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hndudette2

61 karma · joined January 1, 2021

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hndudette2··on What Is a Gamma Squeeze in the Context of Stock Trading?
Do you have a guess as to what percentage of all volume is driven by hedging by options market makers?
hndudette2··on YouTube bans Steve Bannon's podcast channel
It's just a numbers game, there's more Dems here (probably 4:1 given the industry demographic) and so you lose the popularity contest on a topic like this which stokes tribal sentiments.
hndudette2··on YouTube bans Steve Bannon's podcast channel
Exactly, and no Dem ever gets deplatformed for these incessant lies that lead to violence and death. Shows you it's all an excuse to purge Republicans (liars though they may be)
hndudette2··on Over 73% of U.S. Adults Overweight or Obese
It's especially reasonable when we're talking about changes in BMI instead of levels regarding a population. That can only be driven by the population getting fatter.
hndudette2··on Reverse Cargo Cult (2017)
Wouldn't people have said the same thing about Hitler after the failed Beer Hall Putsch?

I think Trump's allure is going to mostly survive this event, he will figure out a way to brand it as not being his fault or intention. I could be wrong about that though.

hndudette2··on How Do You Solve a Problem Like QAnon
I believe there's also a neurological basis as well. It's been shown that belief in superstition is predicted by dopamime levels in the brain. Likely same for conspiracy theory belief. Elevated dopamine levels leading people to perceive patterns where they don't exist.
hndudette2··on Amazon, Apple and Google Cut Off Parler
The person you responded to is largely correct, despite your aggressive tone.

While AWS will act on anything that's reported, they are well known to do absolutely nothing in addition to that to stop the rampant usage of their platform to spread child pornography, unlike FB and other platforms which invest heavily in stopping the spread of child abuse material.

Amazon AWS really don't care about what goes on their platform unless it becomes a potential PR issue.

https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2019/11/09/us/internet-c...

hndudette2··on You've Been Referred Here Because You're Wrong About Section 230 of the CDA
Nobody is arguing that these platforms don't have a legal right to do what they've done. The only debate is about what they ought to do, and whether the laws should be changed as a result of those preferences.

Regarding Parler: it is a large platform with a mixture of conservative speech and outright violent rhetoric. Does that justify its ban? The same is true for Twitter and FB (ie there exists a large amount of unmoderated extremist speech and calls for violence on these platforms). What makes it right to ban only Parler? Is there evidence that the density of such speech is higher there?

hndudette2··on You've Been Referred Here Because You're Wrong About Section 230 of the CDA
Nonsense. A former Democratic staffer employed by Facebook censored the breaking news story about Hunter Biden's laptop on the eve of the election which we now know to be factually accurate. This is a literal and recent example of what the person you accused of being malicious talked about. We all know that if it was a smear against the Trump campaign instead, that this would've never happened. You must be able to see the double standard at work.
hndudette2··on Arrests of Hong Kong democrats shows why EU must reject China investment
From China. Sanctions don't necessarily mean ceasing all trade.
hndudette2··on Google suspending Parler from the Google Play store
> telling you it's not censorship and they are technically correct

No, they are technically incorrect. As other posters have pointed out, it literally is censorship. Whether a private company or government is doing it is irrelevant to the definition of that term.

hndudette2··on Google suspending Parler from the Google Play store
> choosing not to amplify the voices of people that have proven themselves capable of and prone to violence

Then why not ban Twitter as well? I could show you hundreds of tweets from little known left-wing activists inciting violence during the BLM protests. This double standard tells us that the rationale given for banning Parler is just an excuse. The real reason is that executives in these companies are doing what their most vocal employees and the liberal media are pressuring them to do.

hndudette2··on Permanent suspension of @realDonaldTrump
Flying on 9/11/2001 was "mostly safe" because less than 96% of flights were hijacked. Also a true statement, but ridiculous.

The BLM riots resulted in 19 dead, and thousands of properties damaged. It's equivalently true to say "Trump protests/rallies are mostly non-violent", since the majority of them (probably rivalling the 96% in the article you mention) have had few issues with violence until the recent insurrection. But that would just be a vacuous talking point.

hndudette2··on Sci-Hub Founder Criticizes Sudden Twitter Ban over “Counterfeit” Content
I'm going off my experience with doctors that I know personally. There's definitely a personality type or an attitude there that shuts them off to things that a layperson will bring to them even if it's based on good science (only they haven't studied it before).
hndudette2··on Tether price manipulation
There's many bitcoin derivative exchanges which allow you to short, in addition to the CME's contract.

Bitmex, Huobi, etc.

hndudette2··on Sci-Hub Founder Criticizes Sudden Twitter Ban over “Counterfeit” Content
> After asking five different doctors about it, one finally agreed to prescribe it.

Were the other four too lazy/orthodox to read the papers you're referencing? Or they read the papers and still thought it wasn't a good idea? I'm going to presume that the former is the case, unfortunately.

hndudette2··on DOJ fines Boeing over $2.5B, charges it with fraud conspiracy
The upside of your proposal is that it'll create a very strong disincentive for this kind of behavior.

But if we really can't attribute blame to specific individuals, your proposal is effectively collective punishment where individuals that are genuinely innocent are punished because of wrongdoings of other members of the group. From a justice perspective, we're in murky moral waters. An analogy would be to punish everyone in a shared household if we know that one member of that household committed a crime but we can't determine which one specifically (and let's assume that the innocent members of the household don't know and aren't hiding information). This would be a state of affairs that everyone would rightly protest. So we need to think carefully as to whether we want to enact your proposal.

hndudette2··on Facebook Indefinitely Suspends Trump
It is absolutely not a fallacy, as Naval Ravikant points out, given the large numbers of slippery slopes that have played out in the historical record. I have no idea why the belief that it is a logical fallacy is so widespread.
hndudette2··on Elon Musk becomes world’s richest person as wealth tops $185B
Put it all into a California high speed rail. That'll do it, economic justice has been achieved.
hndudette2··on Elon Musk becomes world’s richest person as wealth tops $185B
TSLA has a P/E ratio of 1500. Even though they're a growth stock it's a generous valuation to say the least. The stock price has been driven up by

(1) a lot of retail investors loading into the stock & call options, primarily because it's a momentum hype/meme ticker with Elon at the helm, and easy access through Robinhood et al combined with stimulus money.

(2) large cap tech stocks have been rallying during COVID; capital has had nowhere else to go with the Fed crushing the USD and non-tech companies suffering,

(3) shorts have been repeatedly obliterated and are now mostly staying away. Short interest is now only 6%.

(4) TSLA was recently included in the S&P 500 at a ~1.5% weight, so index funds and ETFs have been forced to buy it due to a mandate to track the index.

hndudette2··on Elon Musk becomes world’s richest person as wealth tops $185B
> Do you think that he wouldn't have done what he has done if there was a wealth tax in the US?

Maybe he would've left the country and tried to build something elsewhere. If he didn't, you also can't proclaim to know that he would've pursued his projects with such vigor in the presence of a wealth tax. The wealth tax idea has been tried before and has failed, so whoever is promoting it at least has to explain why this time is different. https://www.businessinsider.com.au/what-happened-when-the-we...

> Or do you think the single mom ... cares about electric cars and rockets?

Climate change (EVs) isn't only going to impact the rich. Also, reusable rocket tech is massive value add to our society including to regular people; satellites - which working class people rely on, plus diversifying life in order to reduce existential risk which is something everyone should care about.

hndudette2··on Coinbase is experiencing connectivity issues
Bitcoin is one of the rare instruments with inverted skew in its options i.e. volatility is higher when the price is going up. So we would expect outages to be more correlated with price increases than decreases.
hndudette2··on Infosec implications of the US Capitol physical breach
> Stood back and people show their anger, then move on with our lives -- message heard-- with minimal injury and damage.

Disagree on that point. Allowing riots creates a lot of anger on the other side of the political isle. Also, the rioters are often not representative of the majority of protestors and undermine the entire movement (think about the BLM rioters' impact on how the overall movement was perceived). They also often lead to a violation of rights; property destruction, assaults, deaths, etc. Almost nobody - on any side - wants a small number of thugs to run the show.

hndudette2··on U.S. Capitol Locked Down Amid Escalating Protests
Terrible idea. He's out in two weeks. Why stir up his base and invite confirmation bias when he's already out the door? That would be risking a lot to gain very little.
hndudette2··on How a startup can survive technical debt
Yep, same, and it hurts the most loyal and hardworking the most. Do what's best for yourself and find a better job.
hndudette2··on You’re Never Too Old to Become a Beginner
3. Better education will not prevent programming bugs. Better process and mechanical checking will.

I don't know if this is what you meant by mechanical checking, but I highly rate two things to reduce bugs:

(1) Checking that the output of the entire system is 100% (and I meant 100% literally in every sense of the word) accurate, not just that the smaller unit tests pass or that the output "looks right".

(2) Scrutinizing the logic of the code line by line at least 2 times after you've finished writing it.

As a dev with a data science background, I'm always impressed how many bugs pure devs are able to smuggle in whenever the task involves any kind of data, despite extensive unit testing. I check out their code, run it once, and immediately see the output is wrong and then they have to go back and debug. If we just check our output that wouldn't be the case!

hndudette2··on How to overcome Phone Addiction
It's not even that they're asserting that there's no causation in that quote, they're rather asserting that the causation is backwards, which is also undemonstrated.
hndudette2··on What happens when the CCP decides that you need to die
This is some of what I've seen, each entry being from a distinct person:

- One dev has a twitter account that's a nonstop stream of pro CCP ("Tiananmen is Western propaganda") and anti HK propaganda. I found it because it's named the same as his stackoverflow page which is a very unique identifier with the same uppercasing on specific letters.

- Another doesn't believe there were famines under Mao (we were discussing the Wiki page on it) and calls it propaganda. This was from a Uighur emigrant.

- Another agrees fully with the CCP ocean territory claims in the SEA that take basically all the oceans to the west of Philippines etc.

- Another thinks China can't be a democracy because the logistics of over a billion voting are too hard

- Another left HK early on because of disdain towards the democracy protests (long before attacks on mainland businesses)

I'm sure you're right that there's heterogeneity there (that almost goes without saying and is true of any group of people) and a public vs private distinction but that doesn't contradict what I've said.

hndudette2··on What happens when the CCP decides that you need to die
We need to prop up India as much as possible ASAP. Once China has a credible competitor in the manufacturing space, peaceful influence can be applied through economic means.
hndudette2··on What happens when the CCP decides that you need to die
There's loads of Chinese and Chinese-ancestry developers on here, some non-trivial proportion harbor nationalistic sentiment towards China and auto downvote anything critical of the CCP. I've worked with over 10 mainland Chinese devs who had emigrated out of China, and even though they're wonderful people and very talented (half of them PhDs from places like Tsingua or a college outside of China), they by and large were incredibly nationalistic and won't hear a single bad word about Mao etc.
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