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i_love_limes

902 karma · joined April 30, 2019

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i_love_limes··on Where Human Sleep Went Wrong
That was kind of my initial point... there are far too many permutations that alter what you want to maximise to consider this as a good option right now. Environment, gene-environment interactions, epigenetics, polygenecity, pleiotropy, etc, etc.
i_love_limes··on Where Human Sleep Went Wrong
Great question! It maybe can be, but what is the maxima that is being solved for exactly? There are usually tradeoffs, the most common and prevalent is our body's immune response. If it's under-active, we might die from an infection. If it's over-active, we get diabetes, lupus, chron's, and (probably) lots of mental health disorders.

So, it's a bit context dependent, and definitely dependent on other mutations that have occurred in other parts of your DNA. Most complex diseases are "polygenic", meaning it's a culmination of quite a few factors that would contribute to a specific good or bad outcome.

So, yes, it could be modeled as a sort very context dependent with a lot of highly correlated non-independent covariates. We do use quite a lot of statistical and ML methods to understand the genome (I work in statistical genetics), but the complexity of biology has so far proved a tough nut to crack.

i_love_limes··on Where Human Sleep Went Wrong
I think people in HN (and in general) have to remember the central axes of evolution before digesting this kind of article. I've already seen comments like it's "odd that no species has ended up evolving a continuous maintenance system" and "sleep has a higher opportunity cost in humans" in this comments section.

This is a common, but poor framing of evolution. Remember: the only real rule with evolution is "did this evolutionary change mean they survived / reproduced more"? Evolution is not a local or global maxima solving function. I find this kind of attempt at interpreting selection common with engineers, programmers, etc.

i_love_limes··on How Madrid built its metro cheaply (2024)
This is a pretty egregious misreading of both Hardin and Ostrom, where on earth did you get this from?

Hardin did not argue that private industry was more efficient. His paper described that with an unmanaged, private, unregulated open pasture that has no property rights, individuals will exploit it until it collapses. It wasn't used used as justification for privatization, if anything it was the opposite.

Ostrom did not argue that unmanaged resources don't collapse. Instead, she showed with data a third way of organising which was more involved with self-governing, communal rules to manage shared resources without resorting to either a private corporation or government control.

i_love_limes··on A statistical analysis of Rotten Tomatoes
I have to disagree with your take on "High critic score / low audience score". There is a swathe of more challenging, experimental, or art house movies that fall into this category. These reviews fill the void where another audience only place like imdb falls short.
i_love_limes··on The Molecule of the Month
The old hacker news hug of death...
i_love_limes··on Show HN: ArXivTok
Great idea! The scrolling is a bit broken though. I can't scroll down the text on my trackpad without it going to the next article, and also it just a lot of articles with a tiny movement of the trackpad.

Otherwise it's a really fun idea! Can I suggest you also scrape from https://www.medrxiv.org/? This is where a lot of medical research preprints, not arxiv

i_love_limes··on They Thought They Were Free: The Germans, 1933-45 (1955)
I'm having a hard time googling the book you mentioned. Is it by any chance called 'They Thought They Were Free: The Germans 1933-45'? That's the closest thing I could find.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/They_Thought_They_Were_Free

i_love_limes··on Bacteria (and their metabolites) and depression
Well no. It's not uncommon for p-values to be even lower than that. We are talking about a specific SNP (allele) having a specific mutation being predictive of a phenotype / outcome.

So, a specific SNP mutation being predictive of a gene expression / protein is basically a p-value of 0.

Can't speak for physics experiments, but this is almost certainly not a statistical error

i_love_limes··on Bacteria (and their metabolites) and depression
So, it is like that, but it's also not. A couple decades ago, with the advent of GWASes, because of all the multiple testing that was going on, there was an agreed new p-value threshold p < 5e-8. This was to account for multiple testing going on (how that number came to be requires more explanation of LD + other things).

That is the minimum threshold. This study found that peak was at p < 1e-37 or so. But that is where the biological analysis begins. Unlike social scientists, we don't stop with the statistical correlation, we then go on to look at what we know about that gene, the type of mutation, if it's a loss or gain of function, what role that gene has in various tissues, etc. And mendelian randomization is another way to unpick the causal direction of effect.

Not to say this is the truth or causal, but it's a lot closer to causal than what you are implying.

i_love_limes··on FireDucks: Pandas but Faster
I have never heard of FireDucks! I'm curious if anyone else here has used it. Polars is nice, but it's not totally compatible. It would be interesting how much faster it is for more complex calculations
i_love_limes··on Trump wins presidency for second time
Other high ranking military officers that have worked closely with Trump disagree. I might be inclined to believe them over you, unless you've also worked with Trump? Or are you just someone that he would call a 'sucker'?

https://www.nytimes.com/2024/10/22/us/politics/john-kelly-tr...

i_love_limes··on AlphaProteo generates novel proteins for biology and health research
I have a question that hopefully a molecular biologist can answer. Can tools like this potentially create protein structures that specifically bind in certain cells? Or is this more about a way of being able to create proteins for genes / structures we haven't been able to before?

I'm very interested in my research at the moment in pleiotropy, namely mapping pleiotropic effects in as many *omics/QTL measurements and complex traits as possible. This is really helpful for determining which genes / proteins to focus on for drug development.

The problem with drugs is in fact pleiotropy! A single protein can do quite a lot of things in your body, either through a causal downstream mechanism (vertical pleiotropy), or seemingly independent processes (horizontal). This limits a lot of possible drug target as the side-effect / detrimental effect may be too large.

So, if these tools can create ultra specific protein structures that somehow only bind in the areas of interest, then that would be a truly massive breakthrough.

i_love_limes··on Possible association between tattoos and lymphoma
I suggest you read 'Study Size' under 'Methods'. Detecting an odds ratio of 1.3 with 80% power, and rounding way up to 3000 cases. To me that's not a small sample size, but definitely not the highest OR to aim for. Different cases vs. controls is not a problem for this study design. You pointing that out as a negative makes me think you might not know as much about epi study designs as your comment lets on
i_love_limes··on AI consciousness is inevitable: A theoretical computer science perspective
You are trying to justify one strand of unethical behaviour (how humans have bred dogs) with another. Not sure that holds up.
i_love_limes··on Nobel Prize winner Gregg Semenza tallies tenth retraction (2023)
For those not in Academia, it's worth noting that when you get to his level, it's more like being a VP or senior leader. Ultimately, yes you are responsible for the quality of output of your team, but you are absolutely not looking in detail at every paper, more the ideation and focus of the department.

He should be grilling his assistant profs / research fellows to get their act together and raise the bar, but this doesn't show malfeasance.

i_love_limes··on How random is xkcd? (2015)
I ran into this too. I run a very silly slack bot for my friends, and it randomly cycles through pictures that we all have created. Initially it was completely random choice per invocation. Had to change it to a randomly sorted list that was then stored and iterated through until the list is depleted, then it's re-randomised. For the same reason, complaints that actual random choice chose duplicate pictures too often
i_love_limes··on Books of 2023, as Chosen by The Economist
> Best Things First. By Bjorn Lomborg

Wait, this is the social scientist who wrote The Skeptical Environmentalist, whom a Danish Science committee found to be "scientifically dishonest through misrepresentation of scientific facts, but Lomborg himself not guilty due to his lack of expertise in the fields in question." [1]

And now he's written a book about another topic he doesn't have a deep understanding of. Forgive me if I give it a miss.

[1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bj%C3%B8rn_Lomborg#The_Skeptic...

i_love_limes··on Introduction to Modern Statistics
A lot of people... in fact a huge portion of statisticians, epidemiologists, econometrics, use it as their primary language.

I do genetic epidemiology (which is considerably more compute intensive than regular epidemiology), and R is still the most common language, with the most libraries and packages being used for it, compared to python for example.

I think maybe you should consider being less forthcoming with your opinions on topics which you are not well informed on.

i_love_limes··on Jupyter Notebook 7
In my field (genetic epidemiology), there are annoyingly un-standardised toolsets. There are libraries in R, python, and C/C++ binaries. Being able to string these together in one notebook is helpful.

That being said, I usually just stick to one notebook per thing.

i_love_limes··on Schooling improves intelligence, but not the impact of socioeconomics, genetics
So, this peer reviewed analysis of real data is wishful thinking science compared to your anecdotal observations? I might suggest you rethink your stance based on new information.

It's also interesting, how if school didn't play a factor, putting your kid into a under-performing inner city school wouldn't matter (or conversely, elite private schools wouldn't either)

i_love_limes··on Unofficial guide to dotfiles on GitHub
In 2015, GitHub sent me a DMCA takedown notice for a repository of dotfiles. When I tried to convince them how ridiculous that is, their only suggestion was to file a DMCA counter notice.

Glad they've come a long way since then.

i_love_limes··on “Science must respect the dignity and rights of all humans”
Is this a real opinion? My god.

Thinking that aborting female embryos because they will be considered less important in society is wrong, AND think that removing a women's right to choose entirely based on religious teachings is wrong, AND thinking that forced sterilization of a whole cultural/ethnic group is wrong, are not incompatible.

Where are you getting these opinions from? I'd honestly have a hard look at where you got these thoughts from, they are pretty backwards, and not morally considered at all.

i_love_limes··on “Science must respect the dignity and rights of all humans”
This has garnered quite a lot of reactions from the comments. I'd like to ask a genuine question about this, from the perspective of assuming that Nature is acting in good faith about this.

Let's say someone has calculated the polygenic scores (PGS) of Heteronormativity, meaning that a model, can predict with a decent level of accuracy that someone will or will not be straight from their DNA.

This, in an ideal world, would be good knowledge to have. You can raise you child knowing and accepting this reality.

In the world we live in, this would be used to abort babies that don't pass the PGS to the vast majority of people who have this information.

So, in this case, where we have an oppressed group that can be oppressed further, is knowledge better than ignorance? It seems that many in the comments would say yes, and that the pursuit of knowledge is the clear winner, and anything else is merely the price of progress. Which I might ask, you would say the same thing if you were gay?

I want to make one thing clear, this is not a silly thought experiment. This is very possible right now with the advent of biobanks, GWAS tooling, and machine learning. Nature is thinking about these things when writing that up.

I presume that most of you would agree that releasing this information for anyone to know would have negative consequences, and should maybe be controlled. So, then, you fundamentally agree with Nature's stance, do you not? We're merely talking about where the line of publishing exists, not if one should exist at all? Are you not being a bit overzealous with your declarations of orthodoxy?

i_love_limes··on An odd discovery on Spotify
This thread has quietened down now, so I'd like to ask about those forums you were talking about. I'm really curious about them and would love to have a closer look, but I completely understand if you don't want to divulge that kind of information.
i_love_limes··on CEO's LinkedIn crying selfie about layoffs met with backlash
I'm sorry, but you did not dub the term toxic positivity.
i_love_limes··on The DynamoDB Paper
Have to disagree on this one. Something as basic and out of the box as a migration / data backfill is not only complicated but also very expensive (both time and cost wise) on Dynamo. Not to mention all the other things that come nicely with an relational db (type checking, auto increments, uniform data)
i_love_limes··on Flu vaccination linked to 40% reduced risk of Alzheimer’s disease
In the interview he seems to be more loose with his words, but that also doesn't say causation. In the paper the conclusion is "This study demonstrates that influenza vaccination is associated with reduced AD risk in a nationwide sample of US adults aged 65 and older."

That is distinctly not causal.

i_love_limes··on Flu vaccination linked to 40% reduced risk of Alzheimer’s disease
Epidemiologist in training here... There are quite a few comments in this thread already jumping on the 'correlation != causation' train. While that is true, I'd like to clarify a couple things:

1. The journal article didn't suggest it was causal. But such a correlation with such a large population warrants publication and further research into causation.

2. literally the first thing that any epidemiologist would consider is potential confounders. There is a big list of covariates they included into their model here: https://content.iospress.com/articles/journal-of-alzheimers-...

There are quite a few things that can be done to alleviate potential false correlations: DAGs, prior literature, removing confounders, and including covariates are all things at disposal.

3. Such a large sample size + previously reported findings + an inclusion of enough covariates still doesn't == causation, BUT it's important to publish and shout about so we can then look into the potential biological underpinnings that may cause this. Which by the way, those experiments may still use data science techniques.

4. If you are actually interested, there is a whole topic of this called 'causal inference' with one famous criteria list called the 'Bradford Hill Criteria': https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bradford_Hill_criteria. This list is often argued about.

5. If all of this information was new to you, please stop spouting 'correlation != causation'. You probably don't know as much as you think

i_love_limes··on Flu vaccination linked to 40% reduced risk of Alzheimer’s disease
It links to the actual paper if you are interested, the paper has a whole table of covariates it took into consideration. https://content.iospress.com/articles/journal-of-alzheimers-...

I don't think the paper or the journal article suggested it was causal either. But such a correlation with such a large population warrants publication and further research into causation.

You unfortunately chose literally the first thing that any epidemiologist would consider, which is considering potential confounders. Maybe read up a bit before commenting.

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