder. Entrepreneur. Not an island. Rational. Opposing dictators of any sort. My Liberty ends where yours starts. Respecting Nature's laws and abhorring religions.
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nickpp··on Micron CEO Says Memory Supply Will Be Much Tighter in 2027 and 2028 Than in 2026
> They want to maximize their paychecks and bonuses in the short term before they leave to other companies.

You could say that about pretty much any employee - and you'd be completely wrong. What makes you right in the case of CEOs and boards?

nickpp··on The last time my family was replaced by technology
> this time its actually different

The older I get the more time I heard this. Never actually true. But always used by somebody asking for power, to protect me - of course.

nickpp··on An Antidote to Roko's Basilisk
Greg Egan's Diaspora is one of the best explorations I know for the fates of various humanity factions in the age following a technological singularity.
nickpp··on California is chasing wealth that has feet
Last time I checked building companies that offer goods and services was considered good for society.

I actually lived in a society where this was illegal and we were all starving and freezing.

nickpp··on What will our economic future look like?
You can say all that about pretty much any technological advancement, like the computer itself. Heck, people said it about the invention of writing or the printing press!

However, looking back, each single invention was a net positive for us as a species.

nickpp··on What will our economic future look like?
What exactly do you think should be the motivator for people working in healthcare then? For companies creating healthcare products and services? For investors pouring money into health care research? The goodness of their hearts?
nickpp··on What will our economic future look like?
Most people's definition of rich is "one dollar more than I have". Just look at laptop class's hate on the 1 percenters - which actually includes them.
nickpp··on Mistral raises €3B
> Almost the entire planet where this debate is raging, is the part of the planet where people have full bellies.

Exactly. And most of the pollution happens in the other part.

We’re crippling our economies and render our companies uncompetitive to merely export environmental effects around, while pushing our voter base to the extremes.

All for naught too, because when the orc armies come (attracted by our weakness to even defend ourselves) they will do the the environment what they did in Ukraine…

nickpp··on Mistral raises €3B
> If you want good markets you need good regulation and incentive structuring.

Actually, in the real world, the worst markets are also the strongest regulated: housing, education and health care.

Meanwhile the fields that got to be regulated last brought us the most wealth, advances and innovation: high tech & software.

nickpp··on Mistral raises €3B
> all workers around the world want the exact same thing, a livable planet for their children

Actually, they don't. First of all they want livable conditions for themselves. Ecologism is a hobby for people with full bellies.

I remember during communism which failed to even feed and clothe us - but The Party kept telling us that we were actually winning and we were so morally superior to those "corrupt capitalists". This is what happens when ideological justifications replace rational thought.

nickpp··on Mistral raises €3B
> regulation [...] is not free

> that amount can't be zero because

Sounds like you're agreeing with my point.

nickpp··on Mistral raises €3B
> I would fund a DRAM maker in Europe.

I wouldn't. I can think of at least 10 regulations (labor and environmental chef amongst them) that would render such a maker uncompetitive from the start. Chinese makers would eat its lunch.

nickpp··on Mistral raises €3B
Maybe you should get that list from the European AI products that came from those awesome EU regulations.
nickpp··on Mistral raises €3B
Great example. An highly regulated field (aerospace) put so many barriers of entry for startups and competition that the incumbents simple have to reason to innovate or even compete anymore.

I heard there used to be dozens of plane-building companies when the field was unregulated, with new, more efficient models and lower prices appearing regularly. I wonder what happened.

nickpp··on Mistral raises €3B
And it bears repeating: regulation (even well meaning regulation) is not free and it always favors incumbents and hinders startups.
nickpp··on Mistral raises €3B
> cooling off [...] seller liability [...] Right to repair

Let's not forget I am paying directly for those when I buy a product. Those benefits are not free, they cost money. The money has to come from somewhere. It can't come from profits (since those are the sacred reason the company exists in the first place) thus they will come from higher prices.

Higher product prices mean less competitive companies. It also means fewer startups which must implement the required regulation no matter the market says. Then you need protectionism against Chinese competition.

But the worst is that I must pay for those benefits whether if I want them or not. Thus my choice is reduced. I cannot vote with my wallet and send price signals in the market to tell sellers that I want those benefits or not and at what price. The market gets corrupted. The economy falters. Outside competitors gain. The Government needs to intervene again and again, growing stronger and more intrusive "for my own benefit".

It's the decay spiral we are witnessing here in the EU right now.

nickpp··on The turbulent AI era is here
Life in the city is more expensive, in my experience though. Richer, with vastly more options, sure - but more expensive overall.
nickpp··on The turbulent AI era is here
There was no middle class to speak of while living under communism here in Eastern Europe. We were all queueing for food equally. Except the nomenklatura, of course.
nickpp··on In Australia, a home battery boom has helped cut wholesale power prices
Cost is never the only factor though. Being energy independent and self-sufficient feels awesome. Also whole house backup rocks, together with a smart app showing and optimizing your energy usage.
nickpp··on EU Parliament greenlights Chat Control 1.0
Because regulation (even well meaning regulation) always favors incumbents and hinders startups.
nickpp··on Midjourney Medical
Aren't most of the current/latest advancements in health care coming from tech and software?
nickpp··on How to earn a billion dollars
No, I am not saying I trust Meta's statements at all. I am just saying that I have ZERO trust in those "independent researchers".

I am old enough to remember when "researchers" and "experts" where warning us about the evils of violent FPS gaming, the whole panic over teens and kids playing Doom. The Columbine shooting. The end was nigh! Of course, it was all blown out of proportions...

nickpp··on How to earn a billion dollars
> people who spend their time thinking and researching the positives and negatives

If only we could trust such big hearted people who selflessly donate their time and expertise for thinking and researching - without asking those pesky little questions like "what do they stand to gain? what hidden agenda do they have? what ideology dictates their value system? what axes to grind and biases do they harbor?"

I'd rather trust the people directly involved, whose interests are mostly clear and known.

nickpp··on How to earn a billion dollars
Even his examples (Meta, Google, Airbnb, Uber) are "hated and accused" mostly by pundits and activists. Their users and investors are overall rather happy with their services (all have healthy competition) and their employees can quit and work for somebody else at any moment.
nickpp··on Digital Sovereignty Becomes an Imperative as the US Reads Dutch Emails
The EU is trying relentlessly to read our IMs though.
nickpp··on Why are cells small?
Such sleeper accounts, slowly acquiring clout and time on the platform are often used by botnets. One day they (or their actions) will be sold to the highest bidder to upvote a comment, support an idea, ideology, politician or party or some virtual product, stock or coin.
nickpp··on Siri AI
I've been planning vacations with ChatGPT's Deep Research since it became available. Absolutely brilliant!

From finding areas with favorite activities for each parents, teens and kids to discovering the do-not-miss attractions and scheduling our vacation between them - it is invaluable. I've seen places I never knew existed in countries I've never been to before and speaking languages I did not speak.

Very few mistakes and lots more flexibility and understanding than the travel agents I used before. I do write long prompts though with lots and lots of info about our family and what we like to do.

Not yet good at finding, filtering by our criteria, comparing and booking available accommodation yet, but it's getting there.

nickpp··on Can the stockmarket swallow Anthropic, SpaceX and OpenAI?
Your clients and your competitors' clients did benefit from this overall faster coding output though.

Eventually your employer benefitted too, from more & happier paying customers.

Finally you indirectly befitted as well - through continued employment, salary and bonuses and stock (if you own any).

nickpp··on Tech CEOs are apparently suffering from AI psychosis
There are other reasons though. Whole house backup is a game changer. Battery always holding about twice our daily usage (or thrice a reduced, emergency usage) means I don’t really care about blackouts or midnight electrical company maintenance power cuts.

Direct to EV DC charging means I don’t buy gas, either. Planning for induction range and heat pump someday too. Not paying for energy about 3/4 of the year feels awesome.

Panels are cheap. Cheap to replace too. The newer ones have even better efficiency. My whole (unsubsidized) sistem cost around $15k here in Eastern Europe and amortization was never a consideration. Money well spent.

Finally, giving the finger to another crappy government-granted monopoly and proving once again that there is no such thing as a “natural” monopoly: priceless.

nickpp··on Erin Brockovich made a map to track data centers around the country
Software running modern farming runs in datacenters. For example, AI checking images from drones monitoring health of crops, then directing drones with treatment.

Software ate the world, now the world eats software.

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