513 karma · joined August 10, 2012
It clearly doesn't meet the needs of these customers, regardless of whether or not it's "supposed to"
If US decided that instead of waiting for green tech to emerge, we would just simply stop burning fossil fuels and revert to an Amish standard of living until clean fuels are developed, we could have converted to Hydrogen already
* Several easy math problems
* Unlimited re-tests
* You had to get 100% to pass
Bayesian probabilities could be displayed, other factors presented, and ML could be designed in an explainable way which helps the doctors. But that's too hard, requires too much talking to people, and too much respect for existing institutions, and not enough disruption! Sigh...
Imagine if US gas prices went up overnight to $10/gallon. There would be riots. Jan 6th would look like a warm-up.
But does anybody realistically think that they can carbon-capture 1 gallon of gas's worth of carbon emissions for $7? How much would it realistically cost?
It's willful ignorance to think that we can continue to use the same amount of energy while waiting for technology to improve and become greener. We have the choice between immediate, painful cuts to energy usage ($20/gal gas), or doing irreparable harm to our planet. We are choosing the latter.
If Chinese state actors are culpable for the pandemic, it seems plausible other nations will seek damages from the Chinese government. If not paid, they may levy fines on commerce from Chinese companies.
However, I'm still very skeptical of "lab leak", I think the zoonotic origin is most likely. If the zoonotic origin resulted from poorly regulated wet markets, however, Covid is just as much a result of bad government policy by China as in the lab leak case.
China needs to convince the world that they have taken steps which will prevent Covid from ever happening again. At a minimum, this includes tightly regulating wet markets so that animals will be "socially distanced" with good ventilation, if not banning wet markets altogether. If China is unwilling to do this, they present an ongoing pandemic risk, and it seems reasonable for the rest of the world to restrict travel to China until they comply.
It's still true that if you are covid suceptible, and if a covid-shedding person is walking around, you should try to be as far as possible from the covid. But, a brief close pass e.g. on the sidewalk, isn't as risky as sharing a 20'x10' office for hours, even if you stay >6ft the entire time.
Falcon 1 has a low payload (small satellite) with medium energy (LEO).
New Shepard has a medium payload (crew capsule) with low energy (suborbital).
As far as "similar to a large orbital launch vehicle", you can rank them as:
New Shepard < Falcon 1 < Falcon 9 < New Glenn
BO is definitely trying to "skip steps", but I think that the US space industry as a whole is certainly better off for Blue Origin existing.
As far as the BE-4, the single largest technical risk for a launch vehicle is the engine, and using an engine which will already be in use (for Vulcan) looks smart to me. Yes there are delays, but aren't there always?
However, Bezos would not start a rocket company if he wasn't passionate about space. As the saying goes, the best way to make a million dollars in aerospace is to start with a billion.
A lot of US housing styles, such as saltbox and narrow townhouses, are also attempts to game older versions of the tax code