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gergi137

11 karma · joined December 2, 2013

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gergi137··on Roll-to-roll fabricated perovskite solar cells under ambient room conditions
Which rare earth minerals go into solar cells?
gergi137··on Tesla releases Q1 2024 deliveries: disastrous results
Tesla sold 1.8 million cars last year and Toyota sold 11.23 million cars last year. so a 6.2x multiple, not a ~20x multiple
gergi137··on Maersk names first vessel of its large methanol-enabled fleet "Ane Maersk"
Back of the napkin math, 63,000 gallons of gasoline per day. 33kWh of energy in each gallon of gasoline. Internal combustion approximately 33% efficient at turning that energy into propulsion while batteries and electric motors are ~90% efficient. A Tesla megapack stores 3,854 kWh and weighs 84,000 lbs.

63000*33*.33/(3854*0.9)*84000 = 16,782,563 lbs or ~7,600 metric tons worth of batteries for 1 day's worth of "electric fuel"

gergi137··on Tesla Must Give Driver-Assist Demonstration with Every US Sale
Elon Musk said he couldn't have been on FSD as the software had never been downloaded to his car: https://www.drive.com.au/news/elon-musk-denies-fsd-caused-fa...
gergi137··on Toyota to invest $1.3B in Kentucky factory to build battery packs and new EV
Nope, the Model Y was the best selling vehicle in 2023, regardless of powertrain.

https://insideevs.com/news/706169/tesla-model-y-best-selling...

gergi137··on Tesla Model Y range estimate reduced by 6%, becoming more realistic
I can add about 50 miles of range overnight on a standard 120V outlet which is more than enough most of the time. For longer trips back-to-back, a 220V circuit would be really nice to fully re-charge overnight but its absolutely not necessary.
gergi137··on Tesla Cybertruck's stiff structure, sharp design raise safety concerns
https://www.npr.org/2023/11/14/1212737005/cars-trucks-pedest...

Bumper height plays a far bigger role in pedestrian fatality than hardness of the vehicle shell. Cybertruck's bumper is significantly lower than pretty much every other pickup truck out there.

gergi137··on Automakers must build cheaper, smaller EVs to spur adoption, report says
If you have a house, or apartment with access to a L1 or L2 charger, charging at home should cover 100% of your local trips and any longer trips, you'll inevitably pass by a Tesla supercharger in Sequim, Forks, Seattle, Tacoma, Burlington, Cle Elum, etc.

The fuel savings are dramatic in Washington with our low-cost electricity and relatively high gasoline prices. For example, I pay $0.11/kWh and EVs get 3-4mi/kWh. so thats about 3 cents per mile travelled.

Assuming 30mpg and $4/gallon, that's 13 cents per mile travelled or more than 4 times the cost per mile. And there are plenty of ICE vehicles that get less than 30mpg and gasoline is often more expensive than $4/gallon

gergi137··on Auto Execs Are Coming Clean: EVs Aren't Working
https://www.theverge.com/2023/5/26/23738581/tesla-model-y-ev...

True, last year it wasn’t but this year it was the best selling vehicle of any type, EV or not, including trucks.

gergi137··on Anker’s Solix home solar battery system is its answer to Tesla’s Powerwall
I don't know about availability in India but lithium iron phosphate (LFP) batteries have come down in price a lot lately and they last about 7000 cycles (15 Years at 80% DoD): https://signaturesolar.com/eg4-lifepower4-lithium-battery-48...
gergi137··on Sandy Munro Talks Battery Battles, Calls Solid State “Kiss of Death” for Gas
I get about 4mi/kWh and electricity is $0.10/kWh so approximately 2.5 cents per mile
gergi137··on Elizabeth Holmes loses bid to stay out of prison
It’s not an old number, it’s a new number reported every quarter.

But you’re right that comparing largely highway miles vs all miles isn’t completely fair. FSD on the other hand can be activated and used in most scenarios and has 3.2 million miles between accidents vs the US average of 500,000 miles. So still quite a bit safer but less so than autopilot.

As for autopilot deactivating right before an accident, if autopilot was active within 5 seconds of the accident it is still attributed to autopilot, not the human driver.

gergi137··on Elizabeth Holmes loses bid to stay out of prison
I 100% agree with you that we should have regulators auditing and verifying safety information for autonomous systems.

But I'd like to point out that the link you included is out-of-date. Tesla has continued to publish their autopilot safety numbers in their quarterly slide decks. Here is Q3 2022 for example, see page 10: https://tesla-cdn.thron.com/static/SVCPTV_2022_Q4_Quarterly_...

Miles between accidents on Autopilot Q4 2021: 4.3 million miles Q1 2022: 6.5 million miles Q2 2022: 5.1 million miles Q4 2022: 6.2 million miles

gergi137··on California pulls the plug on rooftop solar
How about 30kWh for $9000? https://signaturesolar.com/eg4-lifepower4-lithium-batteries-...
gergi137··on Economic growth no longer requires rising emissions
The batteries alone have actually gotten quite affordable. https://signaturesolar.com/eg4-lifepower4-lithium-batteries-...

Here is 30kWh of LFP batteries for $9,000. Now that doesn't include the inverters or installation or anything but LFP batteries have excellent longevity, in this case 7000 cycles to 80% depth-of-discharge. That means charging and discharging the battery every day for 19 years and at that point, you still have 80% of the remaining capacity.

gergi137··on Live Counter of Uber's Net Losses ($27B and Counting)
Not really. Last quarter for example, they had $14.6 billion in automotive revenues of which $344 million was regulatory credits or a little more than 2%. They had $4.1 billion in automotive gross profits so regulatory credits made up about 8% of their profits.
gergi137··on The Economics of the Tesla Semi
An entire Tesla Model YT weighs 4,416 lbs, the battery alone is closer to 1000 lbs