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emestifs

270 karma · joined August 21, 2021

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emestifs··on Three women contract HIV from dirty "vampire facials" at unlicensed spa
Thanks for the reply. It was a good read. And I can agree on the points from experience.

One suggestion/correction: "Your only way to track message flow is with extensive and expressive logging.", you can do distributed tracing. It not a silver bullet, nor does it replace a proper debugger, but it's better than following logs. You can use a number of distributed tracing SaaS's, but you still have to do at least some manual instrumentation in your code to add additional info.

emestifs··on Marc Andreessen Is a Maniac
> Tax these

Good luck. And I'm not saying you're wrong or anything, just that it won't be easy. Look at what happened in Canada when they increased capital tax rate few weeks ago. It was a ton of articles and opinion pieces about how it will destroy the economy and innovation. You try taxing more in US and it will likely be an even harder push back given the larger ultra-high net worth population.

emestifs··on Three women contract HIV from dirty "vampire facials" at unlicensed spa
Unrelated to you comment here, but I figured you'll see this reply rather than one from your week old comment.

I replied to your serverless comment here: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=40054222 Very interested in what more you have to say, if you're interesting in discussing it more.

emestifs··on The unwritten laws of engineering at Stedi
Can you explain more? I'm very interested in what you have to say about serverless.
emestifs··on Ask HN: What rabbit hole(s) did you dive into recently?
Is a router a decent box? https://kittenlabs.de/real-gaming-router/
emestifs··on Substack Writers Concerned as Subscriptions 'Plummet' Due to Follow Feature
"Substack was built to [100x investment for investors]. If you are not looking to [help us 100x our revenue], Substack is not the right product for you"
emestifs··on 996 working hour system
In Europe I believe you can request an 80% work week, I've seen job posting and heard it second hand. Here's a Swiss example, https://threema.ch/en/jobs#openings of 80-100% jobs

In North America there were and are a number of companies that operate or operated (pre-layoffs etc, ZIRP free money RIP) on a 4 day work week. You can search "4 day companies" and you'll find a list. Some companies still operate on a 4 day week, so it wasn't necessarily a ZIRP-era only thing.

US congress or someone in government proposed a 32 hour work week -- unlikely to be passed of course or get any traction any time soon.

But in general, there's growing mainstream sentiment towards trying and exploring shorter work weeks.

If AI/AI-enabled-capitalists doesn't enslave us, those grandiose promised AI productivity gains may push sentiment further in that direction.

So "moving towards" is a fair description.

emestifs··on Apple TV's Fantastic "Silo" Plays Out Like Great Sci-Fi Literature (2023)
Late comment, maybe you'll see this.

Severance is a slow burn, but the show gets really good at the end of season 1. I highly recommend you give it another chance and watch til the end. IMO, it got better and better every episode until world class level episode in the final 2, 3 episodes of the season.

Its among my favorite shows of all time.

emestifs··on Poor Predictors: Job Interviews Are Useless and Unfair
That's a reasonable assumption. I wonder if it's really going to hold up in court though. Basically wouldn't that imply once a non-white, non-male is hired you're basically with a high probability asking to be sued if you ever terminate their employment? That seems too broad to hold up in court. Couldn't the company say this person failed to meet expectations, so we decided to part ways? But, yeah, sure that's a risk, but idk if that's the real reason companies have all these hoops in their hiring process.
emestifs··on Poor Predictors: Job Interviews Are Useless and Unfair
And in US employment is at-will, no? What exactly is the risk for a company? Rogue employee stealing IP? Any employee can do that already. Can't fire a low performer? We just saw more 300k people in the industry let go in 2022/2023/2024. And at-will, trial period already exist.

If anything the risk is for the employee. But if companies stop trying to be Google and stick to their actual level of prestige, employees wouldn't have to do a multi week/month interviewing marathon just to get a foot in the door, and it balances out, easy to get your foot in another door.

I don't know if it's cargo culting, ego, or what, but non of the hiring practices so many companies carry out make sense. Pick top 10 resumes, spend 2h interviewing each, offer 3 month trial or at-will hire/fire your top pick. Saved you 50-100k in recruiter costs.

emestifs··on X Usage Dropped 30% in Last Year, Study Says
But how many bots on wayland though? I'll stick with X until a Fedi-Display Server comes out.
emestifs··on Ask HN: What is the future of the entry-level software engineering job?
If I had to guess, it'll be spring/summer 2025 until hiring freezes fully go away and non-senior role open up. Maybe start of 2025. These may be conservative estimates. More optimistic guesses would be fall 2024.

I say this because Interest Rates will be most likely lower than what they're at right now, which will cause money to flow into companies through VC and public investment.

Just a guess though, could easily be wrong. Keep an eye on startup investment and public ipo activity as a potential indicator of things.

emestifs··on Are we running out of clean air?
Reminds me of the monologue from Network (1976) https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZwMVMbmQBug

It's uncanny how relevant this quote is 50 years later.

emestifs··on OpenTofu may be showing us the wrong way to fork
Fair enough. I get what you're saying.

But is this about MongoDB trying to deter forks? Are there any live MongoDB fork? Hasn't the MongoDB hype train derailed a long time ago?

emestifs··on OpenTofu may be showing us the wrong way to fork
It's a PR campaign?! What?

MongoDB is mentioned in the footer, in greyed text. MongoDB benefits from Terraform vs OpenTofu tensions how?

Do you run or work for a DB company? Because your comment sounds like a PR campaign by that logic.

emestifs··on OpenTofu may be showing us the wrong way to fork
I have no horse in the race, but as an outside observer, and involved in some small open source stuff, I find it interesting the dynamics of these kinds of large public events and forks. Looking at the contributor activity from Aug 13th 2023 to today, there seems to be slightly less activity in the OpenTofu repo vs the original Terraform repo, but small sample size and just eyeballing it, don't take this as an accurate statement.

I wonder how viable this fork will end up being. To contrast with the recent Redis debacle, Redis is by some measure a completed piece of software, as suggested by the Redict fork. But with the moving target of the Cloud, is Terraform in a similar bucket? Will there be enough support behind this fork 5 years from now? And by support I don't mean is some big tech company's logo displayed on the website - are there multiple contributors or is it some random person in Nebraska doing what they can during evenings and weekends?

Might be an unfair comparison, but I'm reminded of the Reddit API uproar last year. It did what exactly? Reddit IPO'd, got their cake, the people who threw up their arms got what? Some maybe left, others just quietly returned to their corners of Reddit and continued using it? Will these large publicity forks end up being healthy and viable or end up open-source abandonware that once promised the world?

To be clear, I'm all for competition, FOSS, and all the stuff. I just genuinely worry about big bang, high publicity stuff. Is it big bang and then a quiet whimper, or a self sustaining entity for the long term?

emestifs··on Key Safari designer departs Apple to join 'The Browser Company'
I do hope they make something great. I'm not hoping for their demise. More competition will push other browsers to be better and challenge their market share.

I just am weary of the sustainability of these business models long term and how they'll live up to such lofty goals and expectations. Too often we've seen great things become less great overtime as other revenue extraction means are introduced to the overall detriment of what make that thing so great.

emestifs··on Jon Stewart on the False Promises of AI [video]
> Are you saying that anybody can do something new only if they _can_ handle all the externalities that they cannot possibly have control over?

No, not at all. But to focus majority of the time focusing on greatness and downplaying the consequences will skew the public perception. If you're skewing perception then you, as a society, aren't fully understanding the implications of what's happening (eg social media in 2010 vs social media in 2020s, mental health, people quiting, etc).

> If a politician says "go get a job, don't leach off the government and tax payers" and is so out of context, may be the political system and electing such a politician is a problem, and you ought to improve the society than asking Microsoft to think about the jobless...

Yup, there's definitely a issue with current political systems. The system is likely going to resist change and I'm not foolish enough to think it will change much any time soon given the current trajectory. Obvious this varies country to country.

> I do agree with you and hate the trope that is "we make the world a better place" or using the word - sustainable and green color to things that cannot possibly be either.

That's all I was highlighting. It's all grandiose promises of sunshine and rainbows as one may naively assume if you take any AI "thought leader" at their literal word. I'm not going to quote any of them, but the clip this post links to has a number of direct quotes from them about what great planet scale problems AI will solve.

I wasn't proposing any solution, but trying to highlight the naivety of assuming AI will usher in an era of greatness for _all_.

It would be great if you could get all the benefits and humanity could live on this planet, and maybe others, for millions of years in prosperity and greatness, but the systemic underlying issues will continue to persist even into this next era.

emestifs··on Jon Stewart on the False Promises of AI [video]
I didnt take Stewart's monologue as anti-progress. Rather the core takeaway is the vague and grandiose talk of greatness and utopia for all of humanity and the planet that is to come from the AI. And brushing aside the upheaval and consequences mass automation on a decade scale, not multiple decades, will cause for the N% of society affected negatively. Big Tech personal AI assistants aren't going to put food on people's table after their profession is automated away. And political nonsense already make it hard for many to get aid when they're unable to work as it is, imagine some politician saying go get a job, don't leach off the government and tax payers.

Is there a way to minimize the negatives that will inevitably playout? Those AI leaders aren't talking a lot about that, only vague suggestions or passing mentions, and then back to "we're going to use AI to make the world a better place"

emestifs··on Key Safari designer departs Apple to join 'The Browser Company'
Grandparent comment originally said, "But how are they going to repay that investment?". LOL, investors don't want repayment, they're gambling for a shot at a dump truck full of money. If they don't get that, thanks for playing the VC lottery, take care, bye.

Which begs the question, how is The Browser Company going to live up to the 550 million dollar valuation? I'm not fluent in VC-speak, but I think the math is something like this: you need $R in revenue annually to be valued at $V, where the difference between R and V is some multiple M, usually 10-50ish. Let's say 50, so R = $550/50 = $11 million/yr in revenue or a more conservative 20 multiple, R = $550/20 = $27.5 million/yr in revenue.

If they charge $10/month, then they need ~91k users, that gets them to $11 million in revenue from users directly. If they need to hit 27.5 million, then they need ~229k users paying $10 month.

Not the worst investment after you do the math, maybe it's theoretically a sustainable business.

But startups don't raise money at these numbers to become sustainable ten-million dollar-per-year businesses. Investors want that unicorn status most of the time. At that point, I don't know if the math makes sense because to be a unicorn you need like $50-100+ million in revenue per year. That's easily 3x or more users, you're approaching 500k-1 million monthly active users.

That's a lot of users for something Apple, Samsung, Mozilla and Google give away for free on all OSs already.

Edit: I just looked up their funding raising information. 137 million raised, and they're series A/B'ish right now. That's a lot of money, they definitely have big ambitions.

emestifs··on Jon Stewart on the False Promises of AI [video]
Why are billions being poured into AI? It's not altruism.

"I don't want to live in a world where someone else is making the world a better place better than we are." - some VC probably

emestifs··on Key Safari designer departs Apple to join 'The Browser Company'
"Raised $50 million at a $550 million valuation" and "Arc has added an array of AI-focused features recently" raises huge red flags for me as a user, after all the enshittification of VC funded products, services and platforms over the last few years. I'm not a user, but after reading that I'm not inclined to become one any time soon.
emestifs··on 10 Years of Hacker News "Ask HN: Who Is Hiring" Trends
Hiring is fundamentally broken at the vast majority of companies. Maybe the "senior" label is just to try and deter low quality candidates or maybe it's because they don't want to invest in any employee anymore for right or wrong reasons - employees leaving after a few years or maybe the company/management are focused on excel spreadsheets only.

Anyway, try applying to a job today or even pre-pandemic. Unless you went to a top school, are in the right geographic region (West Coast US, or NY area), or you have strong network connections, you're going to be going through a ridiculous number of job applications, then a non-nonsensical number of interview rounds, and maybe you'll get an offer.

Alternatively you spend 3-6 or more months studying leetcode and planet-scale system design, because random startups, banks, insurance companies also wants people who are only the of the best and pay "competitive salary".

The number of places that rejected me for trivial reasons is insane. I can only imagine what people entering the industry right now have to face, it can't be any better than it was.

emestifs··on NotepadNext – a cross-platform reimplementation of Notepad++
Missed opportunity to write it in a Memory-Safe, White House approved language and call it Rustpad or something...I joke of course.

After reading the title I was 99% sure it would've been an Electron app, nice to see it's actually native. Good work.

emestifs··on Being laid off in 2023-2024 as an early-career developer
I've seen something similar recently online, someone talking about wanting to visit a certain adjacent middle eastern country for a holiday, one with a fairly notorious public image in other regards. I'm assuming the advertising those countries are pushing play a big part in the mind share of people.
emestifs··on Why is the LinkedIn app almost half a gig?
Related: (19 days ago) Leaving LinkedIn - https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=39612443
emestifs··on Web bloat means pages are 21MB+, some sites are harder to render than PUBG
AI wont help product direction or design. You'll have a bunch of rotten, enshittifying, terribly (ux, ui) designed software even faster, all in the hands of the business decision makers.
emestifs··on Web bloat means pages are 21MB+, some sites are harder to render than PUBG
When your customers are enterprise, page load times dont mean anything. Some 500k/yr VP gets a demo, signs off, and $20/hr users are told to use the system.

If page load times mattered, then i wouldn't have written what I did above

emestifs··on Web bloat means pages are 21MB+, some sites are harder to render than PUBG
I work on a project where the web app takes 30mb before it fully renders, makes 500 requests, 10 seconds before interactivity. No one cares. No one bats an eye. Pages don't follow web semantics (ctrl/middle click to open in a new tab? no we'll do some javascript instead). Plus a bunch of other stuff no one bothers with.

It's a huge mess. You _can_ make beautiful, simple, elegant and useful things with web tech, but the number of people who care enough to do so are so so few.

Making good stuff doesn't matter anymore.

emestifs··on Wrangling 2000 Git Repos at Reddit
Which part do you disagree with? The slowness, the Fisher-Price looking UI, the overwhelming noise around posts, or the popups to login or install the app?

They could've improved the styling so things were nicely formatted and easy to read, but they went above and beyond (in a bad way).

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