758 karma · joined December 16, 2022
Some dogs are highly intelligent and readily trained and some dogs aren't. You can guess by looking at their phenotype, i.e. breed, although not every dog of a preferred phenotype is capable.
Someone may be gifted at dancing. Someone may be gifted at singing. Someone may be gifted at hunting.
Why do we insist academic pursuits are equally available to everyone if we only throw enough resources at them?
Any selective program, music, athletics, military has a minimum entry level they're willing to accept. They know you can't turn a random person into an elite musician, athlete, or soldier.
Why does academia have to pretend that academic talent is evenly and randomly dispersed?
The more parameters on a curve fit the better the fit will be, but the compute power increases too.
An LLM can be thought of as a curve fitting function where the query is a set of points and the output is the curve that runs through those points with the minimum of error.
You can increase a fit by increasing the number of variables in the fit function. In statistics this is can lead to overfitting, which will lead to an imprecise model, but in an LLM overfitting is a good thing, because the modeled domain in specific to the set of prompts.
But that comes with a cost, compute power and latency. I suspect what's happening is they're turning down the fit quality to save money as demand increases. Most people aren't paying for AI access. As a side effect it's also lowering the hype factor that was attracting unwanted regulatory attention.
They don't care what the people want after campaign season is over, however they will back off from anything that generates genuine outcry, for a while, then they'll try it again later.
> a) accept their local currency? where? what then? what will it be worth by the time we exchange it? > b) take btc. transaction registers publicly on the blockchain. smart contracts can execute if desired, e.g. when payment x is received to address y initiate a sequence that starts delivery. currency risk is now in btc and that can be instantly mitigated by converting to your chosen currency, as the btc market is liquid. > c) require counterparty to pay in your currency, which means they pay exchange fees, increasing their costs.
If btc replaces 1% of fx it's doing $50B/day of transactions. Market cap of btc is only about $600M, so 100x btc is not crazy.
Is a p2p transaction system with an auditable record attractive to 1% of fx transaction parties? Seems reasonable, especially when corrupt states are a counterparty.
The stable coins are an issue but stable coins aren't a necessity for btc transactions, they're a utility for traders. Btc's biggest danger is its price volatility. As it increases in value and market cap it will become more valuable to large players who will in turn be motivated to protect its integrity.
It's all stat juking. They can write bigger budgets because they are allowed to assume $x per immigrant in the economic plans, so increasing immigration means more budget funds.
The problem is that that assumption is highly dependent on who is immigrating. A highly educated healthy person will make a net contribution, others will cost the government and the governments will turn to subsidizing their employment in the private sector to reduce the cost. This becomes wage lowering pressure. Businesses that rely on mass labor get a government subsidized labor force that keeps their local labor in check.
If the G7 nations cut their fossil fuel usage they just make it cheaper for the BRICS.
Electrify when it's better, i.e. cheaper and cleaner, not to try to influence a complex and intractable global issue immersed in uncertainty.
I've seen the "queue mess" architecture many times myself but it's been too embedded to easily migrate to something else.
Questioning the covid vaccine because it was not fully tested and the technology has had a history of issues was completely rational.
This was also a huge loss for charity. The $3M could have helped a lot of people.
My model came up with a huge demand for low priced, simple ICE vehicles as a response to increased energy costs and lowered disposable income levels for many consumers. EV demand came from the high end of the market as consumers willing to spend a lot of money were more open to switching because they were spending a lot of money anyway and it was another option, and ROI on the EV is based on the consumer's ability to overcome the frontend costs, which wealthy consumers are more capable of.
At some point you must memorize in math.
The thought of the average person having sex is repulsive to me. I don't want to know anything at all about it, especially if they're into weird stuff, but even if not.
Most people feel this way. Why is it so hard to understand?