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erosenbe0

903 karma · joined August 28, 2018

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erosenbe0··on US High school students' scores fall in reading and math
Culture argument can be argued effectively as follows:

If a cohort in Japan has a median score of X at median household income Y, the American cohort with same median score X has income closer to 1.25Y or 1.5Y.

Whether you want to define your American cohort based on geography or ethnicity doesn't really matter-the result will be preserved up to a point.

erosenbe0··on Chicago has the most lead pipes in the nation
Median, normal lead exposure for toddlers in the 1960s and 1970s in any urban or suburban area would be 99th percentile by today's standards due to leaded gasoline vapors (and lack of awareness about paint dust).

So the crime hypothesis is more about baseline level of criminality being higher throughout the entire leaded gasoline era and for a few decades thereafter. It's generally framed as social science based on aggregate trends rather than individual dose-dependent epidemiological hypothesis.

erosenbe0··on Chicago has the most lead pipes in the nation
Primary source of exposure in Chicago is from household dust contaminated by old paint. Water is secondary or tertiary issue, but can be bad. The article is a bit off the mark as they did not interview the Chicago DPH inspectors who respond to high serum reports.

Also, the average lead level of urban or suburban toddlers in the 1970s was 10-15 µg/dL, due mostly to vapors from leaded gasoline. Gen X had eye-popping lead exposures as kids.

So 6-8 µg/dL doesn't guarantee cognitive disability, but it is still bad.

[Edit: also want to add that quality monitoring doesn't necessarily fully solve the water situation either. For example, it is known that a chunk of leaded detritus or solder can drop into rice or pasta water from stream or aerator and raise serum precipitously, but won't be seen in a test as it is intermittent. The problem of lead is ubiquitous and not entirely tractable, but a lot of progress is possible over time.]

erosenbe0··on A new blog for 2024
True. Designer I worked with believes the eyes focus easier on text if there is a small amount of low contrast fuzz surrounding it. I don't know if that is based on science but it seems plausible at least on white backgrounds.
erosenbe0··on LLM Visualization
I second the reply about incentives. Funding curriculum materials and professional curriculum development is often seen as more of a K-12 thing. There is not even enough at the vocational level.

If big competitive grants and competitive salaries went to people with demonstrated ability like the engineer of this viz, there would be less stem dropouts in colleges and more summer learning! Also, in technical trades like green construction, solar, hvac, building retrofits, data center operations and the like, people would get farther and it would be a more diverse bunch.

erosenbe0··on We have reached an agreement in principle for Sam to return to OpenAI as CEO
For profit subsidiaries can totally influence the nonprofit shell without penalty. Happens all the time. The nonprofit board must act in the interest of the exempt mission rather than just investor value or some other primary purpose. Otherwise it's cool.
erosenbe0··on We have reached an agreement in principle for Sam to return to OpenAI as CEO
I don't really think this is true in non-charity work. Half of American hospitals are nonprofit and many of the insurance conglomerates are too, like Kaiser. The executives make plenty of money. Kaiser is a massive nonprofit shell for profitmaking entities owned by physicians or whatever, not all that dissimilar to the OpenAI shell idea. Healthcare worked out this way because it was seen as a good model to have doctors either reporting to a nonprofit or owning their own operations, not reporting to shareholders. That's just tradition though. At this point plenty of healthcare operations are just normal corporations controlled by shareholders.
erosenbe0··on OpenAI staff threaten to quit unless board resigns
Yep, the lay audience conceives of AGI as being a handyman robot with a plumber's crack or maybe an agent that can get your health insurance to stop improperly denying claims. How about an automated snow blower?Perhaps an intelligent wheelchair with robot arms that can help grandma in the shower? A drone army that can reshingle my roof?

Indeed, normal people are quite wise and understand that a chat bot is just an augmentation agent--some sort of primordial cell structure that is but one piece of the puzzle.

erosenbe0··on OpenAI board in discussions with Sam Altman to return as CEO
Being first to openly generate from billions of copyrighted documents would not have been a sane move for Google's management.
erosenbe0··on OpenAI board in discussions with Sam Altman to return as CEO
Seems unusual for a nonprofit not to have a written investigative report or performance review conducted by a law firm or auditor. Similar to what happened with Stanford's ousted president but more expedited if matters are more pressing.
erosenbe0··on OpenAI board in discussions with Sam Altman to return as CEO
First mover advantage and Microsoft integration is nothing to sneeze at.
erosenbe0··on OpenAI's board has fired Sam Altman
That's not quite right. However, before explaining, it is moot because OpenAI's for-profit subsidiary probably captures most of the value anyway.

The nonprofit shell exists because the founders did not want to answer to shareholders. If you answer to shareholders, you may have a legal fiduciary responsibility to sell out to high bidder. They wanted to avoid this.

Anyway, in a strict nonprofit, the proceeds of a for-profit conversion involves a liquidation where usually the proceeds must go to some other nonprofit or a trust or endowment of some sort.

Example would be a Catholic hospital sell out. The proceeds go to the treasury of the local nonprofit Catholic dioceses. The buyers and the hospital executives do not get any money. Optionally, the new for-profit hospital could hold some of the proceeds in a charitable trust or endowment governed by an independent board.

So it's not as simple as just paying tax on a sale because the cash has to remain in kind of a nonprofit form.

I am not an accountant either and obviously there are experts who probably can poke holes in this.

erosenbe0··on Hacking ADHD: Strategies for the modern developer
Does the time change for you with season and light exposure? I sometimes experience this sort of thing too, where I will have a consistent window of productivity at an unusual time, but it never lasts for a more than a few months.
erosenbe0··on Hacking ADHD: Strategies for the modern developer
That's fairly common. Think back to old school paper workflows or studying for school. Some people can concentrate with 5 books open and papers strewn all over the place. Others can't stand to have but one book open and one sheet of notes.
erosenbe0··on Get a cable modem, go to jail (1999)
Basically, copyright is not too different from other paper assets like publicly traded stocks. There is little intrinsic moral imperative for profit-seeking entities to make filings based on government mandated accounting principles and to not engage in insider trading schemes. Other systems, such as partnerships and private ownership, exist concurrently.

Copyrights are transferable intangible assets created by the legal instruments of the capitalist system. If you were to buy the copyright to the Metallica catalog, you can license that catalog for a return on your investment. It would be an asset of your estate like any other paper investment.

erosenbe0··on Get a cable modem, go to jail (1999)
Yes, thanks, as to copyright you are correct. I believe unless chattel is involved, it is called unauthorized reproduction and duplication rather than theft.

As to the telecom aspect, it can go either way. In Canada, it is considered theft to use a telecommunications service without the rights to do so. Under USA federal criminal law, I believe it is just referred to as unauthorized reception.

erosenbe0··on Get a cable modem, go to jail (1999)
Certainly it is a crime in Canada too, so I think the answer is no---theft of telecommunications is broadly criminalized to prevent mafia-type involvement.
erosenbe0··on Get a cable modem, go to jail (1999)
Copyright is a property right. It is not unreasonable for theft of property to carry the possibility of criminal charges. This is not strictly done in service of big media---if organized crime rings come in to town and do a ton of rogue hookups with impunity, then the cable company leaves and you have a cycle of degradation in the quality of life. Preventing organized crime is why it is a federal offense. Of course, the judicial system ought to utilize its authority with discretion so as not to severely punish simple petty thefts. Also note that cable theft (e.g., the physical tampering element) can damage emergency communication lines and can create dangerous electrical problems.
erosenbe0··on Silicon Valley’s elites can’t be trusted with the future of AI
Bell Labs, GE, IBM, Philco, RCA, and other bigtime tech labs were spread across the [upstate] NY to Philadelphia region. These areas were expensive, unionized and had issues with racial integration. SV until the early 1960s was not run by union bosses, was cheap, less regulated, and still had exceptionally racist white enclaves with solely single family housing, so there was less worry about integration problems.
erosenbe0··on Silicon Valley’s elites can’t be trusted with the future of AI
Very true. But--Economic scales and incentives are artificial and must be tuned. For example, the USA has a badly regulated medical system that refuses to train doctors efficiently, so medical care is overpriced. 18 year-olds who want to become doctors go to college for like 36 weeks a year with maybe four or five hours of instruction a day. Massive waste of human potential. The legal system is very bad as well. Two graduates from different schools with the same score on the bar receive compensation varying by a factor of 3x dependent on where their degree was obtained. Going to Harvard law is indicative of having connections and the cognitive potential to engage in lucrative schemes well into the future, not actual skill. This does not happen in a country with an efficient legal system, like Germany.
erosenbe0··on Silicon Valley’s elites can’t be trusted with the future of AI
Largely agree, but it's not clear at this point who will control the AI future. SV elites today are like NYC/NJ/Philly elites of the 1960s. They have the momentum and the capital but the cost of doing business, red tape, and wages are too high. It's not clear they will control the next tech revolution.
erosenbe0··on Unpacking Google’s Web Environment Integrity specification
That would clearly be an antitrust violation or deceptive business practice in one or more countries. Though by the time they get penalized for it, the damage would have been done.
erosenbe0··on Unpacking Google’s Web Environment Integrity specification
Banks are not the target of this. If Banks do something that inhibits people with disabilities, corporate account managers with disabilities, or senior citizens, they will get skewered. They will tread carefully.
erosenbe0··on Unpacking Google’s Web Environment Integrity specification
If McDonald's required 12 year-olds to use an ordering app because their banknotes might be stolen, would that be a reasonable compromise? Foreclosing the possibility of children not being tracked (which is illegal, btw) in exchange for some marginal benefit for big tech?
erosenbe0··on Got called to a professor’s office after a complaint his SPARC4 was running slow
One of the highest stresses on passives and power components occurs when there is an inrush of current (di/dt) or a voltage spike (dv/dt), which can occur on power cycling or plug in. So it is not a myth that hard reboots can be stressful on older hardware, but there is a certain amount of red herring because power cycling is also when an aged or diseased component is likely to show failure due to hours of service.

Modern devices and standards are able, at a low cost, to implement ripple, transient, reverse voltage, inrush limiting and the like. So failures are more isolated.

Nowadays, with stuff like USB there is inrush limiting, reverse voltage protection, transient suppression and it costs very little to implement, so it's mostly going to be power supplies.

erosenbe0··on Web Environment Integrity API Proposal
Protest is easy and involves the ADA and COPPA.

1) You cannot all of a sudden provision content differently to a user who has an unapproved device with their preferred accessibility stack and/or hardware.

2) Even if attestation does not involve tracking, effectively forcing children into an ecosystem that tracks them can be deemed unlawful by the FTC. Providers cannot foreclose all means of access to content that are not in a tracking ecosystem, because it violates the rights of children.

The proposal is probably legally negligent because it does not exercise the ordinary standard of care expected of senior technologists. Providing a tool that affects hundreds of million of children and people with disabilities is not a joke.

erosenbe0··on Cool Retro Terminal
VT420 must have had a good crt design. They'd run 18 hours a day as catalog terminals in university libraries with no problems. I'm sure most made 5 years with only minor brightness or contrast loss. Good solution with minimal service required--just cleaning any debris from the keyboard. Basically plug and play to the serial multiplexer.
erosenbe0··on If PEP 703 is accepted, Meta can commit three engineer-years to no-GIL CPython
Pretty much. This makes it simpler to wrap C libraries and it is partly why Python became successful back in the day.
erosenbe0··on We are wasting up to 20% of our time on computer problems, says study
Cherrypicked raw death counts are a lobbyist measuring scheme, not social science.

For example, if self-driving cars end up being prone to hitting children darting out on to city streets in new and unpredictable ways, then you have created impediments to the growth and development of children that did not previously exist. Would this be balanced by enhanced safety in other situations? Maybe.

These are complex topics like whether and how long schools should have stayed closed during COVID. Balancing the death and disability effects largely falling on adults vs. the educational interests of children.

erosenbe0··on Sears offered complete houses in large DIY kits
Single pane windows, lead pipe, lead paint, knob and tube electrical, no sump pumps, no drainage tile, no Tyvek, clay chimneys, poor insulation, poorly ventilated attics, creaky floors, etc. Old houses have a lot of inferior elements. Sure, the denser wood and some of the masonry or plasterwork is nice, but it ends there.
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