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imachine1980_

426 karma · joined May 6, 2021

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imachine1980_··on More than 100k people in Japan are now aged 100 or older
I have two hypotheses.

First, France already had negative demographic trends during the Napoleonic era. That might help explain why Macron’s call for a “demographic rearmament” is not necessarily taboo today. France started experiencing smaller family sizes quite a long time ago, so the current demographic numbers are partly a reflection of past trends rather than the situation today. In a few years, Italy will probably face an even worse situation.

Second, in some countries, the very high number of elderly people may partly be the result of inaccurate population records. Some countries have a combination of incentives for elderly people and demographic records that were badly damaged during WWII. This may have made it relatively easy for someone to claim that they were, for example, their grandmother and receive benefits. Decades later, some of these people are supposedly over 100 years old.

There is even an Ig Nobel Prize associated with research into this phenomenon.

imachine1980_··on Open-weight AI is having its Kubernetes moment
Most unmature markets aren't subsidized to the point that LLM market is, most market have some level of baseline profitablity, this market doesn't, that's because most market subsidized the marketing or the capex but this market doesn't hold the opex, the capex not the amount of marketing let alone all of this together
imachine1980_··on Show HN: Forge – Guardrails take an 8B model from 53% to 99% on agentic tasks
I wouldn't expect such difference
imachine1980_··on Show HN: Rust but Lisp
How does ownership work within the Lisp tree structure?, What is the difference between ownership on this setting and ARC?
imachine1980_··on Anthropic officially bans using subscription auth for third party use
if 100% of the money they spend is in inference priced by tokens (they don't say about subscriptions so i asume they lost money), yes they make money, but their expenses are way higher than inference alone. so they can make the gpu cost if they sell tokens but in reality this isnt the case, becouse they have to constaly train new models, subscription marketing, R&D, And overhead. antropic in general lost way less money than their competitors i will take this number in particular the projected break even but googling say Gross margin in this case is how much money they do whit the GPU " Gross Margins: Projected to swing from negative 94% last year to as much as 50% this year, and 77% by 2028. Projected Break-even: The company expects to be cash flow positive by 2027 or 2028. "

i will not be as bullish to say they will no colapse (0 idear how much real debt and commitments they have, if after the bubble pop spending fall shraply, or a new deepseek moment) but this sound like good trajectory (all things considered) i heavily doubt the 380 billions in valuation

"this is how much is spendeed in developers between $659 billion and $737 billion. The United States is the largest driver of this spending, accounting for more than half of the global total ($368.5 billion in 2024)" so is like saying that a 2% of all salaries of developers in the world will be absorbed as profit whit the current 33.3 ratio, quite high giving the amount of risk of the company.

imachine1980_··on Anthropic officially bans using subscription auth for third party use
From what I understand, they make money per-token billing. Not enough for how much it costs to train, not accounting for marketing, subscription services, and research for new models, but if they are used, they lose less money.

Finance 101 tldr explanation: The contribution margin (= price per token -variable cost per token ) this is positive

Profit (= contribution margin x cuantity- fix cost)

imachine1980_··on After 25 years, Wikipedia has proved that news doesn't need to look like news
I disagree, I know the opinion of WSJ, WP, FT or national like france24,DW, BBC, RT,AJ Or at least know is always opinion Base, the facts are selected in a subjecive way.

Is way harder to know how opinionated Wikipedia is, and everything make them sound like their opinion is only base on facts but isn't.

imachine1980_··on OpenAI's H1 2025: $4.3B in income, $13.5B in loss
I believe regular people will not change from chatGPT if it has some ads. I know people who use "alternative" wrappers that have ads because they aren't tech savvy, and I agree with the OP that this could be a significant amount of money We aren't 700 million people that use it.
imachine1980_··on Meta Ray-Ban Display
this include the band which is also pushing the envelope of HCI mark writing clip https://youtube.com/clip/UgkxfmPX0hba7ulSVL2MyVaS60I0IPm-CQU...
imachine1980_··on DeepSeek-v3.1
I remember asking for quotes about the Spanish conquest of South America because I couldn't remember who said a specific thing. The GPT model started hallucinating quotes on the topic, while DeepSeek responded with, "I don't know a quote about that specific topic, but you might mean this other thing." or something like that then cited a real quote in the same topic, after acknowledging that it wasn't able to find the one I had read in an old book. i don't use it for coding, but for things that are more unique i feel is more precise.
imachine1980_··on Starting game development in JavaScript with no experience
Game like a short hike use rendering pipelines instead of accuracy in the models for example
imachine1980_··on Steam, Itch.io are pulling ‘porn’ games. Critics say it's a slippery slope
It's not just porn, it's depictions of rape, from what I’ve read. So I don’t know if it’s really good for people to consume that kind of content. Real-life safe sex involves consent, which is obviously not the objective of this game. I believe this type of material can be genuinely harmful to our brains.

Even though I’m against using payment processing restrictions, I do believe we need laws to prohibit this kind of content. There’s data suggesting that it impacts real people's behavior during sex and shapes harmful social expectations.

imachine1980_··on Meta says it won't sign Europe AI agreement
Not really china make big policy bet a decade early and win the battle the put the whole government to buy this new tech before everyone else, forcing buses to be electric if you want the federal level thumbs up, or the lottery system for example.

So I disagree, probably Europe will be even more behind in ev if they doesn't push eu manufacturers to invest so heavily in the industry.

You can se for example than for legacy manufacturers the only ones in the top ten are Europeans being 3 out of 10 companies, not Japanese or Korean for example, and in Europe Volkswagen already overtake Tesla in sales Q1 for example and Audi isn't that much away also.

imachine1980_··on Tesla sales drop for fifth month in a row in Europe
Brand image is really important ev where already better in china than any other place in the world before Tesla but Tesla give the allure that the tech need to have mass appeal. That's why it was so successful as a company
imachine1980_··on P-Hacking in Startups
do you use any tool for this, or simply crunk up slightly the dial each day
imachine1980_··on Building a WordPress MCP server for Claude
You don't
imachine1980_··on Show HN: Spark, An advanced 3D Gaussian Splatting renderer for Three.js
What's the difference in this and and .obj render? Does gaussian produce a different format?
imachine1980_··on Precious Plastic is in trouble
You can tax plastic also that will more than move the demand you can even use this tax for plasma gasification making more expensive to use and less to reuse.
imachine1980_··on How to post when no one is reading
I personally believe that this doesn't hold, more and more competition outside of webpage, means that we check less and less pages each year, I feel ai could be a savior by destroying the whole internet by spaming SEO websited, and make small pages the only way to find something
imachine1980_··on Social AI companions pose unacceptable risks to teens and children under 18
its not, it like saying microtransaccions are bad, they are, they predate on you and if you get hookup as teen , you probably gona get addicted. https://automaton-media.com/en/news/almost-19-of-japanese-pe...
imachine1980_··on Show HN: TextQuery – Query CSV, JSON, XLSX Files with SQL
A few hours ago this would have been useful, I will probably give it a try in few days. On another note, I recommend clarifying in the heroes page that it's about a one-time purchase, because that's a really big plus.
imachine1980_··on Internet shutdowns at record high in Africa as access 'weaponised'
this literally happens in mexico, monterrey in 2022 during biggest drought in the century, public supply was shut down while coca-cola keep producing soft drink from that reservoir, they end-up give some percentage back after a protest.

https://www.jornada.com.mx/2022/08/06/estados/022n1est

imachine1980_··on Show HN: I completed shipping my desktop app
I don't check the project deeply yet so I don't comment about it.

That's not true Dropbox was in the technical edge when it came, and old time ago, was barely possible, and the recurrent cost of the severs and operation cost is clearly not the same. And pay Foss GUIs are sad state of reality

imachine1980_··on Bogus Software
I would recommend windows x86 or Linux x86 or arm/riscv (emulator ) Linux mostly because you probably have hundreds of resources instead of couple of them whit the other platforms
imachine1980_··on Getting to 2M users as a one woman dev team [video]
Lichess is one guy for the web and server and one guy for the mobile app Cool video about the topic https://youtu.be/7VSVfQcaxFY?si=UP5txyUCoYYY024h
imachine1980_··on DeepThought-8B: A small, capable reasoning model
i sadly don't feel this is a mistake, the transparent once are the two that beat the model in one category or more, its feels more like scam than error, if not please fix it
imachine1980_··on How fast does Java compile?
Yes but reality is even worst maven projects take f*"* eternity like the post says, you have tens of atomyse package that make simple task that should take seconds take minutes, while the fast in go is not only the compilation time, but that 28000 is in real word case,at least it'd feels like this for experience.
imachine1980_··on Dutch DPA fines Uber €290M because of transfers of drivers’ data to the US
Free as in corporate freedom to extract and abuse your personal information
imachine1980_··on Crafting Interpreters with Rust: On Garbage Collection
idk if he/she change it, but i see the name big and center after each use.
imachine1980_··on Free-threaded CPython is ready to experiment with
Yes but jython am iron aren't the standard, and I feel the more relevant part is inertia, puppy is design whit lots of concern of compatibility, then being the new standard can totally make difference making both cases not a good comparison.
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