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neaanopri

513 karma · joined August 10, 2012

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neaanopri··on Report on Stablecoins [pdf]
Fed should make a commitment NOT to bail out crypto people under ANY circumstances!
neaanopri··on Report on Stablecoins [pdf]
Nice balanced take, though you're leaving out the incredibly harmful environmental impact
neaanopri··on Patagonia Is Boycotting Facebook, Urges Other Companies to Do the Same
To be fair I would rather have Oil go into Patagonia shirts, than be burned and release CO2 into the atmosphere
neaanopri··on Bitcoin is largely controlled by a small group of investors and miners
The federal reserve exists at the pleasure of Congress, and Congress can abolish the fed if it chooses to.
neaanopri··on Nuclear Power in France
Nuclear can also directly generate heat, for residential district heat, or industrial processes heat
neaanopri··on Footage of Australian Raven Attacking a Wing Drone in Canberra, Australia
I know their "pet" category is pet food, but it's just so funny to imagine that drone lowering a kitten to you
neaanopri··on OnlyFans drops planned porn ban
Sex Workers are well aware of crypto bros saying "you should be using crypto for this"

It clearly doesn't meet the needs of these customers, regardless of whether or not it's "supposed to"

neaanopri··on A lot of people are getting the OnlyFans story wrong
If that's the case why can't OF impose these requirements on their creators?
neaanopri··on How green is blue hydrogen?
Combination of needing lots of infrastructure, and lack of political will.

If US decided that instead of waiting for green tech to emerge, we would just simply stop burning fossil fuels and revert to an Amish standard of living until clean fuels are developed, we could have converted to Hydrogen already

neaanopri··on Starlink is better than satellite and DSL but not as fast as fiber or cable
I think anywhere with significant censorship, such as mainland china.
neaanopri··on PG&E will bury 10k miles of power lines so they don't spark wildfires
If there isn't any "critical infrastructure" which can be damaged nearby the fire, smaller intentional burns can keep fuel accumulation low.
neaanopri··on Barry Diller: The movie business as before is finished and will never come back
I think it's the alcohol :)
neaanopri··on A theory that “elite overproduction” leads to political instability (2020)
To be fair the immigrants have a much better life in the US, and if you're worried about the US population dropping, boy would it have dropped more without that immigration wave.
neaanopri··on A theory that “elite overproduction” leads to political instability (2020)
Which is ironic because letting the leash out is what has caused the rise of China. A Maoist China would not be an economic powerhouse
neaanopri··on Heat dome causing record breaking heat wave
People dying in Algeria won't realistically get the US, French, or Chinese governments to significantly cut fossil fuels supplied to their citizens.
neaanopri··on Google executives see cracks in their company’s success
"Performance Improvement Plan"
neaanopri··on Life as a public school teacher in the San Francisco Bay Area in 2021
One of my classes in high school used "competency quizzes":

* Several easy math problems

* Unlimited re-tests

* You had to get 100% to pass

neaanopri··on “AI promised to revolutionize radiology but so far its failing”
Although we are tempted to think "automate away doctors jobs and take their salaries", it's more achievable and more valuable to provide existing doctors with better UI/UX which helps them make better decisions.

Bayesian probabilities could be displayed, other factors presented, and ML could be designed in an explainable way which helps the doctors. But that's too hard, requires too much talking to people, and too much respect for existing institutions, and not enough disruption! Sigh...

neaanopri··on “AI promised to revolutionize radiology but so far its failing”
The reason a doctor is educated in general anatomy is so that when their specialty hits edge cases, they are able to reason about what could be the underlaying cause. This reasoning in a sparse information environment is exactly the scenario AI/ML is worst at.
neaanopri··on Shell ordered to cut CO2 emissions by 45% in landmark climate case
Fossil fuel companies aren't greedy monopoly men burning oil for no reason. Oil companies sell oil to consumers.

Imagine if US gas prices went up overnight to $10/gallon. There would be riots. Jan 6th would look like a warm-up.

But does anybody realistically think that they can carbon-capture 1 gallon of gas's worth of carbon emissions for $7? How much would it realistically cost?

It's willful ignorance to think that we can continue to use the same amount of energy while waiting for technology to improve and become greener. We have the choice between immediate, painful cuts to energy usage ($20/gal gas), or doing irreparable harm to our planet. We are choosing the latter.

neaanopri··on Wuhan lab staff sought hospital care in November 2019
China is on the UN security council, so they have as much De Jure power as the US does at the UN
neaanopri··on Wuhan lab staff sought hospital care in November 2019
Diplomatically, this is extremely relevant.

If Chinese state actors are culpable for the pandemic, it seems plausible other nations will seek damages from the Chinese government. If not paid, they may levy fines on commerce from Chinese companies.

However, I'm still very skeptical of "lab leak", I think the zoonotic origin is most likely. If the zoonotic origin resulted from poorly regulated wet markets, however, Covid is just as much a result of bad government policy by China as in the lab leak case.

China needs to convince the world that they have taken steps which will prevent Covid from ever happening again. At a minimum, this includes tightly regulating wet markets so that animals will be "socially distanced" with good ventilation, if not banning wet markets altogether. If China is unwilling to do this, they present an ongoing pandemic risk, and it seems reasonable for the rest of the world to restrict travel to China until they comply.

neaanopri··on Vaccinated Americans now may go without masks in most places, the CDC said
Early on, I read that even though people who die of covid are typically old, they have plenty of time left. E.g. an 85 year old dies, who would be expected to live 10 more years.
neaanopri··on Vaccinated Americans now may go without masks in most places, the CDC said
I've read the article, I do just want to clarify the statement "making social distancing alone ineffective."

It's still true that if you are covid suceptible, and if a covid-shedding person is walking around, you should try to be as far as possible from the covid. But, a brief close pass e.g. on the sidewalk, isn't as risky as sharing a 20'x10' office for hours, even if you stay >6ft the entire time.

neaanopri··on A new book, Amazon Unbound, reveals Jeff Bezos’ envy of SpaceX
I'm not sure if I agree that New Shepard isn't a "serious rocket".

Falcon 1 has a low payload (small satellite) with medium energy (LEO).

New Shepard has a medium payload (crew capsule) with low energy (suborbital).

As far as "similar to a large orbital launch vehicle", you can rank them as:

New Shepard < Falcon 1 < Falcon 9 < New Glenn

BO is definitely trying to "skip steps", but I think that the US space industry as a whole is certainly better off for Blue Origin existing.

As far as the BE-4, the single largest technical risk for a launch vehicle is the engine, and using an engine which will already be in use (for Vulcan) looks smart to me. Yes there are delays, but aren't there always?

neaanopri··on A new book, Amazon Unbound, reveals Jeff Bezos’ envy of SpaceX
Yes Bezos is definitely passionate about business, and certainly as a business Amazon is 1 if not 2 orders of magnitude above Tesla or SpaceX.

However, Bezos would not start a rocket company if he wasn't passionate about space. As the saying goes, the best way to make a million dollars in aerospace is to start with a billion.

neaanopri··on Why A.I. Moonshots Miss
"No Earlier Than"
neaanopri··on Why are there so many unfinished buildings in Africa?
I've seen and heard of this in Mexico and Latin America as well.

A lot of US housing styles, such as saltbox and narrow townhouses, are also attempts to game older versions of the tax code

neaanopri··on Truly unified inbox – BlackBerry got it right and nobody has since
The BEST thing about slack is (was?) that nobody outside of your organization can message you.
neaanopri··on Using inflation tracking methods from 80s and 90s, inflation would be ~10%
Does the author want us to know what "Shadow Government Stats" means? If you are trying to make a point, you need to explain that.
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