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jon_adler

222 karma · joined April 8, 2017

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jon_adler··on Old jokes
Q. Why did the girl fall off the swing? A. Because she had no arms!
jon_adler··on Bank of England warns the UK will fall into recession this year
Fair challenges. I don’t think that all the inflation we are seeing is fuel or supply chain constraints. I think we are also seeing demand side effects of the record low unemployment (albeit due to record low participation rate), high levels of personal savings (boosted during Covid), high property price inflation along with ongoing effects from fiscal and monetary stimulus over the past few years. Raising interest rates should remove some demand from the economy. These demand pressures all still remain IMHO.

Interest rates are a blunt instrument and unfortunately the least able to afford them are likely to suffer most. I’d support targeted government spending to those most impacted during a high inflation recession to limit the pain. I believe the PM candidate (Truss) policy to reduce taxes is misguided.

The truth is, we are probably both going to be wrong about the best way to solve this.

jon_adler··on Bank of England warns the UK will fall into recession this year
Sometimes there isn’t any good options available. Persistent inflation is usually a long term problem, and their mandate is to (attempt to) maintain inflation within the 2% range. We might just have an unavoidable recession. I’m not diminishing the detrimental consequences of this, just acknowledging it is likely to happen no matter what the BoE chooses. At least this short term pain scenario should bring inflation back under control, allowing for growth and gain in the medium term.
jon_adler··on Airflow's Problem
Is there any love for the Argo [1] project suite (Workflows, Events, CD) for this type of use case? I haven’t tried it out myself yet however it does look interesting.

[1] https://argoproj.github.io

jon_adler··on Australian activist can't use encrypted apps, must let police access phone
New Zealand nurses had virtually zero first hand experience of the effects of the virus (on the frontlines) because the government imposed isolation was so effective at keeping Covid out of the country. Also, there is plenty of evidence that proves vaccination is considerably less dangerous than contracting the virus (especially for the over 60 age group), although in certain younger age groups it’s a bit inconclusive. Nurses can be as irrational as any other professionals.
jon_adler··on Recommended settings for Wi-Fi routers and access points
My Ubiquiti WAPs support band steering with a minimum signal strength setting for 5Ghz. Perhaps you could upgrade to get a better experience?
jon_adler··on The global housing market is broken, and it’s dividing entire countries
Because most western economies face an age related economic time bomb. The “locals” are all getting older. The immigrants are usually young, productive and bear more children.
jon_adler··on The global housing market is broken, and it’s dividing entire countries
Potentially in the short term, if government were to introduce such tax policies as changes to the status quo. These types of short term changes/issues can perhaps be remedied via short term tax credits or similar for those renters impacted.

In the longer term and at the macro level, renting ultimately competes with cost of mortgaging. If the cost of home ownership goes down, so should rents. Again, government backed loans could help those renters who can afford the monthly repayments but lack the upfront deposit/capital to purchase.

What is needed is lower residential house purchases prices which will flow into rental costs (eventually). In the long run, rents are always based on the underlying asset value.

The other thing that could help lower residential property prices is obviously on the supply side, which I have deliberately avoided.

jon_adler··on The global housing market is broken, and it’s dividing entire countries
Targeted taxes. Higher income taxes on rent deriving from residential property, higher capital gains taxes on residential property and higher inheritance taxes on secondary homes. This would of course require political will. What it would do is make residential property a much less attractive financial investment.

The other recent phenomenon/issue is loose monetary policy. When interest rates are too low, asset values increase. We have just had a period of very low rates for an extended period of time. As interest rates rise, prices should level out or drop off.

jon_adler··on Former juvenile lifers talk about the meaning of second chances
I beg to differ. As revolting as their actions were, it is hard to consider 10 year olds as adults and treat them as such in the eyes of the law. The recidivism you raise could actually support my argument rather than strengthen yours. Had they been treated differently (I.e. more as children) perhaps they might have been rehabilitated and ended up more “normal”.

Don’t misunderstand my position. What they did was vile beyond comprehension, but were 10 year olds fully responsible for their own behaviour at this age?

jon_adler··on Former juvenile lifers talk about the meaning of second chances
There should be a reasonable age for criminal responsibility. Compare the different approaches of the British [1] who tried 10 year olds as adults and the Norwegians [2] who took a different approach. Which is more civilised? Which is more likely rehabilitate the offender?

[1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Murder_of_James_Bulger [2] https://www.theguardian.com/theguardian/2010/mar/20/norway-t...

jon_adler··on Spain will introduce free train travel
As American housing is mostly sprawling and low density, it isn’t terribly well suited to mass transport like rail in most places. Perhaps light rail or even (eventually) self driving cars might work better. Alternatively, change planning rules to encourage higher density although it is probably already too late for any meaningful change.
jon_adler··on A little story about the `yes` Unix command
When to optimise [1] and “premature optimisation” has been an ongoing concern in computer science ever since performance constraints and limits were identified (i.e. since forever).

[1]: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Program_optimization

jon_adler··on A brief history of nobody wants to work anymore
Some people still believe in the fantasy of trickle down economics and the Laffer curve, so they push for lower corporate and marginal tax rates that help the wealthiest. The vast majority of people do not benefit as the money flows upwards and concentrates with the wealthiest over time. Some redistribution is needed to promote equality and fairness. Instead, what we have at the moment is a system where the wealthiest are able to avoid taxes and end up paying a lower marginal rate than the middle classes.
jon_adler··on Analyzing Indie Hacker Products with Verified Revenue
As the saying goes “Revenue is Vanity. Profit is Sanity. Cash is Reality”.
jon_adler··on The case for bad coffee (2015)
Most “cheap” beers use lager yeasts and have subtle flavours by moderating the yeast temperature. Temperature control during fermentation is probably the most important factor, and many new home brewers do not have the equipment to control it yet. Furthermore, ale yeasts are usually happier at room temperature and more forgiving for unexpected flavours (than lager yeasts). So whilst you are right to say cheap commercial beers are “easy” (for commercial brewers), they are actually harder to get a “good” result for most new home brewers. I always suggest beginners start with a basic ale.
jon_adler··on The case for bad coffee (2015)
Melbourne (Australia) probably has the worlds best coffee. It certainly has the highest proportion of baristas sporting man buns.
jon_adler··on Amazon instructs New York workers “don't sign” union cards
Wouldn’t this situation make imported goods cheaper for everyone?
jon_adler··on “A Mild Recession”
Growth rates needn’t correlate only to population change. Productivity can also be a source of growth.
jon_adler··on Sir Mo Farah reveals he was trafficked into the UK using another child’s name
How has Australian wages been harmed by considerably higher immigration?
jon_adler··on Why nobody ever wins the car at the mall (2018)
I’m beginning to question if HN really is full of the smartest and brightest :).

(Carn the Lions)

jon_adler··on Ask HN: I’m 41 and still unmarried – what should I do?
Having read a lot of this thread before seeing this, I keep wondering to myself, what must she look like? I think physical attraction is the first and most important thing to match on. After all, you really do need to fancy the other person. To go on over 100 dates without success had me thinking you must be unattractive. So, I went to your domain and saw you are obviously attractive (to me anyway - married, not looking for a date). It isn’t your looks is all I’m saying, so I guess this is a positive. All I can add is my own experience. I found love when I was least expecting it. In a bar of all places, 2 weeks after arriving in a new country for a working holiday. Happily married for over 15 years with 2 kids. I was absolutely not looking for a relationship (how often have you heard the cliche that you find love when you least expect it?). I suggest focusing on who makes you feel good and puts a fire in your belly. Try to forget about kids and all the rest. That (hopefully) comes later, after you have found someone you like, as the relationship develops. Pressure and desperation won’t do you any favours. As difficult as it probably is with your current mindset, stop trying too hard. Live your life. What will be will be etc. Once you stop looking and trying too hard, you will probably discover something new. Certainly what you have been trying isn’t working! Good luck in life.
jon_adler··on Toyota unveils 8.7 kWh battery for residential applications
I believe metal pipe bonding is a building control requirement however many new builds use predominantly plastic pipe work. The requirement is to protect the occupant against touching live metal pipe work, not to earth the house.
jon_adler··on Terraform should have remained stateless
One of terraforms key design principles is that it is declarative whereas this instruction is imperative.
jon_adler··on Solid-state cells will cut EV charging time and increase volumetric density
Most people probably wouldn’t require every charge to be fast this though. Many slow charging options, which do not put as much strain on the batteries, exist for the home and the workplace.
jon_adler··on The day I discovered that Apple Maps is Kind of Good now
I prefer Waze over both Apple and Google Maps in the U.K. The chosen routes are better and the traffic, police and speed camera reports seem very accurate.
jon_adler··on Apple's director of machine learning resigns due to return to office work
Dislike of blockchain based cryptocurrency.
jon_adler··on M1 Thunderbolt ports don’t fully support USB 3.1 Gen 2
A byte has been synonymous with an octet for as long as I can remember. I found a Wikipedia article [1] that describes the transition of a byte meaning the number of bits to encode character of text to an octet.

[1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Units_of_information

jon_adler··on M1 Thunderbolt ports don’t fully support USB 3.1 Gen 2
Bits to bytes means dividing by 8.
jon_adler··on File transfers via the parallel port on DOS using LapLink
Has MFM vs RLL encoding of hard disks been brought up recently? Hopefully I was able to remind you of another thing you thought you had forgotten.
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