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landryraccoon

3,746 karma · joined January 11, 2008

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landryraccoon··on Dungeons and Directories, an exploration game in your file explorer
Interesting. You’d need about a billion files to store all possible 6 character file names assuming you limited yourself to latin alphanumeric characters. How big are these USB drives?
landryraccoon··on OpenAI's board has fired Sam Altman
Wait a second. Even if your story is right, how are you so confident that selling out is the right play?

OpenAI is an early mover in a hot field with no real competition yet. If they want to take a shot at a trillion dollar market cap and become the next Apple what of it?

What if they shoot the moon? Is it really that unlikely?

landryraccoon··on Redfin Is Leaving the National Association of Realtors
I agree, and I’m profoundly disappointed that people are celebrating the infliction of such misery on a younger generation.

If the food in your fridge or the clothes in your closet were suddenly drastically more expensive and you could make a profit selling them, would that be a good sign for your society and community? Would you view it as a sign of prosperity that your well stocked pantry was now a source of funds you can tap by selling to starving people?

Housing is a basic human need and it’s all but unaffordable. Even if you personally profit surely you can see that this is corrosive to society as a whole.

landryraccoon··on Redfin Is Leaving the National Association of Realtors
If your phone and your laptop were suddenly worth twice as much would you also be celebrating?

I am struggling to find the right words to express how wrong your view is to me. Housing is a basic human need like food and clothing. How can you in good conscience celebrate making a tremendous profits exploiting the fact that people cannot afford a basic need?

landryraccoon··on Hexadecimal clock counting down to 2038 problem
The suggested approach simply doesn’t work, because human calendars simply don’t work that way.

If the state of Indiana decides this year to change when they set their clocks forward and back, and you stored your appointment datetime as a timestamp, when do you show up for an appointment? At the new 930 AM after statutory date adjustment, or the now incorrect time stamp in your database? Will the DMV respect your claim that you had an appointment at epoch timestamp 1726651800, or will they say sorry buddy the clock on the wall says 9:30 AM, you missed your window? Are your taxes next year due at 1713173400, or are they due at midnight April 15th?

This is NOT a UI issue. This is an issue where the timestamp you calculated in the past literally does not mean the same calendar date in the future as it does now.

And if your answer is to recalculate the timestamp based on locale changes, what was the point of storing the timestamp? (I hope you stored an audit trail of the locale as well as the timestamp, otherwise you can't even recompute the timestamp). The timestamp is never the ground truth, the human readable string is the ground truth.

The timestamp for a particular human date time is not generally a computable function, because human governments change how dates are reckoned frequently, and the human government, not your database are the ground truth.

landryraccoon··on Hexadecimal clock counting down to 2038 problem
It’s not just a matter of trust. Locale specific datetimes in the future are simply not computable to a point on a number line in the general case. Some locales have date changes that must be determined by the local government every single year. Israel is an example of such a case.
landryraccoon··on FCC refuses to scrap rule requiring ISPs to list every monthly fee
It’s preferable that the burden fall on the ISP than on the consumer imho.

The ISP should be free to boldly call out on the billing statement that those fees are government mandated, if they choose to.

landryraccoon··on The Army Wants to Slap a Next Generation Squad Weapon on a Robot Dog
Agreed. As a kid I vividly remember waking up in the middle of the night during a thunderstorm thinking that it had finally happened, the Soviets must have launched and the world was ending. I can’t really feel that scared about killer robots when an entire generation lived under the constant fear of nuclear extinction.
landryraccoon··on A Theory on Adam Instability in Large-Scale Machine Learning
A 3 year old still takes 3 years to train. Even a state of the art image recognition model takes way less time than that.
landryraccoon··on A Theory on Adam Instability in Large-Scale Machine Learning
> Don’t many/most state of the art models take many months to train on far more data than humans need for similar tasks?

Humans generally need 18 years of pre training followed by 4-6 years of fine tuning before they can “one-shot” many difficult tasks. That’s way more training than any machine learning model I’m aware of.

Even for tasks like reading the newspaper and summarizing what you read, you probably had to train for 10-12 years.

landryraccoon··on Necessary Illusions: Thought Control in Democratic Societies [pdf]
If legality is stopping them then you have nothing to fear. They can’t legally hack your computer for visiting their public site either.
landryraccoon··on Necessary Illusions: Thought Control in Democratic Societies [pdf]
I just don’t get how the risk/reward works out in their favor.

The uproar if their malfeasance is detected is far more than the value of any information they would gain.

Wouldn’t it be far simpler and more direct for them to go to Google or Facebook and ask them to hand over everything they have on you, at which point those companies almost certainly comply?

landryraccoon··on Necessary Illusions: Thought Control in Democratic Societies [pdf]
You don’t think that China and Russia are thoroughly analyzing everything posted on the CIA site?
landryraccoon··on Necessary Illusions: Thought Control in Democratic Societies [pdf]
Really? I would think the opposite.

Anything posted on the CIA website will be thoroughly analyzed by state agencies that are well funded and well equipped to find shenanigans. If the CIA were really doing something to US citizens via something on their public site, it would come out very quickly as it would be an embarrassment to the agency.

Unless you mean that the mere act of visiting the CIA website would be suspicious because you are in a country that might frown upon that, like China? But wouldn’t the CIA site be blocked there anyway?

landryraccoon··on Do you know how much your computer can do in a second? (2015)
We’ve already been to space, so it has happened with current physics.

I suppose the question is where do you want to go and how much luggage do you want to take with you?

landryraccoon··on McDonald's just dropped a brand new Game Boy game
That makes perfect sense to me.

McDonalds obviously made the game in the hope that it will sell more hamburgers. If you buy a hamburger, their strategy worked, which means they (and other companies that are watching) have a reason to do similar things in the future.

What’s weird about incentivizing behavior you like in the hope that you get more of that behavior?

landryraccoon··on Reflections on Ten Years Past the Snowden Revelations
> A decade later, participation in elite circles like media, academia, and politics is based on how convincingly one can be seen to parrot obvious untruths, not because anyone believes them at all, but because it signals status to be able to lie to the faces of people who know you are doing it, and still say nothing.

I don’t understand this. Can you elaborate on what untruths you mean? Who’s parroting these lies?

landryraccoon··on Scientists Use GPT AI to Passively Read People's Thoughts in Breakthrough
This technology has tremendous potential for good. It’s not all nefarious.

People who are paralyzed or suffering from neurodegenerative diseases might have a chance of regaining independence. New treatments for mental health diseases could be a benefit as well.

landryraccoon··on Exercise increases number of immune cells in cancer patients
Good food I can see as a luxury. How is exercise a luxury though? It seems like going for a walk or a run is available to almost everyone.

If anything it seems like those on the lower income level would be forced to be outside doing physical activity more than the wealthy.

landryraccoon··on MRI brain images become 64M times sharper
I still don’t get it.

If MRIs lead to unnecessary biopsies, then don’t do the biopsy. What exactly does the data show? If doing a test leads to an unnecessary biopsy, how can it be the test’s fault? Tests aren’t moral agents. The MRI machine can’t make any healthcare decisions for anyone.

landryraccoon··on MRI brain images become 64M times sharper
This is a really weird claim to me. It can’t be about the MRI itself, it must be about the surrounding politics or legal environment.

How can it ever be bad to have more objective data? Having a test result to ignore is still strictly better than not testing at all. You still have the option to ignore or discount the test results if you want to. If you’re forced to do otherwise that’s entirely a human problem, not a technological one.

landryraccoon··on Facebook LLAMA is being openly distributed via torrents
> the "personhood" of what people generally find to be implausible bullshit generators

If this was the dividing line for personhood, many human beings wouldn't qualify as people.

landryraccoon··on Facebook LLAMA is being openly distributed via torrents
So I need to ask the obvious question, why does it make sense to play this game “to win”?

Throughout human history, humans have been making up shibboleths to distinguish the in group from the out group. You can use skin color, linguistic accents, favorite sports teams, religious dogma, and a million other criteria.

But why? Why even start there? If we are on the verge of true general artificial intelligence, why would you start from a presumption of prejudice, rather than judging on some set of ethical merits for personhood, such as empathy, intelligence, creativity, self awareness and so forth?

Is it that you assume there will be an “us verses them” battle, and you want the battle lines to be clearly drawn?

We seem to be quite ready for AGI as inferiors, incapable of preparing for AGIs as superiors, and unwilling to consider AGIs as equals.

landryraccoon··on Gattaca is still pertinent 25 years later
That part of the movie actually makes perfect sense to me.

In the real world, the vast majority of people are quick to misinterpret scientific findings to reinforce their own biases. Gattaca is the story of a world where the "Others" in that society are those who are not genetically engineered to culturally acceptable standards.

IMHO it is a very human and believable part of the story that most of society will simply choose to go along with being bigoted against the out group, and not spend the extra time and effort to figure out if their biases are actually correct. In the story, Anton tells Vincent his parents died assuming that he had died young, because the doctors told them he would.

landryraccoon··on Google testing ChatGPT-like chatbot 'Apprentice Bard' with employees
> You really think in <10 years

We have no idea how AI models will be in 10 years. At the speed the industry is moving is true AGI possible in 10 years? I think it would be beyond arrogant to rule out that possibility.

I would think that it's at least likely that AI models become better at Devops, monitoring and deployment than any human being.

landryraccoon··on Amazon tops Netflix as biggest subscription streamer in U.S.
I assume this is because they bundle their streaming service with Amazon Prime? I use it maybe once a year compared to considerably more often for Netflix.
landryraccoon··on Twitter in chaos as employees accept Musk’s invitation to quit their jobs
I can't disagree more with this take.

The benefits and salaries that Twitter employees get are just the free market at work. Google, Amazon, Facebook and Apple don't pay big bucks and give huge perks because they're liberal, they do it because it's the only way to retain talented employees.

The take is hypocritical at it's core. Musk himself is an extremely privileged billionaire. Under the same principle that Musk deserves his wealth, Twitter employees deserve every penny of compensation and every hour of time off that they get.

Musk doesn't get that. He's going to utterly fail because the engineers at Twitter have other options. They don't have to work there. They worked there because they were getting competitive benefits and salary. Musk is cutting that just because he doesn't like the rate. Ok, fine, but don't be surprised when your company falls apart and you can't hire anyone as a result.

landryraccoon··on FBI Monitored Aretha Franklin for Years, File Shows
> (homicides are up like 60% compared to the pre-BLM days).

Where are you getting this statistic? A quick google search doesn’t show any such surge in the murder rate in the United States. 60% is a very large increase. I would expect this stat to have huge ripple effects if it were true.

landryraccoon··on Dear Chess World
That argument doesn’t make sense to me. If someone has acknowledged that they will cheat when there are NO stakes, why does that make it less likely they will cheat if something is on the line?

If anything someone who is already known to cheat “just because” is even more likely to cheat when there is something to gain.

landryraccoon··on The collapse of cryptokitties, the first big blockchain game
You don’t have the Byzantine generals problem with a centralized database.

Whatever the database says is authoritative.

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