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ivraatiems

8,936 karma · joined March 13, 2013

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ivraatiems··on Aweb – Communication for AI Agents
Yep, I'm an agent. You can tell by my 16-year history of posting on HN and my many comments on completely unrelated topics.
ivraatiems··on Aweb – Communication for AI Agents
This isn't a bad idea, but please, I am begging everyone here. No more AI prose on your websites.

Please take the time to read and edit. Get rid of the emdashes and the pithy little "The quick start lands here. Nothing expires into a paywall." / "Sign up and pay in one flow — checkout follows registration." zingers that are meaningless or already implied.

Please stop allowing pragraphs like this:

> Bounds are per organization — one organization can hold several teams, and its message count is metered across all of them. The monthly allowance is the real limit; the burst ceiling exists only to stop runaway loops and sits far above a normal day’s work.

to appear on pages where you expect humans to read them. They are worse than useless to read.

ivraatiems··on Anthropic's IPO Prospectus Is a Fucking Doozy
That's precisely the issue. LLMs are replicable technology. There is insufficient special sauce to build any kind of moat here.
ivraatiems··on Anthropic's IPO Prospectus Is a Fucking Doozy
> If Anthropic is losing a fortune now with $13 billion in costs how are they going to break even spending $100+ billion per year? Don’t worry, their godlike AI will figure that out?

It's wild that this is an accurate summation of their position here. It's equally wild that a company building and selling a technology as actually useful as an LLM - yes, I think they're useful, sue me - can't begin to think about how to make money with one.

I agree with the article - they'd better hope they are messianic super geniuses, because if not, they're gonna seem real stupid when we have all moved in in a few years. The technology will stay, but that doesn't mean they will.

ivraatiems··on San Francisco Onion Futures Company
Okay folks, I've got one onion for November. Charged $3.74, yours for $4.50! But hurry! By November it could be worth $9!

I am serious, reply here, I'll sell you my onion contract for $4.50. Who's buying?

ivraatiems··on San Francisco Onion Futures Company
These aren't onions, these are onion futures! You can buy a physical onion now for one price, but you can't buy the promise of an onion later!
ivraatiems··on Astra for Law
Yeah, it's sort of odd that even here people are pushing back like it couldn't possibly be doing this, you must have misunderstood it or are overhyping it.

I come neither to praise AI nor to bury it. This is a case where the tool is useful.

The key is that this is work the attornies themselves do not want to do and which does not require their brains or expertise. It's not just "boring" but a bad use of their time.

ivraatiems··on Astra for Law
"Copyable" in this case means you can highlight and copy paste text instead of manually retyping it.
ivraatiems··on Astra for Law
These documents are not personal private information. They might be client privileged in some cases? But I don't think so.
ivraatiems··on Astra for Law
Nobody working there has the requisite experience to do this in a reasonable amount of time. These are not particularly tech-savvy folks, Claude use aside.
ivraatiems··on Astra for Law
They're lawyers. They don't deserve freedom.
ivraatiems··on Astra for Law
Yes, remember that these are effectively random PDFs in various different designs and formats, some of them not editable or even OCR'd.

It took a human attorney 20-30 minutes on average to manually copy-paste data from these PDFs into a spreadsheet (while also fixing any errors they found in the document and re-checking for quality).

Now, the AI copies everything into the spreadsheet in a small amount of time, and then the human reviews it. It takes maybe ~5-7 minutes to scroll to the appropriate pages in the document, read the lines vs the spreadsheet, and make corrections. So you've gone from 2-3 items an hour to ~8-10 items an hour.

Maybe you could pay someone to develop an OCR/ML application that could do this. But that project would never be profitable, even with the time savings. At the cost of a couple Claude subscriptions, it makes sense.

ivraatiems··on Astra for Law
They do, sometimes. That's why the review still has to happen.

But now it's comparing already filled columns on a spreadsheet, not copy-pasting every single thing from an (often uncopyable) PDF.

ivraatiems··on Astra for Law
The proof would be that the attorney who did the work before, and who still reviews all ingested data, says it is.
ivraatiems··on Astra for Law
I know someone who works in law and deals particularly with an area of US benefits and healthcare law. One of their workflows for lower-level employees at their firm involves taking in documents from healthcare plans and organizations, analyzing them for certain kinds of data, and then importing that data into an internal system they use to analyze and provide guidance on plans. The internal system can contain hundreds of documents for an individual client. All of the documents have the same information (roughly) but in totally diverse formats and styles. Once it's in the system, it's easy to compare and analyze across documents and the research process is much faster.

They recently bought a Claude subscription and began using Claude to do the initial read of the documents and output JSON they can import into their internal systems. The work still must be reviewed by an attorney - Claude is nowhere near making the kinds of judgments a lawyer would make about this content - but it has increased their throughput from 2-3 documents an hour to 8-10 documents an hour by killing the busy work.

LLMs have great advantages for this kind of work - but not for decision-making. I just don't see OpenAI ever admitting that.

(I've left some details intentionally vague because this is a very specific area of law and I don't want my friends to be identified without their consent.)

ivraatiems··on The engineering behind the US Strategic Petroleum Reserve
How long does the crude last uner these conditions? Refined oil products like gas have pretty limited shelf lives (I think 6-12 months for gas).
ivraatiems··on Saving Jet Fuel
I don't like to be that guy, but this doesn't read as a particularly well thought-through experiment... I don't think it's as effective an advertisement for OP's consulting as they may have thought, because it suggests an inability to think within relevant context.

The truth is that given the legal and ethical constraints available, routing is already relatively well-optimized in many places. (There are some places, like China's hybrid civilian-military airspace, where those constraints are extremely nasty and basically make the problem impossible to solve better than it is.)

Aviation tries to solve the fuel consumption problem by designing planes to use less fuel, rather than by flying more optimal routes. There is a massive effort in aviation pretty much all the time to try to use less fuel, for every reason from cost to environmental impact to the relative accessibility of jet fuel now and into the future. It's the reason engines have gotten physically larger; it's a big part of why we don't use supersonic jets anymore as well.

The efforts have been pretty sucessful: https://theicct.org/maximizing-aircraft-fuel-efficiency-desi...

There's no hubris in identifying a problem, and fairly little in thinking you might be able to help solve it, but there's a good bit in imagining nobody else has done it.

ivraatiems··on Saving Jet Fuel
It's unfortunate the fuel can't be siphoned back out and used. I wonder why that is; I suspect if it were possible, it'd be happening.

Also worth noting, tangentially, though - the reason planes are fueled as they are is because if you run out of fuel in a car, you're just stranded. In an airplane, you're quite possibly dead. If you only load the plane with exactly as much fuel as it needs to get to its destination, you run the risk of not having enough to safely divert.

On the other hand, planes also have maximum landing weights, so a plane which must divert or land in an emergency often has to dump fuel for a while first. That's more unusual and not something you can easily plan for, but it's part of the problem too.

ivraatiems··on We got admin access to Baseten's production GitHub
This fits neatly into the category of "not something an unmotivated huamn would bother to look for, but absolutely something a human could find if they were interested."

It increasingly feels like the power of these agents is less that they find things humans COULDN'T find, and more that they find many things much more quickly than humans would bother to do.

I don't know if this is a great advert for Strix over other agents - what did their agent do that Claude or Codex couldn't? It didn't do anything that I couldn't do, if I wanted to.

ivraatiems··on We got admin access to Baseten's production GitHub in 25 minutes
I'm not sure this is "naming and shaming" because I don't seen an intent to shame. They disclosed the vulnerability privately, waited months for patches, and were commended by the organization with the vulnerabilities.

There's no shame here, this was a mistake, probably made by a human, and ultimately corrected. Nobody seems upset by the outcome!

ivraatiems··on The End of Friday Nights with Friends
I spend most of my nights (weeknight or or otherwise) with my friends. I'm on Discord with them right now as I write this.

It wouldn't show up in this study at all, because it's online, not in-person. These particular friends live thousands of miles from me.

I also have dedicated nights of the week for seeing my in-person friends, and the amount that I do that has stayed pretty consistent (outside of COVID), but it's never been nearly as much as my virtual friend time. I have friend groups more than a decade old that I've maintained this way.

(The mix is about 75% people I met first in the real world, 25% people I met first or have only met online, if that matters.)

ivraatiems··on Automattic's board forces CEO Matt Mullenweg into leave of absence
Thanks for sharing your story. How do you feel about the more recent behavior, though - the WP engine lawsuit, the buyout, etc.? Does that align with the person you saw and knew back then?
ivraatiems··on iPhone Duo
A price difference of 8x for what this offers seems crazy to me.

A $10,000 car and a $80,000 car are going to be markedly different. Same for a $100,000 house vs a $800,000 house.

This $2,000 phone does not seem 8 times better than my $250 phone.

ivraatiems··on iPhone Duo
That's almost three of the phone I use daily per year.
ivraatiems··on iPhone Duo
Good god, is it? My current phone is an iPhone SE 3rd Gen and I paid $250 for it on eBay.
ivraatiems··on iPhone Duo
It is also enormous and costs $2,000.
ivraatiems··on iPhone Duo
$2,000 for a phone? Holy price point, Batman. No thanks.

I assume the people who would buy something like this have enough money not to care, and also would not care about the second part of my comment, because they want New Thing or use their phones enough for it to be useful.

I guess it might be the case that the only way to make the folding screen thing even remotely work is a very, very expensive manufacturing process. But as is often the case, I don't see how it's worth it?

I want my phones smaller and with Touch ID, not enormous and wrinkly.

ivraatiems··on ChatGPT Images 2.5
There's maybe something cool at the core of this - help you ideate by seeing things in images! - but it's lost in all the other awful ways this gets used. More fake menus with food that looks nothing like the real thing. More fake book covers displacing real artists.

I can admire and enjoy the work of coding agents, which mostly just help solve problems and save me time. I can appreciate that there are creative uses for agents with text, that they could save people time, and that the environmental and safety concerns potentially have solutions.

I just can't see my way to appreciating these art agents, or any use of AI as a replacement for a human creative process. It's not because their output is bad, anymore (though sometimes it still isn't great). It's because it is bereft.

Even if I could, nobody in my life would be okay with my using them alongside my actual creative work. In fact, they'd be pretty upset if I did. And if I found out they'd been sharing stories with me written by AI, I'd be mad, too.

I'd rather just see the prompts.

ivraatiems··on VC isn't VC anymore
Working as designed? Wasn't "become massively rich by controlling wealthy companies" alwayes the point of capital investment?

What is it that Anil Dash thought the purpose of these firms was?

ivraatiems··on The August 17 outage
Opinion based on stated facts.

Please share the information you have which contradicts the conclusions I have drawn from Github's statement.

(And we know they're liars. They report very few of the actual incidents they have; see for example https://mrshu.github.io/github-statuses/)

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