1,568 karma · joined January 3, 2013
Edit: Found this http://arxiv.org/ftp/arxiv/papers/1403/1403.1211.pdf
Even at the current cost of PV and the current electricity prices, residential PV generation amortises in areas where a lot of air conditioning is required. This basically applies to the entire south west of the US.
The problems rather seem to be ignorance and an unwilligness to see a house as a long term investment.
1) The solar cell has to stable for 20 years in the field, not the 5 minutes it requires to collect the data for your publication.
2) You have to make 200 million cells per year with a yield >98%. Can you really do that?
3) Manufacturing cost on paper and in reality are two completely different things. Reducing material consumption is good, but it is not the only cost driver. Again: YIELD.
The first point is something that can be partially answered with a lot of additional research. Doable by a university, but often much more frustrating than the research they'd really want to do.
The only answer to the last two points is to try it on a large scale. And people did that for many technologies, see Nanosolar, Solyndra and many more. The problem is that so many failed, that currently nobody is willing to invest in new PV technologies.
Right now there is only silicon, CIGS thing film and CdTe thin film on the market. I doubt that a new technology is going to become relevant anytime soon as all of these technologies still have some room to breathe.
The article mentions, that 15 years passed without a new efficiency record in Si based solar cells. This is completely meaningless until that number is approached by mass manufactured cells.
What an odd classification.
BUT: This has been done years ago for under $1 (the price of a nRF24L01 board) by using a nRF24L01 itself.
http://travisgoodspeed.blogspot.de/2011/02/promiscuity-is-nr...
No, it does not say that.
Having published for 40 years with only very few citations means that his works were either irrelevant or only found extremely limited circulation. Both makes the claims less trustworthy. However, on the other hand, Perelman...
Wouldn't one expect this to be reported either after a successful peer review or after publication of a preprint?
His citation index is not very convincing either http://scholar.google.com/citations?user=CU2sU8YAAAAJ
Smells fishy.
No, there may be an inflection point in the metric "cost per standardized transistor". But this does not equal "cost per function".
There are manys way to utilize transistors more efficiently or still make them smaller while performing the same function. You have to realize that not all transistors in a chip are of minimum size due to circuit design requirements. Furthermore, only a fraction of the transistors are actually involved in performing the logic function you see from the outside. There is an increasing number of transistors spent on "housekeeping" functions such as clock distribution, power gating, bus drivers etc.
All of these can be improved by working on circuit design, improved layout software, optimzing the materials in the transistors etc. Of course this is less straightfoward than simply making the transistors smaller and therefore more expensive. Therefore we are going to see diminishing returns, but there will not be an inflexion point in the business model of the entire industriy.
http://www.techdesignforums.com/blog/2013/12/10/graphene-get...
(This is pretty different from what academia tells you...)
http://www.brightsideofnews.com/Data/2011_5_6/Intel-Manufact...
This is not true. In the past, process optimization was straight forward: Make smaller transistors. The free ride ended with the 130 nm node more than ten years ago. Since then, manufacturers had to introduce new features to allow them to make transistors smaller. As you also noted, this leads to higher costs, and the economics did not scale proportional to Moores law anymore.
But: This has been going on for more than a decade. The technology did not fall off a cliff and it will not do so in the near future. Even if it is not possible to make transistors smaller, it is still possible to introduce new technological features to make them better and improve their area efficiency. There are still plenty of options, even without classical scaling aka Moores Law.
TL;DR: Nothing will go poof. We are going to see a less steep gradient, but this is part of a process that started ten years ago.
- II-VI channel materials on silicon
- Finfet, Nanowire FETS (the top down variant, not the academic bottom up version.)
- RRAM (Memristors are a sub-class of these devices. Memristors mainly exist in the PR department of HP)
- TSV integration
- 3D Flash
- Memory integrated processers (see Microns Automata)
Btw, is it also a requirement for students in India to send out a specific number of applications? I get a lot of phd position applications from indian students as response to my publications. They look like mass emails and are usually absolutely unrelated to the field.
I have published quite a bit in the physical sciences/engineering field and in my experience the IEEE journals have a far better peer review process than AIP, ACS, Elsevier and even NPG. The same goes for the conferences.
No, absolutely not. Looking at the web site immediately raises two red flags:
1) It's a multi-topic conference. Usually these fall into two categories: Undergrad conferences and money-making scams. Participating in neither of them is "a big achievement"
2) The submission deadline is 9 days before the conference starts and three days before the registrations deadline. This would give them 2-3 days for the peer review process? That's is close to impossible.
I love this book. The CDC6600 was the first architecture to implement many of paradigms that were later assigned to the RISC architecture. And Cray did it 15 years earler.
I think you are completely missing the point here. Erdős chose to live like that. The title "the man who only loved numbers" is not a hyperbole.
But maybe a bit too far fetched on the "Robot Dream". The way the silicon in Silicon Valley was seeded is by Shockley Labs and its (lack of proper) management.
He uploaded an unreleased movie that has not been released otherwise, thereby causing significant damage to the original producers. Furthermore he got fined extra to due uploading the film in bad quality, thereby damaging reputation.