4,025 karma · joined February 8, 2015
A couple other points: mining is exploding as well with the global GHash rate / Difficulty accelerating. I have not calculated an exact correlation between price and compute but it could be an indicator of "real" moves in the currency.
The truest indicator is of course price-action. During last summer and into the fall, before Beijing implemented capital controls, when you observed the depth of book on orders on BW, you'd notice that the vast majority of orders were for even lots of ~0.0100BTC. This was indicative of algorithmic market making. Very few orders were above 100BTC. Now it's the exact opposite. Large orders with fast fills are common. I wish I had some real data and actual stats on the order book during the run-up ;( as I believe it would make a good indicator as to whether the current move is sustainable...
Facebook's AI lab will probably reveal more technical details at NIPS 2015. Here's the workshop on Reasoning, Attention, Memory (RAM) they are organizing that will seek to address some of the challenges around advancing from classification and prediction tasks to simple cognition:
On the practical side, what packages are you guys using? I'm familiar with JavaPlex for Matlab:
http://bits.blogs.nytimes.com/2013/01/16/ayasdi-a-big-data-s...
And a link to founder and Stanford Math Prof. Gunnar Carlsson's seminal AMS paper on "Topology and Data":
http://www.ams.org/journals/bull/2009-46-02/S0273-0979-09-01...
But the fact is I really, really don't. We are so spoiled now. Spinning up an AWS gpu cluster in 60 seconds from the beach beats spending a day and a half just to upgrade a video card ;)
What would be the incentive to make the result public? Certainly if the discoverer were a grad student at Berkeley they may throw a brief summary onto Arxiv the next day to get some peer validation. But if it were the ML team at Uber's new secretive lab in Pittsburgh? Would they not have a compelling interest in keeping it under the kimono?
There are several possible outcomes for this game to play out. But for right now let's bask in the warmth of our open source learning toolkit abundance and concentrate on the real question of the day: now that we can teach machines, are there better ways to use their time then ascertaining what makes a top selfie?
https://www.stratfor.com/analysis/geopolitics-united-states-...
It occurs to me that what Strat4 is doing here is forecasting. Extrapolating from historic bases of power to predict the emergence of future hegemons. But wouldn't it be possible to achieve a more data-driven, empirical analysis? Might make a sweet Kaggle crowd prediction problem ;)
I think messaging based commerce seems really natural and human. Interested in hearing any experiences others have had building on FB Messenger Platform for business. It seems many of the showcased integrations tend toward digital content creation and curation such as Giphy and Dubsmash
Would love to see twtr become a platform for a myriad of third-party apps. Wouldn't it be great to place a market order by messaging @bats "buy $TWTR 10,000 30.00". Or order a limo with @uber "2 people in one hour to jfk airport"?
Have used micro instances in the past as remote development and deployment environments and a micro instance and it works ok. Wondering if something in between micro (0.7G) and standard (3.5G) might be better considering devenv can get pretty beefed up using certain modern frameworks we won't mention by name ;)
"Have you ever noticed when you're driving that anybody driving slower than you is an idiot, and anyone going faster than you is a maniac?"
I'll include the canonical quip by Laplace:
"The theory of probabilities is at bottom nothing but common sense reduced to calculus; it enables us to appreciate with exactness that which accurate minds feel with a sort of instinct for which ofttimes they are unable to account." -Introduction to Théorie Analytique des Probabilitiés
Or have I been misreading Caillebotte's "Paris Street; Rainy Day" (1876-1877)[1] as "High Impressionism" when all along it's really been "An Abstraction of Classicism" ;)
[1] http://www.artic.edu/aic/collections/citi/images/standard/We...
huskyr above called out the use of ancient.eu's social buttons as being a distraction. But to be honest I've rarely seen a web or native digital library of ancient sources experience that was acceptable to non-scholastic audiences. Take a look at UCLA's CDLI - Cuneiform Digital Library Initiative:
A search for "Gilgamesh" yields a trip back to an ancient page layout Endukugga himself might have been more comfortable browsing. I realize these are digital humanities projects funded with scarce grant resources. But I can't help thinking they would appeal to a much wider audience, that would be enriched tremendously by the wisdom of the ancients, if only presented in a more user-friendly manner.
Prof. Aaronson is teaching a grad seminar this Fall at MIT on Computation and Physics. Here's hoping he makes the lecture notes public ;)
You can count me as one of the 30% that never makes it past the first ten minutes of even the most acclaimed serial content. I just like movies. But out of curiosity I did watch the extended trailer of the 500 Startups reality show "Bazillion Dollar Club." There is a scene where a team is finalizing a prototype with its sourced design consultants. Its all dudes and they select a shape that is, well, let's just say suggestively masculine in its proportion. They decide they need to counterbalance their opinion with the female perspective and invite the ladies on staff to give their opinion. The women choose a completely different design. Soft, with rounded curves. But most importantly they have a visceral negative reaction to the men's choice. But the startup leadership completely ignores what I would consider a very important data point in favour of an arbitrary metric. That "70% of men make electronic purchasing decisions for their households." Completely ignoring the fact that generally, men don't really care about the appearance of their gadgets, just that they function properly. And that women generally tend to make the design choices at home. Obviously a very broad generalization but still.
The lesson here is about letting stats influence faulty reasoning while ignoring intuition. It doesn't appear that Netflix is allowing data to dictate programming. Yet.
Yes. It's true. I've been spending way too much time on SEP ;)
Although I for one would love to see a ClickHole-esque style parody of plato.stanford.edu. "Knobe lifts the veil executives behaving badly, and you won't believe what happens next!"
ps comp vision on mobile is the future so no matter what keep on building ;)
That was Rick Santelli on CNBC an hour ago. Here's the video:
http://video.cnbc.com/gallery/?video=3000422916
As the global economy slows, borrowers will cease to earn enough to service their debts. And the amounts are astronomical: $57T new debt at 17% debt-to-GDP ratios.
Link to McKinsey GI report on "Debt and (not much) deleveraging":
http://www.mckinsey.com/insights/economic_studies/debt_and_n...
But a natural consequence of thinking about concepts such as entropy and chaos is the emergence of the idea of perfection. A single-atomic layer, defect free crystal of graphene for example. And the fact that we can conceive of and perhaps even strive toward perfection has always seemed "suggestive" to me.
Admit I'm biased against Hume. Something about his Hard Scot style that left me as clammy as his pronouncement that "man was no more significant to the universe than an oyster."
For me, it remains Descartes Ontological Argument that provided the philosophical lantern in our collective cave of existential darkness. And I still see echoes of its pure logic and simplicity reverberating into the present. In Boltzmann Brains. In the intersections of quantum information theory and thermodynamics. Yes, even in the realms of design thinking, creativity and startup engineering...
http://kernelmag.dailydot.com/issue-sections/features-issue-...
While this is no doubt really interesting, I find I am getting diminishing returns from outputting stats like this from big dumps of past historical data. What I would like to be able to show is a live heat graph style stats tracker, where each point in the match updates my belief net about who is winning, or playing better. Of course, the final outcome may be upended by some fluke occurrence such as a Hail Mary pass in the final seconds which is what makes sports interesting, but nonetheless I think a live tracker would say a lot more than the actual score of the match.
So, I am wondering if anyone has specific resources for real time online data mining? At web scale for high throughput data streams. And I agree with shubmajain above, libraries and repos are preferable to books and academic journals ;)
A draft version of the Bitcoin textbook the instructors are currently working on is available:
https://en.wikisource.org/wiki/Arthashastra
Vedantic wisdom is like the ripened mango tree that when one fruit is plucked, two more give bloom. From the chapter on corporate espionage:
"THE acquisition of the help of corporations is better than the acquisition of an army, a friend, or profits. By means of conciliation and gifts, the conqueror should secure and enjoy the services of such corporations as are invincible to the enemy and are favourably disposed towards himself. But those who are opposed to him, he should put down by sowing the seeds of dissension among them and by secretly punishing them."