Sometimes it doesn't work and no one can tell.
163 karma · joined April 21, 2019
The incentives are pro-social: insurance companies have an incentive to delay payouts, because their profits come from interest (they pay out more money than they take in) so the longer they can hold onto money the better. But that's reversed for this hypothetical loan issuer - they want to make the payout as fast as possible in order to earn as much interest as possible as quickly as possible.
And if there's a systematic tendency for medicaid advantage plans to deny claims that eventually get approved, and if you could predict which ones will get approved 'just' by really understanding what medicaid would approve, then this might be self-sustaining or even profitable?
But is this actually true, or just something that declining economic sentiment in the newspapers has led us to believe? People are consuming more food, more education, more square feet of house, more travel. My sense is that is surprisingly hard to find a quantitative signal that purchasing power has collapsed.
Maybe it is just that positional goods (access to the best neighborhood in the best city) get harder to obtain as the population grows?
Incidentally this is what I meant above, about the union being out of touch: unlimited sick leave makes staffing unpredictable, which makes work unpredictable and frankly dangerous, which makes guards take more sick leave in a vicious cycle. The union has weaker-than-expected motivations to fix this, because everyone with seniority does not actually work in the housing blocks.
1. There's a severe shortage of guards. Anything that could make working in the jails more attractive will help, and a 2-hour commute is not attractive.
2. Getting medical service, prisoners with court dates, lawyers, etc. on and off the island is really really slow.
3. The jail has insourced a lot of services (for example they run a large bakery). These get staffed by corrections officers. This both makes staffing harder, and the existence of these plum positions has weird effects on the politics of the corrections union (people with power in the union are not actually working as guards and are out of touch with the reality of the jail)
Moving to a model like the Tombs, with the jail directly above the courthouse, makes way more sense.
In addition, the buildings on the island need a serious revamp (e.g. there is no automatic access control, so every major door needs a guard physically standing there to let people through and climate control is broken). As long as you need to seriously renovate anyway, might as well just build a new jail where it should have been put in the first place.
Source: I read a lot of blogposts.
Well yeah, it is explicitly intended as a signal that investors can use to select virtuous companies.
(It's not a motte-and-bailey, that's about a particular sort of shifting goalposts)
(I am not a tax lawyer nor an accountant, but I have done this 4 out of the last 6 years.)
So, it's not really "you will own nothing and be happy about it", but rather "you will own 0.1% of 1000 houses rather than 100% of 1 house, and be happy about it."
... which actually seems like it might be doable with some macros? Those are beyond my ken right now, but the goal would be
@doubly_typed f(x::Number|Integer) = x
f(6.0) # Same as g(x::Number) = x; g(6.0)
@strictify f(6.0) # Same as g(x::Integer) = x; g(6.0)
* Currently the US welfare agencies will provide ~any FDA-approved drug for someone with the illness for which the drug was approved
* In this case, they probably won't - in the worst case scenario it would double their spending on prescription drugs and seems unlikely to help anyone
* So this is going to sever the link between FDA approval and medicaid spending.
* Now you have an awkward situation where agencies that not really equipped to make judgements on dug effectiveness, and which are not insulated from politics, have to make those decisions.
This could all work out for the best in the long term but may also be very awkward in the short term.
I think this looks like a bigger problem specifically because you are in AutoML.
Suppose you are training a GAN. There's notoriously a certain amount of luck involved in traditional GAN training, because you need the adversary and the generator to balance each other just right. So people try many times until they succeed. Probably they were not even recording each attempt, so they do not report how many times they had to run before getting good results.
From an AutoML point of view, this is BS work - the training procedure cannot be automated, and (apart from using the actual seeds) the work cannot be reproduced.
But from the point of view of everyone else, maybe it is fine. They get a generator model at the end, it works, other people can run it.
This seems misguided, and I certainly hope that this 'friendship corruption' concept never catches on. There are great papers that started as letters and were later completed by the sender, recipient or both. No one should feel ashamed about that, and no one should feel ashamed of developing friendships with their colleagues.
If I write a single, 100% certain message and put it in a spaceship it still cannot go faster than light, even though there is no information transfer (entropy of my message (a constant random variable) is 0).
(I'm not saying you are wrong, I am asking to be corrected)
Sometimes you do though. There are real cases where the acid rain produced by City A falls entirely on City B. Surely in that case City B should be able to tell City A to change its character? Local government alone will never solve a problem like this.
The people who pay the price for SF's character are not people who live in SF, but people who commute a long way from outside the city limits, or who don't live in the Bay Area at all but would if they could. The SF government should care less about them than about current SF citizens, but their interests aren't zero. Which is why you need a higher level polity like the CA government to overrule the local government .
Maybe SF could credibly commit to adding more density in the near future, but not immediately? That way speculators open brunch places before the customers arise, and there isn't a brunch shortage?
libpostal (open source, open data location parser) might help with this. Between using it to parse the name, and supplementing this with the city name (using reverse geocode with imprecise coordinates), you might be able to get something useful.
- UK imposes harsher crackdown in London
- Moderna's vaccine will be shipped next week across the US
- Pompeo says Russia was behind the SolarWinds hack
I'm not going to conclude from this that the UK relaxed its lockdown, the vaccine will not be shipped, and Pompeo said Russia was not behind the hack.
The happy medium is: know when a newspaper was in a position to know the truth and trust them if they were, or if the article explains its evidentiary basis in convincing detail.
(I find that this is an under-explored option in discussions of socialism-vs-anarchism-vs-capitalism these days. State-controlled corporations seems to have a very good track record. But I haven't seriously studied this.)
[1] https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/politics/trump-told-chinas-pr...
Singapore, for what it's worth.