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envsubst

183 karma · joined September 10, 2023

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envsubst··on Does Market Timing Work?
I have read it.

- He isn't a stock trader, he is a bond trader. The kind of bets you need to make to be succesful are different.

- "how lucky he got by chance" - He doesn't say this. He talks about how we can even better model uncertainties.

envsubst··on Does Market Timing Work?
Yep, you also wouldn't give the same computer/software advice to your grandma as you would a peer at work. Buffet is telling us to leave trading to the pros, but he absolutely trades.
envsubst··on Does Market Timing Work?
Are there 100 people who know finance and think carefully like Nassim taleb? What do their outcomes look like? I would bet all of them do pretty well. (I'm not even a big Taleb fan.)

This is just like the startup founder argument. Every one which succeeds ends up having a tremendously interesting background demonstrating unique interest and capability.

envsubst··on Does Market Timing Work?
Every scientific endeavor is about predicting the future. Imagine your 3 closest friends wanted you to invest in your business. Could you predict which of them would likely do better than the others?
envsubst··on Does Market Timing Work?
I completely agree. This is true of most fields, which is why you can pay a professional for their special skills.
envsubst··on Does Market Timing Work?
Nassim Taleb made his money trading markets.
envsubst··on Does Market Timing Work?
Why do you feel so convinced they can't?
envsubst··on Does Market Timing Work?
Buffett says this kind of stuff publicly. But his own fund moves in and out of investments all the time.
envsubst··on Pixel 8 Pro
Do you have any information about how much material going to landfills? What if 1 car is 1000 phones?
envsubst··on Lumber prices down 11% YoY
That doesn't drive people to pay 3x. What does it is the fear that prices will never come down or that this is a normal.
envsubst··on Pixel 8 Pro
The price system is how our society allocates resources. The fact that people are allocating their own resources to buy one -- without any perverse incentives or being compelled, indicates it's not wasteful to them.

A better example of waste is when local governments funds things which people don't use.

I think the root of this sentiment is misunderstanding or lack of satisfaction at the system level.

envsubst··on Pixel 8 Pro
> And so we get this waste.

Wait. If they are making phones that get bought up every year because of people like your friend, then where is the waste?

envsubst··on Lumber prices down 11% YoY
These things are always cyclical, but FOMO is a tough emotion to combat.
envsubst··on The presumption that computers are working correctly
And if you read what I said, before your comment, you'll see its about this particular situation.
envsubst··on The presumption that computers are working correctly
> this is also done in the court room.

And we have we gone through that process to look at the issue from all sides and hear arguments from all parties? No.

You don't need to know intent to fire or punish someone anyway. In this case we can dismiss people for improper action, without demeaning them personally.

envsubst··on The presumption that computers are working correctly
Having worked in the areas you are describing, it's still duct tape and rubber bands, they just are better prepared for redundancy and error recovery.
envsubst··on The presumption that computers are working correctly
> they doubled down because they lack any sense of morality.

I don't believe you know what their internal mental states are.

envsubst··on Leaked screenshot shows Amazon now tracking individual employee attendance
What are you talking about?
envsubst··on Leaked screenshot shows Amazon now tracking individual employee attendance
Family relationships are much closer and have more trust than relationship between employer and employee.
envsubst··on Very high number of workplace accidents at Tesla factory in Germany
Except it's in the body, so they already clicked on the article and made their money. What's left is continuing the trope that Elon is insensitive and stupid.
envsubst··on Users report iPhone 15 is overheating
This is only true if:

1. There aren't other processes that need to share the system.

2. There are no spikes in memory usage.

Neither are true. The less memory each component uses the more you can run at once and it will likely be faster too.

envsubst··on Very high number of workplace accidents at Tesla factory in Germany
Media has to plant a narrative, or why write the article?
envsubst··on The most copied StackOverflow snippet of all time is flawed (2019)
Of course, consensus is a difficult philosophical topic. But not every system is based on public voting.
envsubst··on The most copied StackOverflow snippet of all time is flawed (2019)
Non security expert here. Walk me through the attack scenario here.

The database has access control right? So only a few people in the org can read the data. And you are imagining a case where they:

a) find an inverse image of a password hash and use that login as another person to do something bad.

b) reverse the password from the hash to use in another context.

If a is an issue, why does this individual have sensitive data access in the first place? b is still unlikely. Any inverse image is unlikely to be the password if there is salting.

It sounds like an improvement could be made, but maybe not the highest priority. Can you inform me?

envsubst··on The most copied StackOverflow snippet of all time is flawed (2019)
Almost every top stack overflow answer is wrong. The correct one is usually at rank 3. The system promotes answers which the public believes to be correct (easy to read, resembles material they are familiar with, follows fads, etc).

Pay attention to comments and compare a few answers.

envsubst··on The most copied StackOverflow snippet of all time is flawed (2019)
What if you write the code and test in your project?
envsubst··on Ask HN: Have you been affected by layoffs?
> there tends to be something holding the chronically unemployed back that is blindingly obvious to everyone else, but that the unemployed person either doesn’t want to see or can’t.

This is true in my experience as well. The only exception I can think of was a very smart guy (Phd) who had severe autism and really struggled to speak with other people. It's just hard for him to make that conversion even though he is well aware.

envsubst··on Ask HN: Have you been affected by layoffs?
This shouldn't be controversial. Finding a job is a sales problem and most people are not good at or trained in sales.

Besides shear numbers, they only look in obvious places. The worst case is people only applying to listings on big sites for remote jobs.

envsubst··on Reflections on my journey into computer science
> I often worry whether the EE degree disqualifies me in the eyes of employers from being a "serious" programmer.

I think degrees are an important indicator, and that thought would never even cross my mind unless you were 1 or 2 years out of school without experience. EE is one of the main degrees for this field.

envsubst··on Hank Asher turned Americans’ private information into a business
The credit card industry existed for decades before this.
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