jpatt

The Growth aspect mentioned is that VCs are subsidizing the bill right now, so it is hard to know if at the current moment the demand curve would promote as much usage without it, but assuming demand remained constant (not even growing), you could expect token prices to be competed down. It is a commodity without a moat.

Now that we have pretty decent open source models, anyone can create a new business to supply more tokens. Sure there’s short term scarcity: energy, GPUs, cooling, but this is a scale up problem. More token demand = more data center build = more energy plant build. This downward pressure will also keep frontier private model prices in check.

Differentiation seems to be happening at the harness level, whereby we can expect token spend to be a metric to compete on and drive down for the customer (at least hoping tools in the application space don’t continue token based billing as their primary revenue stream).

These are not short term hyper growth forces, but a fundamental alignment of incentives.

Right, from this article: https://www.nytimes.com/2023/01/27/world/europe/eurostar-bre...

The main difference is that pre-2021 UK travellers simply had to show travel documents whereas now they have to get them stamped.

On the surface, it isn't clear to me why that makes much of a difference in service time, but the CEO of Eurostar pointed a finger to these changes in January: https://www.bbc.com/news/business-64390979, claiming their trains carry 30% fewer passengers due to station bottlenecks.

And yes, they claim the EES checks should help speed this bottleneck.

You can still take the train from London to Amsterdam so you only have to feel half as bad.

I am just echoing the article:

  There will not be sufficient space to handle London-bound passengers at the station, given the more intensive post-Brexit formalities.

Not sure about the space intensity of pre- vs post-Brexit controls to fact-check the article.

The line itself isn't being serviced, it is the station. UK-bound lines take up excessive space due to Brexit-related security controls, so there isn't enough space for both the security and the construction areas.

They're still running the line from London to Amsterdam, which is why the line is still running and why the trains have to deadhead back.

Globally, your stance is very elitist. Only about 18% of the world has a car.

https://www.pd.com.au/blogs/how-many-cars-in-the-world/

North America is already auto-dependent and EVs are an important piece of the puzzle for that region. Their point is that EVs won’t possibly work resource or cost-wise when that 82% inevitably gets richer and asks, “what about me?”

I think you're reading a lot more into my comment than is there, tbh.

The comment I'm replying to said something to the effect of: "this may be a good thing because by democratizing highly paid professions, lower income workers will be lifted."

My comment said something to the effect of: "I disagree, I think capital owners will simply get more rich and the middle class will collapse further without raising anyone."

Of course our society doesn't give service workers a fair shake. My partner worked in a grocery store for a large chunk of our relationship. The schedule inconsistency, the sleep deprivation, the lack of healthcare, no vacation, no real sick leave, and on. Much of my family works in blue collar oil positions. There you're paid a bit better, but you throw away your body to make a dime. I know.

I'm just not convinced the default outcome of automating some knowledge workers is that magically somehow that makes everyone's lives better. I think legislative change of some kind would have to happen if that's the outcome we want.

I don't really think law, medicine, and software engineering are the main drivers of wage inequality, though. If the lowest wage was minimum wage and the highest wage was a programmer salary, the Americas would be a very equitable economy.

Automating America's remaining paths to the middle class will only serve to widen the gap between capital owners who will own infrastructure for automation and those shoved into a shrinking piece of the unautomated pie.

Sounds a lot more like a project or program manager than a product manager.

The person you were replying to is directly advocating for finding work elsewhere?

This video: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mu-tJc-BgaI does not make the emergency release look very obvious at all.

That's kind of their job, though, right? Couldn't you have the same complaint about doctors, pilots, or engineers who try to write? Writing isn't what they do.

Just seems like there will never be a Scotsman capable of appeasing this standard.

Not sure where you are based, but in the US I know a lot of schools shoot for the ABET accrediting guidelines[0]. They directly call out the areas you're asking about:

  Exposure to computer architecture and organization, information management, networking and communication, operating systems, and parallel and distributed computing.

But they only require "exposure" to these concepts whereas algorithms, theory, programming languages, etc are required to be "substantial." Which matches with your perceptions:

  It seems most are exposed to them partially through project work but without the base knowledge.

[0] https://www.abet.org/accreditation/accreditation-criteria/cr...

Eh, steel manning the role it kind of just sounds like a TPM. When roles are crisply defined, a good TPM has been a life changer for my job satisfaction. You basically get permission to farm out a lot of the most annoying parts of the job--status update forums, timeline management, and dependency wrangling--to another person who does it full time.

One of the most disappointing parts of moving away from .NET for work was the loss of NCrunch. That one tool made Red-Green-Refactor a breeze.

In Ruby/Java it is certainly a bit more of a chore to remember to do.

If anything, the modern management structure more closely resembles a mini-communist state than a capitalist system.

Each department's revenue goes into a shared pool, which is distributed amongst the company in annual planning cycles by an unelected board of representatives. Who gets what is as much a function of meritocratic principles like department revenue as it is of who happens to have senior leadership's ear that year (how many times have executives been convinced X is the future, we need more X, with no concrete performance to back that up?).

There are some larger, more sophisticated companies that break this mold, but more the exception than the rule, I think.

This comment reminded me of a neat video I saw where reconstructing the past is the explicit intention: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Ajqort8ldXA.

Starting from 1997, they picked a year 1229 as the simulated start date, then worked to build a castle using, for the most part, only extraction, refinement, and building practices from that year. They may adopt new technologies as they were found in 1230, 1231, etc. as the years progress.

Apparently some of the folks restoring Notre Dame went to apprentice there for a little while to learn some of the woodworking techniques needed for their work on the cathedral.

A few points I'm skeptical of:

  simply connect to the seller’s infra instead of locking them in.

One of the value-adds of Amazon is there's a whole bunch of tech sellers don't need to know how to write, run, and maintain. You'd need to understand how big the niche "technically literate to run their own e-commerce business, but selling on Amazon for other reasons" is, then how your operation would answer those "other reasons" to make you competitive to the niche.

  If, for some reason, the seller is removed from the marketplace, their software stays with them and they can continue accepting orders directly.

Apart from the software systems, there's a whole bunch of basic business processes that Amazon takes care of, which are less portable. Using FBA? Leaving means learning how to run a warehouse, shipping logistics, pricing, staffing, etc. Not using FBA? How's your Marketing department doing? Hopefully you didn't let it get too anemic or too fitted to "people who are good at gaming Amazon's algorithm."

In short, if your value add is: "Amazon, but you get to take the tech home with you if you leave the platform," then that feels like a small niche of highly competent businesses, then you're stuck with "well if they could do all this on their own anyway, why are they choosing Amazon?"

Hope that helps and wasn't just me blabbering. Good luck!

A nude beach self-selects for people who think that public nudity is not a big deal. You are choosing to be nude around a bunch of people who probably won't care. If only they know about your nudity, no negative consequence is likely to befall you.

Outside of your time at a nude beach, you deal with all sorts of people who may think it is a big deal and judge you for that. It may be in your interest to keep such people out of the know of your time at the nude beach. Think neighbors, employers, other parents in your PTA.

Because nothing in life is allowed to be simple, "vacant" in this context can actually mean a lot of things. Here's a break down of the 2020 figure of 34k +/- 1.6k:

> - 6,694 of those vacancies were units currently listed for rent that hadn’t yet found tenants. Another 1,031 were homes for sale that didn’t yet have buyers.

> - 6,294 were homes with either current owners or renters that were just not living there. This can happen for any number of reasons: hospital stays, long trips out of town, delayed move-ins, even cases of homeowners who have died but are still technically counted as the resident.

> - 8,523 were “occasional use” homes—i.e., these were second homes, vacation homes, some types of short-term rentals, or just any unit that was accounted for but not lived in most of the year. (The Mercury-News references these but classifies them separately from vacant homes, whereas the census considers these vacancies in themselves.)

> - Finally, the census designated 11,760 homes in the catch-all category of “other vacant.”

"Other vacant." Is a hodge-podge of condemned units, units in foreclosure, units in renovation or seismic retrofitting, a plethora of other corner cases and odds and ends, and homes actually just sitting empty doing not much.

(source: https://sf.curbed.com/2020/2/24/21149381/san-francisco-vacan...)

I think this may be the first casual consumer drone on the market compatible with the FAA's Operations Over People guidelines released last year: https://www.faa.gov/uas/commercial_operators/operations_over.... Before this, all flight over people required a waiver by the FAA.

Drones under 250g, like the DJI Mini 2 would qualify as a Category 1 craft, allowing non-sustained flight over people and vehicles, but there was an element that the craft not have exposed blades capable of lacerating human skin, which the DJI Mini 2 fails.

Pixy is 101g and looks to have an enclosed rotor design: https://support.pixy.com/hc/en-us/articles/5039928089236-Pix...

There are a whole host of heart diseases not spurred on by unhealthy living. Particularly diseases affecting younger folk who would inordinately benefit from a longer lifespan if we got better at transplanting.

As a selfish example, I have ARVC. I was diagnosed at 24 while training for my first marathon. Lifestyle treatments for my disease are to explicitly avoid exercise as it exacerbates the deterioration of my heart muscle. As I age, I expect to be at a much greater risk for the heart diseases that you would recommend "healthy living" for, as I will be categorically barred from one of the most important pillars of that, exercise.

I realize we're talking about the margins here, but as a margin, I would love more advancement in transplants.

In the Bay, Seattle, or NY, maybe. In Bessemer, AL where the vote is being held, the median family income is $40k.

Still a ridiculous talking point.

I'm not sure I 100% understand what you are reacting to. I want to understand these two points a bit better:

  It is in fact plainly racist on it's face to demonize a group based on immutable characteristics.

Yes. Where have I, or the study's author, done this?

  It is even worse when actual diversity of though is ignored and people of color are demonized because they don't agree with a race-marxist ideology.

Yes. Where have I, or the study's author, done this?

The "isms" referenced are less about the fact you can work around these complaints line by line and more about the fact no one bothered to check them before rolling out required surveillance technology for education.

White supremacy is not just bad faith things done by bad people, it is also the assumption that whiteness is the default experience and the failure to account for that not being the case. Similarly with ableism and sexism.

That being said, complaining about the accessibility & inclusiveness of our required surveillance technology does have a dystopian feel to it, lol.

Not really. HN skews pretty right wing on things like this. It isn't nearly as commonplace or ridiculous as it would have you believe. I say this as a member of a "woke MegaCorp."

This section of town is normally the busiest part of the Seattle nightlife. They didn't just turn some random residential block into Coachella.

It's right by where the Capitol Hill block party is run, legally and with the city's blessing, every year. That's a major corporate event with _significantly_ more powerful sound systems.