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jfruh

2,537 karma · joined December 15, 2010

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jfruh··on [dead]
As a Gen-Xer, I have a certain sympathy for this, but objectively there's no comparing the early '90s recession with the economic situation today -- we're well into the third year of the crisis, the job situation is much worse today, and there's no end in sight. By the equivalent time in the '90s the economy was well on its way back.
jfruh··on Robots and automated cars will require our cities to become machine-readable
Beware any utopian scheme that involves the large-scale reworking of existing settlements. The cities where most humans live are complex systems and decades (or, in many cases, centuries) old. You can't just completely rework them without enormous expense and disruptions.
jfruh··on Icelandic data center run on 100 percent renewable energy
I'm the original submitter and I'm American and I did intend to write "runs!" Ugh. But: I do agree that one could interpret the headline as "data center [is] run on..." Wasn't my intention though. Even in British English I don't think it would be right to use "run" in the active voice though. "IceLandCo run on renewable energy," yes, but "data center" is conceptually singular even to the Brits. Also, it would be a "data centre" probably. OK, I'll stop now.
jfruh··on Jewish problems
This reminds me of an interesting story from Not In My Neighborhood, a history of residential and institutional segregation in Baltimore. Baltimore in many ways had three-way segregation -- black, white, and Jewish -- with Realtors for all three communities refusing to show houses in the "wrong" neighborhood to anyone. However, the public school system only had two-way segregation -- black and white, with Jews attending white schools.

Johns Hopkins, then as now an elite institution located in Baltimore, encouraged local kids to apply, and was integrated long before the public schools were. Hopkins never had any kind of restriction on the number of black students, but they did have quotas on the number of Jews. That's because the black school system was bad enough (and blacks generally financially disadvantaged enough) that they knew they'd never have more than about 5 percent or so of their student body being black -- enough to show that they were liberal and enlightened, but not enough to change the character of the student body. But if they let in all the Jews who qualified, the school would be half Jewish, which would be unacceptable, as they'd get a reputation as a "Jewish" school.

This is also one of the reasons for the long-ago heyday of City College in New York: as a public college, they didn't discriminate, and so a lot of Jewish kids who would have otherwise qualified to go to the Ivy League ended up there.

jfruh··on Pre-orders are scams according to Paypal
Can someone explain what specifically PayPal doesn't like about pre-orders? Is there something specific in their terms of service that doing pre-orders violates? I'm seriously considering a future project that will involve pre-orders so it seems important to get this clarified...
jfruh··on HP To Introduce Flash Memory Replacement In 2013
Wouldn't it be crazy/awesome if, after years of cost-cutting and right-sizing and "pivoting" and various CEO's gimmicks, the thing that saved HP was something that came out of their R&D department?
jfruh··on VirtualBox is garbage
Hadn't seen those, will give it a shot!
jfruh··on VirtualBox is garbage
Has anyone managed to get Windows 8 running in VirtualBox on OS X? I've tried, keep getting errors.
jfruh··on Unanswered Steve Jobs questions
The question of whether there was a grand plan is certainly an interesting one, but it seems unlikely that in 1998 there was a big whiteboard in Cupertino with "iMac -> iTunes -> iPod -> iPhone -> iPad -> profit!" written on it. But some of those internal steps may have been planned. iTunes came out about 10 months before the iPod did, but obviously the iPod was in development for longer than that. I wonder if iTunes was specifically designed to be the interface between the computer and the iPod? Or if it was just part of a "digital hub" strategy (this was a term Apple bandied about a lot in the early '00s) that was envisioned as being focused on the Mac and that only pivoted when it became clear what a runaway success the iPod was.
jfruh··on [dead]
And the most disturbing part is that the PR guy thinks that "PR firms and PR people ... are actually the livelihood of any journalist's business." Disturbing that he thinks it, and disturbing that it's actually true for some journalists.
jfruh··on [dead]
You know who comes out looking awesome in this story? Wil Wheaton.
jfruh··on Why Germany seems not to want a quick fix for the euro crisis
I am not at all trying to minimize Turkey's real problems. But many of the Eastern European EU states also have some of the same or similar problems (particularly Romania and Bulgaria). In their cases much of the reason given for admitting them to the EU was that membership would bring them closer to European norms. (Indeed, this is an incentive held out by those in Europe who favor Turkish EU membership.)

My point is that all these problems would be easier to ignore or fix if Turkey had 10 million people. At 70 million, they'd have such a strong voice in EU institutions that they'd be as likely to change the EU as vice versa.

jfruh··on Why Germany seems not to want a quick fix for the euro crisis
Human rights are a factor, plus there's the fact that Turkey is a Muslim country, though many in the EU won't admit that. But even that could probably be overlooked if not for the fact that Turkey is a huge country. With a population of 73 million people (and a growing population, whereas many European states are stagnant in this regard), Turkey would immediately become the second-largest EU state, which means more members of the EU parliament than France or the UK and more voting power in those institutions where countries vote by weighted population.

If Turkey were a Muslim country with a European toehold and a history of dodgy human rights abuses but a general trendline towards democracy and it had a population of about 10 million, the EU would be falling all over itself to admit it and show how enlightened it was.

jfruh··on SpaceX reveals fully reusable, vertically landing rocket design [video]
By setting the goal of reusable and reliable he could change the cost structure

But there's the assumption, isn't it? Actually two: that reusable will be cheaper, and that reusable and reliable can go together.

I'm certainly not saying they can't -- I am, quite literally, not a rocket scientist -- but the Space Shuttle program was the triumph of the idea that "Of course it'll be cheaper if we can re-use the vehicle." Which didn't work out in practice for the reasons outlined upthread. My point is that a space program should pick the goals of "This should get people up and back safely and cost $X a launch" because those are measurable. Maybe the best way to do that is with a reusable vehicle! But to make reusability a goal in and of itself, due to a sentimental attachment to the kind of vehicles we used to travel by sea, seems silly.

jfruh··on SpaceX reveals fully reusable, vertically landing rocket design [video]
Hmm, well, but it's interesting that the US went down that road and built an unreliable "reusable" spacecraft that had a high failure rate and had be largely reconditioned at high expense after every flight. Meanwhile, the Russians are using an incrementally improved capsule design from the '60s that's simpler, cheaper, and safer.

I'm not saying that a true reusable speacecraft wouldn't be revolutionary. And maybe it's possible with '10s tech in a way that it wasn't in the '70s. But picking "reusable" as a goal in and of itself, rather than using metrics like reliability or cost per pound to orbit, seems like a dodgy business.

jfruh··on Stripe: instant payment processing for developers
I'm not a developer, but I am considering selling things through my website and maybe also selling things in person outside any shop. Is there any particular reason I would pay a developer to build this into my site rather than just using Paypal (which I've used for years and had no big complaints with) and/or Square?
jfruh··on Moot: "sterile Facebook comments over provocative YouTube comments?"
If by "provocative" you mean "so painfully stupid and offensive as to make you weep for humanity," then sure, I guess.
jfruh··on Oh, Nokia. Another 3,500 People Laid Off, Manufacturing Operations Trimmed Down
But is that a niche that's even going to exist in five years? I'm sure someone will be making feature phones in 2017 (I mean, someone's still making landline phones today) but that'll be a low-margin business for companies worth much, much less than Nokia is worth today. I can't imagine Nokia's shareholders would like this idea... in their view, it's probably better to swing for the fences than resign yourself to failure.
jfruh··on Trader: I dream of another recession (and Goldman Sachs rules the world)
I think it's a question of whether you're using "capitalist" as a shorthand for "people who profit from the investment of capital" or "people who assert ideologically that an economic system in which market actors trade as freely as possible is the most beneficial system to society as a whole."

The varying reactions to this interview are interesting to me in how they reveal people think about the market. I'm seeing a lot of pushback along the line of "So what? Most of what he says is true!" I think people's negative reaction is a result of a decade or more of an ideological push to get ordinary people's savings into the stock market, and, furthermore, to portray the people who are active drivers in those markets as job-creating heroes who know better than some government bureaucrat and who therefore deserve their high compensation. When it's revealed that at least one such marketeer dreams of profiting from a general economic collapse, that seems to invalidate the promises of an ideology that is often described in shorthand as "pro-market" or "pro-capitalism".

jfruh··on Trader: I dream of another recession (and Goldman Sachs rules the world)
Felix Salmon makes the interesting point that he could be a trader and a Yes Man:

http://blogs.reuters.com/felix-salmon/2011/09/27/is-alessio-...

"You don’t need to spend very much time hanging around the comments section (or even many of the posts) at Zero Hedge to discern a strong nihilistic and even anti-capitalist strain to much of the thinking in that community. Independent traders are often men in their 20s and 30s who inherited a substantial sum of money and who for whatever reason don’t have a more attractive opportunity in the regular workforce. They work from home, they tend to have a strong contrarian streak, and they have a lot of time on their hands ... It’s a common misconception that all traders are die-hard capitalists. But in fact many of them are quite the opposite. They still want to make money, of course. But that doesn’t mean they want the stock market to go up."

jfruh··on Meg Whitman to be named new HP CEO
Aren't "presentation issues" about the easiest thing they could have assessed in advance before they hired him? It's not like he was some anonymous behind-the-scenes VP somewhere -- he was the CEO of a major company in their space.

Of course, if you're right, this fits in nicely with the NY Times' article from this morning, which basically said that the HP board hired Apotheker without meeting him, because the board members all couldn't stand each other and didn't want hang out together long enough to vet him.

http://www.nytimes.com/2011/09/22/business/voting-to-hire-a-...

These people, it's amazing.

jfruh··on Meg Whitman to be named new HP CEO
"While Mr. Apotheker is going, his strategy, including consideration of spinning off H.P.’s personal computer business from other parts of the company, will remain in place."

ha ha ha WHAT

"OK, let's hire this enterprise software guy, then get mad when he restructures the company around enterprise software, then fire him but make his successor implement the plan the enterprise software guy put together! Can't fail!"

jfruh··on Facebook gets redesigned
But this option already existed (you could choose "top stories" instead of "latest stories"). What annoys me is imposing a one-size-fits-all version on everybody.
jfruh··on Facebook gets redesigned
I hate to be one of those people constantly whinging about Facebook redesigns, but ... can someone explain why Facebook seems to intent on "curating" your stream for you, based on priorities that aren't clear? I know a lot of people probably enjoy having some definition of "highlights" stuck at top, but many of us like going through the whole thing to see what all our friends are up to, until you get to a status update you recognize, which means that you know you're done looking. What does FB lose by taking away the ability to see a simple chronological list of updates? What do they gain by foregrounding the posts that they think are important?

Edited to add: Several people replied to me saying "But some of us DON'T want to see a big chronological list!" Well, yeah, I said in my original post that I realized this. And in fact you already had the option to see only "Top news" instead of "All posts." What bugs me is the one-size-fits-all version that has now been imposed on everybody. Why is FB allergic to allowing different users to interact with their data in the way those users want?

jfruh··on Is Former eBay CEO Meg Whitman Being Considered for HP CEO Job?
Right, because the only thing better for the stock price than making a major, disruptive, and possibly wrong-headed change to how the company operates would be to fire the CEO in the opening stages of that change and leave it completely rudderless for the next few months.
jfruh··on What Netflix Could Have Said This Week
That might help with their relations with customers, but probably wouldn't endear them to the media companies they have to negotiate with. Those negotiations are no doubt already pretty tense, and Netflix shouting loudly about what jerks they are won't make them less so.
jfruh··on The Wealthiest 5% Grabbed Most of the America’s Gains
I should add that I'm not definitely not exempting myself from this set of attitudes. When I was in grad school in my early 20s (in the mid-late '90s, so it's not like inflation makes a huge difference here) I made less than $17K a year for several years, but I never felt particularly deprived and don't particularly recall not doing things I wanted to do because of money worries. Now my wife and I make more than $100K combined (putting us in the top 25 percent of US workers) and yet we are constantly bumping up against the limits of our income, particularly because we enjoy travelling. I don't feel rich but I know I'm better off than a significant majority of Americans.
jfruh··on The Wealthiest 5% Grabbed Most of the America’s Gains
I think one of the problems of wealth distribution and attitudes about it in the U.S. is that it does shoot up so rapidly in the upper 1%. We're a very upward-looking society so it's easy for someone making $250K a year to say "I'm not rich, I still have a mortgage, I have to work for a living I can't just spend whatever I want, whenever I want -- I know there are people further up the latter than me who have so much more money, I must be middle class."

Absolute percentiles are useful because they do show you where you stand in relation to the rest of society. Families making $250K may not be Scrooge McDuck-style super-rich, but they're indisputably in the top few percent of the nation in terms of income. It's hard for those folks to claim to be middle class when 90+ percent of their fellow citizens make less.

It's also worth noting that people's lifestyles and "necessities" expand to fit their income, particularly if their income goes up relatively gradually. I've literally heard people say, "Well, I make $400K a year but I'm not rich because it costs a lot of money to pay mortgage and taxes in Westchester County and send my kids to private school and drive a nice car." They think that "rich" means "disposable income I can spend a whim," when in fact living in Westchester and sending the kids to private school is part of being rich.

jfruh··on Generation X Stymied by Baby Boomers Refusing to Give Up Jobs
The greatest generation did this - they grew up during the great depression and they understood that you had to save and not trust Wall Street.

The Greatest Generation benefitted both from social security and from the defined-benefit pension plans their unions won for them.

Edited to add: Also, many got to go to college for free on the GI Bill, and so entered the professional workforce without the debt burden that their children and grandchildren would face. Makes it easier to save.

jfruh··on Generation X Stymied by Baby Boomers Refusing to Give Up Jobs
But 401Ks were sold as "you taking care of yourself" because "you" controlled your retirement, not some pension fund. What's your alternative for retirement savings? The mattress?
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