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fauxpause_

724 karma · joined March 24, 2023

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fauxpause_··on Long-term Covid-19 booster effectiveness: a population-based cohort study
> For example, an effectiveness of 40% means that incidence of infection in the three-dose cohort was 40% less than that in the two-dose cohort.

It’s a relative hazard ratio. % less likely to get COVID vs. the cohort with just the vaccine

fauxpause_··on Long-term Covid-19 booster effectiveness: a population-based cohort study
Relative effectiveness. It means you were 26% less likely to get COVID vs those with the vaccine but no booster
fauxpause_··on Hypersonic missiles are misunderstood
Each of three top scientists on the weapon said something treasonous? Or collectively as a group? Nah. Dumb theory.

They’re getting arrested because they promised Putin an unstoppable weapon and now he looks like a dumbass.

fauxpause_··on Hypersonic missiles are misunderstood
The is saying that it’s wrong that hypersonic are bad because they’re fast. It goes on to clarify why the new tech is bad. And, imo, implies that this includes the ones referenced in the beginning. But in reality it does not.

But whatever. Semantics at this point.

fauxpause_··on Hypersonic missiles are misunderstood
The problem with filming AA deployments is not about hiding the efficacy of AA deployments. It’s about hiding their locations.

What is the purpose of arresting your missile scientists for treason? What’s your best case interpretation?

fauxpause_··on Hypersonic missiles are misunderstood
I don’t agree that the article makes this clear. The article states

> These are specifically designed for ballistic threats, which are common, and their extreme effectiveness is precisely why Russia and China have invested in something else.

And

> Russia used hypersonic missiles against Ukraine” — alarming! The average member of the public, as well as many policymakers, now understand that these things are dangerous because they are just too fast to shoot down. Clearly something needs to be done… (sarcastic)

It really ought to make clear explicitly in the article that the missiles it referred to in the beginning are NOT what it spends the rest of the article discussing.

It confused me at least. Because, without doing further research, I assumed the Kinzhals must not be ballistic because they’re indirectly referenced in an article about maneuverable missiles!

fauxpause_··on Hypersonic missiles are misunderstood
I guess? The article is the thing that introduces them as such and does not clarify to begin the problem, imo.
fauxpause_··on Hypersonic missiles are misunderstood
Shrug. The Kremlin loudly arresting the Kinzhal developers for treason after the Kinzhals get shot down suggests a clear narrative to me about who is telling the truth.

The best case you can make for Russia is that the Kinzhal developers actually did commit treason but in a way that was unrelated to the Kinzhal missiles not being effective which is… laughable

fauxpause_··on Hypersonic missiles are misunderstood
China is not sending missiles to Russia
fauxpause_··on Hypersonic missiles are misunderstood
Russia arresting the Kinzhal developers for treason (read: failure) tells you all you need to know.

Note also that they purposefully forbid videos of air defenses to avoid showing where air defenses are.

At least one Kinzhal was confirmed shot down earlier before the wave of 6 or so.

fauxpause_··on Hypersonic missiles are misunderstood
“Unstoppable* missile”

*have been stopped

fauxpause_··on Hypersonic missiles are misunderstood
I agree. But I don’t think the article makes that clear. In fact I think it strongly implies otherwise that the missiles being used against Ukraine are the scary maneuvering kind.
fauxpause_··on Hypersonic missiles are misunderstood
The article begins by referring to Russia using Hypersonic missiles against Ukraine, and then goes into detail about what defenses are necessary to defend against these weapons.

It’s a good article. But the reality is that the Russian missiles making headlines don’t meet the specs of the article. Ukraine is shooting them down just fine using decades old technology.

fauxpause_··on Hypersonic missiles are misunderstood
The non-ballistic variety that Russia claimed was unstoppable has been stopped several time in the past couple weeks now that Ukraine has Patriot systems. Seems like they’re not really a big deal at all.
fauxpause_··on Nintendo sued for “immoral” Mario Kart lootboxes
idk man, stopping doing a thing that is immensely profitable shows integrity if you ask me.
fauxpause_··on Nintendo sued for “immoral” Mario Kart lootboxes
I’m curious of anyone can validate that? This article and others appear to claim it is gone.
fauxpause_··on Nintendo sued for “immoral” Mario Kart lootboxes
I don’t think it’s a compromise of your moral beliefs to play a fun multiplayer game

Or at least it ought not to be

fauxpause_··on Binance commingled customer funds and company revenue, former insiders say
That is irrelevant?
fauxpause_··on AI scanner used in hundreds of US schools misses knives
Active shooter drills are very boring and met with mockery fwiw.
fauxpause_··on AI scanner used in hundreds of US schools misses knives
What was the point of tracking all the knives and giving up because you were succeeding in your goal of finding many knives?
fauxpause_··on Binance commingled customer funds and company revenue, former insiders say
Give them time
fauxpause_··on Nintendo sued for “immoral” Mario Kart lootboxes
Sure. It’s still small.
fauxpause_··on Nintendo sued for “immoral” Mario Kart lootboxes
What if the online multiplayer is fun?
fauxpause_··on Nintendo sued for “immoral” Mario Kart lootboxes
Nintendo shut this loot box thing down around a year ago. So… you know, get over it. It’s already been dead a long time. No, Nintendo is not sprinting along the dark path.

I’m amused that the plaintiff is complaining over $170. A tiny sum for a whale in the scheme of things.

fauxpause_··on Argentina Introduces 2,000 Peso Banknote. It’s Worth About $4
I was thinking of going to Argentina later this year. Would that be a bad idea?
fauxpause_··on Argentina Introduces 2,000 Peso Banknote. It’s Worth About $4
Same ones. Argentinian Peso is just going to be the new global reserve currency that Americans want to use.
fauxpause_··on Bakhmut Is Gone: An Aerial Look at the War’s Destruction
Neither have most Russia military men
fauxpause_··on Bakhmut Is Gone: An Aerial Look at the War’s Destruction
The truth of third party analysis?
fauxpause_··on Bakhmut Is Gone: An Aerial Look at the War’s Destruction
Here is Russian ultra nationalist Girkin’s take https://twitter.com/wartranslated/status/1660273337744982023...

> Oh, they will almost inevitably do something, somewhere. But the fact that they managed to retake a lightly-defended area that one time gives people all kinds of crazy ideas.

That lightly defended area was 12000 km.

fauxpause_··on Bakhmut Is Gone: An Aerial Look at the War’s Destruction
If it would convince you otherwise, I’m happy to provide citations of third party analyses and Ukrainian defense statements stating Bakhmut had little strategic value months prior and that it was being used to pin Russian troops in a costly offensive.

Edit: the Russia being out of ammo thing was an internal politics thing of Prigozhin claiming Russia MoD was not supplying Wagner with enough ammo. It was not a western talking point. Nor was it particularly true.

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