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greatreorx

147 karma · joined February 23, 2008

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greatreorx··on Poll: How many Bitcoin do you own?
100 - 21,000,000 is a much, much larger range than 90-99.999.
greatreorx··on How a total n00b mined $700 in bitcoins
> But in this case, setting up a mining business is trivial.

Not exactly. I'm not exactly sure on the up front cost to develop ASICs, but it's definitely well into 6 figures. BFL sold millions of dollars in pre-orders 12 months ago to fund the design and development of the devices. Everyone in the bitcoin world knew where it was going technology-wise last year, but only 2-3 companies have successfully developed ASIC miners 12 months later.

There are many people who pre-ordered devices from BFL over a year ago and still haven't received them. It seems like BFL would be guaranteed a lawsuit if they started mining on their own before fulfilling those year old orders.

greatreorx··on Aaron Greenspan sues Facebook, Sequoia, Andreesen, YC, others
> Nowhere is there any express private right of action that gives any private citizen the right to file suit complaining about alleged violations of these laws.

I thought California 17200 allows for private citizens to sue on behalf of the general public and that no actual injury against the plaintiff is required. Is there something different about this case?

(below quote and link for other HN readers, I'm sure grellas is familiar.)

"Thus the statutory language allowing actions to be brought "by any person acting for the interests of itself, its members or the general public" effectively deputizes the world to find and bring environmental violators to the bar of justice."

http://www.envirolaw.org/Library/17200tools.html

greatreorx··on Bitcoin blockchain issue - Mt Gox Bitcoin deposits temporarily suspended
> It seems this database has a limit on the size of the modification it can make atomically to the database.

If this were an unlucky edge case, I could understand. But it seems like they allowed larger block sizes without testing them on pre v0.8 miners - which might be 25% of miners and the upgrade to v0.8 was less than 1 month ago. It's nice to think that 100% of people will upgrade within a few weeks, but that's just not how some people work.

greatreorx··on Supreme Court to hear arguments in case of student who resold books
"If they condemn the sales, they strike down the first sale doctrine "

...only for goods manufactured outside the US and not authorized for import to the US by the manufacturer. Most electronic goods in the US that are made overseas are also authorized for US import. I bought my iPhone directly from Apple. Even if the Supreme Court rules against the sales in this case, I will be able to resell my iPhone because Apple authorized its import...they were the ones that imported it.

greatreorx··on NASA TV feed of 10:31 pm PDT Curiosity landing
From a Reuters piece...

"Mission control contemplated sending Curiosity one last "parameter update" on Sunday, hours before atmospheric entry, giving the vessel an exact fix on its position in space. But NASA engineers said they would likely forego that transmission because the vessel has varied so little from its ideal course.

Otherwise, controllers will have little to do but anxiously track Curiosity's progress as it flies into Mars' upper atmosphere..."

"We're all along for the ride," Seltzner said."

http://in.reuters.com/article/2012/08/06/us-usa-mars-idINBRE...

greatreorx··on Sal Khan responds to critic
Sal is right but I understand the critique... which I might clarify as the importance of understanding the larger concept that slope is a comparison of the rate of change of one variable to another in specific order.

To take the example of price of an iPod vs. more memory. The slope is inverse depending on which variable you choose to plot on which axis. If you just watched Sal's one video, you would not understand why that is... your only context is 'rise over run'. If given sample data points and asked for a slope, you might not be able to figure out which way to plot it based on the question.

To be fair to Sal though, this was just a single video subtitled "Figuring out the slope of a line" and so Sal may have covered the larger concept and its importance in a different video.

greatreorx··on Coinbase (YC S12) seeks to bring Bitcoin to the masses
So your argument is:

Ideas/products with excessive speculation have failed in the past. Therefore, this product will fail.

I disagree with that. It suffers from survivor bias (or actually non-survivor bias). Mackey doesn't discuss ideas with excessive speculation that ultimately succeed. The internet in the 1990s and the California gold rush both had excessive speculation, but ended up being successful... so no one refers to them as 'extraordinary delusions'.

greatreorx··on YC S12 company refuses to pay for my design. "Send your claim to our legal team"
> Expressing passive skepticism and slow-rolling an invoice you don't believe you should pay is not a bad strategy.

Do you not believe the vendor's story? or are you saying it's okay to be a dick as long as you delude yourself into thinking you don't owe people money?

greatreorx··on Butterfly Labs Announces Next Generation ASIC Lineup
Every 210,000 blocks the mining reward is cut in half. At current rates, the mining reward will drop from 50 to 25 btc around December 2012. This is separate from the difficulty updates that occur every couple weeks.
greatreorx··on Show HN: We allow teachers to print out "Scantrons" and scan for results via fax
What are the privacy implications of a teacher giving students' grade information to a third party? I was under the impression the law (in US) required a parent's release.  Is it possible for your admins to view grade data?
greatreorx··on Peter Thiel’s CS183: Startup - Class 9 Notes Essay
"Thiel was ranked #365 on the Forbes 400 in 2010, with a net worth of US$1.5 billion....However, this number now underestimates his wealth as his Facebook share alone, at a 2010 valuation, is worth US$1.7bn." http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Peter_Thiel

Pretty sure he's not hiding $2B worth of bad investments. Paypal, Facebook, Palantir, Slide, Yammer, Path, Stripe... that's a pretty solid investment record.

Do you disagree with something he says? If so, can you back it up with anything?

greatreorx··on Facebook's numbers
I'm confused then. Where are you getting $972M? If you are doing total revenue (advertising + payments and other), it's $872M + $186M = $1,058M

And also, page 56 of the pdf lists $1,058M as total revenue for 1Q 2012.

greatreorx··on Facebook's numbers
Agreed, he should clarify 1Q 2012. And it looks like he has it wrong.... The filing says $872M not $972M (page 51 of pdf).
greatreorx··on 60 minutes: Is sugar toxic?
I read both links but only 4 abstracts of the referenced articles (which on their face seemed legit but I did not have access to the full articles. His analysis of the last 37 years of American diets seemed accurate based on http://www.ers.usda.gov/Data/FoodConsumption/ compared to what Dr. Lustig cites for 6 years for children.)

If you disagree with one of his conclusions, please post your thoughts - but be specific. I'm open minded... if "He makes scientific statements that can generally be inferred from the cited sources, but which the sources don't actually prove"...I'm happy to agree with you but that seems like that would be simple to show but you don't link to anything or provide any arguments or even a sentence or two to back it up.(?)

I don't have a horse in this race, but I'm not going to discount someone just because they aren't a professor at UC-SF.

greatreorx··on 60 minutes: Is sugar toxic?
The parent posted a link to a 1,500 word argumentative essay backed up with inline references to 19 peer reviewed journal papers and included the words "check it out here and make up your own minds". Instead of making any comment on the content of said essay, you merely compared credentials of the speakers.

Which poster seems more guilty of a fallacious argument?

greatreorx··on Show HN: Tired of entering map directions on iPhone? I've streamlined it
"getting tired at how many actions it takes to enter directions in Maps on iPhone."

I've never thought this was a pain point. Were you using map bookmarks? It's 5-10 seconds of clicks that I'm regularly comfortable doing while driving.

greatreorx··on The biggest iOS 5 bug you've never heard of
It's not a bug. The problem is that most people don't know that MMS messages can be one-to-many AND that iOS 5 turned Group Messaging on by default (which causes group messages to be MMS instead of SMS).

The Group Messaging setting only affects messages you send out. If a third party wants to (or unwittingly) 'reply all' to an MMS message that included you, your individual Group Messaging setting won't stop that and you will get that message regardless of your setting.

If you don't think it should work this way, then you are asking Apple to not deliver messages that technically are addressed to you.

I do agree that Apple should have done a better job educating users on how it works.

greatreorx··on Why do humans procrastinate?
"But both doesn't mean time discounting is something irrational."

It's over-discounting that's irrational.

If I have a school paper due in a month, the probability that I won't have to do the paper is certainly non-zero (I could die, my professor could get sick, etc)... but it's likely something less than a .01% chance that an event like that will happen. It's not rational to put off a paper until the last couple days if there's still a 99.99% chance you will have to turn it in. I over value my current reward of being able to watch more TV now, while under discounting the future cost of having to do the paper in the future. I treat it more like there's a 10%+ chance that I won't actually have to do the paper.

greatreorx··on 24 Claims of Lodsys '565 Patent Rejected
Note that this is a Non-Final action - which I believe means that Lodsys has not had a chance to respond. In general reexaminations take a long time...

"Based on our calculations, it takes more than 3 ½ years (43.5 months) for the average case to proceed through the basic reexam process to a final conclusion... A 95% confidence interval suggests an average pendency for appealed cases (again, assuming no rework) is between 5 and 8 years" http://271patent.blogspot.com/2008/05/another-critical-study...

This is to the point where I'm not sure the courts take reexaminations seriously as a defense. In the handful of patent cases I've paid attention to, the fact that a patent was initially rejected in a reexamination had little impact on how the court proceeded with a case. While it's possible the USPTO will fast track this particular case, if I was a developer currently being sued I would not have any confidence that the USPTO will bring any relief before I was due in court.

greatreorx··on Patent Troll: Anyone Using WiFi Infringes; Won't Sue Individuals 'At This Stage'
US Patent 6714559 is one they sued several hotels over. It was filed in 2001 but was a string of 6 continuations of a patent filed November, 1991.
greatreorx··on Angry Birds Maker Sued for Patent Violation
Here is the complaint that lists the patent numbers.

http://www.scribd.com/doc/60587096/11-07-21-Lodsys-Amended-C...

greatreorx··on Angry Birds maker Rovio sued over app patents
The amended complaint clearly shows what patents Lodsys is accusing Rovio of infringing.

"On May 22, 2007, U.S. Patent No. 7,222,078 (the "'078 patent") was duly and legally issued for "Methods and Systems for Gathering Information from Units of a Commodity Across a Network."

...

Rovio makes, sells, uses, imports, and/or offers to sell infringing applications, including but not limited to Angry Birds for iPhone and Angry Birds for Android, which infringe at least claims 1 and 24 of the '078 patent under 35 U.S.C. § 271."

http://www.scribd.com/doc/60587096/11-07-21-Lodsys-Amended-C...

greatreorx··on Spark, Lightbank And Yuri Milner Get In On OnSwipe’s $5M ‘Series Awesome’
I'm sure you have better things to do, but blog.onswipe.com is basically unusable on (my) iphone on safari. or atleast holding it horizontally, and vertically is not much better.
greatreorx··on Lodsys explains in-app patent warning letters sent to iOS developers
It seems like by doing the following, they get priority for any obviousness and prior art arguments back to 1992, but a filing date of 2003.

"This application is a continuation application of and claims priority to U.S. application Ser. No. 09/370,663, filed on Aug. 6, 1999, now abandoned which is a continuation of Ser. No. 08/934,457, filed Sep. 19, 1997, now U.S. Pat. No. 5,999,908, which is a continuation of Ser. No. 08/243,63 8, filed May 16, 1994, now abandoned, which is a continuation-in-part of Ser. No. 07/926,333, filed Aug. 6, 1992, now abandoned, the contents of each of which are incorporated by reference in their entireties. "

greatreorx··on This Class of Geography Students Found Bin Laden's Hideout Long Before the CIA
I think the original article from ScienceInsider realized they had it wrong and have corrected it...

"According to a probabilistic model they created, there was an 88.9% chance that bin Laden was hiding out in a city less than 300 km from his last known location in Tora Bora: a region that included Abbottabad, Pakistan, where he was killed last night. "

greatreorx··on Google acquires TalkBin (YC W11)
Anyone know how they were planning on getting revenue? I know that can sometimes be a snarky question, but this seems like a good idea and I'm genuinely curious... especially because it looks like they launched as a free service. Were they thinking this is something that a small business owner would eventually pay $5-20/month for?
greatreorx··on Flux: Better Lighting for Your Mac
You can buy orange safety glasses that are kind of like flux for the whole world...

http://www.amazon.com/gp/product/B000USRG90

I bought them because I had forgotten about flux and I also tend to use my iPhone late at night. I had no idea how much blue light affected my sleep patterns until I started wearing these while I was winding down for the night.

greatreorx··on When to Avoid Using A.T.M.’s
I thought this too at first, but now I think A.T.M.'s is okay in some editorial circles as a plural non-possessive. It's used in many other NYT articles - as is non-possessive G.I.'s.

"...some writers still pluralize initialisms in this way. Some style guides continue to require such apostrophes - perhaps partly to make it clear that the lower case s is only for pluralization and would not appear in the singular form of the word, for some acronyms and abbreviations do include lowercase letters." http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Acronym_and_initialism#Represen...

greatreorx··on Facebook is a Ponzi Scheme
"(eMarketer estimates Facebook took in) $740 million coming from major marketers like Coke, P&G or Match.com... Interestingly, Google itself was the fifth-biggest advertiser for the same period, as it was looking to market its Chrome web browser. " http://adage.com/digital/article?article_id=148236

It's very hard for me to look at a company doing $740 million in revenue from the likes of Coke and Proctor & Gamble and say that it's not sustainable. I'll admit it's possible they are all just blowing their money away, but that seems less and less likely.

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