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idlehand

163 karma · joined June 4, 2022

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idlehand··on The Latest Study on Red Meat and Heart Disease: A Red Herring
At least in Germany, they shut down the nuclear plants before the coal plants. When you shut down or decline to maintain, upgrade and expand nuclear, in favor of renewables which do not yet exist, fossil energy (coal, oil, or natural gas) tends to fill the gap.

Just look at Germany. Imagine how much better things would have been today if they'd shut down their fossil power plants before the nuclear plants.

idlehand··on Nuclear energy is clean
On a continent-wide grid, there will likely be some wind somewhere, and some pumped hydro ready to take advantage of the low prices.

We'll also see micro-storage developing to take advantage of electricity price variability. EVs will charge when electricity is cheapest, household water might be warmed during the day when solar energy is available, etc.

Unfortunately losing nuclear means that we lose the potential for a self-sufficient regional grid. But since the costs of losing base load power are largely offloaded from national budgets, instead showing up as new costs for consumers and companies, it's a lot easier for a politician to advocate for renewables. No need to spend taxpayer money on a project that won't be finished in the 4 years that matter to your government.

idlehand··on Riding transit takes almost twice as long as driving (2017)
A functional public transport system also means that people who are too young or old to drive, or have vision problems, or need to take medication which makes it unsafe to operate a vehicle, have the freedom to leave their homes and go where they need to go.
idlehand··on Saudi Crown Prince unveils plans for $500bn structure to house 9M people
It's probably not a very efficient use of capital, but it's better than the Saudis spending it on their military.
idlehand··on Why falling birthrates might be a bigger deal than dominants narratives imply
The issue lies in who those 1 billion people will be. The most anti-LGBT, anti-women, anti-education, low income cultures which have the most kids? Or a "controlled landing" in which most of the Western world doesn't become a ghost town or has its culture more or less replaced because it couldn't reproduce itself?
idlehand··on More invested in nuclear fusion in last 12 months than past decade
Governments sometimes demolish highways though. And a lot of the time, the marginal utility of adding another lane to a road is lower than the utility of using that space and public money somewhere else. If we scale a car-centric city to a million inhabitants we often end up with a majority of urban space devoted to roads and parking lots, which cost public money, instead of commercial and residential buildings which generate opportunities for the inhabitants and money for the municipality.

Another problem of car-centric infrastructure is that it doesn't scale as well as public transport - a single bus can, potentially, take 50 or more cars off the road.

idlehand··on More invested in nuclear fusion in last 12 months than past decade
Commercial fusion power probably makes it more economical to spend more energy recycling materials.
idlehand··on Show HN: Famnom – Nutrition tracker and meal planner for families
I second this. I went through a phase of extremely clean eating and it helped me lose the weight I put on in the first half of the pandemic. Now I just have an intuition as to what to eat and in which quantities, and it has helped me keep the weight off for the past year.
idlehand··on A Soviet scientist dreamed of melting the Arctic with a 55 mile dam (2013)
26 million, mostly in prime working and childbearing age - so a larger effect on future population size than the number itself implies.
idlehand··on Germany to Rethink Nuclear Shutdown as Energy Crisis Deepens
We're going to see more interconnected grids, the sun is usually shining somewhere and the wind is blowing somewhere. And when it isn't, we're going to see higher prices.

Private companies will absorb some part of the societal cost of intermittent electricity, by letting factories and workplaces stay idle when power costs are high - this will filter down to lower wages for the employees of those companies.

idlehand··on Ask HN: How do you search for products / apps given a list of requirements?
Has Google gotten worse in the last few years? I instinctively try to Google these kinds of things, but it is getting harder to find the results I want.
idlehand··on Pregnant woman given HOV ticket argues fetus is passenger, post-Roe
Any car with more than one person in the vehicle should have VIP access. That's at least twice as efficient use of space and natural resources as one person in a 2-ton SUV driving to work or wherever.
idlehand··on Flânerie: The Art of Aimless Strolling
I think you're right, but there is also the possibility that people avoiding places and situations which feel unsafe is a factor in the low number of incidents.
idlehand··on New MacBook Air with M2
Yup - I owe my above-average native fluency to my mother's incessant correcting, and my English proficiency to countless kind strangers on the internet.
idlehand··on The trimodal nature of software salaries in the Netherlands and Europe (2021)
If the wages are not rising, then the organization sees no replacement as better than a more expensive replacement.

It's just price capping leading to scarcity.

idlehand··on Ask HN: Why is everything in JavaScript changing so fast?
Unfortunately that sentiment is just backend developer elitism. The DOM, frontend state, backend state, and networking end up creating considerable complexity once you start creating more dynamic web applications.
idlehand··on The trimodal nature of software salaries in the Netherlands and Europe (2021)
Gentle reminder that wages are set by markets generally based on the cost of replacement. If you don't have a moat in the form of education and experience, you won't have very impressive pay. Working in the public sector just makes this worse because politicians need to keep your wages down to have room in the budget for their pet project which will hopefully get them re-elected.
idlehand··on World Population Clock: 7.96B People (2022)
I'm 99% sure that Africa is not going to reach 4.3 billion inhabitants. Climate change, food insecurity, economic growth and global instability will ensure that it doesn't turn out that way.
idlehand··on US hypersonic missile fails in test- 2nd consecutive failed attempt
The US does attract plenty of scientists from other parts of the world, including China and Russia.
idlehand··on Driverless robotaxi fleet paralyzed for hours in San Francisco
Both India and China do have high rates of both traffic and pedestrian deaths compared to European countries.

I think the answer is going to be government rules because it's important that self-driving cars are predictable when there's no human driver you can have eye contact with in complex situations.

idlehand··on Why programmers are not paid in proportion to their productivity (2009)
US productivity, that is, GDP per hour worked, is higher than almost all European countries. Only the Germanic-speaking countries have comparable productivity.
idlehand··on Basement Fertility
I would say most children in Western nations are wanted by their parents. They're mostly just a cost economically speaking, so no incentive to have more than you want.

I think most people can achieve happiness in their situation, even under bad conditions, if they have a sound mind. Those elites might have a better shot at accidental happiness, but being upset over that will do nothing good for your own state of mind, so why let it bring you down? You can't change how the world works.

Happiness comes from within, and from meaningful social connections.

idlehand··on Basement Fertility
Sounds like you might be out of touch, housing has become a lot less affordable in the last decades.
idlehand··on Most of the world’s grain is not eaten by humans
Corn is not a complete protein, though. So it's not a valid substitute for chicken or beef, which do provide all the necessary amino acids.
idlehand··on The fragmented nature of modern-day railways
Russia and Ukraine have the same gauge. The reason the railroads weren't used to invade is because Ukraine managed to damage the connecting infrastructure enough. Turns out that railroads are a lot better defensively than offensively, in an era of widespread drone usage.
idlehand··on The end of the world is just beginning for shipping
Adding more inputs to a production process generally increases output. But many parts of the world are already suffering from soil depletion because of intensive farming, and the fertilizers and fossil fuels which we use to raise yields will run out eventually.

Innovation has been able to outrun resource depletion for the last 300 years of industrialism, but that is no guarantee that it will last forever. Even a lot of that growth has come at the cost of increased emissions and resource depletion rather than efficiency gains.

idlehand··on UK inflation hits 9.1% as prices rise at fastest rate for 40 years
Low interest rates benefit the wealthy, that's why they have been allowed to remain in place for a decade. Inequality accelerated during the 10s.
idlehand··on The computers are fast, but you don't know it
I didn't like it for years but then I kind of got into it for testing out machine learning and I found it kind of neat. My biggest gripe is no longer the syntax but the slowness, trying to do anything with even a soft performance requirement means having to figure out how to use a library that calls C to do it for you. Working with large amounts of data in native Python is noticeably slower than even NodeJS.
idlehand··on Federal Reserve raises rates by 0.75%
Unlike socialism, capitalism actually seems to fare better when under a siege mentality. The 50s to 70s was a period of strong growth and right-wing support for worker-friendly policies which made the lives of the ordinary person better, not least because of fear that poor working class conditions would lead to communist uprisings in Western Europe.
idlehand··on Federal Reserve raises rates by 0.75%
Every central bank in the world is caught between a rock and a hard place. A recession would be bad for the long-term economy, likely reducing aggregate productivity. But if they don't manage to get inflation under control, we'll see a wage/price spiral as high inflation expectations become entrenched among companies and workers.
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