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kaibee

1,704 karma · joined February 6, 2018

[ my public key: https://keybase.io/kybe; my proof: https://keybase.io/kybe/sigs/QLAaqXJlw-XNXT_PQMqAZRq4R8qF4Tp9MVq4d4aq25E ]

meet.hn/city/us-Conshohocken

Interests: Data Science, Art, AR/VR, AI/ML, Fintech, Gaming, Hacking, Hardware, Philosophy, Programming, Science, Space Tech, Web Development

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kaibee··on Humane AI Pin
Directional speakers exist and are very effective actually. Whether this device is using one, I have no idea.
kaibee··on It's perfectly legal for cars to harvest your texts, call logs
If only there was some giant naturally occurring fusion reactor that we could siphon a bit of power from to power our things.
kaibee··on AI is about to change how you use computers
Anyone who thinks it's a wise financial decision to bet against fools is gonna lose a lot of money.
kaibee··on Sharing Screen with GPT 4 vision
Not even close. You can look at the Llama v2 training curves and its clear that even 7B models are still under-trained and they themselves have only been trained on 2T tokens. A 70B or whatever size/model amalgamation GPT-4 is also likely under-trained.

Apart from just plain under-training, there's that whole 'grokking' phenomenon that's been observed in smaller models, where it looks like they're not really improving for a long time, but _eventually_ suddenly undergo a massive improvement. I don't know if anyone has been willing to set enough cash on fire to see if grokking can happen in a large LLM and/or how long it would need to be trained for.

There's also still a lot of juice left in improving the quality of datasets and in training on larger data sets. OpenAI, having built GPT-4, probably want to work on some applications of it given that they have enough of a lead on everyone else. I think there's definitely a few "burn piles of cash to train a better model" buttons at OpenAI right now, but they have no reason to use them when they're clearly in the lead anyway.

There's also the actual limiting factor: there are only so many A100s/H100s in the world, but the amount is growing.

kaibee··on Seeing like a bank
Yes, but when I deposit $100 with @Bank (ie, effectively lending $100 to the bank), they aren't loaning out $10 to a couple people, they're lending out $100 to a couple people, because they did the math and figured that they can get most of those people to pay them back before I ask them for my $100 back. This is all well and good, but they really are creating money out of thin air when they're loaning out more money than they actually have on hand.
kaibee··on Sam Bankman-Fried Convicted
Yeah... but otoh, being a lower level peon shouldn't be a get out of jail free card. The incentive is then 'well as long as i flip on the big guy if he gets caught, i can make some nice piles of money in the mean time and maybe i can exit before it blows up anyway'
kaibee··on Yann LeCun: AI one-percenters seizing power forever is real doomsday scenario
It tends to be a lot easier to destroy than create, because entropy sucks like that.
kaibee··on Big landlords used software to collude on rent prices, DC lawsuit says
> The difference is the software/forums encouraged the landlords to all leave more units empty then they normally would to raise prices.

Well, in a working market, you'd have more supply get built up by developers and those landlords would lose pricing power. Or it could still fail in the other direction, people would find the area too expensive and find jobs elsewhere. I think my take here is if the landlords each had, competent, ruthless capitalist employees, they would end up setting the price just as high as RealPage, because RealPage doesn't actually have any kind of mechanism to enforce compliance with the cartel structure.

kaibee··on Big landlords used software to collude on rent prices, DC lawsuit says
Repercussions for who? The employee in charge of pricing or the real estate company?
kaibee··on Big landlords used software to collude on rent prices, DC lawsuit says
Eh. Is it collusion to look at the prices for similar properties on craigslist/zillow and then set your rate accordingly? Is it collusion to pay someone to do that part for you? My initial reaction was that yes what they're doing is collusion, but in a supply limited market, prices going up due to market pressure is the same thing.

Essentially isn't the company at this point just acting as a market maker, by figuring out the market clearing price where as many units as possible are filled at the highest price?

kaibee··on Mint is shutting down, and it's pushing users toward Credit Karma
> As an FE, I have always held their design org in high regard. And I can't possibly imagine a government agency doing better.

I'm always so conflicted because the flow is really nice but I feel so patronized the entire time. I'm half expecting next year's TurboTax to have skinner-box mechanics plagiarized from mobile games.

kaibee··on Mint is shutting down, and it's pushing users toward Credit Karma
> This behavior has fully converted me from "optimistic early adopter" to "late majority" on the Adopter Categories chart.

Hadn't seen it put so clearly but yeah same. Not even limited to tech unfortunately, same issue with TV Shows. Why watch Season 1 set up a bunch of cool premises if there's not gonna be any pay-off?

kaibee··on Xbox will block third-party controllers to "preserve the console experience"
> "Won't someone please think of the children^W cheaters?" This argument is preposterous. If you want to solve multiplayer game cheating, there's no solution other than to make your game fully server-based and stream a video feed to the client."

This isn't really enough these days. There's proof-of-concept videos on YouTube of people developing ML-Image Recognition aimbots that move a physical mouse.

kaibee··on Xbox will block third-party controllers to "preserve the console experience"
> I think Valve gets way too much credit. They haven't abused their market position as much as they could have but they did normalize always-online DRM schemes.

Always online DRM schemes were inevitable and even with Steam its ultimately the developer's choice. There's plenty of Steam games where you can just run the .exe from the folder without even having Steam running. And let's never go back to the bad-old-days of needing to download the latest patch from the developer's website.

> CS2 skin trading is also a hive of illegal/underage gambling and scams.

This is not ideal, but back in the day it was RuneScape scams, etc. I'm not sure whether it's actually better to have kids who've been wholly sheltered from gambling until they're 21 then be suddenly allowed to gamble. Ideally, we wouldn't have gambling for adults either tbh, but maybe there's something to the idea of needing to develop in a world where you're exposed to that kinda thing and are more immune to it when older? Or maybe its the other way around. Also kinda rings hollow if we're marketing trading-card games to kids, which are also definitely gambling.

kaibee··on Judge pares down artists' AI copyright lawsuit against Midjourney, Stability AI
The colour of the bits is different. https://ansuz.sooke.bc.ca/entry/23
kaibee··on The product manager role is a mistake
> in charge of planing, execution and governance of a project. They don’t define any of the goals or vision.

This sounds like if you were trying to hire a race-car driver instead hired two people, and put one of them in charge of steering to the left and the other in charge of steering to the right.

kaibee··on Cities Skylines 2 runs with 20fps on an Nvidia RTX4090
If it were doing a ton of compute-shader simulation on GPU to actually increase the fidelity of the simulation that would be one thing, but having a badly implemented graphics pipeline isn't that.
kaibee··on SpaceX Starship Super Heavy Project at the Boca Chica Launch Site
> I think one could make the case that the government must compensate landowners for putative environmental restrictions. After all, if it's really that important, surely the taxpayers would be willing to pay for it, right? Why make the landowner foot the bill for something that benefits everyone else?

If you listen really close, you can hear Henry George spinning in his grave from the existence of this comment.

kaibee··on California suspends Cruise's autonomous vehicle deployment
An ML model to differentiate human-in-pain screaming from other noise sounds like scifi-satire.
kaibee··on Psychedelic Mushrooms Hit the Market in Oregon
> Yeah, that's the thing, who knows?

> So who has any right to ridicule anyone else for having a different perspective?>

> Just choose whatever narrative that floats your boat and live and let live.

Sometimes the right answer is that there isn't enough information to choose, therefore making it 'objectively' correct.

kaibee··on The ten year anniversary of the Healthcare.gov rescue
This is unfair to all of the Republicans who refused to vote for the plan too.
kaibee··on The ten year anniversary of the Healthcare.gov rescue
> both ideologies have failed miserably.

Y'know the ACA originally had a public option in the bill. Guess which side killed that? Why did we even need an ACA-with-private-insurance-companies anyway? The ACA was initially copy of what was implemented in Massachusetts by Mitt Romney. It's frustrating that Democrats had to compromise just to end up with a system that only somewhat better than what it replaced, and then get blamed for the result.

kaibee··on They can and will ruin everything you love
> from the additional value its capital is able to generate on top of the labour value.

Can you provide a concrete example of capital generating value without the involvement of any labor?

kaibee··on Please Pay for a Year of Nothing
> This was also the period where Netflix et al discovered that shows become more costly to make and less likely to get brand-new subscribers around season 3.

This isn't the only reason I stopped watching shows, but its certainly a contributing factor. Kinda gets old seeing some cool first season setup a bunch of interesting story arcs, great show, etc and then cancelled.

kaibee··on Detroit wants to be the first big American city to tax land value
> One implication of what you write seems to be that every property owner is incentevized to NIMBY any improvements to the area that they don't care about. For example, if I am "child free" I will now oppose the building of schools and playgrounds on the basis that they make my LVT go up with no benefit to me.

This already happens just with more economic inefficiency under a property-tax regime. People already vote against improvements that would cause their taxes to go up.

kaibee··on Detroit wants to be the first big American city to tax land value
> They should implement a blight tax or a vacant land tax instead.

A land value tax is a much more elegant solution. For one, it doesn't introduce the problem of needing to define 'vacant land'. Is a parking lot vacant land? etc

kaibee··on The Price-Fixing Economy
Every application already believes its at address 0 and can allocate as much memory as it wants. This is literally fractional reserve banking applied to memory management. Seems to be ok.
kaibee··on The Price-Fixing Economy
The "Rules of Acquisition" are a Star Trek reference actually, so they actually predate that other Rule 34.

*disclaimer: not a trekkie, just a pedant

kaibee··on The midwit home
Not sure if this is the one OP has but:

[https://www.homedepot.com/p/Schlage-Camelot-Satin-Nickel-Ele...]

I had one on my house growing up from like 2007-2012, rock solid. Bought a house this year and the first thing I did was install these on the front and back doors. Seems like it's exactly the same model that was being sold in 2007 (which is still on my childhood home and going strong btw).

kaibee··on AI hype is built on flawed test scores
Seems to handle it easily. https://chat.openai.com/share/4d8ab2af-f824-44c8-9311-e3893c...
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