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hnlurker

-13 karma · joined June 23, 2014

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hnlurker··on No One Is Happy About Diversity Efforts at Work
Except that studies of twins raised apart[1] calculate statistical IQ heritability in the range of 70% or more. Perhaps even more surprising, for the field of Psychology at least[2], these findings appear to be replicated across studies. Even if you're not a full-on IQ apologetic, IQ is at least deeply correlated with success in professional fields, like engineering from your example.

As a parent myself, I wish the scenario you described was true! That guardians had the capacity to simply nurture into reality an Al Einstein or Mikey Phelps, if they just Tiger Mom push their way through the young person's early years. But the data do not indicate that; to the contrary, most of that future person is already defined in their nature/genes at conception, and good parenting, at its best, will simply avoid catastrophe while nudging towards good goals.

All the rest is just to make the guardian feel better about themself.

[1] https://www.science.org/doi/10.1126/science.2218526 [2] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Replication_crisis

hnlurker··on Freedom of Speech (2019)
Oh please! Forgive us for not taking seriously the ideas, on this subject, of a country that arrested and tried, multiple times, an elected parliamentarian for the recitation of plain facts about criminal arrest statistics within the country.

https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Trial_of_Geert_Wilders

We’ll call if discussion turns to cheese or chocolates.

hnlurker··on Evidence suggests state Senate candidates were plants funded by dark money
Where did you learn they were fake people? The article doesn't say it. The article definitely says they contacted several of these "fake people." Maybe they were candidates that had no intention of winning, is that what you are failing to communicate?

Over 1000 people ran for US President in 2020. Are they fake people even if they had no chance of winning? Even if they had no legitimate strategy to win?

I love when disappointed political people blame a 3rd party for their loss when the fault lies with themselves. Get a better message. Connect with the voters better. Don't be a stinky candidate and those votes will be cast for you.. The votes aren't a priori yours.

hnlurker··on NYC pilot tries mental health responders in place of police
Just because there have been high profile cases which fit the narrative of what you already believe doesn't mean that that is an accurate picture of reality.

The data simply do not comport with the position you are advocating. Here's some old (2005) data: https://www.bjs.gov/index.cfm?ty=pbdetail&iid=653

- 20% of people in US had contact with police in the year. - 9/10 people reported police acted properly - 44 million people with interactions, only 1% of those had violent conflict involved with the interaction, that's 440 thousand incidents

Hell, even the left-leaning WaPo tried to use data to buttress their/your argument and it's just plain embarrassing: https://www.washingtonpost.com/graphics/investigations/polic...

- 1000 people shot by police in 2019 - they actually removed the numbers for unarmed, because it was so dismal for their message - less than 50 "unarmed" black people killed by police in 2019

Take an honest look at these numbers and then please try again to justify your position about how there's a "high chance that the individual will end up shot by the police" because by the light of the data you're living in a fantasy land.

hnlurker··on The U.S. Divorce Rate Has Hit a 50-Year Low
In line with the data we have for divorces, we see dramatically increased rate of out of wedlock childbearing over the same time periods being discussed:

https://www.cdc.gov/nchs/data/nvsr/nvsr48/nvs48_16.pdf

This suggests to me that couples are still coupling, just not inviting Uncle Sam to the party. Given that other users have shown a wealth divide for marriage, it would seem that poor couples are opting out of marriage in order to obtain/keep local/state/federal resources, e.g. SNAP, Medicaid, etc, which almost always have income caps for eligibility.

hnlurker··on Amy Coney Barrett Confirmed to US Supreme Court
The economy isn't in freefall, but if it were, it would be because of statewide lockdowns. States that impose fines or take away the license to do business if they dare open. In my state, the governor forced infected elderly back into nursing homes--a population of people who are at 3x or more risk than the general population.

Honestly, if you think that Trump, a person I find stupid, despicable, and generally bankrupt, has any responsibility for those things then appeals to reason are simply not going to work on you..

hnlurker··on Ketamine that's injected during arrests draws new scrutiny
Well said.
hnlurker··on Ketamine that's injected during arrests draws new scrutiny
Set aside the ethics, legality, and saneness of doping an arrestee for a moment. Anyone know if this impacts the arrested person's 5th amendment rights?

Once you administer a mind altering drug against that person's will, any and all statements made by that person ought to be out of bounds for using against them at trial.

hnlurker··on Is insurance more expensive in Black neighborhoods?
The dishonesty is presenting this as a racist thing. The dishonesty is also in the implication that insurance companies are racist rather than simply responding to the market. The article is trying to drum up outrage at well established insurance companies in order to direct money to their business.

Institutional racism. Systemic racism. Oh bother.. You seem pretty confident about it without presenting any evidence. You haven't even identified which institution. I hate racism, it's useless and frankly stupid. Just because groups have different outcomes doesn't make it racist. You probably think that Google is systemically sexist because it is largely male in STEM departments. Google might be, but simply having male dominated departments does NOT warrant that conclusion.

NOTE: I used scare quotes around "black neighborhoods" because they are just American neighborhoods. Contrary to popular opinion/belief, we aren't (still or yet) living in a country where your skin color allows or prevents you from living in any particular neighborhood. Those that claim otherwise, or even suggest it through veiled implication, ought to present some actual evidence or STFU.

hnlurker··on Is insurance more expensive in Black neighborhoods?
It's dishonest because non-black people in those "black neighborhoods" are also paying the "racist" premium. It's not like non-black people are paying 10% less while living on the same block and purchasing the same insurance.

Car insurance varies by how many miles you drive on average, because, shocker, driving more miles means a higher risk of a driving accident. What happens if the data reveal that black people drive more on average and subsequently have to pay more for auto insurance?? Relatedly, is it sexist that men pay more than women for the exact same policy on the exact same car in the exact same zip code? Since men get into more serious accidents, it doesn't appear to be sexist to me..

Univariate analyses like this need to mump off and die.

hnlurker··on LSD Chemist William Pickard to Be Released from Prison
Crack and cocaine aren't really all that similar. Crack and meth are tho. Guess what, they both have the same mandatory mins too.

When you look for racism everywhere, you find it everywhere. Let's be more objective, eh?

hnlurker··on Four States Are Sharing Driver's License Info to Help Find Out Who's a Citizen
Wrong. See 14A, S2. Gender and citizenship are both constitutionally required data points for census.
hnlurker··on Us online tuition move hits foreign visas
Uh... they are liberal strongholds, overwhelmingly. There is a mountain of evidence for it.

https://heterodoxacademy.org/professors-moved-left-but-count...

hnlurker··on U.S. Police Shootings: Breaking Down the Data by Race
<pet-peeve-soapbox>"which the data does not support" should be "which the data do not support"; data is plural, does is singular.</>
hnlurker··on Girls’ comparative advantage in reading can largely explain the STEM gender gap
because in poor countries, women must choose what pays most.. stem. in rich countries, they can choose what they enjoy.
hnlurker··on Developers join call for GitHub to cancel its ICE contract
All the ICE workers wear pants, we should organize and boycott all manufacturers of pants. Where does it end under your rules? Seriously, how about food? Farmers need to unite!
hnlurker··on Is America a democracy? If so, why does it deny millions the vote?
We really ought to bring back literacy tests. They should just be applied to all voters.. Even better, you can't vote unless you can pass a US Citizenship Exam. Then we could open the voting up to all citizens regardless of age, too. Win, win, win.
hnlurker··on The Billionaires Are Getting Nervous
I mean, to me "fair" would be everyone paying the same tax total, like $1k per person per year.

The next level of "fair" would be everyone paying the same tax rate, like 10% of their income.

Just because a tax can be shouldered by some group doesn't mean it ought to be levied. It's extremely unfair.

Equity is evil. Equality is good.

hnlurker··on Facebook includes Breitbart in curated trusted news
If Stormfront linked to HN, then HN is a Stormfront front? This kind of logic is asinine. It's on the level of Nazis wear pants. You wear pants. You're a Nazi??
hnlurker··on SpaceX Is Launching 60 Starlink Internet Satellites Tonight
We are in EDT not EST.
hnlurker··on Against Little Free Libraries (2017)
At least LFLs don't have vagrants and homeless lousing up the place like public libraries do.
hnlurker··on Airline tells DACA attendant they're safe to fly abroad. ICE Detains Her
I agree, and I consider that to be harmful and bad. It should not be up to law enforcement whether or not they will enforce the law. Anytime they do not, they are unjust and harmful. If there are bad laws, let's get them removed.
hnlurker··on Airline tells DACA attendant they're safe to fly abroad. ICE Detains Her
If you don't like the laws, change them. It's really pretty straightforward. We live in a democratic republic where these processes are well defined and understood broadly.

When the people our society has charged to enforce our laws enforce the law, that's a good outcome; if they didn't, that'd be literally unjust.

I don't know this woman, but it seems pretty stupid of her to leave the country which she is illegally inhabiting and then be surprised when she's not allowed to re-enter. Play stupid games, win stupid prizes.

hnlurker··on Amazon Is the Invisible Backbone Behind ICE’s Immigration Crackdown
Tell that to the religious bakers, or florists. Right of refusal is a privilege of left-leaning businesses.
hnlurker··on Say Hello to Full Employment
I was just responding to the often cited claim that average Americans would be devastated by an unexpected $500 expense. They're spending $300+ on lottery tickets, and yet can't cover a $500 expense. It seems a rather simple solution to me.. don't throw away your money on lottery tickets.
hnlurker··on Ask HN: What does HN think about adding “A” to STEM?
I read through all the comments, I think there's a point which is being overlooked. The addition of the 'A' category will serve as a useful idiot to increase the participation of otherwise under represented groups.

I'm all for it. It's generally the 'A' people that do not at all understand how statistics work and would be most likely to be placated by this type of addition anyway.

hnlurker··on Are Honey Nut Cheerios Healthy?
carbs AFFECT certain folks more adversely

or

carbs have an EFFECT on certain folks more adversely

hnlurker··on This Could Be the End of Facebook
Tamper evident, not tamper proof. Meh.
hnlurker··on The Intel Xeon E7-8800 v3 Review: The POWER8 Killer?
This has got to be the worst written article I've seen all year. I've seen high school essays written with more skill.
hnlurker··on Orbital Sciences Antares rocket explodes after liftoff
You will not go to space today.