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kennywinker

11,251 karma · joined December 27, 2010

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kennywinker··on Living off-grid: Hundred Rabbits
Absolutely no hate to these people - their projects are very interesting, and if this is how you want to live by all means do it!

But i gotta say, living off grid is fundamentally solipsist. Abandoning society rather than attempting to live well within society will always be a dead end. Imo. It’s easy to say you’ll go it alone, but staying and improving it for not just yourself but for everyone else is more valuable.

kennywinker··on OpenTPU – An open-source AI accelerator, developed by AI
I’m not “leaving them out” i literally just don’t know anything about them.

And yes i am skeptical as a default on this subject. But still - photos don’t actually tell the whole story. What was the cost? How was the project schedule? Etc.

kennywinker··on OpenTPU – An open-source AI accelerator, developed by AI
Idk, has china printed houses successfully? And if there are reports of that can we trust that the information hasn’t been gov altered to make a failure seem like a success?
kennywinker··on OpenTPU – An open-source AI accelerator, developed by AI
Afaik all the 3d printed houses have been expensive disasters.
kennywinker··on OpenTPU – An open-source AI accelerator, developed by AI
Doing what? Making something with ai: enjoy your 20,000 competitors. Making something without ai: who can buy it?
kennywinker··on Nearly 200 people under observation after Irkutsk lab worker dies from plague
That's an issue when you listen to health officials (political appointments) or intelligence services. I want to listen to actual virologists - the people who have worked or are working in the kind of labs it might have leaked from.

The reality is nobody can say confidently that it did, or that it didn't leak from a lab. Absence of evidence isn't evidence of absence. But what virologists can say with some degree of confidence is that covid was probably NOT the product of genetic manipulation.

So if there's no evidence it was the subject of research, all we are left with is the coincidence of the wet market and the lab being a 40 minute drive away from each other.

kennywinker··on Anthropic wants your thoughts on AI
I mean literally anything that can be twisted into an argument for regulatory capture:

"stop building ai data centers because of the environmental damage" -> "we need to pace the frontier"

"don't build AGI and doom us all" -> "we need to pace the frontier"

"stop shoving ai into everything" -> "we need to pace the frontier"

"eat poo dario" -> "we need to pace the frontier"

kennywinker··on Anthropic wants your thoughts on AI
Associate your advertising profile across the web with opinions about ai, check.

Gain ammo for regulatory capture from anti-ai sentiment, check.

Market research from pro ai people, check.

A bunch of new signups to fuel user numbers, check.

Advertising for their new survey product, check.

A bunch of new stolen training data, check.

Me participating in this scam? Uncheck.

kennywinker··on Nearly 200 people under observation after Irkutsk lab worker dies from plague
Please, send a google translate link where the majority of virologists in a country/language say the genetic evidence points to a lab leak.

I have no idea what “ whether there are still in service or not.” means

kennywinker··on Nearly 200 people under observation after Irkutsk lab worker dies from plague
> And I always felt like this.

Hence you looked for evidence that matched and dismissed evidence that doesn't match.

Unless you can tell me that the majority of virologists agree it was a lab leak, I'm going to go with their majority opinion - which last I checked was that it couldn't possibly be a lab leak for specific genetic reasons.

kennywinker··on Understanding Frontier Artificial Intelligence
> In fact, AI is contributing to cutting edge understanding of gravity

After the https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Navier%E2%80%93Stokes_priority... it's pretty hard to take stories like that at face value. There is ample motivation to bend the truth. Maybe it is what it looks like, maybe it isn't.

kennywinker··on Federal judge calls Flock 'indiscriminate mass surveillance'
The Wire was notoriously well reviewed by lawyers.

https://www.cato.org/blog/patriot-powers-roving-wiretaps

> For an ordinary non-roving wiretap, that means you show a judge the “nexus” between evidence of a crime and a particular “place” (a phone line, an e‑mail address, or a physical location you want to bug). You will often have a named target, but you don’t need one: If you have good evidence gang members are meeting in some location or routinely using a specific payphone to plan their crimes, you can get a warrant to bug it without necessarily knowing the names of the individuals who are going to show up. On the other hand, though, you do always need that criminal nexus: No bugging Tony Soprano’s AA meeting unless you have some reason to think he’s discussing his mob activity there. Since places and communications facilities may be used for both criminal and innocent persons, the officer monitoring the facility is only supposed to record what’s pertinent to the investigation.

kennywinker··on Run Qwen 3.8 Flash Next (125B) on consumer hardware (RTX 4090) at 100T/s
125b at q2 is ~80gb

27b at q4 is ~16gb

So from a raw amount of data, qwen3.8-flash-next wins easily. But flash-next is an MoE model, so it only has 6b parameters active per token, vs 27b's dense 27b per token. So 27b@q4 uses ~16gb of weights per token, and flash-next uses about 4gb of weights (125/80 * 6).

But those numbers don't really tell us anything useful, because there is an interplay between total model size and active parameters and intelligence that isn't obvious or simple.

(sizes are based on the unsloth quants, not the coder variant, but the idea holds - this isn't calculatable with simple math, you gotta test them and see)

kennywinker··on Run Qwen 3.8 Flash Next (125B) on consumer hardware (RTX 4090) at 100T/s
I'm sure one of those inference engines will add support for this within a month or so.
kennywinker··on Run Qwen 3.8 Flash Next (125B) on consumer hardware (RTX 4090) at 100T/s
Yeah, -10% accuracy (probably more like -20% in reality) sucks, but only if you could be running it at 100%.

That's the exciting part of this - before the best you could run on <24gb vram was qwen3.8-27b at q4 quantization. Now you can run a nerfed 125B parameter model on under $800 of hardware, and it beats a less-nerfed 27b model.

kennywinker··on Run Qwen 3.8 Flash Next (125B) on consumer hardware (RTX 4090) at 100T/s
It's not crazy to imagine something like that, but something's gotta change before it can happen.

Either the 5090 part - new hardware that's tuned for AI specifically. But we won't see that until the datacenter buildout collapses or finishes, since they are buying up all of TSMCs capacity.

Or perhaps it comes from the model. 1-2 years ago it would be inconceivable to use a 27b model for coding and expect any kind of usable results. Today, I have a model that feels like it crosses the threshold from a toy to a tool, and i can run it on dated pro-sumer hardware. I don't think we'll ever see SOTA on consumer hardware, but as the small models cross more and more thresholds the gap will matter less and less.

kennywinker··on Run Qwen 3.8 Flash Next (125B) on consumer hardware (RTX 4090) at 100T/s
There are options. If you have fast CPU RAM (ddr5) and PCIe bus you can run Qwen3.6-35b-a3b at good speeds+~100k context (I have a friend who is running this setup). If not, you're stuck with the much smaller models: Ling-3.0-tiny, Spark-X2.5-4B, LFM2.5 in 8b-a1b or 2.6b, and FrogNano-4B-2609 looks promising. But 6GB is a tough squeeze, 8gb is a lot cleaner, and if you have 12gb you can run strata like OP.
kennywinker··on Run Qwen 3.8 Flash Next (125B) on consumer hardware (RTX 4090) at 100T/s
Everyone's definition of usable is different, but I disagree with your estimation of the specs required to be useful. I am able to do useful coding on Qwen3.8-27b, with 100k context and 16gb VRAM, q8 cache. I feel I'm living right on the cusp... my GPU is old (2016, pascal), so to get usable speeds I have to drop to a Q2 quant - which still gets stuff done, but the difference with q4 is noticeable. Q3 is close enough I don't really notice the difference between it and Q4, but it's too slow on my system. More context would be nice, but it's not that hard to work within ~100k.
kennywinker··on Federal judge calls Flock 'indiscriminate mass surveillance'
Ok bud.
kennywinker··on Federal judge calls Flock 'indiscriminate mass surveillance'
Oh absolutely. Non-cloud cameras are far less prone to abuse. But to say you control the footage isn’t entirely true. For instance, if the government wanted to build a case against you for something you’ve done they didn't like…
kennywinker··on Federal judge calls Flock 'indiscriminate mass surveillance'
Weird, TV show hosts seem to be admissible as presidents.
kennywinker··on Federal judge calls Flock 'indiscriminate mass surveillance'
> What can make them suck is authorities abusing them to do enforce arbitrary, unpredictable ideals that are not part of the law,

That’s crime. Doesn’t make it into the stats tho

kennywinker··on Federal judge calls Flock 'indiscriminate mass surveillance'
Orthanc, but maybe we just go with “frodo but evil” https://theonion.com/creatively-tapped-out-peter-thiel-launc...
kennywinker··on Federal judge calls Flock 'indiscriminate mass surveillance'
> And I get to choose if I want to share that with them

Are you sure about that?

Not sure where you are what laws specifically apply, but I believe you could be compelled to hand over footage, and jailed for obstruction or destruction of evidence if you didn’t.

Just a thought - you may have less control than you think.

kennywinker··on Federal judge calls Flock 'indiscriminate mass surveillance'
> and we can't pay infinity taxes as an extortion racket, to prevent the bottom worst 2% of society from harming us, just because we refuse to lock them up out of misplaced empathy.

Instead let’s pay infinity taxes locking everyone up!

You won’t find me disagreeing there are some people who are going to commit crime no matter what - i will argue its a lot less than 2%, but whatever let’s go with 2%. What I arguing about is treating the other 98% of people like criminals in need of constant watching, rather than giving them the tools they need to succeed.

> The presence of cameras means a higher chance the perp will get identified and caught and locked up unable to harm another person

Defeated by a $0.15 surgical mask and some mud on the license plate. Meanwhile the gov corruption crime rate spikes because no whistleblower can speak to a journalist without being tracked.

kennywinker··on Federal judge calls Flock 'indiscriminate mass surveillance'
No, instead i turn around and say “there’s a flock camera on the street and a ring doorbell, i am surveilled wherever i go! No need to stab me!”

We’ve tried increasing surveillance and policing, it does not prevent people from being robbed and stabbed. Could we try funding social services now? We’ve never really done that.

kennywinker··on Federal judge calls Flock 'indiscriminate mass surveillance'
We found that by putting all humans in cages with no ability to contact eachother or interact with the outside world crime fell to almost zero.
kennywinker··on Federal judge calls Flock 'indiscriminate mass surveillance'
> For this case the guy was inside a phone booth rather than out in the open.

Is warrantless wiretapping of open-air payphones legal? Based on the TV show the wire, it's not.

kennywinker··on Federal judge calls Flock 'indiscriminate mass surveillance'
> The same way I can put a Ring camera on my door

If your door films the street, this is something that should be considered an invasion of your neighbour's privacy. The fact that it isn't is... disappointing.

Especially given the networked nature of those cameras. The police can access them by asking amazon permission, they don't need to ask you. Are you comfortable with that? I am not.

kennywinker··on Federal judge calls Flock 'indiscriminate mass surveillance'
Frankly, the TSAs security theater should not be taken as an example of reasonable gov behaviour.
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